196 S Alabama Ave · Jackson, MS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.1/10.0
$72,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Fully updated 3-bedroom, 1-bath home featuring a modern kitchen, upgraded bathroom, new flooring, and contemporary fixtures throughout. Ideal for investors seeking strong rental potential or a reliable addition to their portfolio.
Key facts
- Upgraded bathroom
- New flooring
- Modern kitchen
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $72k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $509 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $72k).
- Recommended offer: $63k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 14.8% vs local median 9.9% in Jackson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#66 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, employment F.
- Jackson Public School District (urban): math 9% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #112 of 130 in MS (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 88% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 165 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 57% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 167 units permitted in Hinds County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($36k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $8k of equity ($498 loan paydown + $7k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Hinds County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 314 days — a 12% lower offer ($63k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask is 7100% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1946 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 314 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1946 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.68% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.77%
- Cash-on-cash
- 30.28%
- DSCR
- 2.35
- GRM
- 4.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $29,227
- List price
- $72,000
- Delta
- 146.35%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 269 O Ferrell Ave | 0.06mi | 3/1.0 | 1,036 (-10%) | 3mo | $22,000 | $21 | 78 |
| 270 Myer Ave | 0.30mi | 3/1.5 | 1,175 (+2%) | 8mo | $74,999 | $64 | 74 |
| 2629 Latimer Ave | 0.59mi | 3/1.0 | 1,063 (-8%) | 3mo | $19,000 | $18 | 58 |
| 220 Lemly Ave | 0.25mi | 3/1.5 | 1,036 (-10%) | 15mo | $66,800 | $64 | 57 |
| 350 Houston Ave | 0.49mi | 3/1.0 | 1,064 (-8%) | 11mo | $29,000 | $27 | 56 |
| 3384 Casa Grande Cir | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 | 1,182 (+3%) | 6mo | $90,000 | $76 | 53 |
| 409 Houston Ave | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 | 988 (-14%) | 8mo | $25,000 | $25 | 42 |
| 34 Garden Cir | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,221 (+6%) | 20mo | $79,900 | $65 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 47.3%
- Equity multiple
- 4.55×
- Total profit
- $71,600
- Equity at exit
- $64,863
- IRR
- 41.1%
- Equity multiple
- 10.19×
- Total profit
- $185,350
- Equity at exit
- $139,880
Cash invested: $20,160 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 39209
- Home prices YoY
- 7.7%
- Active inventory
- 165
- Price-to-rent
- 4.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,212 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$378
- Tax from tax record
- −$41 /mo · $496/yr
- Insurance
- −$30
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$255
- Net cashflow
- $509
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $549 | -5% $529 | +0% $509 | +5% $488 | +10% $468 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $413 | -5% $461 | +0% $509 | +5% $557 | +10% $604 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $545 | -0.5pp $527 | base $509 | +0.5pp $490 | +1.0pp $471 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,000
- Closing costs
- $2,160
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 14 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 264 Sewanee Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1217 | $995 | $0.82 | 24d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 4539 Ritchey Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1144 | $1,250 | $1.09 | 44d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 723 Glenmont Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1018 | $1,000 | $0.98 | 44d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 4567 Meadowmont Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $800 | $0.88 | 44d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 1818 Saint Charles St Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 1.0 | 983 | $995 | $1.01 | 44d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 2829 Comfort St Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1260 | $1,250 | $0.99 | 24d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 2829 Comfort St Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1260 | $1,250 | $0.99 | 14d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 309 S Denver St Jackson, MS | 4.0 | 3.5 | 1500 | $2,500 | $1.67 | 44d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 255 S Prentiss St Jackson, MS | 2.0 | 1.0 | 729 | $1,000 | $1.37 | 44d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 2157 Ludlow Ave Unit Na Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1123 | $1,450 | $1.29 | 14d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 2157 Ludlow Ave Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1123 | $1,300 | $1.16 | 44d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 3856 Noble St Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1357 | $1,231 | $0.91 | 24d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 3856 Noble St Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1357 | $1,231 | $0.91 | 44d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 3625 Liberty St Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1056 | $1,190 | $1.13 | 14d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $72,000 Active 314 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $72,000 Active 313 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $72,000 Active 312 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $72,000 Active 311 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $72,000 Active 309 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $72,000 Active 308 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $72,000 Active 306 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $72,000 Active 305 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $72,000 Active 304 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $72,000 Active 303 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $72,000 Active 300 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $72,000 Active 299 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $72,000 Active 298 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $72,000 Active 297 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $72,000 Active 296 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $72,000 Active 295 DOM
-
2026-05-15price $850
-
2025-12-31price $875
-
2025-10-05$1,000
-
2025-08-08$72,000 Active 230-char remark
Show marketing remark (230 chars)
Fully updated 3-bedroom, 1-bath home featuring a modern kitchen, upgraded bathroom, new flooring, and contemporary fixtures throughout. Ideal for investors seeking strong rental potential or a reliable addition to their portfolio.
-
2024-08-07historical $900
-
2024-06-22$900
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2023-06-29soldstatus
-
1997-07-10soldstatus
-
1983-02-28soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $496 · $41/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $569 · $47/mo
- Expected delta
- +$72/yr (+$6/mo · 14.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 6 d/yr ≥109°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,546
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,033
- − Property taxes
- −$496
- − Insurance
- −$360
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,164
- − Management
- −$1,164
- − Depreciation
- −$2,095
- Taxable income
- $5,235
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,256
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,848/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jackson Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 2802190
- Math proficiency
- 9% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 18% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,234
- Composite
- 10.89/100
- National rank
- #9755
- State rank
- #112 of 130 in MS
Livability — Jackson
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #66
- US rank
- #9695
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Jackson, MS
- County
- Hinds County · 167,040 people
- City population
- 140,204
- Metro
- Jackson, MS
- Population (ZIP)
- 25,776
- Household income
- $36,344
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1627.0
Population outlook (Hinds County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 242,528 people
- By 2030
- 241,113 · -0.6%
- By 2040
- 235,557 · -2.9%
- By 2050
- 226,946 · -6.4%
- By 2075
- 199,995 · -17.5%
- By 2100
- 164,165 · -32.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 90% White 7% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Hinds
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+46.1) · D 72.4% · R 26.3% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.1pp toward D · 2008: 39.0pp · 2024: 46.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+46.1 2020: D+48.3 2016: D+43.7 2012: D+45.1 2008: D+39.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 22.28%
- Current HPI
- 312.6754
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Jackson, MS
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
-98.6% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Price Changed $850 BUILDIUM
- 2025-12-31 Price Changed $875 BUILDIUM
- 2025-10-05 Listed for Rent $1,000 BUILDIUM
- 2025-08-08 Listed $72,000 MLSU
- 2024-08-07 Rental Removed $900 BUILDIUM
- 2024-06-22 Listed for Rent $900 BUILDIUM
- 2023-06-29 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1997-07-10 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1983-02-28 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+0.9%/yrLatest (2025): $496 · -0.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…