232 Snead Dr · Fairfield Bay, AR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,499 – $2,785
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 6.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.6/30.0
- ARV discount +14.4/15.0
- DSCR +7.3/10.0
- 1% rule +6.5/10.0
- Appreciation +4.8/10.0
- Schools +3.8/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$159,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to your new oasis. Located on Indian Hills Golf Course, this charming home offers a unique opportunity to create your dream residence. Nestled amidst the lush greenery, this property features a green house, perfect for those with a passion for gardening or growing your own organic produce. Additionally, a separate storage building provides ample space to store all your outdoor equipment, ensuring a clutter-free home . One of the standout features of this home is the heated & cooled sunroom, providing year-round enjoyment & serving as the perfect spot to relax & unwind while soaking in the beautiful views of the golf course. Golfers will relish the convenience of having this stunning course right in their backyard. Whether you're a golf enthusiast or simply enjoy the peaceful serenity that comes with living on a golf course, this location offers the best of both worlds. Explore the Bay's enchanting surroundings, where Greers Ferry Lake is 10 minutes away. Other amenities include: Pickle ball courts, 3 swimming pools, tennis courts, hiking trails, 80 miles of atv/utv trails, golfing, and bowling. Come check this one out before it's gone. See agent remarks
Key facts
- Pickle ball courts
- Swimming pools
- Tennis courts
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $159k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $271 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $159k).
- Recommended offer: $140k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.3% vs local median 5.7% in Fairfield Bay — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#220 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: employment D+, schools F, amenities F.
- Shirley School District (rural): math 44% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #132 of 245 in AR (top 54%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 264 active listings in the ZIP; 16 units permitted in Van Buren County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $342 of equity ($1k loan paydown + $-757 appreciation (-0.5% local appreciation)).
- Van Buren County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-0.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $45k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 169 days — a 12% lower offer ($140k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $118k; 35% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 169 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.15% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.34%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.30%
- DSCR
- 1.33
- GRM
- 7.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $187,750
- List price
- $159,000
- Delta
- -15.31%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 106 Whistling Pnes | 0.09mi | 2/2.0 | 1,206 (-4%) | 7mo | $179,000 | $148 | 83 |
| 212 Snead Dr | 0.09mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,272 (+1%) | 13mo | $183,900 | $145 | 78 |
| 332 Snead | 0.31mi | 2/2.0 | 1,286 (+2%) | 11mo | $139,500 | $108 | 72 |
| 111 Whistling Pines Ln | 0.13mi | 2/2.0 | 1,088 (-13%) | 13mo | $147,500 | $136 | 60 |
| 217 Snead Dr | 0.12mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,380 (+10%) | 20mo | $155,000 | $112 | 56 |
| 426 Woodlawn Dr | 0.61mi | 2/2.0 | 1,101 (-12%) | 9mo | $135,000 | $123 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-0.48% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 4.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.21×
- Total profit
- $9,157
- Equity at exit
- $42,417
- IRR
- 10.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.07×
- Total profit
- $47,462
- Equity at exit
- $48,083
Cash invested: $44,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 72088
- Home prices YoY
- -0.2%
- Active inventory
- 264
- Price-to-rent
- 7.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,830 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$834
- Tax from tax record
- −$57 /mo · $681/yr
- Insurance
- −$66
- HOA
- −$218
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$384
- Net cashflow
- $271
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $361 | -5% $316 | +0% $271 | +5% $226 | +10% $181 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $126 | -5% $199 | +0% $271 | +5% $343 | +10% $416 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $351 | -0.5pp $311 | base $271 | +0.5pp $230 | +1.0pp $188 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $39,750
- Closing costs
- $4,770
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $218 · $2,616/yr
- Likely covers
- pool
Listing history 32 events
-
2026-06-21statusdays on market $159,000 Take Backups 169 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $159,000 Active 167 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $159,000 Active 166 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $159,000 Active 165 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $159,000 Active 164 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $159,000 Active 163 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $159,000 Active 161 DOM
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2026-06-12days on market $159,000 Active 160 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $159,000 Active 157 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $159,000 Active 156 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $159,000 Active 155 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $159,000 Active 154 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $159,000 Active 151 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $159,000 Active 150 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $159,000 Active 149 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $159,000 Active 148 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $159,000 Active 147 DOM
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2026-03-19price $159,000 1197-char remark
Show marketing remark (1197 chars)
Welcome to your new oasis. Located on Indian Hills Golf Course, this charming home offers a unique opportunity to create your dream residence. Nestled amidst the lush greenery, this property features a green house, perfect for those with a passion for gardening or growing your own organic produce. Additionally, a separate storage building provides ample space to store all your outdoor equipment, ensuring a clutter-free home . One of the standout features of this home is the heated & cooled sunroom, providing year-round enjoyment & serving as the perfect spot to relax & unwind while soaking in the beautiful views of the golf course. Golfers will relish the convenience of having this stunning course right in their backyard. Whether you're a golf enthusiast or simply enjoy the peaceful serenity that comes with living on a golf course, this location offers the best of both worlds. Explore the Bay's enchanting surroundings, where Greers Ferry Lake is 10 minutes away. Other amenities include: Pickle ball courts, 3 swimming pools, tennis courts, hiking trails, 80 miles of atv/utv trails, golfing, and bowling. Come check this one out before it's gone. See agent remarks
-
2026-01-02$169,000 New Listing 1197-char remark
Show marketing remark (1197 chars)
Welcome to your new oasis. Located on Indian Hills Golf Course, this charming home offers a unique opportunity to create your dream residence. Nestled amidst the lush greenery, this property features a green house, perfect for those with a passion for gardening or growing your own organic produce. Additionally, a separate storage building provides ample space to store all your outdoor equipment, ensuring a clutter-free home . One of the standout features of this home is the heated & cooled sunroom, providing year-round enjoyment & serving as the perfect spot to relax & unwind while soaking in the beautiful views of the golf course. Golfers will relish the convenience of having this stunning course right in their backyard. Whether you're a golf enthusiast or simply enjoy the peaceful serenity that comes with living on a golf course, this location offers the best of both worlds. Explore the Bay's enchanting surroundings, where Greers Ferry Lake is 10 minutes away. Other amenities include: Pickle ball courts, 3 swimming pools, tennis courts, hiking trails, 80 miles of atv/utv trails, golfing, and bowling. Come check this one out before it's gone. See agent remarks
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2024-03-08soldstatus $117,500
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2024-03-01soldstatus $117,500 Sold 1222-char remark
Show marketing remark (1222 chars)
Welcome to your new oasis. Located on Indian Hills Golf Course, this charming home offers a unique opportunity to create your dream residence. Although in need some of repairs, this property is being offered at a discounted price, allowing you to personalize it to your exact tastes & requirements. Nestled amidst the lush greenery, this property features a green house, perfect for those with a passion for gardening or growing your own organic produce. Additionally, a separate storage building provides ample space to store all your outdoor equipment, ensuring a clutter-free home . One of the standout features of this home is the heated & cooled sunroom, providing year-round enjoyment & serving as the perfect spot to relax & unwind while soaking in the beautiful views of the golf course. Golfers will relish the convenience of having this stunning course right in their backyard. Whether you're a golf enthusiast or simply enjoy the peaceful serenity that comes with living on a golf course, this location offers the best of both worlds. Explore the Bay's enchanting surroundings, where Greers Ferry Lake is 10 minutes away. Hiking/Biking/ATV/UTV Trails. DO NOT WALK ON DECK, NEEDS REPAIRS.
-
2024-01-13historical Take Backups 1222-char remark
Show marketing remark (1222 chars)
Welcome to your new oasis. Located on Indian Hills Golf Course, this charming home offers a unique opportunity to create your dream residence. Although in need some of repairs, this property is being offered at a discounted price, allowing you to personalize it to your exact tastes & requirements. Nestled amidst the lush greenery, this property features a green house, perfect for those with a passion for gardening or growing your own organic produce. Additionally, a separate storage building provides ample space to store all your outdoor equipment, ensuring a clutter-free home . One of the standout features of this home is the heated & cooled sunroom, providing year-round enjoyment & serving as the perfect spot to relax & unwind while soaking in the beautiful views of the golf course. Golfers will relish the convenience of having this stunning course right in their backyard. Whether you're a golf enthusiast or simply enjoy the peaceful serenity that comes with living on a golf course, this location offers the best of both worlds. Explore the Bay's enchanting surroundings, where Greers Ferry Lake is 10 minutes away. Hiking/Biking/ATV/UTV Trails. DO NOT WALK ON DECK, NEEDS REPAIRS.
-
2023-10-20status Back on Market 1222-char remark
Show marketing remark (1222 chars)
Welcome to your new oasis. Located on Indian Hills Golf Course, this charming home offers a unique opportunity to create your dream residence. Although in need some of repairs, this property is being offered at a discounted price, allowing you to personalize it to your exact tastes & requirements. Nestled amidst the lush greenery, this property features a green house, perfect for those with a passion for gardening or growing your own organic produce. Additionally, a separate storage building provides ample space to store all your outdoor equipment, ensuring a clutter-free home . One of the standout features of this home is the heated & cooled sunroom, providing year-round enjoyment & serving as the perfect spot to relax & unwind while soaking in the beautiful views of the golf course. Golfers will relish the convenience of having this stunning course right in their backyard. Whether you're a golf enthusiast or simply enjoy the peaceful serenity that comes with living on a golf course, this location offers the best of both worlds. Explore the Bay's enchanting surroundings, where Greers Ferry Lake is 10 minutes away. Hiking/Biking/ATV/UTV Trails. DO NOT WALK ON DECK, NEEDS REPAIRS.
-
2023-09-15historical Escape Clause 1222-char remark
Show marketing remark (1222 chars)
Welcome to your new oasis. Located on Indian Hills Golf Course, this charming home offers a unique opportunity to create your dream residence. Although in need some of repairs, this property is being offered at a discounted price, allowing you to personalize it to your exact tastes & requirements. Nestled amidst the lush greenery, this property features a green house, perfect for those with a passion for gardening or growing your own organic produce. Additionally, a separate storage building provides ample space to store all your outdoor equipment, ensuring a clutter-free home . One of the standout features of this home is the heated & cooled sunroom, providing year-round enjoyment & serving as the perfect spot to relax & unwind while soaking in the beautiful views of the golf course. Golfers will relish the convenience of having this stunning course right in their backyard. Whether you're a golf enthusiast or simply enjoy the peaceful serenity that comes with living on a golf course, this location offers the best of both worlds. Explore the Bay's enchanting surroundings, where Greers Ferry Lake is 10 minutes away. Hiking/Biking/ATV/UTV Trails. DO NOT WALK ON DECK, NEEDS REPAIRS.
-
2023-09-08$130,000 New Listing 1222-char remark
Show marketing remark (1222 chars)
Welcome to your new oasis. Located on Indian Hills Golf Course, this charming home offers a unique opportunity to create your dream residence. Although in need some of repairs, this property is being offered at a discounted price, allowing you to personalize it to your exact tastes & requirements. Nestled amidst the lush greenery, this property features a green house, perfect for those with a passion for gardening or growing your own organic produce. Additionally, a separate storage building provides ample space to store all your outdoor equipment, ensuring a clutter-free home . One of the standout features of this home is the heated & cooled sunroom, providing year-round enjoyment & serving as the perfect spot to relax & unwind while soaking in the beautiful views of the golf course. Golfers will relish the convenience of having this stunning course right in their backyard. Whether you're a golf enthusiast or simply enjoy the peaceful serenity that comes with living on a golf course, this location offers the best of both worlds. Explore the Bay's enchanting surroundings, where Greers Ferry Lake is 10 minutes away. Hiking/Biking/ATV/UTV Trails. DO NOT WALK ON DECK, NEEDS REPAIRS.
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2022-01-02status Under Contract
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2022-01-01historical
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2021-10-21status Back on Market
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2021-10-01status Under Contract
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2021-07-26$139,900 New Listing
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2003-07-11soldstatus $60,000
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1995-12-11soldstatus $65,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $681 · $57/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,018 · $85/mo
- Expected delta
- +$337/yr (+$28/mo · 49.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 6 d/yr ≥107°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 6% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,961
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,906
- − Property taxes
- −$681
- − Insurance
- −$795
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,757
- − Management
- −$1,757
- − HOA
- −$2,616
- − Depreciation
- −$4,625
- Taxable income
- $824
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$198
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,054/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Shirley School District
- NCES district ID
- 0512420
- Math proficiency
- 44% ▲ 4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,296
- Composite
- 37.98/100
- National rank
- #8669
- State rank
- #132 of 245 in AR
Livability — Fairfield Bay
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #220
- US rank
- #16778
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Fairfield Bay, AR
- City population
- 2,264
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,264
Population outlook (Van Buren County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 15,459 people
- By 2030
- 14,645 · -5.3%
- By 2040
- 12,918 · -16.4%
- By 2050
- 11,263 · -27.1%
- By 2075
- 7,870 · -49.1%
- By 2100
- 4,918 · -68.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 88% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 3% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 9% Iranian 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 4% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Van Buren
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+60.2) · D 18.9% · R 79.0% · Other 2.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.5pp toward R · 2008: -31.7pp · 2024: -60.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+60.2 2020: R+56.9 2016: R+53.9 2012: R+39.5 2008: R+31.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -0.48%
- Current HPI
- 238.2694
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
||
| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
|
||
| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
|
||
| Energy | 1 | $4B |
|
||
Price history
+144.6% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-19 Price Changed $159,000 CARMLS
- 2026-01-02 Listed $169,000 CARMLS
- 2024-03-08 Sold (Public Records) $117,500 Public Records
- 2024-03-01 Sold (MLS) $117,500 CARMLS
- 2024-01-13 Contingent — CARMLS
- 2023-10-20 Relisted — CARMLS
- 2023-09-15 Contingent — CARMLS
- 2023-09-08 Listed $130,000 CARMLS
- 2022-01-02 Pending — CARMLS
- 2022-01-01 Listing Removed — CARMLS
- 2021-10-21 Relisted — CARMLS
- 2021-10-01 Pending — CARMLS
- 2021-07-26 Listed $139,900 CARMLS
- 2003-07-11 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
- 1995-12-11 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-0.2%/yrLatest (2025): $681 · +138.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…