🏷️ Likely Rental
427 NE 21st Ter · Homestead, FL
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- AH
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.23%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,142 – $2,507
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 31 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +1.8/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$5,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Very nice four bedroom townhouse featuring one full bedroom and bath downstairs, tiled floord, updated kitchen with granite countertops and stainless appliances, garage, a fenced patio that has a canal view, etc.
Key facts
- Built 2006
- Listed 11 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Zoning: Other; Subdivision: Other (999.9); Side: Bay/Gulf
- Financial info: Property listed for auction
- HOA & community: No association fee; Fee includes: other; Association does not have first right of refusal
Exterior
- Utilities: Utilities: other (see remarks)
- Home design: Built in 2006; Other construction; Above flood: no
- Construction: Other construction material; Built in 2006
- Exterior features: No waterfront; No waterview; Dockage: other dockage; Less than 1/4 acre lot; Deed restrictions: none; Pets: other (see remarks); Rentals not allowed
Interior
- Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms
- Interior features: Other appliances included (see remarks); Family room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath townhouse listed at $5k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($26k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $5k).
- Cap rate 553.2% vs local median 3.5% in Homestead — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#158 in FL, #2,408 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-.
- Miami-Dade (suburban): math 45% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #40 of 73 in FL (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Campbell Drive K-8 Center (math 25% / reading 28%, grade F, #2,009 of 2,144 statewide, top 94%, 903 students, 80% FRL); Homestead Middle School (math 23% / reading 25%, grade F, #532 of 571 statewide, top 94%, 666 students, 81% FRL); Homestead Senior High School (math 24% / reading 23%, grade F, #533 of 667 statewide, top 80%, 2,020 students, 74% FRL).
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 25% at this address vs 50% district-wide (-25 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Miami-Dade average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.9%/yr); 617 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 10,051 units permitted in Miami-Dade County in 2024 (7,758 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,928/mo this rent would consume 74% of the median local household income ($47k/yr) (locally 1516% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $35 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $150 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Miami-Dade County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $1k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 4 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $152/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AH (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→31/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
- What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
- Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 58.56% ✓
- Cap rate
- 553.17%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1953.12%
- DSCR
- 87.90
- GRM
- 0.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $483,570
- Comps found
- 8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2109 NE 3rd Ct | 0.08mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,508 (-5%) | 2mo | $315,000 | $209 | 79 |
| 771 SE 2nd St | 1.34mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,587 (-0%) | 8mo | $340,000 | $214 | 51 |
| 141 SE 7th Rd | 1.32mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,587 (-0%) | 18mo | $341,000 | $215 | 42 |
| 1026 NE 30th Ave | 0.90mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,508 (-5%) | 9mo | $340,000 | $225 | 42 |
| 3216 SE 6th St | 1.31mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,432 (-10%) | 5mo | $355,000 | $248 | 37 |
| 3205 SE 5th Ct | 1.26mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,432 (-10%) | 9mo | $350,000 | $244 | 34 |
| 2653 SE 13th Ct | 1.29mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,827 (+15%) | 5mo | $355,000 | $194 | 30 |
| 3322 NE 11th Dr #3322 | 1.35mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,380 (-13%) | 23mo | $450,000 | $326 | 15 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 91.14×
- Total profit
- $126,191
- Equity at exit
- $746
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 180.78×
- Total profit
- $251,688
- Equity at exit
- $432
Cash invested: $1,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33034
- Home prices YoY
- -5.9%
- Rents YoY
- -2.9%
- Active inventory
- 617
- Price-to-rent
- 0.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,928 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$26
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$6 /mo · $75/yr
- Insurance
- −$2
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$152 /mo · $1,824/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$615
- Net cashflow
- $2,127
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $2,130 | -5% $2,128 | +0% $2,127 | +5% $2,125 | +10% $2,123 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,895 | -5% $2,011 | +0% $2,127 | +5% $2,242 | +10% $2,358 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $2,129 | -0.5pp $2,128 | base $2,127 | +0.5pp $2,125 | +1.0pp $2,124 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $1,250
- Closing costs
- $150
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 496 NE 21st Ter Homestead, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1592 | $2,500 | $1.57 | 26d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 521 NE 21st Ter Homestead, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1650 | $2,150 | $1.30 | 26d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 551 NE 21st Ter Homestead, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1580 | $2,400 | $1.52 | 3d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 551 NE 21st Ter Homestead, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1580 | $2,400 | $1.52 | 4d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 607 NE 21st Ter Homestead, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1580 | $2,800 | $1.77 | 23d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 662 NE 21st Ter Homestead, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1564 | $2,400 | $1.53 | 3d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 232 NE 23rd Ter #232 Homestead, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2200 | $3,200 | $1.45 | 19d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 2356 NE 3rd Ct #2356 Homestead, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1430 | $2,999 | $2.10 | 26d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 2356 NE 3rd Ct #2356 Homestead, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1430 | $2,999 | $2.10 | 9d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 156 NE 24th Ave Homestead, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2115 | $3,100 | $1.47 | 23d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 157 NE 24th Ter Homestead, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1638 | $3,600 | $2.20 | 26d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 2262 SE 2nd St Homestead, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1987 | $3,200 | $1.61 | 26d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 195 SE 24th Ave Homestead, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2045 | $3,500 | $1.71 | 26d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 2615 NE 4th St #204 Homestead, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1201 | $1,800 | $1.50 | 23d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 2615 NE 4th St #204 Homestead, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1201 | $1,700 | $1.42 | 9d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 1679 Sunrise Blvd Unit 1679 Homestead, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1358 | $2,500 | $1.84 | 26d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 371 NE 26th Ter #101 Homestead, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1194 | $2,100 | $1.76 | 12d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 420 SE 23rd Ln Homestead, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2099 | $4,700 | $2.24 | 26d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 2436 SE 3rd St Homestead, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2045 | $4,000 | $1.96 | 26d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 2020 SE 5th Pl Unit 2020 Homestead, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1543 | $2,700 | $1.75 | 26d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 532 SE 21st Dr Homestead, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1488 | $2,690 | $1.81 | 0d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 178 NE 14th Ave Homestead, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1847 | $2,940 | $1.59 | 23d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 2235 SE 6th Ct Homestead, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1488 | $2,800 | $1.88 | 26d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 163 NE 13th Cir Homestead, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1790 | $3,200 | $1.79 | 15d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 163 NE 13th Cir Unit N/A Homestead, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1790 | $3,200 | $1.79 | 19d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 1686 SE 6th St Homestead, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2138 | $4,100 | $1.92 | 26d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 1686 SE 6th St Homestead, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2138 | $4,100 | $1.92 | 4d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 2615 SE 5th Ct Unit 2615 Homestead, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2073 | $3,800 | $1.83 | 26d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 2615 SE 5th Ct Homestead, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2073 | $3,400 | $1.64 | 0d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 142 SE 28th Ter #7 Homestead, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1151 | $2,200 | $1.91 | 26d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 2849 NE 1st Dr Homestead, FL | 5.0 | 3.0 | 2058 | $3,500 | $1.70 | 26d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 15945 SW 304th St Homestead, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1288 | $3,000 | $2.33 | 9d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 2645 SE 5th Ct Homestead, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1750 | $3,000 | $1.71 | 26d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 134 SE 28th Ter Homestead, FL | 3.0 | 2.0–2.5 | 1238 | $2,250 | $1.82 | 26d | 2 | 0.80mi |
| 134 SE 28th Ter Homestead, FL | 3.0 | 2.0–2.5 | 1238 | $2,225 | $1.80 | 0d | 2 | 0.80mi |
| 713 SE 15th Ave Homestead, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2085 | $4,300 | $2.06 | 26d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 15320 SW 305th St Homestead, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $2,500 | $2.27 | 12d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 1430 NE 11th St Homestead, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2150 | $4,435 | $2.06 | 26d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 30321 SW 155th Ave Unit n/a Homestead, FL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1270 | $2,875 | $2.26 | 9d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 30321 SW 155th Ave Unit n/a Homestead, FL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1270 | $2,900 | $2.28 | 26d | 1 | 0.85mi |
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-05-14$5,000 Active
-
2025-11-23historical
-
2025-08-03$369,900 Active
-
2023-08-30soldstatus $345,000
-
2019-08-19soldstatus $200,000
-
2019-08-12soldstatus $200,000 Sold 214-char remark
Show marketing remark (214 chars)
Very nice four bedroom townhouse featuring one full bedroom and bath downstairs, tiled floord, updated kitchen with granite countertops and stainless appliances, garage, a fenced patio that has a canal view, etc.
-
2019-07-03status Pending 214-char remark
Show marketing remark (214 chars)
Very nice four bedroom townhouse featuring one full bedroom and bath downstairs, tiled floord, updated kitchen with granite countertops and stainless appliances, garage, a fenced patio that has a canal view, etc.
-
2019-05-08status Active 214-char remark
Show marketing remark (214 chars)
Very nice four bedroom townhouse featuring one full bedroom and bath downstairs, tiled floord, updated kitchen with granite countertops and stainless appliances, garage, a fenced patio that has a canal view, etc.
-
2019-05-03status Backup Contract 214-char remark
Show marketing remark (214 chars)
Very nice four bedroom townhouse featuring one full bedroom and bath downstairs, tiled floord, updated kitchen with granite countertops and stainless appliances, garage, a fenced patio that has a canal view, etc.
-
2019-04-29$199,995 Active 214-char remark
Show marketing remark (214 chars)
Very nice four bedroom townhouse featuring one full bedroom and bath downstairs, tiled floord, updated kitchen with granite countertops and stainless appliances, garage, a fenced patio that has a canal view, etc.
-
2016-09-14soldstatus $145,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone AH · 23% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 31 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $35,137
- − Mortgage interest
- −$280
- − Property taxes
- −$75
- − Insurance
- −$1,850
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,811
- − Management
- −$2,811
- − Depreciation
- −$145
- Taxable income
- $27,165
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$6,520
- After-tax cash flow
- $19,000/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Miami-Dade
- NCES district ID
- 1200390
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,928
- Composite
- 41.76/100
- National rank
- #3397
- State rank
- #40 of 73 in FL
Livability — Homestead
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #158
- US rank
- #2408
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Homestead, FL
- County
- Miami-Dade County · 2,697,751 people
- City population
- 191,470
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,823
- Household income
- $47,170
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1516.0
Population outlook (Miami-Dade County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 3,126,439 people
- By 2030
- 3,325,765 · +6.4%
- By 2040
- 3,697,561 · +18.3%
- By 2050
- 4,012,134 · +28.3%
- By 2075
- 4,605,612 · +47.3%
- By 2100
- 4,866,598 · +55.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Hispanic (62%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 62% Black 28% Two or more races 24% White 8%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 20% Puerto Rican 5% Cuban 13% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 4%
- Foreign-born
- 34% · Canada, Dominican Republic, Guatemala
- Languages at home
- 38% English-only · Spanish 56% French/Haitian/Cajun 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Miami-Dade
- 2024 margin
- R (+11.4) · D 43.9% · R 55.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.6pp toward R · 2008: 16.1pp · 2024: -11.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+11.4 2020: D+7.3 2016: D+29.6 2012: D+23.7 2008: D+16.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -32.64%
- Current HPI
- 521.6856
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -2.85%
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
-96.6% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Listed $5,000 FLKMLS
- 2025-11-23 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2025-08-03 Listed $369,900 MARMLS
- 2023-08-30 Sold (Public Records) $345,000 Public Records
- 2019-08-19 Sold (Public Records) $200,000 Public Records
- 2019-08-12 Sold (MLS) $200,000 MARMLS
- 2019-07-03 Pending — MARMLS
- 2019-05-08 Relisted — MARMLS
- 2019-05-03 Pending — MARMLS
- 2019-04-29 Listed $199,995 MARMLS
- 2016-09-14 Sold (Public Records) $145,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+7.0%/yrLatest (2025): $7,268 · +0.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…