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2030 170th St
B- Composite 69.56
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +10.1/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$144,000

2030 170th St · Hazel Crest, IL 60429
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,100 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 7 Days on market
Built 1918 Est $153k · 6% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This 3-bedroom, 1-bath ranch features a bright, functional layout with standout features inside and out. You're welcomed by a charming screened-in porch that opens into a sun-filled living room with oversized windows and a warm, inviting feel. The main level includes a modern kitchen with a gas stovetop, ample cabinet space, and excellent natural light. Just off the kitchen is a versatile secondary room-ideal for a home office, den, or flex space-with a designated laundry nook nearby. All bedrooms are generously sized with fresh carpet, ample closet space, and large windows. A full bathroom serves the main floor, while the finished sub-basement adds valuable space for storage or additional

Key facts

  • Screened-in porch
  • Concrete patio
  • Modern kitchen

Tags

SCREENED-IN PORCHMODERN KITCHENVERSATILE SECONDARY ROOMFINISHED SUB-BASEMENTFENCED BACKYARDCONCRETE PATIO

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property assessed using assessor living area source; Built before 1978
  • HOA & community: No master association fee required

Exterior

  • Parking: 1 parking space (total)
  • Utilities: Water source: Lake Michigan; Public sewer
  • Home design: Detached single-family home; One-story layout; Fee simple ownership; Built over 100 years ago; Vinyl siding
  • Construction: Vinyl siding construction
  • Exterior features: Lot less than 1/4 acre; Lot dimensions: 5512

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on main level (14 x 10)
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on main level); Master bedroom on main level (15 x 10); Second bedroom on main level (13 x 11); Third bedroom on main level (12 x 10)
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Partially finished basement
  • Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry room (10 x 6)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $144k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $720 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $144k).
  • Cap rate 12.3% vs local median 8.9% in Hazel Crest — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#229 in IL, #4,242 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D-, crime F.
  • Thornton Twp Hsd 205 (suburban): math 7% / reading 8% proficiency, ranked #594 of 620 in IL (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 80 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 1d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $996 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $40k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 4 sale attempts since 13y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $29k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $40k; list at $144k implies a 260% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price; built in 1918 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $144,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1918 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.63%
Cap rate
12.29%
Cash-on-cash
21.41%
DSCR
1.95
GRM
5.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$152,900
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1924 169th St 0.20mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,086 (-1%) 3mo $189,900 $175 81
16784 Crane Ave 0.34mi 3/1.0 1,059 (-4%) 2mo $155,000 $146 76
16738 Crane Ave 0.38mi 3/1.0 1,059 (-4%) 2mo $147,000 $139 75
16727 Head Ave 0.35mi 3/1.5 1,150 (+4%) 1mo $157,000 $137 74
16876 Head Ave 0.22mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,147 (+4%) 1mo $185,000 $161 73
16628 Winchester Ave 0.45mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,134 (+3%) 1mo $84,000 $74 68
16784 Trapet Ave 0.27mi 3/1.0 970 (-12%) 1mo $96,000 $99 67
16807 Wood St 0.42mi 3/1.0 985 (-10%) 0mo $90,000 $91 62
16444 Wolcott Ave 0.68mi 3/1.5 1,080 (-2%) 3mo $112,500 $104 61
16735 Dixie Hwy 0.29mi 2/1.0 (-1) 965 (-12%) 1mo $153,000 $159 60
16619 Marshfield Ave 0.71mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,150 (+4%) 4mo $240,000 $209 47
17557 Sycamore Dr 0.75mi 2/1.0 (-1) 949 (-14%) 1mo $130,000 $137 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
14.0%
Equity multiple
1.56×
Total profit
$22,610
Equity at exit
$21,471
10-year hold
IRR
22.8%
Equity multiple
2.96×
Total profit
$79,177
Equity at exit
$12,450

Cash invested: $40,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 60429

Home prices YoY
-14.0%
Active inventory
80
Price-to-rent
5.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,341 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$755
Tax from tax record
$315 /mo · $3,778/yr
Insurance
$60
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$492
Net cashflow
$720

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,430
Max offer price $144,000
Occupancy floor 64%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$36,000
Closing costs
$4,320
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 10 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2107 171st St Unit 2107 Hazel Crest, IL 3.0 1.5 1158 $2,300 $1.99 1d 1 0.17mi
2173 171st St Hazel Crest, IL 3.0 1.5 1159 $2,350 $2.03 1d 1 0.22mi
2308 170th St Hazel Crest, IL 3.0 2.0 1020 $2,400 $2.35 1d 1 0.32mi
16901 Orchard Ridge Ave Hazel Crest, IL 4.0 2.0 1406 $2,700 $1.92 1d 1 0.36mi
16751 Crane Ave Hazel Crest, IL 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,800 $1.50 1d 1 0.36mi
16752 Artesian Ave Hazel Crest, IL 3.0 1.0 867 $2,500 $2.88 1d 1 0.57mi
17561 Hillside Ave Homewood, IL 3.0 1.0 1174 $2,500 $2.13 16d 1 0.79mi
17561 Hillside Ave Homewood, IL 3.0 1.0 1174 $2,300 $1.96 1d 1 0.79mi
2722 Larkspur Ln Hazel Crest, IL 3.0 1.5 1441 $2,650 $1.84 12d 1 1.16mi
16125 Marshfield Ave Markham, IL 3.0 1.0 1043 $2,400 $2.30 1d 1 1.20mi

Listing history 37 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $144,000 Active 7 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $144,000 Active 6 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $144,000 Active 5 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $144,000 Active 4 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $144,000 Active 2 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    pricedays on marketlisting id $144,000 Active 1 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $148,000 Active 138 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $148,000 Active 137 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $148,000 Active 136 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $148,000 Active 133 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $148,000 Active 132 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $148,000 Active 131 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $148,000 Active 130 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $148,000 Active 129 DOM
  15. 2026-05-15
    price $148,000
  16. 2026-04-17
    price $153,000
  17. 2026-03-27
    price $158,000
  18. 2026-02-27
    price $163,000
  19. 2026-01-30
    price $168,000
  20. 2026-01-22
    listed $173,000 Active
  21. 2026-01-22
    historical
  22. 2026-01-09
    price
  23. 2025-12-05
    price
  24. 2025-11-14
    price
  25. 2025-10-24
    listed Active
  26. 2025-10-24
    historical
  27. 2025-10-03
    price
  28. 2025-09-19
    price
  29. 2025-09-12
    price
  30. 2025-09-04
    price
  31. 2025-08-29
    price
  32. 2025-08-15
    price
  33. 2025-07-31
    listed Active
  34. 2013-05-10
    historical
  35. 2013-05-06
    soldstatus $40,000 Closed Sale
  36. 2013-04-15
    historical Contingent
  37. 2013-04-05
    listed $45,000 New

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,778 · $315/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,778 · $315/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$28,094
− Mortgage interest
−$8,066
− Property taxes
−$3,778
− Insurance
−$720
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,248
− Management
−$2,248
− Depreciation
−$4,189
Taxable income
$6,845
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,643
After-tax cash flow
$6,991/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Thornton Twp Hsd 205
NCES district ID
1738970
Math proficiency
7% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
8% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$43,392
Composite
6.92/100
National rank
#9976
State rank
#594 of 620 in IL

Livability — Hazel Crest

Score
75/100
State rank
#229
US rank
#4242

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Hazel Crest, IL
City population
14,602
Population (ZIP)
14,602

Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,347,519 people
By 2030
5,357,703 · +0.2%
By 2040
5,324,924 · -0.4%
By 2050
5,230,762 · -2.2%
By 2075
4,785,735 · -10.5%
By 2100
4,188,836 · -21.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (83%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 83% White 7% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 6%

Political lean MEDSL · Cook

2024 margin
Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -46.04%
Current HPI
282.3552
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+228.9% since first listed
23 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-15 Price Changed $148,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-17 Price Changed $153,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-27 Price Changed $158,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-27 Price Changed $163,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-30 Price Changed $168,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-22 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-22 Listed $173,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-09 Price Changed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-05 Price Changed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-11-14 Price Changed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-10-24 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-10-24 Listed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-10-03 Price Changed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-09-19 Price Changed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-09-12 Price Changed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-09-04 Price Changed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-08-29 Price Changed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-08-15 Price Changed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-07-31 Listed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2013-05-10 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2013-05-06 Sold (MLS) $40,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2013-04-15 Contingent MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2013-04-05 Listed $45,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+5.0%/yr

Latest (2023): $3,778 · -6.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…