109 Rice Ave · Bellwood, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $2,026 – $9,024
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Cash flow +3.0/30.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.4/10.0
- 1% rule +0.8/10.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$299,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- 6,250 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1955
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No master association fee required
Exterior
- Parking: Detached owned garage; Two garage spaces (two total parking spaces)
- Utilities: Lake Michigan and public water supply; Public sewer; 100 amp electric service with circuit breakers
- Home design: Detached single-family home; One-story design; Fee simple ownership
- Construction: Brick construction; Built 71–80 years ago; Property built before 1978
- Exterior features: Flood zone; Lot dimensions approximately 50 x 125; Lot under 0.25 acre
Interior
- Kitchen: Main-level kitchen (17 x 8)
- Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on main level (including a master bedroom); One additional bedroom in the basement; Option for a third bedroom
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; Bathroom located in the basement
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Finished full basement; Eight total rooms
- Laundry & utility: Basement laundry room (21 x 7)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $300k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-17k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $131k (56.3% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $173k (42.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $131k (56.3% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 2.4% vs local median 5.3% in Bellwood — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#155 in IL, #2,847 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D+, schools F, amenities F.
- Proviso Twp Hsd 209 (suburban): math 12% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #507 of 620 in IL (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 43 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $28k; list at $300k implies a 952% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price; flood insurance adds $460/mo; built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.58% ✗
- Cap rate
- 2.40%
- Cash-on-cash
- -13.90%
- DSCR
- 0.38
- GRM
- 14.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $247,250
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 119 Rice Ave | 0.02mi | 3/1.0 | 989 (0%) | 1mo | $225,000 | $228 | 94 |
| 203 Rice Ave | 0.12mi | 3/1.0 | 989 (0%) | 2mo | $155,000 | $157 | 89 |
| 99 Bellwood Ave | 0.19mi | 3/1.5 | 1,012 (+2%) | 1mo | $175,000 | $173 | 84 |
| 236 Bohland Ave | 0.25mi | 3/1.0 | 1,025 (+4%) | 2mo | $220,000 | $215 | 77 |
| 225 Marshall Ave | 0.30mi | 3/1.0 | 1,025 (+4%) | 2mo | $280,000 | $273 | 74 |
| 253 Park Ct | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 | 960 (-3%) | 3mo | $319,900 | $333 | 72 |
| 317 Frederick Ave | 0.47mi | 3/1.0 | 961 (-3%) | 2mo | $213,000 | $222 | 67 |
| 1404 N 36th Ave | 0.62mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,012 (+2%) | 0mo | $350,000 | $346 | 62 |
| 609 Linden Ave | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 | 1,008 (+2%) | 2mo | $241,000 | $239 | 61 |
| 1528 N 39th Ave | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 | 924 (-7%) | 0mo | $320,000 | $346 | 54 |
| 1502 N 35th Ave | 0.67mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,031 (+4%) | 1mo | $280,000 | $272 | 52 |
| 307 Geneva Ave | 0.74mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,000 (+1%) | 3mo | $250,000 | $250 | 52 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -58.6%
- Equity multiple
- -0.66×
- Total profit
- $-139,417
- Equity at exit
- $44,716
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- -1.82×
- Total profit
- $-237,037
- Equity at exit
- $25,930
Cash invested: $83,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 60104
- Active inventory
- 43
- Price-to-rent
- 14.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,729 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,573
- Tax from tax record
- −$641 /mo · $7,690/yr
- Insurance
- −$125
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$460 /mo · $5,525/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$363
- Net cashflow
- $-1,433
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-1,264 | -5% $-1,349 | +0% $-1,433 | +5% $-1,518 | +10% $-1,603 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-1,570 | -5% $-1,502 | +0% $-1,433 | +5% $-1,365 | +10% $-1,297 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-1,282 | -0.5pp $-1,357 | base $-1,433 | +0.5pp $-1,511 | +1.0pp $-1,590 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $74,975
- Closing costs
- $8,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3108 Saint Charles Rd Unit 2B Bellwood, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,550 | $2.07 | 25d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 12 23rd Ave Melrose Park, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,775 | $2.09 | 13d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 12 23rd Ave Melrose Park, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,775 | $2.09 | 22d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 312 23rd Ave Unit 2 Bellwood, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,775 | $2.09 | 22d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 323 22nd Ave Unit G Bellwood, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,750 | $2.33 | 25d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 1013 Bellwood Ave Unit 2W Bellwood, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $1,850 | $2.00 | 21d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 1104 Rice Ave Bellwood, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 995 | $1,725 | $1.73 | 23d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 1419 N 16th Ave Melrose Park, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,650 | $1.65 | 0d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 218 S 13th Ave Unit 2 Maywood, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,650 | $1.57 | 6d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 631 Balmoral Ave Westchester, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 903 | $2,100 | $2.33 | 25d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-06-21statusdays on market $299,900 Pending 12 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $299,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $299,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $299,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $299,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $299,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $299,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $299,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-08$299,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $7,690 · $641/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $7,690 · $641/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone AE · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,743
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,799
- − Property taxes
- −$7,690
- − Insurance
- −$7,024
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,659
- − Management
- −$1,659
- − Depreciation
- −$8,724
- Taxable loss
- −$22,814
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$5,475
- After-tax cash flow
- $-11,725/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Proviso Twp Hsd 209
- NCES district ID
- 1732910
- Math proficiency
- 12% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 17% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,744
- Composite
- 13.5/100
- National rank
- #9518
- State rank
- #507 of 620 in IL
Livability — Bellwood
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #155
- US rank
- #2847
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Bellwood, IL
- City population
- 18,390
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,390
Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,347,519 people
- By 2030
- 5,357,703 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 5,324,924 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 5,230,762 · -2.2%
- By 2075
- 4,785,735 · -10.5%
- By 2100
- 4,188,836 · -21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (70%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 70% Hispanic / Latino 23% Two or more races 7% White 4% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 18% Puerto Rican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 78% English-only · Spanish 20% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cook
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -212.49%
- Current HPI
- 290.8215
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
||
| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
||
Price history
+952.3% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-07 Listed $299,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-06-07 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1977-04-11 Sold (Public Records) $28,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+12.9%/yrLatest (2023): $7,690 · +63.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…