4333 SW 69th Ter · Gainesville, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$115,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
CALL LA FOR DISC. 5+ Units.
Key facts
- Oversized yard
- Indoor laundry room
- 2024 hvac
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property type: Residential townhouse; Zoning: R-2; Total living area approximately 1,120 sq ft; Lot size approximately 0.14 acres
- Financial info: No lease restrictions indicated
- HOA & community: Has HOA; fees required — $90 annually ($7.50 monthly); association name to be determined; Pets allowed; Community: Green Leaf
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available; Natural gas available
- Home design: Residential townhouse; Fixer condition; Two stories; Faces west; Corner lot
- Construction: Frame construction with wood siding; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built as part of building number 4333
- Exterior features: Porch (screened); Exterior storage
Interior
- Kitchen: No appliances included
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: Laminate flooring; Tile flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fans
- Laundry & utility: Indoor laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/3.0-bath townhouse listed at $115k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $554 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $115k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#97 in FL, #1,480 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D+, crime F.
- Alachua (urban): math 49% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #30 of 73 in FL (top 41%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Kimball Wiles Elementary School (math 67% / reading 64%, grade B+, #500 of 2,144 statewide, top 24%, 862 students, 48% FRL); Kanapaha Middle School (math 54% / reading 54%, grade B-, #196 of 571 statewide, top 36%, 1,094 students, 53% FRL); F. W. Buchholz High School (math 49% / reading 66%, grade C, #125 of 667 statewide, top 19%, 2,540 students, 36% FRL) — zoned schools at 46% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.9%/yr); 605 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,774 units permitted in Alachua County in 2024 (984 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $795 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Alachua County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.9% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 29y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $99k; 16% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.59% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.08%
- Cash-on-cash
- 20.66%
- DSCR
- 1.92
- GRM
- 5.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.89% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 12.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.51×
- Total profit
- $16,549
- Equity at exit
- $17,147
- IRR
- 21.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.84×
- Total profit
- $59,384
- Equity at exit
- $9,943
Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32608
- Rents YoY
- 2.9%
- Active inventory
- 605
- Price-to-rent
- 5.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,825 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$603
- Tax from tax record
- −$229 /mo · $2,751/yr
- Insurance
- −$48
- HOA
- −$7
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$383
- Net cashflow
- $554
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $619 | -5% $587 | +0% $554 | +5% $522 | +10% $489 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $410 | -5% $482 | +0% $554 | +5% $626 | +10% $698 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $612 | -0.5pp $584 | base $554 | +0.5pp $524 | +1.0pp $494 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,750
- Closing costs
- $3,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5333 SW 75th St Gainesville, FL | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0–2.5 | 1349 | $1,769 | $1.31 | 22d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 6001 SW 75th Ter Gainesville, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1119 | $1,797 | $1.61 | 15d | 17 | 1.03mi |
| 4781 SW 36th Rd Gainesville, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1137 | $2,340 | $2.06 | 15d | 61 | 1.35mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $7 · $84/yr
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $115,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $115,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $115,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $115,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-15remarks 667-char remark
-
2026-06-15$115,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,751 · $229/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,751 · $229/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,897
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,442
- − Property taxes
- −$2,751
- − Insurance
- −$575
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,752
- − Management
- −$1,752
- − HOA
- −$84
- − Depreciation
- −$3,345
- Taxable income
- $5,196
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,247
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,404/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Alachua
- NCES district ID
- 1200030
- Math proficiency
- 49% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,683
- Composite
- 43.31/100
- National rank
- #3038
- State rank
- #30 of 73 in FL
Livability — Gainesville
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #97
- US rank
- #1480
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Alachua County · 218,005 people
- City population
- 188,348
- Metro
- Gainesville, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 54,566
- Household income
- $61,588
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 4709.0
Population outlook (Alachua County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 289,834 people
- By 2030
- 305,873 · +5.5%
- By 2040
- 335,246 · +15.7%
- By 2050
- 364,719 · +25.8%
- By 2075
- 436,665 · +50.7%
- By 2100
- 482,920 · +66.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 55% Hispanic / Latino 16% Black 13% Asian 12% Two or more races 11%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 4% Cuban 4%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Italian 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 19% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 75% English-only · Spanish 10% Other Indo-European 5% Chinese 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Alachua
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+21.0) · D 59.7% · R 38.8% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -0.6pp no change · 2008: 21.6pp · 2024: 21.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+21.0 2020: D+27.2 2016: D+22.5 2012: D+17.3 2008: D+21.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -150.91%
- Current HPI
- 253.0629
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.89%
- Metro
- Gainesville, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+148.9% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-14 Listed $115,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-02-09 Sold (Public Records) $99,000 Public Records
- 2000-05-18 Sold (Public Records) $48,500 Public Records
- 1997-12-02 Sold (Public Records) $47,000 Public Records
- 1997-11-21 Sold (MLS) $47,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1997-11-03 Listed $47,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1984-12-01 Sold (Public Records) $49,000 Public Records
- 1983-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $46,200 Public Records
Property tax history
+9.6%/yrLatest (2025): $2,751 · +6.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…