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2121 Withnell Ave Fourplex
C+ Composite 64.13
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.7/10.0
  • ARV discount +4.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$300,000

2121 Withnell Ave · St. Louis, MO 63118
20 bd · 4.0 ba · 2,500 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 6 Days on market
Built 1959 6,242 sqft lot $120/sqft · 7% above area Est $281k · 7% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 4 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

Turn-Key 4-Family in the Heart of Benton Park! Exceptional opportunity for an investor to acquire a well-maintained, all-brick four-family in a prime St. Louis location. Each of the four units features a spacious 2-bedroom, 1-bathroom floor plan designed for functionality. Tenants enjoy rare amenities including private, individual basements—perfect for additional storage—along with laundry hookups in each unit’s basement and off-street parking. Situated in the vibrant Benton Park neighborhood, this property offers effortless access to highways, local dining favorites like Sidney Street Cafe and the shopping districts of Cherokee Street. If you are looking to expand your po

Key facts

  • Off street parking
  • Access to highways
  • Laundry hookups

Tags

PRIVATE INDIVIDUAL BASEMENTSLAUNDRY HOOKUPSOFF STREET PARKINGACCESS TO HIGHWAYS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Total of 4 units; Above-grade finished area approximately 2,500 (public records)
  • Financial info: Private ownership

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Electric service by Ameren
  • Home design: Residential income property (2–4 units)
  • Construction: Brick exterior
  • Exterior features: Brick construction; Public lot (0.1433 acre)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Electric oven
  • Bedrooms: Four 2-bedroom units (one unit of 2 bedrooms, two units of 2 bedrooms, three units of 2 bedrooms, four units of 2 bedrooms)
  • Bathrooms: Each unit has 1 bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Dishwasher; Disposal; Electric oven
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry in basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4 × 2-bed/1-bath units multifamily listed at $300k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($20k/yr) — positive. Per door: $413/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $300k).
  • Cap rate 12.9% vs local median 5.0% in St. Louis — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • St. Louis City (urban): math 10% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #312 of 324 in MO (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Adams Elem. (math 2% / reading 8%, grade F, #1,072 of 1,115 statewide, top 98%, 174 students, 98% FRL); Roosevelt High (math 2% / reading 8%, grade F, #517 of 521 statewide, top 100%, 460 students, 99% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 80% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.9%/yr); 243 active listings in the ZIP; 294 units permitted in St. Louis city in 2024 (227 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $4,419/mo this rent would consume 92% of the median local household income ($58k/yr) (locally 1495% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • St. Louis County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.9% rent growth), your $84k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $100k; list at $300k implies a 200% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1959 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $300,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  2. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  3. Built in 1959 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.47%
Cap rate
12.89%
Cash-on-cash
23.58%
DSCR
2.05
GRM
5.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$281,412
List price
$300,000
Delta
6.61%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.89% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
18.7%
Equity multiple
1.77×
Total profit
$64,990
Equity at exit
$44,731
10-year hold
IRR
28.2%
Equity multiple
3.72×
Total profit
$228,154
Equity at exit
$25,939

Cash invested: $84,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 63118

Rents YoY
4.9%
Active inventory
243
Price-to-rent
22.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$4,419 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,573
Tax from tax record
$142 /mo · $1,708/yr
Insurance
$125
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$928
Net cashflow
$1,650

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,330
Max offer price $300,000
Occupancy floor 58%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,820 -5% $1,735 +0% $1,650 +5% $1,566 +10% $1,481
Rent -10% $1,301 -5% $1,476 +0% $1,650 +5% $1,825 +10% $2,000
Rate -1.0pp $1,802 -0.5pp $1,727 base $1,650 +0.5pp $1,573 +1.0pp $1,494

4-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (4 units) $4,419

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$75,000
Closing costs
$9,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-05-14
    listed $300,000 Active 787-char remark
  2. 2026-04-01
    price $350,000
  3. 2026-03-11
    listed $375,000 Active
  4. 2025-07-26
    listed $450,000 Active
  5. 2002-02-11
    soldstatus $100,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,708 · $142/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,910 · $242/mo
Expected delta
+$1,202/yr (+$100/mo · 70.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$53,028
− Mortgage interest
−$16,805
− Property taxes
−$1,708
− Insurance
−$1,500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$4,242
− Management
−$4,242
− Depreciation
−$8,727
Taxable income
$15,804
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,793
After-tax cash flow
$16,012/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
St. Louis City
NCES district ID
2929280
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
18% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$35,685
Composite
11.54/100
National rank
#9699
State rank
#312 of 324 in MO

Livability — St. Louis

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
St. Louis, MO
County
Saint Louis City · 254,015 people
City population
283,259
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
Population (ZIP)
25,913
Household income
$57,762
Rent vs Own
56.1% rent · 43.9% own
Severe rent burden
1495.0

Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
315,737 people
By 2030
313,865 · -0.6%
By 2040
305,439 · -3.3%
By 2050
296,529 · -6.1%
By 2075
271,028 · -14.2%
By 2100
255,359 · -19.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
Race & ethnicity
White 44% Black 41% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 8% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
90% English-only · Spanish 5% Vietnamese 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis

2024 margin
Solid D (+64.7) · D 81.4% · R 16.7% · Other 2.0%
2008→2024 swing
-3.5pp toward R · 2008: 68.2pp · 2024: 64.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+64.7 2020: D+66.2 2016: D+63.7 2012: D+66.6 2008: D+68.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -347.51%
Current HPI
171.5963
Rent YoY
▲ 4.89%
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+200.0% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-20 Pending MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-14 Listed $300,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-01 Price Changed $350,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-11 Listed $375,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-07-26 Listed $450,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2002-02-11 Sold (Public Records) $100,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.6%/yr

Latest (2024): $1,708 · +5.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…