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427 NE 21st Ter 🏷️ Likely Rental
D Composite 44.86
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +1.8/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$5,000

427 NE 21st Ter · Homestead, FL 33034
4 bd · 3.0 ba · 1,592 sqft · Townhouse public records · 12 Days on market
Built 2006 1,804 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Very nice four bedroom townhouse featuring one full bedroom and bath downstairs, tiled floord, updated kitchen with granite countertops and stainless appliances, garage, a fenced patio that has a canal view, etc.

Key facts

  • Built 2006
  • Listed 11 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Zoning: Other; Subdivision: Other (999.9); Side: Bay/Gulf
  • Financial info: Property listed for auction
  • HOA & community: No association fee; Fee includes: other; Association does not have first right of refusal

Exterior

  • Utilities: Utilities: other (see remarks)
  • Home design: Built in 2006; Other construction; Above flood: no
  • Construction: Other construction material; Built in 2006
  • Exterior features: No waterfront; No waterview; Dockage: other dockage; Less than 1/4 acre lot; Deed restrictions: none; Pets: other (see remarks); Rentals not allowed

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms
  • Interior features: Other appliances included (see remarks); Family room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $5,000 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$483,570) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath townhouse listed at $5k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($26k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $5k).
  • Cap rate 553.2% vs local median 3.5% in Homestead — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#158 in FL, #2,408 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-.
  • Miami-Dade (suburban): math 45% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #40 of 73 in FL (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Campbell Drive K-8 Center (math 25% / reading 28%, grade F, #2,009 of 2,144 statewide, top 94%, 903 students, 80% FRL); Homestead Middle School (math 23% / reading 25%, grade F, #532 of 571 statewide, top 94%, 666 students, 81% FRL); Homestead Senior High School (math 24% / reading 23%, grade F, #533 of 667 statewide, top 80%, 2,020 students, 74% FRL).
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 25% at this address vs 50% district-wide (-25 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Miami-Dade average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.9%/yr); 617 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 10,051 units permitted in Miami-Dade County in 2024 (7,758 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,928/mo this rent would consume 74% of the median local household income ($47k/yr) (locally 1516% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $35 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $150 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Miami-Dade County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $1k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 4 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $152/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AH (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→31/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $5,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
  6. What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
  7. Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
58.56%
Cap rate
553.17%
Cash-on-cash
1953.12%
DSCR
87.90
GRM
0.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$483,570
Comps found
8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2109 NE 3rd Ct 0.08mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,508 (-5%) 2mo $315,000 $209 79
771 SE 2nd St 1.34mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,587 (-0%) 8mo $340,000 $214 51
141 SE 7th Rd 1.32mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,587 (-0%) 18mo $341,000 $215 42
1026 NE 30th Ave 0.90mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,508 (-5%) 9mo $340,000 $225 42
3216 SE 6th St 1.31mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,432 (-10%) 5mo $355,000 $248 37
3205 SE 5th Ct 1.26mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,432 (-10%) 9mo $350,000 $244 34
2653 SE 13th Ct 1.29mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,827 (+15%) 5mo $355,000 $194 30
3322 NE 11th Dr #3322 1.35mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,380 (-13%) 23mo $450,000 $326 15

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
91.14×
Total profit
$126,191
Equity at exit
$746
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
180.78×
Total profit
$251,688
Equity at exit
$432

Cash invested: $1,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33034

Home prices YoY
-5.9%
Rents YoY
-2.9%
Active inventory
617
Price-to-rent
0.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,928 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$26
Tax est. 1.5%
$6 /mo · $75/yr
Insurance
$2
Flood insurance flood zone
−$152 /mo · $1,824/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$615
Net cashflow
$2,127

Break-even live

Break-even rent $236
Max offer price $5,000
Occupancy floor 22%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $2,130 -5% $2,128 +0% $2,127 +5% $2,125 +10% $2,123
Rent -10% $1,895 -5% $2,011 +0% $2,127 +5% $2,242 +10% $2,358
Rate -1.0pp $2,129 -0.5pp $2,128 base $2,127 +0.5pp $2,125 +1.0pp $2,124

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$1,250
Closing costs
$150
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
496 NE 21st Ter Homestead, FL 4.0 3.0 1592 $2,500 $1.57 26d 1 0.07mi
521 NE 21st Ter Homestead, FL 3.0 2.5 1650 $2,150 $1.30 26d 1 0.09mi
551 NE 21st Ter Homestead, FL 4.0 3.0 1580 $2,400 $1.52 3d 1 0.10mi
551 NE 21st Ter Homestead, FL 4.0 3.0 1580 $2,400 $1.52 4d 1 0.10mi
607 NE 21st Ter Homestead, FL 4.0 3.0 1580 $2,800 $1.77 23d 1 0.13mi
662 NE 21st Ter Homestead, FL 3.0 2.5 1564 $2,400 $1.53 3d 1 0.18mi
232 NE 23rd Ter #232 Homestead, FL 3.0 2.5 2200 $3,200 $1.45 19d 1 0.22mi
2356 NE 3rd Ct #2356 Homestead, FL 3.0 2.0 1430 $2,999 $2.10 26d 1 0.22mi
2356 NE 3rd Ct #2356 Homestead, FL 3.0 2.0 1430 $2,999 $2.10 9d 1 0.22mi
156 NE 24th Ave Homestead, FL 3.0 2.5 2115 $3,100 $1.47 23d 1 0.29mi
157 NE 24th Ter Homestead, FL 4.0 2.0 1638 $3,600 $2.20 26d 1 0.35mi
2262 SE 2nd St Homestead, FL 3.0 2.0 1987 $3,200 $1.61 26d 1 0.46mi
195 SE 24th Ave Homestead, FL 4.0 3.0 2045 $3,500 $1.71 26d 1 0.49mi
2615 NE 4th St #204 Homestead, FL 3.0 2.0 1201 $1,800 $1.50 23d 1 0.50mi
2615 NE 4th St #204 Homestead, FL 3.0 2.0 1201 $1,700 $1.42 9d 1 0.50mi
1679 Sunrise Blvd Unit 1679 Homestead, FL 3.0 2.0 1358 $2,500 $1.84 26d 1 0.53mi
371 NE 26th Ter #101 Homestead, FL 3.0 2.0 1194 $2,100 $1.76 12d 1 0.53mi
420 SE 23rd Ln Homestead, FL 3.0 2.0 2099 $4,700 $2.24 26d 1 0.56mi
2436 SE 3rd St Homestead, FL 4.0 3.0 2045 $4,000 $1.96 26d 1 0.57mi
2020 SE 5th Pl Unit 2020 Homestead, FL 3.0 2.0 1543 $2,700 $1.75 26d 1 0.60mi
532 SE 21st Dr Homestead, FL 3.0 2.0 1488 $2,690 $1.81 0d 1 0.61mi
178 NE 14th Ave Homestead, FL 3.0 2.5 1847 $2,940 $1.59 23d 1 0.65mi
2235 SE 6th Ct Homestead, FL 3.0 2.0 1488 $2,800 $1.88 26d 1 0.66mi
163 NE 13th Cir Homestead, FL 3.0 2.5 1790 $3,200 $1.79 15d 1 0.73mi
163 NE 13th Cir Unit N/A Homestead, FL 3.0 2.5 1790 $3,200 $1.79 19d 1 0.73mi
1686 SE 6th St Homestead, FL 4.0 2.5 2138 $4,100 $1.92 26d 1 0.73mi
1686 SE 6th St Homestead, FL 4.0 2.5 2138 $4,100 $1.92 4d 1 0.73mi
2615 SE 5th Ct Unit 2615 Homestead, FL 4.0 3.0 2073 $3,800 $1.83 26d 1 0.74mi
2615 SE 5th Ct Homestead, FL 4.0 3.0 2073 $3,400 $1.64 0d 1 0.74mi
142 SE 28th Ter #7 Homestead, FL 3.0 2.0 1151 $2,200 $1.91 26d 1 0.76mi
2849 NE 1st Dr Homestead, FL 5.0 3.0 2058 $3,500 $1.70 26d 1 0.76mi
15945 SW 304th St Homestead, FL 3.0 2.0 1288 $3,000 $2.33 9d 1 0.77mi
2645 SE 5th Ct Homestead, FL 3.0 2.0 1750 $3,000 $1.71 26d 1 0.77mi
134 SE 28th Ter Homestead, FL 3.0 2.0–2.5 1238 $2,250 $1.82 26d 2 0.80mi
134 SE 28th Ter Homestead, FL 3.0 2.0–2.5 1238 $2,225 $1.80 0d 2 0.80mi
713 SE 15th Ave Homestead, FL 4.0 3.0 2085 $4,300 $2.06 26d 1 0.82mi
15320 SW 305th St Homestead, FL 3.0 1.0 1100 $2,500 $2.27 12d 1 0.83mi
1430 NE 11th St Homestead, FL 4.0 2.0 2150 $4,435 $2.06 26d 1 0.84mi
30321 SW 155th Ave Unit n/a Homestead, FL 3.0 1.5 1270 $2,875 $2.26 9d 1 0.85mi
30321 SW 155th Ave Unit n/a Homestead, FL 3.0 1.5 1270 $2,900 $2.28 26d 1 0.85mi

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-05-14
    listed $5,000 Active
  2. 2025-11-23
    historical
  3. 2025-08-03
    listed $369,900 Active
  4. 2023-08-30
    soldstatus $345,000
  5. 2019-08-19
    soldstatus $200,000
  6. 2019-08-12
    soldstatus $200,000 Sold 214-char remark
    Show marketing remark (214 chars)

    Very nice four bedroom townhouse featuring one full bedroom and bath downstairs, tiled floord, updated kitchen with granite countertops and stainless appliances, garage, a fenced patio that has a canal view, etc.

  7. 2019-07-03
    status Pending 214-char remark
    Show marketing remark (214 chars)

    Very nice four bedroom townhouse featuring one full bedroom and bath downstairs, tiled floord, updated kitchen with granite countertops and stainless appliances, garage, a fenced patio that has a canal view, etc.

  8. 2019-05-08
    status Active 214-char remark
    Show marketing remark (214 chars)

    Very nice four bedroom townhouse featuring one full bedroom and bath downstairs, tiled floord, updated kitchen with granite countertops and stainless appliances, garage, a fenced patio that has a canal view, etc.

  9. 2019-05-03
    status Backup Contract 214-char remark
    Show marketing remark (214 chars)

    Very nice four bedroom townhouse featuring one full bedroom and bath downstairs, tiled floord, updated kitchen with granite countertops and stainless appliances, garage, a fenced patio that has a canal view, etc.

  10. 2019-04-29
    listed $199,995 Active 214-char remark
    Show marketing remark (214 chars)

    Very nice four bedroom townhouse featuring one full bedroom and bath downstairs, tiled floord, updated kitchen with granite countertops and stainless appliances, garage, a fenced patio that has a canal view, etc.

  11. 2016-09-14
    soldstatus $145,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone AH · 23% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 31 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$35,137
− Mortgage interest
−$280
− Property taxes
−$75
− Insurance
−$1,850
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,811
− Management
−$2,811
− Depreciation
−$145
Taxable income
$27,165
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$6,520
After-tax cash flow
$19,000/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Miami-Dade
NCES district ID
1200390
Math proficiency
45% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
54% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$43,928
Composite
41.76/100
National rank
#3397
State rank
#40 of 73 in FL

Livability — Homestead

Score
78/100
State rank
#158
US rank
#2408

Category grades

Amenities B- Commute A+ Cost of living B Crime C+ Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Homestead, FL
County
Miami-Dade County · 2,697,751 people
City population
191,470
Metro
Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
Population (ZIP)
23,823
Household income
$47,170
Rent vs Own
64.1% rent · 35.9% own
Severe rent burden
1516.0

Population outlook (Miami-Dade County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
3,126,439 people
By 2030
3,325,765 · +6.4%
By 2040
3,697,561 · +18.3%
By 2050
4,012,134 · +28.3%
By 2075
4,605,612 · +47.3%
By 2100
4,866,598 · +55.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Hispanic (62%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 62% Black 28% Two or more races 24% White 8%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 20% Puerto Rican 5% Cuban 13% Dominican 2%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 4%
Foreign-born
34% · Canada, Dominican Republic, Guatemala
Languages at home
38% English-only · Spanish 56% French/Haitian/Cajun 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Miami-Dade

2024 margin
R (+11.4) · D 43.9% · R 55.4%
2008→2024 swing
-27.6pp toward R · 2008: 16.1pp · 2024: -11.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+11.4 2020: D+7.3 2016: D+29.6 2012: D+23.7 2008: D+16.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -32.64%
Current HPI
521.6856
Rent YoY
▼ -2.85%
Metro
Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-96.6% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-14 Listed $5,000 FLKMLS
  • 2025-11-23 Listing Removed MARMLS
  • 2025-08-03 Listed $369,900 MARMLS
  • 2023-08-30 Sold (Public Records) $345,000 Public Records
  • 2019-08-19 Sold (Public Records) $200,000 Public Records
  • 2019-08-12 Sold (MLS) $200,000 MARMLS
  • 2019-07-03 Pending MARMLS
  • 2019-05-08 Relisted MARMLS
  • 2019-05-03 Pending MARMLS
  • 2019-04-29 Listed $199,995 MARMLS
  • 2016-09-14 Sold (Public Records) $145,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+7.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $7,268 · +0.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…