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2712 Hillside Dr
C- Composite 54.49
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.1/10.0

$5,997

2712 Hillside Dr · Jackson, MS 39204
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,101 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 473 Days on market
Built 1953 0.90 ac lot $5/sqft · 88% below area ↓ 39% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Superb deal. Sold As Is, Where Is. View Interior of Property at own Risk. Will need renovation or Rebuilding on Land. Great property/Land and location for the savvy or new Investor.

Key facts

  • 0.9 acre lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1953

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $6k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $788 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $6k).
  • Recommended offer: $5k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 164.0% vs local median 9.9% in Jackson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#66 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, employment F.
  • Jackson Public School District (urban): math 9% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #112 of 130 in MS (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 88% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+13.6%/yr); 121 active listings in the ZIP; 20 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 45% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 167 units permitted in Hinds County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($30k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $642 of equity ($42 loan paydown + $600 appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Hinds County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $2k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 473 days — a 12% lower offer ($5k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 8y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $4k (37%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1953 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $5,277 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 473 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1953 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
17.51%
Cap rate
164.00%
Cash-on-cash
563.22%
DSCR
26.06
GRM
0.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$50,201
List price
$5,997
Delta
-88.05%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2647 Glenn St 0.13mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,050 (-5%) 2mo $14,500 $14 80
2524 Coronet Pl 0.15mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,190 (+8%) 3mo $30,000 $25 72
715 Dorgan St 0.41mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,122 (+2%) 6mo $77,500 $69 67
2364 Coronet Pl 0.28mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,190 (+8%) 6mo $74,500 $63 64
2023 Paden St 0.68mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,111 (+1%) 6mo $31,999 $29 56
3008 Woodbine St 0.66mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,070 (-3%) 6mo $3,500 $3 54
167 Treehaven Dr 0.62mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,151 (+4%) 1mo $39,500 $34 54
218 Hilliyard Ct 0.52mi 3/1.0 (+1) 980 (-11%) 4mo $24,900 $25 49
2805 Engleside Dr 0.71mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,200 (+9%) 0mo $54,200 $45 46
2112 Paden St 0.63mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,259 (+14%) 1mo $35,000 $28 41
545 Merigold Dr 0.61mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,220 (+11%) 4mo $79,000 $65 41
936 Winn St 0.70mi 3/2.5 (+1) 1,196 (+9%) 6mo $44,500 $37 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
36.15×
Total profit
$59,027
Equity at exit
$5,403
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
89.22×
Total profit
$148,131
Equity at exit
$11,651

Cash invested: $1,679 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Mississippi
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

ZIP-level market 39204

Home prices YoY
8.0%
Rents YoY
13.6%
Active inventory
121
Price-to-rent
0.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,050 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$31
Tax est. 1.5%
$7 /mo · $90/yr
Insurance
$2
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$221
Net cashflow
$788

Break-even live

Break-even rent $52
Max offer price $5,997
Occupancy floor 20%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $792 -5% $790 +0% $788 +5% $786 +10% $784
Rent -10% $705 -5% $747 +0% $788 +5% $830 +10% $871
Rate -1.0pp $791 -0.5pp $790 base $788 +0.5pp $787 +1.0pp $785

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$1,499
Closing costs
$180
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 20 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
225 W McDowell Rd Apt L2 Jackson, MS 1.0 1.0 896 $750 $0.84 22d 1 0.16mi
225 W McDowell Rd Jackson, MS 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 900 $975 $1.08 45d 18 0.16mi
2401 Coronet Pl Jackson, MS 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,400 $1.17 24d 1 0.31mi
843 Reaves St Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1408 $1,084 $0.77 45d 1 0.61mi
2858 Fairhill Dr Jackson, MS 2.0 1.0 900 $825 $0.92 45d 1 0.68mi
201 W Santa Clair St Jackson, MS 2.0 1.0 1182 $950 $0.80 15d 1 0.72mi
201 W Santa Clair St Jackson, MS 2.0 1.0 1182 $950 $0.80 24d 1 0.72mi
2786 Brookwood Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 1.0 1003 $1,100 $1.10 45d 1 0.91mi
316 Woody Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 1.0 1185 $1,250 $1.05 15d 1 0.99mi
316 Woody Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 1.0 1185 $1,250 $1.05 45d 1 0.99mi
267 Woody Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 1.5 1165 $1,100 $0.94 45d 1 1.00mi
1126 Barbara Ann Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 1.0 1343 $1,000 $0.74 15d 1 1.20mi
1126 Barbara Ann Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 1.0 1343 $1,000 $0.74 45d 1 1.20mi
3152 Bilgray Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 1.5 1200 $1,100 $0.92 15d 1 1.22mi
2873 Teresa Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,100 $1.00 45d 1 1.32mi
1223 Marydale Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 1.0 1300 $950 $0.73 45d 1 1.38mi
422 Cooper Rd Jackson, MS 3.0 1.0 1049 $1,426 $1.36 24d 1 1.39mi
1645 Camellia Ln Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1268 $1,200 $0.95 15d 1 1.43mi
1513 Maria Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1120 $1,200 $1.07 24d 1 1.49mi
1513 Maria Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1120 $1,200 $1.07 15d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 31 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $5,997 Active 473 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $5,997 Active 472 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $5,997 Active 471 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $5,997 Active 470 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $5,997 Active 468 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $5,997 Active 467 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $5,997 Active 465 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $5,997 Active 464 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $5,997 Active 463 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $5,997 Active 462 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $5,997 Active 459 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $5,997 Active 458 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $5,997 Active 457 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $5,997 Active 456 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $5,997 Active 455 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $5,997 Active 454 DOM
  17. 2026-03-02
    status Active 181-char remark
    Show marketing remark (181 chars)

    Superb deal. Sold As Is, Where Is. View Interior of Property at own Risk. Will need renovation or Rebuilding on Land. Great property/Land and location for the savvy or new Investor.

  18. 2026-03-01
    historical 181-char remark
    Show marketing remark (181 chars)

    Superb deal. Sold As Is, Where Is. View Interior of Property at own Risk. Will need renovation or Rebuilding on Land. Great property/Land and location for the savvy or new Investor.

  19. 2026-02-23
    price $5,997 181-char remark
    Show marketing remark (181 chars)

    Superb deal. Sold As Is, Where Is. View Interior of Property at own Risk. Will need renovation or Rebuilding on Land. Great property/Land and location for the savvy or new Investor.

  20. 2025-10-15
    price $6,997 181-char remark
    Show marketing remark (181 chars)

    Superb deal. Sold As Is, Where Is. View Interior of Property at own Risk. Will need renovation or Rebuilding on Land. Great property/Land and location for the savvy or new Investor.

  21. 2025-07-19
    price $7,500 181-char remark
    Show marketing remark (181 chars)

    Superb deal. Sold As Is, Where Is. View Interior of Property at own Risk. Will need renovation or Rebuilding on Land. Great property/Land and location for the savvy or new Investor.

  22. 2025-03-15
    price $8,500 181-char remark
    Show marketing remark (181 chars)

    Superb deal. Sold As Is, Where Is. View Interior of Property at own Risk. Will need renovation or Rebuilding on Land. Great property/Land and location for the savvy or new Investor.

  23. 2025-03-01
    listed $9,500 Active 181-char remark
    Show marketing remark (181 chars)

    Superb deal. Sold As Is, Where Is. View Interior of Property at own Risk. Will need renovation or Rebuilding on Land. Great property/Land and location for the savvy or new Investor.

  24. 2019-12-04
    soldstatus
  25. 2018-03-02
    soldstatus 122-char remark
    Show marketing remark (122 chars)

    3 bedrooms. 1 bath. 1 car carport with storage room. Covered patio. Phone a real estate professional for more information.

  26. 2018-03-02
    soldstatus
    Show marketing remark (122 chars)

    3 bedrooms. 1 bath. 1 car carport with storage room. Covered patio. Phone a real estate professional for more information.

  27. 2018-01-15
    listed $9,900 122-char remark
    Show marketing remark (122 chars)

    3 bedrooms. 1 bath. 1 car carport with storage room. Covered patio. Phone a real estate professional for more information.

  28. 2007-08-17
    soldstatus
  29. 2004-03-04
    soldstatus
  30. 1992-04-13
    soldstatus
  31. 1988-10-19
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 6 d/yr ≥108°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,601
− Mortgage interest
−$336
− Property taxes
−$90
− Insurance
−$30
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,008
− Management
−$1,008
− Depreciation
−$174
Taxable income
$9,954
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,389
After-tax cash flow
$7,068/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Jackson Public School District
NCES district ID
2802190
Math proficiency
9% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
18% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$33,234
Composite
10.89/100
National rank
#9755
State rank
#112 of 130 in MS

Livability — Jackson

Score
68/100
State rank
#66
US rank
#9695

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Jackson, MS
County
Hinds County · 167,040 people
City population
140,204
Metro
Jackson, MS
Population (ZIP)
13,249
Household income
$30,237
Rent vs Own
66.3% rent · 33.7% own
Severe rent burden
1099.0

Population outlook (Hinds County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
242,528 people
By 2030
241,113 · -0.6%
By 2040
235,557 · -2.9%
By 2050
226,946 · -6.4%
By 2075
199,995 · -17.5%
By 2100
164,165 · -32.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (90%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 90% White 5% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Hinds

2024 margin
Solid D (+46.1) · D 72.4% · R 26.3% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
+7.1pp toward D · 2008: 39.0pp · 2024: 46.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+46.1 2020: D+48.3 2016: D+43.7 2012: D+45.1 2008: D+39.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 17.25%
Current HPI
233.9061
Rent YoY
▲ 13.56%
Metro
Jackson, MS
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

-39.4% since first listed
15 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-02 Relisted MLSU
  • 2026-03-01 Listing Removed MLSU
  • 2026-02-23 Price Changed $5,997 MLSU
  • 2025-10-15 Price Changed $6,997 MLSU
  • 2025-07-19 Price Changed $7,500 MLSU
  • 2025-03-15 Price Changed $8,500 MLSU
  • 2025-03-01 Listed $9,500 MLSU
  • 2019-12-04 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2018-03-02 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2018-03-02 Sold (MLS) MLSU
  • 2018-01-15 Listed $9,900 MLSU
  • 2007-08-17 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2004-03-04 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1992-04-13 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1988-10-19 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

-5.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $455 · +3.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…