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Clearwater Plan 🏗️ New Construction
F Composite 26.21
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Condition / age +5.0/5.0
  • Cash flow +4.0/30.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +1.7/5.0
  • 1% rule +0.2/10.0
  • DSCR +0.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$257,499

Clearwater Plan · San Antonio, TX 78223
4 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,024 sqft · SingleFamily · 118 Days on market
Excellent condition ↓ 3% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

The Coastline Collection is a new series of single-family homes in the Grace Gardens masterplan in San Antonio, TX, offering affordable new home options with a variety of floorplan designs. Residents will enjoy proximity to Loop 410 for easy access to local shopping, dining and entertainment options. Outdoor recreation is a short drive away on Calaveras Lake, and the community is located near Brooks City Base, perfect for military families and personnel.

Key facts

  • Outdoor recreation
  • Single family homes
  • Calaveras lake

Tags

SINGLE FAMILY HOMESGRACE GARDENS MASTERPLANPROXIMITY TO LOOP 410OUTDOOR RECREATIONCALAVERAS LAKENEAR BROOKS CITY BASE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏗️ New construction. The $257,499 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $468,532.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $257k. Condition is rated excellent.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-16k/yr) — negative.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $244k (5.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $234k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 2.9% vs local median 3.8% in San Antonio — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#31 in TX, #1,616 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools C-, crime F.
  • North East ISD (urban): math 38% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #276 of 826 in TX (top 33%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents falling (-3.4%/yr); 325 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 8,308 units permitted in Bexar County in 2024 (2,506 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,444/mo this rent would consume 56% of the median local household income ($52k/yr) (locally 2809% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $14k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Bexar County population projected at +50% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 118 days — a 9% lower offer ($234k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.7% of price.
Recommended offer $234,324 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 118 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.52%
Cap rate
2.94%
Cash-on-cash
-11.96%
DSCR
0.47
GRM
16.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$468,532
List price
$257,499
Delta
-45.04%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
334 Royal Oaks 0.31mi 4/3.0 2,152 (+6%) 0mo $469,900 $218 74
3107 Old Rnch 0.18mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,098 (+4%) 8mo $485,000 $231 71
410 Laramie 0.54mi 3/3.0 (-1) 1,901 (-6%) 0mo $440,000 $231 60
451 Oak Glen Dr 0.42mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,843 (-9%) 1mo $495,000 $269 56
203 Laramie Dr 0.67mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,132 (+5%) 1mo $630,000 $295 52
2818 Old Moss 0.43mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,876 (-7%) 12mo $439,900 $234 49
9230 E Valley View Ln 0.52mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,815 (-10%) 7mo $375,000 $207 46
222 Wyndale St 0.75mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,085 (+3%) 8mo $430,000 $206 44
8815 Sagebrush 0.59mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,284 (+13%) 0mo $340,000 $149 42
318 Laramie 0.57mi 4/2.0 1,804 (-11%) 13mo $495,000 $274 41
215 Five Oaks 0.62mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,192 (+8%) 11mo $460,000 $210 39
411 Cave 0.70mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,813 (-10%) 6mo $399,900 $221 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-41.6%
Equity multiple
-0.27×
Total profit
$-166,307
Equity at exit
$69,860
10-year hold
IRR
-91.0%
Equity multiple
-1.13×
Total profit
$-279,557
Equity at exit
$40,510

Cash invested: $131,189 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 78223

Home prices YoY
-16.4%
Rents YoY
-3.4%
Active inventory
325
Price-to-rent
8.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,444 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,457
Tax est. 1.5%
$586 /mo · $7,028/yr
Insurance
$195
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$513
Net cashflow
$-1,307

Break-even live

Break-even rent $4,099
Max offer price $279,370
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$117,133
Closing costs
$14,056
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 19 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2919 Hitching Post St San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 2200 $2,495 $1.13 1d 1 0.32mi
427 Laramie Dr San Antonio, TX 4.0 3.0 1916 $3,500 $1.83 17d 1 0.49mi
427 Laramie Dr San Antonio, TX 4.0 3.0 1916 $3,500 $1.83 16d 1 0.49mi
414 Laramie Dr San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1760 $2,295 $1.30 24d 1 0.53mi
515 Cave Ln San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1741 $2,500 $1.44 1d 1 0.59mi
407 Haverford Dr San Antonio, TX 4.0 2.0 1412 $1,600 $1.13 2d 1 0.74mi
628 Ira Lee Rd San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.5 2478 $2,400 $0.97 43d 1 0.74mi
2606 Country Square St San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.5 1804 $2,500 $1.39 24d 1 0.80mi
3831 Harry Wurzbach Rd #6 San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.5 1506 $2,000 $1.33 14d 1 0.84mi
3831 Harry Wurzbach Rd #21 San Antonio, TX 3.0 3.5 2237 $2,765 $1.24 1d 1 0.86mi
3223 Oakleaf Dr San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1542 $1,850 $1.20 24d 1 0.90mi
8800 Starcrest Dr San Antonio, TX 1.0–4.0 1.0–2.5 1196 $1,599 $1.34 3d 18 0.98mi
530 Burnside Dr San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1955 $3,500 $1.79 20d 1 1.04mi
3518 Herron Ct San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1772 $1,800 $1.02 24d 1 1.21mi
3206 Albin Dr San Antonio, TX 4.0 2.5 2445 $3,500 $1.43 1d 1 1.23mi
8227 Campobello Dr San Antonio, TX 5.0 2.0 2180 $2,100 $0.96 3d 1 1.27mi
4035 Barrington St San Antonio, TX 4.0 4.5 2078 $2,000 $0.96 4d 1 1.36mi
2904 Knight Robin Dr San Antonio, TX 5.0 3.5 2780 $2,250 $0.81 7d 1 1.46mi
2902 Sir Phillip Dr San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1409 $2,200 $1.56 17d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    price $257,499 Active 118 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $256,999 Active 118 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $256,999 Active 117 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $256,999 Active 116 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    pricedays on market $256,999 Active 113 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    pricedays on market $256,499 Active 112 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    price $255,499 Active 109 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $254,999 Active 109 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $254,999 Active 108 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    price $254,999 Active 107 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $254,499 Active 107 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $254,499 Active 104 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $254,499 Active 103 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    pricedays on market $254,499 Active 102 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $253,999 Active 101 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $253,999 Active 100 DOM
  17. 2026-05-12
    price $253,999 458-char remark
    Show marketing remark (458 chars)

    The Coastline Collection is a new series of single-family homes in the Grace Gardens masterplan in San Antonio, TX, offering affordable new home options with a variety of floorplan designs. Residents will enjoy proximity to Loop 410 for easy access to local shopping, dining and entertainment options. Outdoor recreation is a short drive away on Calaveras Lake, and the community is located near Brooks City Base, perfect for military families and personnel.

  18. 2026-05-05
    price $256,999 458-char remark
    Show marketing remark (458 chars)

    The Coastline Collection is a new series of single-family homes in the Grace Gardens masterplan in San Antonio, TX, offering affordable new home options with a variety of floorplan designs. Residents will enjoy proximity to Loop 410 for easy access to local shopping, dining and entertainment options. Outdoor recreation is a short drive away on Calaveras Lake, and the community is located near Brooks City Base, perfect for military families and personnel.

  19. 2026-02-20
    listed $260,999 Active 458-char remark
    Show marketing remark (458 chars)

    The Coastline Collection is a new series of single-family homes in the Grace Gardens masterplan in San Antonio, TX, offering affordable new home options with a variety of floorplan designs. Residents will enjoy proximity to Loop 410 for easy access to local shopping, dining and entertainment options. Outdoor recreation is a short drive away on Calaveras Lake, and the community is located near Brooks City Base, perfect for military families and personnel.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$29,327
− Mortgage interest
−$26,245
− Property taxes
−$7,028
− Insurance
−$2,343
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,346
− Management
−$2,346
− Depreciation
−$13,630
Taxable loss
−$24,611
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$5,907
After-tax cash flow
$-9,780/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo

Excellent 100/100 None rehab

This home is in excellent condition with no visible repairs or maintenance needed. It is move-in ready and offers a great value for both resale and rental.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting exterior and interior — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value
  • Both New flooring in bathrooms and kitchen — Improves functionality and aesthetics
  • Both New paint in interior walls — Enhances interior aesthetics and value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting exterior and interior — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value
  • Both New flooring in bathrooms and kitchen — Improves functionality and aesthetics
  • Both New paint in interior walls — Enhances interior aesthetics and value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
North East ISD
NCES district ID
4832940
Math proficiency
38% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
49% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$57,715
Composite
38.1/100
National rank
#4276
State rank
#276 of 826 in TX

Livability — San Antonio

Score
80/100
State rank
#31
US rank
#1616

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
San Antonio, TX
County
Bexar County · 1,990,555 people
City population
1,806,925
Metro
San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX
Population (ZIP)
58,983
Household income
$52,088
Rent vs Own
42.4% rent · 57.6% own
Severe rent burden
2809.0

Population outlook (Bexar County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,336,851 people
By 2030
2,560,728 · +9.6%
By 2040
3,020,569 · +29.3%
By 2050
3,493,522 · +49.5%
By 2075
4,668,459 · +99.8%
By 2100
5,533,242 · +136.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (76%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 76% Two or more races 28% White 16% Black 5% Asian 2% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 67%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Romanian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
63% English-only · Spanish 36%

Political lean MEDSL · Bexar

2024 margin
Lean D (+9.8) · D 54.3% · R 44.6% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
+4.2pp toward D · 2008: 5.6pp · 2024: 9.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+9.8 2020: D+18.2 2016: D+13.5 2012: D+4.6 2008: D+5.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -52.06%
Current HPI
265.2235
Rent YoY
▼ -3.36%
Metro
San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-2.7% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-12 Price Changed $253,999 Zillow
  • 2026-05-05 Price Changed $256,999 Zillow
  • 2026-02-20 Listed $260,999 Zillow

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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