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4377 State Route 1146
D+ Composite 47.84
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.0/10.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +1.0/5.0

$20,000

4377 State Route 1146 · Rosepine, LA 70659
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,100 sqft · SingleFamily · 15 Days on market
Built 1965 Poor condition 0.36 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Older mobile home located in the town of Rosepine. The mobile home is in need of repairs and is being sold as is.

Key facts

  • 0.36 acre lot
  • Built 1965
  • Listed 14 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Located in the Rosepine school district

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Manufactured home (single-story, 1 story total); Residential property
  • Exterior features: Lot roughly 105' x 148' (about 0.36 acres); Residential zoning; Directions: From Century 21 in DeRidder head north on Hwy 171, then turn east on Hwy 1146; property is on the south side of Hwy 1146.

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Interior features: 6 total rooms; 1 full bathroom

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $20k. Condition is rated poor.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $968 ($12k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $20k).
  • Recommended offer: $20k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#180 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, schools A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
  • Vernon Parish (rural): math 35% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #18 of 98 in LA (top 18%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 4 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 26 units permitted in Vernon Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $738 of equity ($138 loan paydown + $600 appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
  • Vernon County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $6k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($20k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $19,700 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  2. Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
7.00%
Cap rate
64.36%
Cash-on-cash
207.38%
DSCR
10.23
GRM
1.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$139,700
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
6905 Evans St 0.47mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,071 (-3%) 20mo $136,500 $127 50
5236 Carla St 0.53mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,260 (+14%) 13mo $135,000 $107 31

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
12.44×
Total profit
$64,069
Equity at exit
$8,993
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
26.31×
Total profit
$141,728
Equity at exit
$13,859

Cash invested: $5,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Louisiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; no state rent control; civil-law jurisdiction; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 70659

Active inventory
4
Price-to-rent
1.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,400 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$105
Tax est. 1.5%
$25 /mo · $300/yr
Insurance
$8
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$294
Net cashflow
$968

Break-even live

Break-even rent $175
Max offer price $20,000
Occupancy floor 26%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $982 -5% $975 +0% $968 +5% $961 +10% $954
Rent -10% $857 -5% $912 +0% $968 +5% $1,023 +10% $1,078
Rate -1.0pp $978 -0.5pp $973 base $968 +0.5pp $963 +1.0pp $957

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$5,000
Closing costs
$600
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1742 Byron Dr Deridder, LA 3.0 2.0 1500 $1,400 $0.93 44d 1 0.64mi

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $20,000 Active 15 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $20,000 Active 14 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $20,000 Active 13 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $20,000 Active 12 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $20,000 Active 11 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $20,000 Active 9 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $20,000 Active 8 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $20,000 Active 5 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $20,000 Active 4 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $20,000 Active 3 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    remarks 113-char remark
  12. 2026-06-07
    listed $20,000 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,800
− Mortgage interest
−$1,120
− Property taxes
−$300
− Insurance
−$100
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,344
− Management
−$1,344
− Depreciation
−$582
Taxable income
$12,010
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,882
After-tax cash flow
$8,731/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 4 photos

Poor 20/100 Extensive rehab

This older mobile home requires extensive repairs and updates to improve its condition and increase its value.

Repairs flagged

  • Major roof — Significant damage and possible leaks are visible.
  • Major exterior siding — The siding is peeling and damaged, requiring replacement.
  • Major flooring — The flooring is in poor condition and may need replacement.
  • Major interior walls — The walls show signs of water damage and discoloration, requiring repair or replacement.
  • Major HVAC system — The system appears old and may need replacement or repair.

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale roof replacement — A new roof will significantly improve the home's appearance and increase its value.
  • Resale exterior siding repair/replacement — A new exterior siding will improve the home's curb appeal and increase its value.
  • Resale flooring replacement — New flooring will improve the home's appearance and increase its value.
  • Resale interior wall repair/replacement — Repairing or replacing the interior walls will improve the home's appearance and increase its value.
  • Resale HVAC system replacement — A new HVAC system will improve the home's comfort and increase its value.
  • Both landscaping — A well-maintained landscape will improve the home's curb appeal and increase its value.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
roof · Significant damage and possible leaks are visible. Major $15,000–50,000
exterior siding · The siding is peeling and damaged, requiring replacement. Major $15,000–50,000
flooring · The flooring is in poor condition and may need replacement. Major $15,000–50,000
interior walls · The walls show signs of water damage and discoloration, requiring repair or replacement. Major $15,000–50,000
HVAC system · The system appears old and may need replacement or repair. Major $15,000–50,000
Total estimated repair cost · 5 items $75,000–250,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Resale roof replacement — A new roof will significantly improve the home's appearance and increase its value.
  • Resale exterior siding repair/replacement — A new exterior siding will improve the home's curb appeal and increase its value.
  • Resale flooring replacement — New flooring will improve the home's appearance and increase its value.
  • Resale interior wall repair/replacement — Repairing or replacing the interior walls will improve the home's appearance and increase its value.
  • Resale HVAC system replacement — A new HVAC system will improve the home's comfort and increase its value.
  • Both landscaping — A well-maintained landscape will improve the home's curb appeal and increase its value.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Vernon Parish
NCES district ID
2201830
Math proficiency
35% ▼ -42.00%
Reading proficiency
51% ▼ -32.00%
Median HH income
$44,822
Composite
36.42/100
National rank
#4674
State rank
#18 of 98 in LA

Livability — Rosepine

Score
64/100
State rank
#180
US rank
#14736

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Rosepine, LA
City population
1,543
Population (ZIP)
1,543

Population outlook (Vernon County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
45,401 people
By 2030
43,015 · -5.3%
By 2040
38,171 · -15.9%
By 2050
34,087 · -24.9%
By 2075
28,267 · -37.7%
By 2100
25,486 · -43.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (78%)
Race & ethnicity
White 78% Black 12% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4% Cuban 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Vernon

2024 margin
Solid R (+67.9) · D 15.6% · R 83.4% · Other 1.0%
2008→2024 swing
-14.5pp toward R · 2008: -53.4pp · 2024: -67.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+67.9 2020: R+64.9 2016: R+65.0 2012: R+57.5 2008: R+53.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
Current HPI
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.29%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-04 Listed $20,000 GFPAR
  • 2026-04-17 Rental Removed $400 APPFOLIO
  • 2026-04-07 Listed for Rent $400 APPFOLIO

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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