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430 Kingsbridge Dr Unit 21C
D- Composite 39.15
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +10.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +9.7/30.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.0/10.0
  • DSCR +2.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$239,150

430 Kingsbridge Dr Unit 21C · Gonzalez, FL 32533
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,250 sqft · SingleFamily · 623 Days on market
Built 2025 Good condition 6,098 sqft lot $191/sqft · 6% below area Est $253k · 6% under $25/mo HOA · 1% of rent ↓ 4% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

NEW CONSTRUCTION-- Location, Location and Location. Brand new construction in the 32533 zip code and country living at it's best. This 1250 sq ft 3 bedroom 2 bath cottage style home is the perfect starter home for a college graduate or individual just starting out. From the street, one will be struck by the full covered front porch that stretches the entire length of the home. Entering the home, you enter into a very open plan with a living room that contains a ceiling fan and 5 1/ 4 inch baseboards that also run throughout the home. There is vinyl plank flooring in all living areas and carpet in bedrooms only. In the kitchen you will find white shaker style cabinets and granite countertops. The living room is open to the kitchen which makes for easy entertaining. Off of the kitchen is the master bedroom that contains a box ceiling and ceiling fan. The master bedroom contains a closet with ample space with ventilated shelving. The master bath is off of the master and contains a double vanity and shower/ tub combo. The two spare bedrooms are off of the living room and contain walk in closets. The bedrooms both are wired and braced for ceiling fans. The two bedrooms share a single vanity bath with a shower / tub combo. Outside the home, you will find a beautifully landscaped yard and a back covered porch that is the perfect size to come home after a long days work and watch the children play or sip on your favorite beverage while listening to some soothing music to unwind. Don't delay because at this price and location, it is sure to not last too long.

Key facts

  • Covered front porch
  • Vinyl plank flooring
  • 6,098 sq ft lot

Tags

BRAND NEW CONSTRUCTIONCOVERED FRONT PORCHVINYL PLANK FLOORINGWHITE SHAKER STYLE CABINETSLUNA PEARL GRANITE COUNTERTOPSBOX CEILING IN MASTER BEDROOM

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $239k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-158 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $216k (9.6% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $192k (19.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $192k (19.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.5% vs local median 4.2% in Gonzalez — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#385 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Escambia (suburban): math 40% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #56 of 73 in FL (top 77%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 513 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 1,479 units permitted in Escambia County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Escambia County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 623 days — a 12% lower offer ($210k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $192,350 (19.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 623 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 20% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.80%
Cap rate
5.50%
Cash-on-cash
-2.83%
DSCR
0.87
GRM
10.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$253,402
List price
$239,150
Delta
-5.62%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
531 Ketch Creek Dr Unit 6C 0.03mi 3/2.0 1,250 (0%) 3mo $237,800 $190 96
1058 Brimwood Cir Unit 13A 0.09mi 3/2.0 1,250 (0%) 0mo $245,425 $196 95
1010 Brimwood Cir Unit 25A 0.11mi 3/2.0 1,250 (0%) 3mo $263,650 $211 93
454 Kingsbridge Dr Unit 7A 0.06mi 3/2.0 1,250 (0%) 6mo $260,900 $209 92
414 Kingsbridge Dr 0.04mi 3/2.0 1,317 (+5%) 7mo $250,000 $190 83
1078 Brimwood Cir Unit 8A 0.07mi 3/2.0 1,317 (+5%) 7mo $277,850 $211 82
426 Kingsbridge Dr Unit 20C 0.01mi 3/2.0 1,317 (+5%) 11mo $279,175 $212 82
1062 Brimwood Cir Unit 12A 0.09mi 3/2.0 1,317 (+5%) 6mo $277,400 $211 82
990 Brimwood Cir Unit 30A 0.15mi 3/2.0 1,250 (0%) 16mo $250,900 $201 80
1014 Brimwood Cir Unit 24A 0.11mi 3/2.0 1,317 (+5%) 9mo $278,725 $212 78
954 Brimwood Cir Unit 39A 0.08mi 3/2.0 1,317 (+5%) 14mo $269,850 $205 76
1030 Brimwood Cir Unit 20A 0.14mi 3/2.0 1,317 (+5%) 15mo $269,900 $205 72

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-21.0%
Equity multiple
0.27×
Total profit
$-48,781
Equity at exit
$35,658
10-year hold
IRR
-14.4%
Equity multiple
0.17×
Total profit
$-55,267
Equity at exit
$20,677

Cash invested: $66,962 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32533

Home prices YoY
-14.6%
Active inventory
513
Price-to-rent
10.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,924 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,254
Tax est. 1.5%
$299 /mo · $3,587/yr
Insurance
$100
HOA
$25
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$404
Net cashflow
$-158

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,124
Max offer price $216,266
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $7 -5% $-76 +0% $-158 +5% $-241 +10% $-323
Rent -10% $-310 -5% $-234 +0% $-158 +5% $-82 +10% $-6
Rate -1.0pp $-38 -0.5pp $-97 base $-158 +0.5pp $-220 +1.0pp $-283

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$59,788
Closing costs
$7,174
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$25 · $300/yr

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-05-19
    status Pending 1576-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1576 chars)

    NEW CONSTRUCTION-- Location, Location and Location. Brand new construction in the 32533 zip code and country living at it's best. This 1250 sq ft 3 bedroom 2 bath cottage style home is the perfect starter home for a college graduate or individual just starting out. From the street, one will be struck by the full covered front porch that stretches the entire length of the home. Entering the home, you enter into a very open plan with a living room that contains a ceiling fan and 5 1/ 4 inch baseboards that also run throughout the home. There is vinyl plank flooring in all living areas and carpet in bedrooms only. In the kitchen you will find white shaker style cabinets and granite countertops. The living room is open to the kitchen which makes for easy entertaining. Off of the kitchen is the master bedroom that contains a box ceiling and ceiling fan. The master bedroom contains a closet with ample space with ventilated shelving. The master bath is off of the master and contains a double vanity and shower/ tub combo. The two spare bedrooms are off of the living room and contain walk in closets. The bedrooms both are wired and braced for ceiling fans. The two bedrooms share a single vanity bath with a shower / tub combo. Outside the home, you will find a beautifully landscaped yard and a back covered porch that is the perfect size to come home after a long days work and watch the children play or sip on your favorite beverage while listening to some soothing music to unwind. Don't delay because at this price and location, it is sure to not last too long.

  2. 2026-04-21
    price $239,150 1576-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1576 chars)

    NEW CONSTRUCTION-- Location, Location and Location. Brand new construction in the 32533 zip code and country living at it's best. This 1250 sq ft 3 bedroom 2 bath cottage style home is the perfect starter home for a college graduate or individual just starting out. From the street, one will be struck by the full covered front porch that stretches the entire length of the home. Entering the home, you enter into a very open plan with a living room that contains a ceiling fan and 5 1/ 4 inch baseboards that also run throughout the home. There is vinyl plank flooring in all living areas and carpet in bedrooms only. In the kitchen you will find white shaker style cabinets and granite countertops. The living room is open to the kitchen which makes for easy entertaining. Off of the kitchen is the master bedroom that contains a box ceiling and ceiling fan. The master bedroom contains a closet with ample space with ventilated shelving. The master bath is off of the master and contains a double vanity and shower/ tub combo. The two spare bedrooms are off of the living room and contain walk in closets. The bedrooms both are wired and braced for ceiling fans. The two bedrooms share a single vanity bath with a shower / tub combo. Outside the home, you will find a beautifully landscaped yard and a back covered porch that is the perfect size to come home after a long days work and watch the children play or sip on your favorite beverage while listening to some soothing music to unwind. Don't delay because at this price and location, it is sure to not last too long.

  3. 2026-04-10
    price $254,150 1576-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1576 chars)

    NEW CONSTRUCTION-- Location, Location and Location. Brand new construction in the 32533 zip code and country living at it's best. This 1250 sq ft 3 bedroom 2 bath cottage style home is the perfect starter home for a college graduate or individual just starting out. From the street, one will be struck by the full covered front porch that stretches the entire length of the home. Entering the home, you enter into a very open plan with a living room that contains a ceiling fan and 5 1/ 4 inch baseboards that also run throughout the home. There is vinyl plank flooring in all living areas and carpet in bedrooms only. In the kitchen you will find white shaker style cabinets and granite countertops. The living room is open to the kitchen which makes for easy entertaining. Off of the kitchen is the master bedroom that contains a box ceiling and ceiling fan. The master bedroom contains a closet with ample space with ventilated shelving. The master bath is off of the master and contains a double vanity and shower/ tub combo. The two spare bedrooms are off of the living room and contain walk in closets. The bedrooms both are wired and braced for ceiling fans. The two bedrooms share a single vanity bath with a shower / tub combo. Outside the home, you will find a beautifully landscaped yard and a back covered porch that is the perfect size to come home after a long days work and watch the children play or sip on your favorite beverage while listening to some soothing music to unwind. Don't delay because at this price and location, it is sure to not last too long.

  4. 2026-01-16
    price $244,150 1576-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1576 chars)

    NEW CONSTRUCTION-- Location, Location and Location. Brand new construction in the 32533 zip code and country living at it's best. This 1250 sq ft 3 bedroom 2 bath cottage style home is the perfect starter home for a college graduate or individual just starting out. From the street, one will be struck by the full covered front porch that stretches the entire length of the home. Entering the home, you enter into a very open plan with a living room that contains a ceiling fan and 5 1/ 4 inch baseboards that also run throughout the home. There is vinyl plank flooring in all living areas and carpet in bedrooms only. In the kitchen you will find white shaker style cabinets and granite countertops. The living room is open to the kitchen which makes for easy entertaining. Off of the kitchen is the master bedroom that contains a box ceiling and ceiling fan. The master bedroom contains a closet with ample space with ventilated shelving. The master bath is off of the master and contains a double vanity and shower/ tub combo. The two spare bedrooms are off of the living room and contain walk in closets. The bedrooms both are wired and braced for ceiling fans. The two bedrooms share a single vanity bath with a shower / tub combo. Outside the home, you will find a beautifully landscaped yard and a back covered porch that is the perfect size to come home after a long days work and watch the children play or sip on your favorite beverage while listening to some soothing music to unwind. Don't delay because at this price and location, it is sure to not last too long.

  5. 2025-05-01
    price $264,150 1576-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1576 chars)

    NEW CONSTRUCTION-- Location, Location and Location. Brand new construction in the 32533 zip code and country living at it's best. This 1250 sq ft 3 bedroom 2 bath cottage style home is the perfect starter home for a college graduate or individual just starting out. From the street, one will be struck by the full covered front porch that stretches the entire length of the home. Entering the home, you enter into a very open plan with a living room that contains a ceiling fan and 5 1/ 4 inch baseboards that also run throughout the home. There is vinyl plank flooring in all living areas and carpet in bedrooms only. In the kitchen you will find white shaker style cabinets and granite countertops. The living room is open to the kitchen which makes for easy entertaining. Off of the kitchen is the master bedroom that contains a box ceiling and ceiling fan. The master bedroom contains a closet with ample space with ventilated shelving. The master bath is off of the master and contains a double vanity and shower/ tub combo. The two spare bedrooms are off of the living room and contain walk in closets. The bedrooms both are wired and braced for ceiling fans. The two bedrooms share a single vanity bath with a shower / tub combo. Outside the home, you will find a beautifully landscaped yard and a back covered porch that is the perfect size to come home after a long days work and watch the children play or sip on your favorite beverage while listening to some soothing music to unwind. Don't delay because at this price and location, it is sure to not last too long.

  6. 2025-02-28
    price $262,800 1576-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1576 chars)

    NEW CONSTRUCTION-- Location, Location and Location. Brand new construction in the 32533 zip code and country living at it's best. This 1250 sq ft 3 bedroom 2 bath cottage style home is the perfect starter home for a college graduate or individual just starting out. From the street, one will be struck by the full covered front porch that stretches the entire length of the home. Entering the home, you enter into a very open plan with a living room that contains a ceiling fan and 5 1/ 4 inch baseboards that also run throughout the home. There is vinyl plank flooring in all living areas and carpet in bedrooms only. In the kitchen you will find white shaker style cabinets and granite countertops. The living room is open to the kitchen which makes for easy entertaining. Off of the kitchen is the master bedroom that contains a box ceiling and ceiling fan. The master bedroom contains a closet with ample space with ventilated shelving. The master bath is off of the master and contains a double vanity and shower/ tub combo. The two spare bedrooms are off of the living room and contain walk in closets. The bedrooms both are wired and braced for ceiling fans. The two bedrooms share a single vanity bath with a shower / tub combo. Outside the home, you will find a beautifully landscaped yard and a back covered porch that is the perfect size to come home after a long days work and watch the children play or sip on your favorite beverage while listening to some soothing music to unwind. Don't delay because at this price and location, it is sure to not last too long.

  7. 2025-02-03
    price $258,800 1576-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1576 chars)

    NEW CONSTRUCTION-- Location, Location and Location. Brand new construction in the 32533 zip code and country living at it's best. This 1250 sq ft 3 bedroom 2 bath cottage style home is the perfect starter home for a college graduate or individual just starting out. From the street, one will be struck by the full covered front porch that stretches the entire length of the home. Entering the home, you enter into a very open plan with a living room that contains a ceiling fan and 5 1/ 4 inch baseboards that also run throughout the home. There is vinyl plank flooring in all living areas and carpet in bedrooms only. In the kitchen you will find white shaker style cabinets and granite countertops. The living room is open to the kitchen which makes for easy entertaining. Off of the kitchen is the master bedroom that contains a box ceiling and ceiling fan. The master bedroom contains a closet with ample space with ventilated shelving. The master bath is off of the master and contains a double vanity and shower/ tub combo. The two spare bedrooms are off of the living room and contain walk in closets. The bedrooms both are wired and braced for ceiling fans. The two bedrooms share a single vanity bath with a shower / tub combo. Outside the home, you will find a beautifully landscaped yard and a back covered porch that is the perfect size to come home after a long days work and watch the children play or sip on your favorite beverage while listening to some soothing music to unwind. Don't delay because at this price and location, it is sure to not last too long.

  8. 2025-01-06
    price $254,800 1576-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1576 chars)

    NEW CONSTRUCTION-- Location, Location and Location. Brand new construction in the 32533 zip code and country living at it's best. This 1250 sq ft 3 bedroom 2 bath cottage style home is the perfect starter home for a college graduate or individual just starting out. From the street, one will be struck by the full covered front porch that stretches the entire length of the home. Entering the home, you enter into a very open plan with a living room that contains a ceiling fan and 5 1/ 4 inch baseboards that also run throughout the home. There is vinyl plank flooring in all living areas and carpet in bedrooms only. In the kitchen you will find white shaker style cabinets and granite countertops. The living room is open to the kitchen which makes for easy entertaining. Off of the kitchen is the master bedroom that contains a box ceiling and ceiling fan. The master bedroom contains a closet with ample space with ventilated shelving. The master bath is off of the master and contains a double vanity and shower/ tub combo. The two spare bedrooms are off of the living room and contain walk in closets. The bedrooms both are wired and braced for ceiling fans. The two bedrooms share a single vanity bath with a shower / tub combo. Outside the home, you will find a beautifully landscaped yard and a back covered porch that is the perfect size to come home after a long days work and watch the children play or sip on your favorite beverage while listening to some soothing music to unwind. Don't delay because at this price and location, it is sure to not last too long.

  9. 2024-09-03
    listed $248,800 Active 1576-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1576 chars)

    NEW CONSTRUCTION-- Location, Location and Location. Brand new construction in the 32533 zip code and country living at it's best. This 1250 sq ft 3 bedroom 2 bath cottage style home is the perfect starter home for a college graduate or individual just starting out. From the street, one will be struck by the full covered front porch that stretches the entire length of the home. Entering the home, you enter into a very open plan with a living room that contains a ceiling fan and 5 1/ 4 inch baseboards that also run throughout the home. There is vinyl plank flooring in all living areas and carpet in bedrooms only. In the kitchen you will find white shaker style cabinets and granite countertops. The living room is open to the kitchen which makes for easy entertaining. Off of the kitchen is the master bedroom that contains a box ceiling and ceiling fan. The master bedroom contains a closet with ample space with ventilated shelving. The master bath is off of the master and contains a double vanity and shower/ tub combo. The two spare bedrooms are off of the living room and contain walk in closets. The bedrooms both are wired and braced for ceiling fans. The two bedrooms share a single vanity bath with a shower / tub combo. Outside the home, you will find a beautifully landscaped yard and a back covered porch that is the perfect size to come home after a long days work and watch the children play or sip on your favorite beverage while listening to some soothing music to unwind. Don't delay because at this price and location, it is sure to not last too long.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,082
− Mortgage interest
−$13,396
− Property taxes
−$3,587
− Insurance
−$1,196
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,847
− Management
−$1,847
− HOA
−$300
− Depreciation
−$6,957
Taxable loss
−$6,047
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,451
After-tax cash flow
$-446/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 7 photos

Good 80/100 None rehab

This brand new construction home in Gonzalez, FL is move-in ready with good condition and minimal maintenance needs. It offers a great value with updates that can further increase its resale and rental potential.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Replacing carpet with hardwood or tile in bedrooms — Improves durability and adds value
  • Both Upgrading kitchen appliances — Modernizes the space and adds value
  • Both Adding smart home features — Enhances convenience and adds value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Replacing carpet with hardwood or tile in bedrooms — Improves durability and adds value
  • Both Upgrading kitchen appliances — Modernizes the space and adds value
  • Both Adding smart home features — Enhances convenience and adds value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Escambia
NCES district ID
1200510
Math proficiency
40% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$44,649
Composite
36.04/100
National rank
#4773
State rank
#56 of 73 in FL

Livability — Gonzalez

Score
71/100
State rank
#385
US rank
#6813

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment A Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Escambia County · 301,722 people
Metro
Pensacola-Ferry Pass-Brent, FL
Population (ZIP)
31,860
Household income
$86,087
Rent vs Own
15.4% rent · 84.6% own
Severe rent burden
389.0

Population outlook (Escambia County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
334,637 people
By 2030
345,779 · +3.3%
By 2040
364,828 · +9.0%
By 2050
378,514 · +13.1%
By 2075
403,220 · +20.5%
By 2100
386,125 · +15.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (74%)
Race & ethnicity
White 74% Black 12% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 3%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Serbian 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, Guatemala, China
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Escambia

2024 margin
R (+19.5) · D 39.7% · R 59.2% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-0.2pp no change · 2008: -19.3pp · 2024: -19.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+19.5 2020: R+15.1 2016: R+20.6 2012: R+20.6 2008: R+19.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -44.13%
Current HPI
259.2605
Rent YoY
Metro
Pensacola-Ferry Pass-Brent, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-3.9% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-19 Pending PARMLS
  • 2026-04-21 Price Changed $239,150 PARMLS
  • 2026-04-10 Price Changed $254,150 PARMLS
  • 2026-01-16 Price Changed $244,150 PARMLS
  • 2025-05-01 Price Changed $264,150 PARMLS
  • 2025-02-28 Price Changed $262,800 PARMLS
  • 2025-02-03 Price Changed $258,800 PARMLS
  • 2025-01-06 Price Changed $254,800 PARMLS
  • 2024-09-03 Listed $248,800 PARMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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