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4210 Chennault Ave
B- Composite 69.49
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.1/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0

$24,900

4210 Chennault Ave · Jackson, MS 39209
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 676 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 165 Days on market
Built 1947 6,098 sqft lot $37/sqft · 40% above area Est $18k · 40% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Great investment opportunity! This 2-bedroom, 1-bath home offers strong potential with a little TLC. Conveniently located near Jackson State University and Downtown Jackson, making it ideal for rental income or future resale.

Key facts

  • 6,098 sq ft lot
  • Built 1947
  • Listed 165 days

Tags

INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITYNEAR JACKSON STATE UNIVERSITYNEAR DOWNTOWN JACKSON

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $25k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $128 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($932 rent vs $25k).
  • Recommended offer: $22k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 33.0% vs local median 9.9% in Jackson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#66 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, employment F.
  • Jackson Public School District (urban): math 9% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #112 of 130 in MS (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 88% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 165 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 167 units permitted in Hinds County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($36k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $3k of equity ($172 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Hinds County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $7k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 165 days — a 12% lower offer ($22k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; built in 1947 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $21,912 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 165 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1947 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.74%
Cap rate
33.03%
Cash-on-cash
95.49%
DSCR
5.25
GRM
2.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$17,760
List price
$24,900
Delta
40.21%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
6 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4204 Halsey Ave 0.30mi 2/1.0 700 (+4%) 16mo $24,000 $34 67
229 Sollitt St 0.49mi 2/1.0 753 (+11%) 1mo $15,000 $20 57
4308 Patch Ave 0.08mi 2/1.0 772 (+14%) 20mo $19,500 $25 56

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
41.2%
Equity multiple
4.16×
Total profit
$22,013
Equity at exit
$22,432
10-year hold
IRR
35.8%
Equity multiple
9.46×
Total profit
$58,961
Equity at exit
$48,375

Cash invested: $6,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Mississippi
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

ZIP-level market 39209

Home prices YoY
7.7%
Active inventory
165
Price-to-rent
2.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$932 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$131
Tax from tax record
$41 /mo · $490/yr
Insurance
$10
Flood insurance flood zone
−$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$196
Net cashflow
$128

Break-even live

Break-even rent $770
Max offer price $24,900
Occupancy floor 81%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$6,225
Closing costs
$747
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
205 Lindsey Dr Jackson, MS 2.0 1.0 676 $850 $1.26 43d 1 0.25mi
3875 South Dr Jackson, MS 1.0 1.5 700 $900 $1.29 13d 1 0.40mi
2840 Robinson St Jackson, MS 1.0 1.0 750 $1,040 $1.39 43d 1 0.66mi
2840 Robinson St Jackson, MS 1.0 1.0 702 $995 $1.42 23d 1 0.66mi

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $24,900 Active 165 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $24,900 Active 164 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $24,900 Active 163 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $24,900 Active 162 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $24,900 Active 160 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $24,900 Active 159 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $24,900 Active 157 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $24,900 Active 156 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $24,900 Active 155 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $24,900 Active 154 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $24,900 Active 151 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $24,900 Active 150 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $24,900 Active 149 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $24,900 Active 148 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $24,900 Active 147 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $24,900 Active 146 DOM
  17. 2026-01-04
    listed $24,900 Active 225-char remark
    Show marketing remark (225 chars)

    Great investment opportunity! This 2-bedroom, 1-bath home offers strong potential with a little TLC. Conveniently located near Jackson State University and Downtown Jackson, making it ideal for rental income or future resale.

  18. 2009-12-30
    soldstatus
  19. 2001-09-13
    soldstatus
  20. 1976-06-11
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$490 · $41/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$490 · $41/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone AE · 67% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,188
− Mortgage interest
−$1,395
− Property taxes
−$490
− Insurance
−$5,243
− Repairs & maintenance
−$895
− Management
−$895
− Depreciation
−$724
Taxable income
$1,546
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$371
After-tax cash flow
$1,168/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Jackson Public School District
NCES district ID
2802190
Math proficiency
9% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
18% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$33,234
Composite
10.89/100
National rank
#9755
State rank
#112 of 130 in MS

Livability — Jackson

Score
68/100
State rank
#66
US rank
#9695

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Jackson, MS
County
Hinds County · 167,040 people
City population
140,204
Metro
Jackson, MS
Population (ZIP)
25,776
Household income
$36,344
Rent vs Own
52.3% rent · 47.7% own
Severe rent burden
1627.0

Population outlook (Hinds County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
242,528 people
By 2030
241,113 · -0.6%
By 2040
235,557 · -2.9%
By 2050
226,946 · -6.4%
By 2075
199,995 · -17.5%
By 2100
164,165 · -32.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (90%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 90% White 7% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Hinds

2024 margin
Solid D (+46.1) · D 72.4% · R 26.3% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
+7.1pp toward D · 2008: 39.0pp · 2024: 46.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+46.1 2020: D+48.3 2016: D+43.7 2012: D+45.1 2008: D+39.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 22.28%
Current HPI
312.6754
Rent YoY
Metro
Jackson, MS
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-01-04 Listed $24,900 MLSU
  • 2009-12-30 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2001-09-13 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1976-06-11 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+0.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $490 · +0.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…