Triplex
486 4th St · Troy, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 6.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.8/10.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$259,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
Amazing opportunity! Brick three family home in Troy. Separate utilities, back yard. Needs tlc, make this your summer project! Fair Condition
Key facts
- Separate utilities
- Updated mechanicals
- Big newer windows
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Annual tax amount reported
- Financial info: Triplex with 3 total units; Tenants pay hot water, heat, and gas
Exterior
- Parking: No parking details provided
- Security: Smoke detectors; Carbon monoxide detectors
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Circuit breaker electrical service; Cable available
- Home design: Triplex; Living area reported; Property sits on a 0.14-acre lot
- Construction: Brick construction; Rubber roof; Basement with exterior and interior entry; Basement includes Bilco doors, finished and unfinished areas, full height, and heated spaces; Basement contains an apartment
- Exterior features: Deck; Other exterior features
Interior
- Kitchen: No kitchen appliance details provided
- Bedrooms: Unit 1: 2 bedrooms; Unit 2: 3 bedrooms; Unit 3: 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Vinyl; Tile; Carpet
- Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms total (full baths located on 1st, 2nd, and 3rd levels); Unit 1: 1 full bath; Unit 2: 1 full bath; Unit 3: 1 full bath
- Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; Electric heating; Natural gas heating; Air conditioning pump; Ductless cooling
- Interior features: Paddle fans; High-speed internet available; Built-in features; Crown molding
- Laundry & utility: No laundry appliance details provided
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3 × 3-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $260k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($27k/yr) — positive. Per door: $753/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $260k).
- Recommended offer: $252k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 16.7% vs local median 5.3% in Troy — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#88 in NY, #1,350 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F.
- Troy City School District (urban): math 44% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #467 of 590 in NY (top 79%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Carroll Hill School (math 22% / reading 32%, grade F, #1,786 of 2,108 statewide, top 86%, 340 students, 85% FRL); Troy Middle School (math 22% / reading 43%, grade F, #504 of 729 statewide, top 70%, 786 students, 72% FRL); Troy High School (math 95% / reading 77%, grade A, #347 of 1,100 statewide, top 32%, 1,153 students, 64% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.9%/yr); 220 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 405 units permitted in Rensselaer County in 2024 (224 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $5,454/mo this rent would consume 86% of the median local household income ($76k/yr) (locally 2698% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Rensselaer County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.9% rent growth), your $73k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 59 days — a 3% lower offer ($252k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 8 sale attempts since 21y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $42k; list at $260k implies a 526% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.7% of price; built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 59 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.10% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.73%
- Cash-on-cash
- 37.27%
- DSCR
- 2.66
- GRM
- 4.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $350,799
- List price
- $259,900
- Delta
- -25.91%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 455 2nd St | 0.12mi | 10/3.0 (+1) | 3,200 (+6%) | 5mo | $375,000 | $117 | 74 |
| 381 3rd St | 0.19mi | 9/3.5 | 3,372 (+12%) | 4mo | $313,000 | $93 | 66 |
| 306 3rd St | 0.41mi | 10/3.0 (+1) | 3,379 (+12%) | 2mo | $410,000 | $121 | 54 |
| 331 2nd St | 0.27mi | 8/3.5 (-1) | 3,450 (+14%) | 3mo | $330,000 | $96 | 53 |
| 298 3rd St | 0.43mi | 8/3.0 (-1) | 2,646 (-12%) | 8mo | $317,000 | $120 | 48 |
| 180 Hill St | 0.51mi | 8/3.0 (-1) | 3,243 (+8%) | 15mo | $338,000 | $104 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.88% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 35.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.55×
- Total profit
- $112,592
- Equity at exit
- $38,752
- IRR
- 43.3%
- Equity multiple
- 5.52×
- Total profit
- $329,195
- Equity at exit
- $22,471
Cash invested: $72,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 12180
- Home prices YoY
- -33.3%
- Rents YoY
- 4.9%
- Active inventory
- 220
- Price-to-rent
- 11.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $5,454 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,363
- Tax from tax record
- −$577 /mo · $6,925/yr
- Insurance
- −$108
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,145
- Net cashflow
- $2,260
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $2,407 | -5% $2,334 | +0% $2,260 | +5% $2,187 | +10% $2,113 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,829 | -5% $2,045 | +0% $2,260 | +5% $2,476 | +10% $2,691 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $2,391 | -0.5pp $2,326 | base $2,260 | +0.5pp $2,193 | +1.0pp $2,124 |
3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3× units | 3 | 1 | $5,454 |
| #1 | 3 | 1 | $1,818 |
| #2 | 3 | 1 | $1,818 |
| #3 | 3 | 1 | $1,818 |
| Total (3 units) | $5,454 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $64,975
- Closing costs
- $7,797
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 39 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $259,900 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $259,900 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $259,900 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $259,900 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-15pricedays on market $259,900 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $269,900 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $269,900 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $269,900 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $269,900 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $269,900 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $269,900 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $269,900 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $269,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $269,900 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $269,900 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $269,900 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-04-23$279,900 Active 431-char remark
-
2025-09-29status Pending
-
2025-09-29historical
-
2025-09-23price $275,000
-
2025-09-10$299,900 Active
-
2016-09-16soldstatus $41,500 Closed (Final Sale)
Show marketing remark (141 chars)
Amazing opportunity! Brick three family home in Troy. Separate utilities, back yard. Needs tlc, make this your summer project! Fair Condition
-
2016-06-21status Pend (Under Cntr)
Show marketing remark (141 chars)
Amazing opportunity! Brick three family home in Troy. Separate utilities, back yard. Needs tlc, make this your summer project! Fair Condition
-
2016-06-16price $32,000
Show marketing remark (141 chars)
Amazing opportunity! Brick three family home in Troy. Separate utilities, back yard. Needs tlc, make this your summer project! Fair Condition
-
2016-06-01$48,000 New
Show marketing remark (141 chars)
Amazing opportunity! Brick three family home in Troy. Separate utilities, back yard. Needs tlc, make this your summer project! Fair Condition
-
2016-03-17soldstatus $127,931
-
2013-07-03historical
-
2013-01-02$84,900
-
2012-07-11historical
-
2012-01-16$84,900
-
2011-12-06historical
-
2011-08-04$92,000
-
2011-07-27historical
-
2011-02-22$95,000
-
2006-01-11soldstatus $125,000
-
2005-12-30soldstatus $125,000
-
2005-12-06historical
-
2005-11-28$129,900
-
2000-10-12soldstatus $56,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $6,925 · $577/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $6,925 · $577/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 6% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $65,448
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,558
- − Property taxes
- −$6,925
- − Insurance
- −$1,300
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$5,236
- − Management
- −$5,236
- − Depreciation
- −$7,561
- Taxable income
- $24,632
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$5,912
- After-tax cash flow
- $21,212/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Troy City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3628950
- Math proficiency
- 44% ▲ 6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,143
- Composite
- 37.89/100
- National rank
- #4318
- State rank
- #467 of 590 in NY
Livability — Troy
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #88
- US rank
- #1350
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Troy, NY
- County
- Rensselaer County · 75,590 people
- City population
- 53,479
- Metro
- Albany-Schenectady-Troy, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 53,479
- Household income
- $75,851
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2698.0
Population outlook (Rensselaer County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 162,400 people
- By 2030
- 161,746 · -0.4%
- By 2040
- 158,095 · -2.7%
- By 2050
- 152,966 · -5.8%
- By 2075
- 140,767 · -13.3%
- By 2100
- 124,727 · -23.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (70%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 70% Black 12% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 8% Asian 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Lithuanian 5% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 2% Arabic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Rensselaer
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.7% · R 49.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.0pp toward R · 2008: 9.3pp · 2024: 1.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+1.4 2020: D+5.6 2016: R+2.9 2012: D+11.8 2008: D+9.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -142.53%
- Current HPI
- 285.0762
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.88%
- Metro
- Albany-Schenectady-Troy, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
+364.1% since first listed25 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-14 Price Changed $259,900 Global MLS
- 2026-05-26 Price Changed $269,900 Global MLS
- 2026-04-23 Listed $279,900 Global MLS
- 2025-09-29 Pending — Global MLS
- 2025-09-29 Listing Removed — Global MLS
- 2025-09-23 Price Changed $275,000 Global MLS
- 2025-09-10 Listed $299,900 Global MLS
- 2016-09-16 Sold (MLS) $41,500 Global MLS
- 2016-06-21 Pending — Global MLS
- 2016-06-16 Price Changed $32,000 Global MLS
- 2016-06-01 Listed $48,000 Global MLS
- 2016-03-17 Sold (Public Records) $127,931 Public Records
- 2013-07-03 Listing Removed — Global MLS
- 2013-01-02 Listed $84,900 Global MLS
- 2012-07-11 Listing Removed — Global MLS
- 2012-01-16 Listed $84,900 Global MLS
- 2011-12-06 Listing Removed — Global MLS
- 2011-08-04 Listed $92,000 Global MLS
- 2011-07-27 Listing Removed — Global MLS
- 2011-02-22 Listed $95,000 Global MLS
- 2006-01-11 Sold (Public Records) $125,000 Public Records
- 2005-12-30 Sold (MLS) $125,000 Global MLS
- 2005-12-06 Listing Removed — Global MLS
- 2005-11-28 Listed $129,900 Global MLS
- 2000-10-12 Sold (Public Records) $56,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+19.3%/yrLatest (2025): $6,925 · +64.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…