3936 Woodruff Ave · Louisville, KY
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.74%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $839 – $1,559
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.4/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.2/10.0
- 1% rule +5.3/10.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$113,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Investor's Dream Property! Welcome to a unique investment opportunity that is sure to impress. This property features a fully rented, cash-flowing, 2-bedroom unit that is an investor's dream come true. The property is well-maintained and boasts a modern design with spacious rooms, ample natural light, and comfortable living spaces. The two bedrooms are generously sized, perfect for tenants seeking a balance of comfort and functionality. What sets this property apart is its consistent cash flow. Fully rented, it provides a steady income stream that makes it an attractive investment. This is a rare find in today's market, making it a must-see for any serious investor. Don't miss out on thi
Key facts
- 4,356 sq ft lot
- Built 2004
- Listed 12 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $113k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $189 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $113k).
- Cap rate 8.3% vs local median 5.0% in Louisville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#333 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, health & safety D+, schools D-.
- Jefferson County (urban): math 19% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #121 of 165 in KY (top 73%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.2%/yr); 119 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,836 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (1,558 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($44k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $781 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jefferson County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.2% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 5 sale attempts since 19y ago; this cycle's ask is 41% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
- Current owner paid $55k; list at $113k implies a 105% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.03% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.30%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.15%
- DSCR
- 1.32
- GRM
- 8.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $159,600
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3670 Woodruff Ave | 0.36mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,102 (+5%) | 4mo | $159,500 | $145 | 67 |
| 4020 Parthenia Ave | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,033 (-2%) | 4mo | $142,500 | $138 | 65 |
| 3801 Craig Ave | 0.25mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 958 (-9%) | 1mo | $198,900 | $208 | 64 |
| 4618 N Rutland Ave | 0.44mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 988 (-6%) | 1mo | $165,000 | $167 | 62 |
| 1215 W Woodlawn Ave | 0.40mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,119 (+7%) | 5mo | $175,000 | $156 | 61 |
| 3611 Woodruff Ave | 0.50mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,125 (+7%) | 1mo | $175,000 | $156 | 59 |
| 1317 Oakwood Ave | 0.67mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,018 (-3%) | 4mo | $137,500 | $135 | 56 |
| 3723 Warren Ave | 0.57mi | 2/1.0 | 930 (-11%) | 0mo | $90,000 | $97 | 54 |
| 1416 Berry Blvd | 0.67mi | 2/1.0 | 1,154 (+10%) | 3mo | $142,500 | $123 | 50 |
| 1013 W Whitney Ave | 0.65mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,120 (+7%) | 6mo | $170,000 | $152 | 49 |
| 3668 Woodruff Ave | 0.37mi | 3/3.0 (+1) | 1,158 (+10%) | 6mo | $212,500 | $184 | 48 |
| 1431 Berry Blvd | 0.71mi | 2/1.0 | 1,184 (+13%) | 4mo | $155,000 | $131 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.16% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -3.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.88×
- Total profit
- $-3,712
- Equity at exit
- $16,849
- IRR
- 8.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.74×
- Total profit
- $23,321
- Equity at exit
- $9,770
Cash invested: $31,640 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kentucky
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 40215
- Home prices YoY
- -34.4%
- Rents YoY
- 5.2%
- Active inventory
- 119
- Price-to-rent
- 8.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,169 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$593
- Tax from tax record
- −$95 /mo · $1,138/yr
- Insurance
- −$47
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$245
- Net cashflow
- $189
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $253 | -5% $221 | +0% $189 | +5% $157 | +10% $125 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $96 | -5% $142 | +0% $189 | +5% $235 | +10% $281 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $246 | -0.5pp $217 | base $189 | +0.5pp $159 | +1.0pp $130 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,250
- Closing costs
- $3,390
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4046 Taylor Blvd Unit 2 Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $900 | $1.12 | 25d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 3746 Kahlert Ave Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 955 | $1,350 | $1.41 | 17d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 4122 Craig Ave Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 705 | $1,051 | $1.49 | 13d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 4000 Churchman Ave Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 17d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 3717 Wheeler Ave Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1124 | $1,450 | $1.29 | 25d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 4113 La Salle Ave Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $1,249 | $1.43 | 17d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 1022 Stanley Ave Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,200 | $1.71 | 22d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 3655 Kahlert Ave Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 915 | $1,300 | $1.42 | 13d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 1105 Beecher St Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 708 | $1,150 | $1.62 | 17d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 1118 W Whitney Ave Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 771 | $1,199 | $1.56 | 25d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 3700 Georgetown Pl Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $901 | $1.13 | 25d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 3700 Georgetown Pl Unit 2302-201 Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $901 | $1.13 | 13d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 3627 Parthenia Ave Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,245 | $1.38 | 25d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 3523 Georgetown Pl #3 Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $850 | $1.00 | 18d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 1517 Shingo Ave Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,349 | $1.23 | 25d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 910 W Whitney Ave Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1186 | $1,450 | $1.22 | 3d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 910 W Whitney Ave Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1186 | $1,450 | $1.22 | 13d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 3513 Georgetown Pl Unit 3 Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $949 | $1.19 | 25d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 1709 Valley Forge Way Unit 2 Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $895 | $1.19 | 22d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 3449 Powell Ave Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,000 | $1.25 | 25d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 1411 Sale Ave Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 936 | $1,000 | $1.07 | 17d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 3524 Georgetown Cir Unit 3530 Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 886 | $1,350 | $1.52 | 4d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 3524 Georgetown Cir Louisville, KY | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 684 | $1,108 | $1.62 | 15d | 4 | 0.82mi |
| 3524 Georgetown Cir Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 734 | $1,050 | $1.43 | 4d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 3524 Georgetown Cir Louisville, KY | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 684 | $1,108 | $1.62 | 25d | 2 | 0.82mi |
| 1711 Valley Forge Way Unit 4 Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $949 | $1.05 | 11d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 1507 Arling Ave Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1148 | $1,275 | $1.11 | 17d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 4704 Southern Pkwy Unit A1 Louisville, KY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $775 | $1.03 | 18d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 1522 Clara Ave Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1150 | $1,150 | $1.00 | 25d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 4725 Southern Pkwy Unit 1 Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1296 | $925 | $0.71 | 4d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 1519 Crums Ln Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 820 | $888 | $1.08 | 17d | 2 | 0.96mi |
| 4604 Southern Pkwy Louisville, KY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 780 | $800 | $1.03 | 4d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 4626 Southern Pkwy Louisville, KY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 809 | $895 | $1.11 | 15d | 3 | 0.97mi |
| 1519 Crums Ln Apt 25 Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 820 | $900 | $1.10 | 25d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 4619 Southern Pkwy Unit 3 Louisville, KY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $975 | $1.39 | 3d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 551 Denmark St Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1160 | $1,700 | $1.47 | 25d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 4608 S 3rd St Unit 1st Floor Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,500 | $1.36 | 25d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 623 Dresden Ave Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $975 | $1.30 | 17d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 615 Dresden Ave Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 884 | $1,450 | $1.64 | 25d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 4818 S 3rd St Unit 2 Louisville, KY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $800 | $1.00 | 13d | 1 | 1.16mi |
Listing history 13 events
-
2025-06-23historical
-
2025-06-23$80,000 Active
-
2024-02-01status Pending
-
2024-01-13$113,000 Active
-
2018-07-11soldstatus $55,000
-
2018-07-09soldstatus $55,000 Closed
-
2018-02-16status Pending
-
2018-02-11$55,000 Active
-
2009-03-30soldstatus $25,000
-
2009-01-07$30,000
-
2008-01-31historical
-
2007-07-26$89,000
-
2006-04-10soldstatus $95,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,138 · $95/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,138 · $95/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 74% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,022
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,330
- − Property taxes
- −$1,138
- − Insurance
- −$565
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,122
- − Management
- −$1,122
- − Depreciation
- −$3,287
- Taxable income
- $459
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$110
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,154/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jefferson County
- NCES district ID
- 2102990
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,885
- Composite
- 23.45/100
- National rank
- #7884
- State rank
- #121 of 165 in KY
Livability — Louisville
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #333
- US rank
- #15887
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Louisville, KY
- County
- Jefferson County · 790,184 people
- City population
- 769,292
- Metro
- Louisville/Jefferson County, KY-IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,532
- Household income
- $43,725
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 997.0
Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 823,112 people
- By 2030
- 849,343 · +3.2%
- By 2040
- 895,696 · +8.8%
- By 2050
- 933,630 · +13.4%
- By 2075
- 1,028,262 · +24.9%
- By 2100
- 1,072,675 · +30.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 51% Black 33% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Cuban 3%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Romanian 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 2% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson
- 2024 margin
- D (+16.6) · D 57.4% · R 40.9% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.5pp toward D · 2008: 12.0pp · 2024: 16.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+16.6 2020: D+20.1 2016: D+13.3 2012: D+11.1 2008: D+12.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -119.35%
- Current HPI
- 227.8248
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.16%
- Metro
- Louisville/Jefferson County, KY-IN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.81%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $118B |
|
||
| Food / Beverage | 1 | $7B |
|
||
Price history
-15.8% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2025-06-23 Listed $80,000 Metro Search MLS
- 2025-06-23 Listing Removed — Metro Search MLS
- 2024-02-01 Pending — Metro Search MLS
- 2024-01-13 Listed $113,000 Metro Search MLS
- 2018-07-11 Sold (Public Records) $55,000 Public Records
- 2018-07-09 Sold (MLS) $55,000 Metro Search MLS
- 2018-02-16 Pending — Metro Search MLS
- 2018-02-11 Listed $55,000 Metro Search MLS
- 2009-03-30 Sold (MLS) $25,000 Metro Search MLS
- 2009-01-07 Listed $30,000 Metro Search MLS
- 2008-01-31 Listing Removed — Metro Search MLS
- 2007-07-26 Listed $89,000 Metro Search MLS
- 2006-04-10 Sold (Public Records) $95,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.5%/yrLatest (2025): $1,138 · +58.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…