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7548 La Bella Cir #5
B Composite 70.04
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$85,000

7548 La Bella Cir #5 · North Highlands, CA 95660
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 904 sqft · Manufactured public records · 8 Days on market
Built 1977

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Call me home! Why rent when you can own this cutie! 2 bedroom/1 bath, conveniently located near shopping, schools and easy freeway access. Remodeled/upgraded kitchen with addition to living room not included in sq. footage.

Key facts

  • Remodeled kitchen
  • Conveniently located
  • Parking

Tags

REMODELED KITCHENADDITION TO LIVING ROOMCONVENIENTLY LOCATED

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Land lease amount listed (not a land-lease property)
  • HOA & community: No association

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached covered parking (no garage)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Individual electric meter; Individual gas meter; Cable available; Internet available
  • Home design: Manufactured home in a park (single wide); Baywood make; Built in 1977
  • Construction: Vinyl skirting; Foam roof; Single-story
  • Exterior features: Fenced yard; Carport awning; Shed(s)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas cook top; Stone counters
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom with shower stall
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Wall-mounted cooling unit(s)
  • Interior features: Great room living area; Stone kitchen counters; Porch steps; Pets allowed
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry inside (220V in laundry area); Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $85k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $85k).
  • Cap rate 21.6% vs local median 4.1% in North Highlands — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#523 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+; Watch: employment C-, schools D, crime F.
  • Twin Rivers Unified (suburban): math 29% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #970 of 1,400 in CA (top 69%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 76% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.7%/yr); 108 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,825 units permitted in Sacramento County in 2024 (1,752 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($68k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $588 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Sacramento County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.7% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $85,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.49%
Cap rate
21.58%
Cash-on-cash
54.61%
DSCR
3.43
GRM
3.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$18,080
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
7524 La Bella Cir 0.04mi 2/1.0 768 (-15%) 5mo $15,000 $20 69

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.69% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
55.9%
Equity multiple
3.57×
Total profit
$61,119
Equity at exit
$12,674
10-year hold
IRR
61.9%
Equity multiple
8.04×
Total profit
$167,663
Equity at exit
$7,349

Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 95660

Rents YoY
5.7%
Active inventory
108
Price-to-rent
3.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,115 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$446
Tax est. 1.5%
$106 /mo · $1,275/yr
Insurance
$35
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$444
Net cashflow
$1,083

Break-even live

Break-even rent $744
Max offer price $85,000
Occupancy floor 44%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,142 -5% $1,112 +0% $1,083 +5% $1,054 +10% $1,024
Rent -10% $916 -5% $1,000 +0% $1,083 +5% $1,167 +10% $1,250
Rate -1.0pp $1,126 -0.5pp $1,105 base $1,083 +0.5pp $1,061 +1.0pp $1,039

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$21,250
Closing costs
$2,550
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 18 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3825 Little Rock Dr Antelope, CA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 848 $2,050 $2.42 2d 5 0.20mi
3952 Running Bear Way Antelope, CA 2.0 2.0 1000 $2,250 $2.25 44d 1 0.48mi
7740 Watt Ave Antelope, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0 646 $1,872 $2.90 3d 10 0.51mi
6909 Stoneman Dr North Highlands, CA 3.0 1.0 1113 $1,995 $1.79 13d 1 0.70mi
4400 Antelope Rd Antelope, CA 2.0 2.0 875 $2,150 $2.46 44d 1 0.84mi
4400 Antelope Rd Antelope, CA 2.0 2.0 907 $2,150 $2.37 2d 1 0.84mi
3844 Milton Way North Highlands, CA 3.0 1.5 972 $2,250 $2.31 2d 1 0.87mi
3600 Elverta Rd Antelope, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 850 $1,945 $2.29 2d 7 1.03mi
6830 Walerga Rd Sacramento, CA 2.0 1.0–2.0 836 $1,752 $2.09 2d 6 1.05mi
6629 Medora Dr North Highlands, CA 3.0 2.0 1090 $1,995 $1.83 44d 1 1.06mi
6625 Medora Dr North Highlands, CA 3.0 1.0 972 $2,100 $2.16 11d 1 1.06mi
7200 Pepperwood Knoll Ln Sacramento, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 854 $1,855 $2.17 2d 3 1.07mi
8020 Walerga Rd Antelope, CA 2.0 2.0 863 $2,438 $2.82 2d 2 1.07mi
8020 Walerga Rd Antelope, CA 2.0–3.0 2.0 1014 $2,500 $2.46 8d 2 1.07mi
4400 Shandwick Dr Antelope, CA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 876 $2,112 $2.41 2d 12 1.18mi
8303 Walerga Rd Antelope, CA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 894 $2,542 $2.84 2d 8 1.31mi
8434 Walerga Rd Sacramento, CA 2.0 2.0 994 $2,100 $2.11 2d 1 1.47mi
8434 Walerga Rd Antelope, CA 2.0–3.0 2.0 1147 $1,995 $1.74 15d 3 1.49mi

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $85,000 Active 8 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $85,000 Active 7 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $85,000 Active 6 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $85,000 Active 5 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $85,000 Active 3 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    remarks 227-char remark
  7. 2026-06-13
    listed $85,000 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 10/10 Extreme 34 unhealthy d/yr today · 38 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,375
− Mortgage interest
−$4,761
− Property taxes
−$1,275
− Insurance
−$425
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,030
− Management
−$2,030
− Depreciation
−$2,473
Taxable income
$12,381
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,971
After-tax cash flow
$10,026/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Twin Rivers Unified
NCES district ID
0601332
Math proficiency
29% ▲ 2.00%
Reading proficiency
37% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$42,481
Composite
30.67/100
National rank
#11437
State rank
#970 of 1400 in CA

Livability — North Highlands

Score
61/100
State rank
#523
US rank
#17613

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime F Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety C User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
North Highlands, CA
County
Sacramento County · 1,539,646 people
City population
56,900
Metro
Sacramento-Roseville-Folsom, CA
Population (ZIP)
35,451
Household income
$68,235
Rent vs Own
38.0% rent · 62.0% own
Severe rent burden
1300.0

Population outlook (Sacramento County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,660,763 people
By 2030
1,732,990 · +4.3%
By 2040
1,855,755 · +11.7%
By 2050
1,941,335 · +16.9%
By 2075
2,046,162 · +23.2%
By 2100
1,961,444 · +18.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
Race & ethnicity
White 41% Hispanic / Latino 37% Two or more races 16% Black 9% Asian 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 29%
Common ancestry
Subsaharan African 5% Scotch-Irish 2% Scandinavian 2%
Foreign-born
28% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
56% English-only · Spanish 25% Russian/Polish/Slavic 9% Other Indo-European 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Sacramento

2024 margin
D (+19.7) · D 58.1% · R 38.4% · Other 3.5%
2008→2024 swing
+0.7pp no change · 2008: 19.0pp · 2024: 19.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+19.7 2020: D+25.3 2016: D+23.7 2012: D+16.3 2008: D+19.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -273.83%
Current HPI
438.1022
Rent YoY
▲ 5.69%
Metro
Sacramento-Roseville-Folsom, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Property tax history

+2.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $134 · +1.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…