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413 Brandt St
B- Composite 69.69
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +13.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$69,900

413 Brandt St · Dayton, OH 45404
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 758 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 31 Days on market
Built 1910 4,199 sqft lot Est $80k · 12% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Motivated Seller! Discover the charm and comfort of this cozy bungalow located in the Old North Dayton neighborhood. This bungalow is conveniently located near Dayton Children's Hospital, Citgo and Cintas. This inviting home features one spacious bedroom, a full bath, a generously sized kitchen with a large pantry, plus a separate dining room and comfortable living area perfect for relaxing or entertaining. For going out, The Amber Rose restaurant, a Dayton treasure, and the 201Tavern are nearby. This home was part of an estate. Recent updates include a newer roof, updated electric panel, fresh paint, new carpet, and modern ceiling fans—making this home move-in ready with added peace

Key facts

  • Separate dining room
  • Newer roof
  • Large pantry

Tags

OLD NORTH DAYTON NEIGHBORHOODGENEROUSLY SIZED KITCHENLARGE PANTRYSEPARATE DINING ROOMCOMFORTABLE LIVING AREANEWER ROOF

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Offered for sale

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached two-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water and sewer (assumed from residential zoning and typical service); Electric service
  • Home design: Single-story home
  • Construction: Aluminum siding; Vinyl siding; Home warranty included
  • Exterior features: Residential lot (approximately 0.096 acres / 4,199 sq ft); Buses run nearby

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom (on main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Aluminum window frames; Double-pane windows; Laminate countertops; Partial basement
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $251 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($882 rent vs $70k).
  • Recommended offer: $68k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.6% vs local median 7.4% in Dayton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#716 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: schools C-, amenities C-, crime F.
  • Dayton City (urban): math 12% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #641 of 656 in OH (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 66 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 907 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (416 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $483 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Montgomery County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($68k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $35k; list at $70k implies a 100% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $67,803 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.26%
Cap rate
10.60%
Cash-on-cash
15.40%
DSCR
1.69
GRM
6.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$79,590
Comps found
10
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2056 Stegman Ave 0.10mi 2/1.0 (+1) 728 (-4%) 0mo $117,000 $161 83
1000 Dodgson Ct 0.34mi 2/1.0 (+1) 749 (-1%) 24mo $64,900 $87 58
22 Macready Ave 0.43mi 2/1.0 (+1) 748 (-1%) 21mo $63,000 $84 55
1266 Deeds Ave 0.69mi 2/1.0 (+1) 763 (+1%) 9mo $80,000 $105 54
2040 Bellefontaine Ave 0.11mi 2/1.0 (+1) 672 (-11%) 21mo $15,500 $23 53
1527 Leo St 0.57mi 2/1.0 (+1) 728 (-4%) 11mo $42,000 $58 52
2022 Bickmore Ave 0.11mi 2/1.0 (+1) 858 (+13%) 23mo $115,000 $134 49
18 Macready Ave 0.44mi 2/1.0 (+1) 802 (+6%) 21mo $105,000 $131 47
1626 Leo St 0.52mi 2/1.0 (+1) 792 (+4%) 22mo $88,000 $111 45
232 Notre Dame Ave 0.51mi 2/1.0 (+1) 694 (-8%) 22mo $51,000 $73 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
6.1%
Equity multiple
1.24×
Total profit
$4,658
Equity at exit
$10,422
10-year hold
IRR
15.5%
Equity multiple
2.26×
Total profit
$24,613
Equity at exit
$6,044

Cash invested: $19,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 45404

Home prices YoY
-24.2%
Active inventory
66
Price-to-rent
6.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$882 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$367
Tax from tax record
$50 /mo · $600/yr
Insurance
$29
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$185
Net cashflow
$251

Break-even live

Break-even rent $564
Max offer price $69,900
Occupancy floor 67%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,475
Closing costs
$2,097
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 17 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2034 Leo St Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 888 $1,100 $1.24 21d 1 0.19mi
623 Hart St Dayton, OH 1.0 528 $699 $1.32 44d 1 0.73mi
623 Troy St Unit D Dayton, OH 1.0 1.0 550 $725 $1.32 3d 1 0.77mi
623 Troy St Unit A Dayton, OH 1.0 1.0 550 $695 $1.26 44d 1 0.77mi
502 Hart St Unit 504 Dayton, OH 1.0 1.0 900 $700 $0.78 44d 1 0.79mi
528 Troy St Unit B Dayton, OH 1.0 1.0 850 $750 $0.88 23d 1 0.79mi
224 Deeds Ave Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 1124 $950 $0.85 23d 1 1.00mi
101 N Irwin St Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 900 $1,100 $1.22 3d 1 1.19mi
451 Hunter Ave Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 974 $800 $0.82 23d 1 1.30mi
809 Herman Ave Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 747 $700 $0.94 3d 1 1.38mi
11 S Sperling Ave Dayton, OH 1.0 1.0 650 $725 $1.12 23d 1 1.40mi
120 S Monmouth St Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 1000 $950 $0.95 44d 1 1.44mi
211 N Cherrywood Ave Unit 2 Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 950 $795 $0.84 3d 1 1.45mi
334 Blackwood Ave Unit 3 Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 1000 $850 $0.85 3d 1 1.46mi
334 Blackwood Ave Unit 2 Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 1000 $850 $0.85 23d 1 1.46mi
423 Briarwood Ave #2 Dayton, OH 1.0 1.0 650 $700 $1.08 44d 1 1.48mi
423 Briarwood Ave Apt 8 Dayton, OH 1.0 1.0 650 $700 $1.08 3d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $69,900 Active 31 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $69,900 Active 30 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $69,900 Active 29 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    pricedays on market $69,900 Active 28 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $72,000 Active 26 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $72,000 Active 25 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $72,000 Active 23 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $72,000 Active 22 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $72,000 Active 21 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    pricedays on market $72,000 Active 20 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $74,900 Active 17 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $74,900 Active 16 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $74,900 Active 15 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $74,900 Active 14 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $74,900 Active 13 DOM
  16. 2026-05-18
    listed $74,900 Active
  17. 2005-08-03
    soldstatus $35,000
  18. 1985-05-20
    soldstatus $7,500
  19. 1983-11-14
    soldstatus $5,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$600 · $50/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$845 · $70/mo
Expected delta
+$245/yr (+$20/mo · 40.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 65% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,585
− Mortgage interest
−$3,915
− Property taxes
−$600
− Insurance
−$350
− Repairs & maintenance
−$847
− Management
−$847
− Depreciation
−$2,033
Taxable income
$1,993
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$478
After-tax cash flow
$2,535/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Dayton City
NCES district ID
3904384
Math proficiency
12% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
21% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$28,688
Composite
12.94/100
National rank
#9579
State rank
#641 of 656 in OH

Livability — Dayton

Score
65/100
State rank
#716
US rank
#12895

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Dayton, OH
County
Montgomery County · 459,541 people
City population
164,387
Metro
Dayton-Kettering, OH
Population (ZIP)
9,826
Household income
$38,874
Rent vs Own
55.9% rent · 44.1% own
Severe rent burden
702.0

Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
523,241 people
By 2030
514,948 · -1.6%
By 2040
493,378 · -5.7%
By 2050
469,639 · -10.2%
By 2075
418,360 · -20.0%
By 2100
353,315 · -32.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (70%)
Race & ethnicity
White 70% Black 19% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Iranian 3% Slovak 2% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 4% Arabic 4% Other Asian/Pacific 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 49.8% · R 49.3%
2008→2024 swing
-5.8pp toward R · 2008: 6.2pp · 2024: 0.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+0.5 2020: D+2.2 2016: R+1.2 2012: D+3.1 2008: D+6.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -67.48%
Current HPI
210.9571
Rent YoY
Metro
Dayton-Kettering, OH
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1398.0% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-18 Listed $74,900 Dayton MLS
  • 2005-08-03 Sold (Public Records) $35,000 Public Records
  • 1985-05-20 Sold (Public Records) $7,500 Public Records
  • 1983-11-14 Sold (Public Records) $5,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+0.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $600 · -0.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…