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41000 Granite Point Rd
B- Composite 68.62
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.5/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +3.5/10.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$105,000

41000 Granite Point Rd · Loon Lake, WA 99148
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 224 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 37 Days on market
Built 1998 Good condition

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Who is ready for summer and relaxation at the lake! Mobile Home for sale at Granite Point with seasonal dues already paid for the year. House has full kitchen to include a dishwasher, washer/dryer, furnace/AC, and full bathroom. Newer siding, roof, carpet, flooring. Our family has enjoyed summers at Granite Point for years and now the kids are all grown up. This is a perfect situation for family who wants getaway during summer months to enjoy family time on a lake without the cost of hundreds of thousands and taxes. Granite Point has restaurant, ice cream shop, basketball courts, boat launch, lots of beach space, etc. Still time to get boat slip for the summer. Golf cart and patio furniture

Key facts

  • Full kitchen
  • Washer dryer
  • Full bathroom

Tags

FULL KITCHENDISHWASHERWASHER DRYERFURNACE ACFULL BATHROOMNEWER SIDING

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $105k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $395 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $105k).
  • Recommended offer: $102k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.8% vs local median 1.6% in Loon Lake — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 58/100 on livability (#514 in WA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A+; Watch: schools D+, crime D+, amenities F.
  • Loon Lake School District (rural): math 30% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #234 of 291 in WA (top 80%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 66 active listings in the ZIP; 341 units permitted in Stevens County in 2024 (72 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $726 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Stevens County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($102k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $101,850 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.35%
Cap rate
10.80%
Cash-on-cash
16.10%
DSCR
1.72
GRM
6.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
7.1%
Equity multiple
1.28×
Total profit
$8,134
Equity at exit
$15,656
10-year hold
IRR
16.4%
Equity multiple
2.34×
Total profit
$39,526
Equity at exit
$9,078

Cash invested: $29,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
28 Tenant-Leaning
State Washington
28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Just-cause statewide (2021); Seattle layers rent control restrictions + relocation assistance; very tenant-friendly.

ZIP-level market 99148

Home prices YoY
-29.0%
Active inventory
66
Price-to-rent
6.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,418 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$551
Tax est. 1.5%
$131 /mo · $1,575/yr
Insurance
$44
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$298
Net cashflow
$395

Break-even live

Break-even rent $919
Max offer price $105,000
Occupancy floor 67%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$26,250
Closing costs
$3,150
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $105,000 Active 37 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $105,000 Active 36 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $105,000 Active 35 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $105,000 Active 34 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $105,000 Active 32 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $105,000 Active 31 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $105,000 Active 29 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $105,000 Active 28 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $105,000 Active 27 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $105,000 Active 26 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $105,000 Active 22 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $105,000 Active 21 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $105,000 Active 20 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $105,000 Active 19 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $105,000 Active 18 DOM
  16. 2026-05-12
    listed $105,000 Active 1083-char remark
  17. 2025-07-29
    price $45,000
  18. 2025-07-15
    listed $52,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,015
− Mortgage interest
−$5,882
− Property taxes
−$1,575
− Insurance
−$525
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,361
− Management
−$1,361
− Depreciation
−$3,055
Taxable income
$3,256
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$782
After-tax cash flow
$3,953/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This mobile home is in good condition with newer siding and roof, and a full kitchen and bathroom. It has potential for further improvements to enhance its curb appeal and resale value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Enhances curb appeal and can attract more buyers
  • Both Painting interior and exterior — Fresh paint can make the home look more inviting and maintain its value
  • Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Enhances curb appeal and can attract more buyers

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Enhances curb appeal and can attract more buyers
  • Both Painting interior and exterior — Fresh paint can make the home look more inviting and maintain its value
  • Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Enhances curb appeal and can attract more buyers

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Loon Lake School District
NCES district ID
5304500
Math proficiency
30% ▲ 5.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▲ 5.00%
Median HH income
$47,184
Composite
34.65/100
National rank
#10072
State rank
#234 of 291 in WA

Livability — Loon Lake

Score
58/100
State rank
#514
US rank
#21206

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living C Crime D+ Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
2,381

Population outlook (Stevens County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
43,696 people
By 2030
43,203 · -1.1%
By 2040
41,190 · -5.7%
By 2050
38,231 · -12.5%
By 2075
31,260 · -28.5%
By 2100
22,931 · -47.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (87%)
Race & ethnicity
White 87% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 3% Native American 1%
Common ancestry
Italian 8% Portuguese 6% Slovak 3%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Stevens

2024 margin
Solid R (+44.1) · D 26.7% · R 70.8% · Other 2.5%
2008→2024 swing
-23.4pp toward R · 2008: -20.7pp · 2024: -44.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+44.1 2020: R+42.1 2016: R+40.8 2012: R+27.7 2008: R+20.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -122.85%
Current HPI
301.1876
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.65%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+101.9% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-12 Listed $105,000 FSBO.com
  • 2025-07-29 Price Changed $45,000 NEWMLS
  • 2025-07-15 Listed $52,000 NEWMLS

Property tax history

+1.0%/yr

Latest (2026): $124 · -2.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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