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196 S Alabama Ave
B+ Composite 76.99
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.1/10.0

$72,000

196 S Alabama Ave · Jackson, MS 39209
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,151 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 314 Days on market
Built 1946 6,969 sqft lot $63/sqft · 146% above area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Fully updated 3-bedroom, 1-bath home featuring a modern kitchen, upgraded bathroom, new flooring, and contemporary fixtures throughout. Ideal for investors seeking strong rental potential or a reliable addition to their portfolio.

Key facts

  • Upgraded bathroom
  • New flooring
  • Modern kitchen

Tags

MODERN KITCHENUPGRADED BATHROOMNEW FLOORINGCONTEMPORARY FIXTURES

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $72k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $509 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $72k).
  • Recommended offer: $63k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 14.8% vs local median 9.9% in Jackson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#66 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, employment F.
  • Jackson Public School District (urban): math 9% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #112 of 130 in MS (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 88% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 165 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 57% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 167 units permitted in Hinds County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($36k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $8k of equity ($498 loan paydown + $7k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Hinds County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 314 days — a 12% lower offer ($63k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask is 7100% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1946 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $63,360 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 314 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1946 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.68%
Cap rate
14.77%
Cash-on-cash
30.28%
DSCR
2.35
GRM
4.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$29,227
List price
$72,000
Delta
146.35%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
269 O Ferrell Ave 0.06mi 3/1.0 1,036 (-10%) 3mo $22,000 $21 78
270 Myer Ave 0.30mi 3/1.5 1,175 (+2%) 8mo $74,999 $64 74
2629 Latimer Ave 0.59mi 3/1.0 1,063 (-8%) 3mo $19,000 $18 58
220 Lemly Ave 0.25mi 3/1.5 1,036 (-10%) 15mo $66,800 $64 57
350 Houston Ave 0.49mi 3/1.0 1,064 (-8%) 11mo $29,000 $27 56
3384 Casa Grande Cir 0.72mi 3/2.0 1,182 (+3%) 6mo $90,000 $76 53
409 Houston Ave 0.51mi 3/2.0 988 (-14%) 8mo $25,000 $25 42
34 Garden Cir 0.74mi 3/2.0 1,221 (+6%) 20mo $79,900 $65 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
47.3%
Equity multiple
4.55×
Total profit
$71,600
Equity at exit
$64,863
10-year hold
IRR
41.1%
Equity multiple
10.19×
Total profit
$185,350
Equity at exit
$139,880

Cash invested: $20,160 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Mississippi
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

ZIP-level market 39209

Home prices YoY
7.7%
Active inventory
165
Price-to-rent
4.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,212 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$378
Tax from tax record
$41 /mo · $496/yr
Insurance
$30
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$255
Net cashflow
$509

Break-even live

Break-even rent $568
Max offer price $72,000
Occupancy floor 53%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $549 -5% $529 +0% $509 +5% $488 +10% $468
Rent -10% $413 -5% $461 +0% $509 +5% $557 +10% $604
Rate -1.0pp $545 -0.5pp $527 base $509 +0.5pp $490 +1.0pp $471

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,000
Closing costs
$2,160
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 14 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
264 Sewanee Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 1.0 1217 $995 $0.82 24d 1 0.48mi
4539 Ritchey Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1144 $1,250 $1.09 44d 1 0.63mi
723 Glenmont Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 1.0 1018 $1,000 $0.98 44d 1 1.00mi
4567 Meadowmont Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 1.0 912 $800 $0.88 44d 1 1.01mi
1818 Saint Charles St Jackson, MS 3.0 1.0 983 $995 $1.01 44d 1 1.09mi
2829 Comfort St Jackson, MS 3.0 1.5 1260 $1,250 $0.99 24d 1 1.26mi
2829 Comfort St Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1260 $1,250 $0.99 14d 1 1.26mi
309 S Denver St Jackson, MS 4.0 3.5 1500 $2,500 $1.67 44d 1 1.30mi
255 S Prentiss St Jackson, MS 2.0 1.0 729 $1,000 $1.37 44d 1 1.38mi
2157 Ludlow Ave Unit Na Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1123 $1,450 $1.29 14d 1 1.47mi
2157 Ludlow Ave Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1123 $1,300 $1.16 44d 1 1.47mi
3856 Noble St Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1357 $1,231 $0.91 24d 1 1.48mi
3856 Noble St Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1357 $1,231 $0.91 44d 1 1.48mi
3625 Liberty St Jackson, MS 3.0 1.0 1056 $1,190 $1.13 14d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 25 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $72,000 Active 314 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $72,000 Active 313 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $72,000 Active 312 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $72,000 Active 311 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $72,000 Active 309 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $72,000 Active 308 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $72,000 Active 306 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $72,000 Active 305 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $72,000 Active 304 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $72,000 Active 303 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $72,000 Active 300 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $72,000 Active 299 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $72,000 Active 298 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $72,000 Active 297 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $72,000 Active 296 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $72,000 Active 295 DOM
  17. 2026-05-15
    price $850
  18. 2025-12-31
    price $875
  19. 2025-10-05
    listed $1,000
  20. 2025-08-08
    listed $72,000 Active 230-char remark
    Show marketing remark (230 chars)

    Fully updated 3-bedroom, 1-bath home featuring a modern kitchen, upgraded bathroom, new flooring, and contemporary fixtures throughout. Ideal for investors seeking strong rental potential or a reliable addition to their portfolio.

  21. 2024-08-07
    historical $900
  22. 2024-06-22
    listed $900
  23. 2023-06-29
    soldstatus
  24. 1997-07-10
    soldstatus
  25. 1983-02-28
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$496 · $41/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$569 · $47/mo
Expected delta
+$72/yr (+$6/mo · 14.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 6 d/yr ≥109°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,546
− Mortgage interest
−$4,033
− Property taxes
−$496
− Insurance
−$360
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,164
− Management
−$1,164
− Depreciation
−$2,095
Taxable income
$5,235
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,256
After-tax cash flow
$4,848/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Jackson Public School District
NCES district ID
2802190
Math proficiency
9% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
18% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$33,234
Composite
10.89/100
National rank
#9755
State rank
#112 of 130 in MS

Livability — Jackson

Score
68/100
State rank
#66
US rank
#9695

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Jackson, MS
County
Hinds County · 167,040 people
City population
140,204
Metro
Jackson, MS
Population (ZIP)
25,776
Household income
$36,344
Rent vs Own
52.3% rent · 47.7% own
Severe rent burden
1627.0

Population outlook (Hinds County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
242,528 people
By 2030
241,113 · -0.6%
By 2040
235,557 · -2.9%
By 2050
226,946 · -6.4%
By 2075
199,995 · -17.5%
By 2100
164,165 · -32.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (90%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 90% White 7% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Hinds

2024 margin
Solid D (+46.1) · D 72.4% · R 26.3% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
+7.1pp toward D · 2008: 39.0pp · 2024: 46.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+46.1 2020: D+48.3 2016: D+43.7 2012: D+45.1 2008: D+39.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 22.28%
Current HPI
312.6754
Rent YoY
Metro
Jackson, MS
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

-98.6% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-15 Price Changed $850 BUILDIUM
  • 2025-12-31 Price Changed $875 BUILDIUM
  • 2025-10-05 Listed for Rent $1,000 BUILDIUM
  • 2025-08-08 Listed $72,000 MLSU
  • 2024-08-07 Rental Removed $900 BUILDIUM
  • 2024-06-22 Listed for Rent $900 BUILDIUM
  • 2023-06-29 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1997-07-10 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1983-02-28 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+0.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $496 · -0.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…