Duplex
361 -363 Black Rock Rd · Penn, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 11.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.2/30.0
- DSCR +9.5/10.0
- 1% rule +7.4/10.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Livability +2.8/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$230,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
A fantastic two-unit apartment / investment property in excellent condition, situated in the highly sought-after Penn Township, Southwestern Schools / Hanover region. Both units are currently occupied by long-term month-to-month tenants. This multi-unit residence features a spacious parking area and a generous backyard, complete with a sizable two-unit shed for tenant storage requirements. Please see floor plans with room dimensions for each unit, posted in photos.
Key facts
- Investment property
- Two unit apartment
- Generous backyard
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: No rent control
- Financial info: Two total units with month-to-month leases (both currently leased); Gross scheduled income: $22,020; Total actual rent: $21,300; Net operating income: $15,843; Operating expenses: $11,761; Income includes apartment rentals and other
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street parking; Other parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas available; Electric available with circuit breakers; Cable TV available; Cable internet service; Phone service available; Electric hot water
- Home design: Detached structure; Good overall condition; Fee simple ownership
- Construction: Brick construction; Block foundation; Asphalt shingle roof; Building not winterized; Built (year per assessor)
- Exterior features: Balcony; Patio(s); Porch(es); Storage barn/shed; Above-ground utilities available
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen modifications (accessible)
- Bedrooms: One 1-bedroom unit; One 2-bedroom unit
- Heating & cooling: Heat pump with gas backup; Central air conditioning (electric)
- Interior features: Accessible switches and outlets; Kitchen modifications for accessibility; Unfinished, poured concrete basement with outside entrance and partial daylight
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 2-bed/1-bath units multifamily listed at $230k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $658 ($8k/yr) — positive. Per door: $329/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $230k).
- Recommended offer: $223k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 56/100 on livability (#1,637 in PA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, amenities F, commute F.
- South Western SD (suburban): math 37% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #206 of 539 in PA (top 38%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: South Western Shs (math 83% / reading 75%, grade A-, #20 of 437 statewide, top 4%, 1,299 students, 31% FRL).
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 79% at this address vs 46% district-wide (+32 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the South Western SD average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.7%/yr); 386 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 1,328 units permitted in York County in 2024 (338 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($79k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.7% rent growth), your $64k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($223k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.24% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.73%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.26%
- DSCR
- 1.55
- GRM
- 6.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $186,028
- List price
- $230,000
- Delta
- 23.64%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 4 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.67% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 3.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.15×
- Total profit
- $9,546
- Equity at exit
- $34,294
- IRR
- 14.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.29×
- Total profit
- $83,090
- Equity at exit
- $19,886
Cash invested: $64,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 17331
- Home prices YoY
- -33.8%
- Rents YoY
- 4.7%
- Active inventory
- 386
- Price-to-rent
- 13.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,845 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,206
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$288 /mo · $3,450/yr
- Insurance
- −$96
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$597
- Net cashflow
- $658
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $817 | -5% $738 | +0% $658 | +5% $579 | +10% $499 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $433 | -5% $546 | +0% $658 | +5% $770 | +10% $883 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $774 | -0.5pp $717 | base $658 | +0.5pp $598 | +1.0pp $538 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 1 | $2,846 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $1,423 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $1,423 |
| Total (2 units) | $2,845 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $57,500
- Closing costs
- $6,900
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $230,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $230,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $230,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $230,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $230,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $230,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $230,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $230,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $230,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $230,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $230,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $230,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-01pricestatus $230,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-05-08$240,000 Active 469-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 11% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $34,140
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,884
- − Property taxes
- −$3,450
- − Insurance
- −$1,150
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,731
- − Management
- −$2,731
- − Depreciation
- −$6,691
- Taxable income
- $4,503
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,081
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,816/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo
This two-unit apartment is in excellent condition with no major repairs needed. It offers a good investment opportunity in a sought-after location.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior trim — Enhances curb appeal and resale value
- Both Clean gutters — Improves drainage and overall appearance
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint exterior trim — Enhances curb appeal and resale value ↑
- Both Clean gutters — Improves drainage and overall appearance ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- South Western SD
- NCES district ID
- 4222470
- Math proficiency
- 37% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $67,689
- Composite
- 41.5/100
- National rank
- #3456
- State rank
- #206 of 539 in PA
Livability — Penn
- Score
- 56/100
- State rank
- #1637
- US rank
- #22584
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Parkville, PA
- County
- York County · 278,806 people
- Metro
- York-Hanover, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 56,443
- Household income
- $79,488
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1076.0
Population outlook (York County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 454,205 people
- By 2030
- 457,407 · +0.7%
- By 2040
- 457,529 · +0.7%
- By 2050
- 448,261 · -1.3%
- By 2075
- 427,388 · -5.9%
- By 2100
- 384,218 · -15.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 7% Black 3% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · York
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+25.3) · D 36.9% · R 62.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.7pp toward R · 2008: -13.6pp · 2024: -25.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+25.3 2020: R+24.6 2016: R+29.3 2012: R+21.2 2008: R+13.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -128.48%
- Current HPI
- 251.8974
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.67%
- Metro
- York-Hanover, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
-4.2% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-01 Price Changed $230,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-06-01 Relisted — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-19 Contingent — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-08 Listed $240,000 BRIGHT MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…