4377 State Route 1146 · Rosepine, LA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +1.0/5.0
$20,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Older mobile home located in the town of Rosepine. The mobile home is in need of repairs and is being sold as is.
Key facts
- 0.36 acre lot
- Built 1965
- Listed 14 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Located in the Rosepine school district
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Manufactured home (single-story, 1 story total); Residential property
- Exterior features: Lot roughly 105' x 148' (about 0.36 acres); Residential zoning; Directions: From Century 21 in DeRidder head north on Hwy 171, then turn east on Hwy 1146; property is on the south side of Hwy 1146.
Interior
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Interior features: 6 total rooms; 1 full bathroom
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $20k. Condition is rated poor.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $968 ($12k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $20k).
- Recommended offer: $20k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#180 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, schools A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
- Vernon Parish (rural): math 35% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #18 of 98 in LA (top 18%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 4 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 26 units permitted in Vernon Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $738 of equity ($138 loan paydown + $600 appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Vernon County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $6k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($20k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 7.00% ✓
- Cap rate
- 64.36%
- Cash-on-cash
- 207.38%
- DSCR
- 10.23
- GRM
- 1.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $139,700
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6905 Evans St | 0.47mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,071 (-3%) | 20mo | $136,500 | $127 | 50 |
| 5236 Carla St | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,260 (+14%) | 13mo | $135,000 | $107 | 31 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 12.44×
- Total profit
- $64,069
- Equity at exit
- $8,993
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 26.31×
- Total profit
- $141,728
- Equity at exit
- $13,859
Cash invested: $5,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70659
- Active inventory
- 4
- Price-to-rent
- 1.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,400 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$105
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$25 /mo · $300/yr
- Insurance
- −$8
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$294
- Net cashflow
- $968
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $982 | -5% $975 | +0% $968 | +5% $961 | +10% $954 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $857 | -5% $912 | +0% $968 | +5% $1,023 | +10% $1,078 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $978 | -0.5pp $973 | base $968 | +0.5pp $963 | +1.0pp $957 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $5,000
- Closing costs
- $600
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1742 Byron Dr Deridder, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,400 | $0.93 | 44d | 1 | 0.64mi |
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $20,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $20,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $20,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $20,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $20,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $20,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $20,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $20,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $20,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $20,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 113-char remark
-
2026-06-07$20,000 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,800
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,120
- − Property taxes
- −$300
- − Insurance
- −$100
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,344
- − Management
- −$1,344
- − Depreciation
- −$582
- Taxable income
- $12,010
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,882
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,731/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 4 photos
This older mobile home requires extensive repairs and updates to improve its condition and increase its value.
Repairs flagged
- Major roof — Significant damage and possible leaks are visible.
- Major exterior siding — The siding is peeling and damaged, requiring replacement.
- Major flooring — The flooring is in poor condition and may need replacement.
- Major interior walls — The walls show signs of water damage and discoloration, requiring repair or replacement.
- Major HVAC system — The system appears old and may need replacement or repair.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale roof replacement — A new roof will significantly improve the home's appearance and increase its value.
- Resale exterior siding repair/replacement — A new exterior siding will improve the home's curb appeal and increase its value.
- Resale flooring replacement — New flooring will improve the home's appearance and increase its value.
- Resale interior wall repair/replacement — Repairing or replacing the interior walls will improve the home's appearance and increase its value.
- Resale HVAC system replacement — A new HVAC system will improve the home's comfort and increase its value.
- Both landscaping — A well-maintained landscape will improve the home's curb appeal and increase its value.
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| roof · Significant damage and possible leaks are visible. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| exterior siding · The siding is peeling and damaged, requiring replacement. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| flooring · The flooring is in poor condition and may need replacement. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| interior walls · The walls show signs of water damage and discoloration, requiring repair or replacement. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| HVAC system · The system appears old and may need replacement or repair. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 5 items | $75,000–250,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale roof replacement — A new roof will significantly improve the home's appearance and increase its value. ↑
- Resale exterior siding repair/replacement — A new exterior siding will improve the home's curb appeal and increase its value. ↑
- Resale flooring replacement — New flooring will improve the home's appearance and increase its value. ↑
- Resale interior wall repair/replacement — Repairing or replacing the interior walls will improve the home's appearance and increase its value. ↑
- Resale HVAC system replacement — A new HVAC system will improve the home's comfort and increase its value. ↑
- Both landscaping — A well-maintained landscape will improve the home's curb appeal and increase its value. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Vernon Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2201830
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▼ -42.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▼ -32.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,822
- Composite
- 36.42/100
- National rank
- #4674
- State rank
- #18 of 98 in LA
Livability — Rosepine
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #180
- US rank
- #14736
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Rosepine, LA
- City population
- 1,543
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,543
Population outlook (Vernon County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 45,401 people
- By 2030
- 43,015 · -5.3%
- By 2040
- 38,171 · -15.9%
- By 2050
- 34,087 · -24.9%
- By 2075
- 28,267 · -37.7%
- By 2100
- 25,486 · -43.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (78%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 78% Black 12% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Cuban 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Vernon
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+67.9) · D 15.6% · R 83.4% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.5pp toward R · 2008: -53.4pp · 2024: -67.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+67.9 2020: R+64.9 2016: R+65.0 2012: R+57.5 2008: R+53.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
|
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| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-04 Listed $20,000 GFPAR
- 2026-04-17 Rental Removed $400 APPFOLIO
- 2026-04-07 Listed for Rent $400 APPFOLIO
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…