249 French Rd · Depew, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.8/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$99,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
OPPORTUNITY for homeowner or investor to purchase a 3 bedroom/1 bath house at a reasonable price. Large lot, attached garage, formal dining area & large bonus/laundry room. Close to all amenities & public transportation. Property to be sold cash, as-is. Proof of funds required with all offers.
Key facts
- Attached garage
- Large lot
- Formal dining area
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage (approximately 1.5 car)
- Utilities: Public water connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: Single-story home; Vinyl siding; Existing/resale condition
- Construction: Vinyl siding construction
- Exterior features: Concrete driveway; Corner lot; Near public transit; Rectangular residential lot; City street frontage
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas oven; Gas range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 3 main-level bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Ceramic tile; Vinyl; Varied flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating
- Interior features: Separate/formal dining room
- Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $602 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $100k).
- Cap rate 13.5% vs local median 3.7% in Depew — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#408 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, cost of living A-, health & safety A-; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Depew Union Free School District (suburban): math 39% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #461 of 590 in NY (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.8%/yr); 124 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 75% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.8% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $74k; 36% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.64% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.53%
- Cash-on-cash
- 25.83%
- DSCR
- 2.15
- GRM
- 5.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $286,845
- List price
- $99,900
- Delta
- -65.17%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 223 French Rd | 0.06mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,607 (+11%) | 3mo | $270,000 | $168 | 67 |
| 37 Rossiter Ave | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 | 1,508 (+4%) | 5mo | $275,000 | $182 | 59 |
| 50 Harvard Ave | 0.31mi | 3/1.0 | 1,260 (-13%) | 7mo | $230,000 | $183 | 58 |
| 209 Harvard Ave | 0.50mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,584 (+9%) | 2mo | $209,000 | $132 | 55 |
| 128 University Ave | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 | 1,309 (-10%) | 7mo | $260,000 | $199 | 54 |
| 100 Beverly Dr | 0.40mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,596 (+10%) | 2mo | $325,000 | $204 | 54 |
| 35 Lindan Dr | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 | 1,546 (+7%) | 4mo | $265,000 | $171 | 48 |
| 119 Lee St | 0.54mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,608 (+11%) | 1mo | $310,119 | $193 | 46 |
| 215 Harvard Ave | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 | 1,636 (+13%) | 6mo | $270,000 | $165 | 46 |
| 883 Sherwood Ct | 0.48mi | 2/2.5 (-1) | 1,304 (-10%) | 5mo | $252,000 | $193 | 46 |
| 323 Rehm Rd | 0.75mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,536 (+6%) | 1mo | $317,000 | $206 | 46 |
| 50 Vanderbilt Ave | 0.47mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,652 (+14%) | 5mo | $220,000 | $133 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.75% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 22.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.96×
- Total profit
- $26,842
- Equity at exit
- $14,895
- IRR
- 32.3%
- Equity multiple
- 4.33×
- Total profit
- $93,056
- Equity at exit
- $8,638
Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14043
- Home prices YoY
- -34.2%
- Rents YoY
- 5.8%
- Active inventory
- 124
- Price-to-rent
- 5.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,636 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$125 /mo · $1,498/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$344
- Net cashflow
- $602
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $671 | -5% $637 | +0% $602 | +5% $568 | +10% $533 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $473 | -5% $538 | +0% $602 | +5% $667 | +10% $731 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $652 | -0.5pp $628 | base $602 | +0.5pp $576 | +1.0pp $550 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,975
- Closing costs
- $2,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6386 Transit Rd Depew, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1023 | $2,397 | $2.34 | 2d | 62 | 1.13mi |
| 176 Meadowlawn Rd Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $900 | $0.82 | 44d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 136 Sawyer Ave Unit 2 Depew, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,350 | $1.35 | 44d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| Cowing St Lancaster, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1450 | $1,400 | $0.97 | 44d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-05-11status Pending 306-char remark
-
2026-04-28$99,900 Active 306-char remark
-
1996-05-20soldstatus $73,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,634
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,596
- − Property taxes
- −$1,498
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,571
- − Management
- −$1,571
- − Depreciation
- −$2,906
- Taxable income
- $5,992
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,438
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,788/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Depew Union Free School District
- NCES district ID
- 3609030
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▼ -19.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,488
- Composite
- 38.33/100
- National rank
- #4224
- State rank
- #461 of 590 in NY
Livability — Depew
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #408
- US rank
- #7016
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Depew, NY
- County
- Erie County · 714,559 people
- City population
- 25,098
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 25,098
- Household income
- $74,112
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 854.0
Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 933,037 people
- By 2030
- 935,181 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 928,531 · -0.5%
- By 2050
- 905,725 · -2.9%
- By 2075
- 834,037 · -10.6%
- By 2100
- 708,033 · -24.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 91% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 3% Black 2% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 30% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Arabic 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Erie
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -152.13%
- Current HPI
- 292.1082
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.75%
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+35.9% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-11 Pending — WNYREIS
- 2026-04-28 Listed $99,900 WNYREIS
- 1996-05-20 Sold (Public Records) $73,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.5%/yrLatest (2025): $6,026 · +7.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…