7548 La Bella Cir #5 · North Highlands, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 10/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 34 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 38 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$85,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Call me home! Why rent when you can own this cutie! 2 bedroom/1 bath, conveniently located near shopping, schools and easy freeway access. Remodeled/upgraded kitchen with addition to living room not included in sq. footage.
Key facts
- Remodeled kitchen
- Conveniently located
- Parking
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Land lease amount listed (not a land-lease property)
- HOA & community: No association
Exterior
- Parking: Attached covered parking (no garage)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Individual electric meter; Individual gas meter; Cable available; Internet available
- Home design: Manufactured home in a park (single wide); Baywood make; Built in 1977
- Construction: Vinyl skirting; Foam roof; Single-story
- Exterior features: Fenced yard; Carport awning; Shed(s)
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas cook top; Stone counters
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom with shower stall
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Wall-mounted cooling unit(s)
- Interior features: Great room living area; Stone kitchen counters; Porch steps; Pets allowed
- Laundry & utility: Laundry inside (220V in laundry area); Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $85k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $85k).
- Cap rate 21.6% vs local median 4.1% in North Highlands — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#523 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+; Watch: employment C-, schools D, crime F.
- Twin Rivers Unified (suburban): math 29% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #970 of 1,400 in CA (top 69%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 76% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.7%/yr); 108 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,825 units permitted in Sacramento County in 2024 (1,752 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($68k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $588 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Sacramento County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.7% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.49% ✓
- Cap rate
- 21.58%
- Cash-on-cash
- 54.61%
- DSCR
- 3.43
- GRM
- 3.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $18,080
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7524 La Bella Cir | 0.04mi | 2/1.0 | 768 (-15%) | 5mo | $15,000 | $20 | 69 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.69% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 55.9%
- Equity multiple
- 3.57×
- Total profit
- $61,119
- Equity at exit
- $12,674
- IRR
- 61.9%
- Equity multiple
- 8.04×
- Total profit
- $167,663
- Equity at exit
- $7,349
Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 95660
- Rents YoY
- 5.7%
- Active inventory
- 108
- Price-to-rent
- 3.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,115 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$446
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$106 /mo · $1,275/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$444
- Net cashflow
- $1,083
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,142 | -5% $1,112 | +0% $1,083 | +5% $1,054 | +10% $1,024 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $916 | -5% $1,000 | +0% $1,083 | +5% $1,167 | +10% $1,250 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,126 | -0.5pp $1,105 | base $1,083 | +0.5pp $1,061 | +1.0pp $1,039 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,250
- Closing costs
- $2,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 18 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3825 Little Rock Dr Antelope, CA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 848 | $2,050 | $2.42 | 2d | 5 | 0.20mi |
| 3952 Running Bear Way Antelope, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $2,250 | $2.25 | 44d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 7740 Watt Ave Antelope, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 646 | $1,872 | $2.90 | 3d | 10 | 0.51mi |
| 6909 Stoneman Dr North Highlands, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1113 | $1,995 | $1.79 | 13d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 4400 Antelope Rd Antelope, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 875 | $2,150 | $2.46 | 44d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 4400 Antelope Rd Antelope, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 907 | $2,150 | $2.37 | 2d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 3844 Milton Way North Highlands, CA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 972 | $2,250 | $2.31 | 2d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 3600 Elverta Rd Antelope, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 850 | $1,945 | $2.29 | 2d | 7 | 1.03mi |
| 6830 Walerga Rd Sacramento, CA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 836 | $1,752 | $2.09 | 2d | 6 | 1.05mi |
| 6629 Medora Dr North Highlands, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1090 | $1,995 | $1.83 | 44d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 6625 Medora Dr North Highlands, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 972 | $2,100 | $2.16 | 11d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 7200 Pepperwood Knoll Ln Sacramento, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 854 | $1,855 | $2.17 | 2d | 3 | 1.07mi |
| 8020 Walerga Rd Antelope, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 863 | $2,438 | $2.82 | 2d | 2 | 1.07mi |
| 8020 Walerga Rd Antelope, CA | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1014 | $2,500 | $2.46 | 8d | 2 | 1.07mi |
| 4400 Shandwick Dr Antelope, CA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 876 | $2,112 | $2.41 | 2d | 12 | 1.18mi |
| 8303 Walerga Rd Antelope, CA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 894 | $2,542 | $2.84 | 2d | 8 | 1.31mi |
| 8434 Walerga Rd Sacramento, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 994 | $2,100 | $2.11 | 2d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 8434 Walerga Rd Antelope, CA | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1147 | $1,995 | $1.74 | 15d | 3 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $85,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $85,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $85,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $85,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $85,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 227-char remark
-
2026-06-13$85,000 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 10/10 Extreme 34 unhealthy d/yr today · 38 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,375
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,761
- − Property taxes
- −$1,275
- − Insurance
- −$425
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,030
- − Management
- −$2,030
- − Depreciation
- −$2,473
- Taxable income
- $12,381
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,971
- After-tax cash flow
- $10,026/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Twin Rivers Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0601332
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▲ 2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 37% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,481
- Composite
- 30.67/100
- National rank
- #11437
- State rank
- #970 of 1400 in CA
Livability — North Highlands
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #523
- US rank
- #17613
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- North Highlands, CA
- County
- Sacramento County · 1,539,646 people
- City population
- 56,900
- Metro
- Sacramento-Roseville-Folsom, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 35,451
- Household income
- $68,235
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1300.0
Population outlook (Sacramento County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,660,763 people
- By 2030
- 1,732,990 · +4.3%
- By 2040
- 1,855,755 · +11.7%
- By 2050
- 1,941,335 · +16.9%
- By 2075
- 2,046,162 · +23.2%
- By 2100
- 1,961,444 · +18.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 41% Hispanic / Latino 37% Two or more races 16% Black 9% Asian 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 29%
- Common ancestry
- Subsaharan African 5% Scotch-Irish 2% Scandinavian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 28% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 56% English-only · Spanish 25% Russian/Polish/Slavic 9% Other Indo-European 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Sacramento
- 2024 margin
- D (+19.7) · D 58.1% · R 38.4% · Other 3.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.7pp no change · 2008: 19.0pp · 2024: 19.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+19.7 2020: D+25.3 2016: D+23.7 2012: D+16.3 2008: D+19.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -273.83%
- Current HPI
- 438.1022
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.69%
- Metro
- Sacramento-Roseville-Folsom, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Property tax history
+2.3%/yrLatest (2025): $134 · +1.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…