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182 Main Rd
C+ Composite 64.66
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +17.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.4/10.0
  • DSCR +5.4/10.0
  • Schools +3.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$132,000

182 Main Rd · East Herkimer, NY 13350
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,188 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 69 Days on market
Built 1930 0.28 ac lot $111/sqft · 33% below area Est $197k · 33% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to 182 Main Road in Herkimer, a classic home filled with character, natural light, and timeless details. Offering 3 bedrooms, 1 bathroom, and 1,188 square feet, this property blends historic charm with everyday functionality. Step inside and you’re immediately greeted by beautiful hardwood floors, rich natural wood trim, and original architectural details that give the home warmth and personality you simply don’t find in newer builds. The spacious living and dining areas are flooded with sunlight thanks to large windows and charming bay-style features, creating inviting spaces for relaxing or entertaining. The kitchen offers ample cabinetry and workspace with a practical layout, while the enclosed front porch provides a cozy bonus area—perfect for morning coffee, a reading nook, or seasonal use. Upstairs, the bedrooms are generously sized with great natural light, and the walk-up attic presents excellent potential for storage or future finishing. Outside, enjoy a rear deck overlooking the backyard, ideal for summer grilling or quiet evenings outdoors. The full basement offers plenty of storage and utility space, rounding out a home that offers both charm and opportunity. Conveniently located close to village amenities, schools, and shopping, 182 Main Road is a great option for buyers looking for character, space, and value in the heart of Herkimer.

Key facts

  • Large windows
  • Ample cabinetry
  • Natural wood trim

Tags

HARDWOOD FLOORSNATURAL WOOD TRIMORIGINAL ARCHITECTURAL DETAILSLARGE WINDOWSBAY-STYLE FEATURESAMPLE CABINETRY

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $132k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $100 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $132k).
  • Recommended offer: $124k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Herkimer Central School District (town): math 46% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #455 of 590 in NY (top 77%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 57 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 54 units permitted in Herkimer County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $14k of equity ($913 loan paydown + $13k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Herkimer County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $37k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 69 days — a 6% lower offer ($124k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $124,080 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 69 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.04%
Cap rate
7.20%
Cash-on-cash
3.24%
DSCR
1.14
GRM
8.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$196,797
List price
$132,000
Delta
-32.93%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
150 Folts Rd 0.36mi 3/1.5 1,188 (0%) 10mo $184,000 $155 72
105 Willard St 0.26mi 3/2.0 1,112 (-6%) 2mo $113,300 $102 72
404 Palisade St 0.23mi 3/1.5 1,232 (+4%) 12mo $205,000 $166 72
609 Malcolm St 0.50mi 3/1.0 1,137 (-4%) 7mo $110,000 $97 64
101 East St 0.09mi 3/1.0 1,350 (+14%) 13mo $130,000 $96 63
308 West St 0.16mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,324 (+11%) 8mo $214,000 $162 58
5487 State Route 5 0.52mi 3/2.0 1,242 (+4%) 15mo $149,000 $120 52
110 Zoller Ave 0.33mi 3/2.0 1,340 (+13%) 9mo $205,100 $153 52
156 Folts Rd 0.39mi 3/1.5 1,296 (+9%) 17mo $157,000 $121 51
309 Eureka Ave 0.74mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,183 (-0%) 15mo $105,000 $89 47
128 Pine Grove Rd 0.23mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,313 (+10%) 22mo $184,000 $140 47
209 Pullman St 0.55mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,092 (-8%) 14mo $152,000 $139 45

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
26.6%
Equity multiple
3.12×
Total profit
$78,308
Equity at exit
$118,916
10-year hold
IRR
23.3%
Equity multiple
7.11×
Total profit
$225,738
Equity at exit
$256,447

Cash invested: $36,960 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 13350

Home prices YoY
8.9%
Active inventory
57
Price-to-rent
8.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,373 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$692
Tax from tax record
$238 /mo · $2,852/yr
Insurance
$55
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$288
Net cashflow
$100

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,247
Max offer price $132,000
Occupancy floor 88%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $174 -5% $137 +0% $100 +5% $62 +10% $25
Rent -10% $-9 -5% $45 +0% $100 +5% $154 +10% $208
Rate -1.0pp $166 -0.5pp $133 base $100 +0.5pp $66 +1.0pp $31

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$33,000
Closing costs
$3,960
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
502 Lake St Herkimer, NY 3.0 1.0 1125 $1,700 $1.51 45d 1 1.09mi
108 Mountain View Ln Mohawk, NY 2.0 1.0 850 $900 $1.06 45d 1 1.19mi

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-05-05
    status Pending 1396-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1396 chars)

    Welcome to 182 Main Road in Herkimer, a classic home filled with character, natural light, and timeless details. Offering 3 bedrooms, 1 bathroom, and 1,188 square feet, this property blends historic charm with everyday functionality. Step inside and you’re immediately greeted by beautiful hardwood floors, rich natural wood trim, and original architectural details that give the home warmth and personality you simply don’t find in newer builds. The spacious living and dining areas are flooded with sunlight thanks to large windows and charming bay-style features, creating inviting spaces for relaxing or entertaining. The kitchen offers ample cabinetry and workspace with a practical layout, while the enclosed front porch provides a cozy bonus area—perfect for morning coffee, a reading nook, or seasonal use. Upstairs, the bedrooms are generously sized with great natural light, and the walk-up attic presents excellent potential for storage or future finishing. Outside, enjoy a rear deck overlooking the backyard, ideal for summer grilling or quiet evenings outdoors. The full basement offers plenty of storage and utility space, rounding out a home that offers both charm and opportunity. Conveniently located close to village amenities, schools, and shopping, 182 Main Road is a great option for buyers looking for character, space, and value in the heart of Herkimer.

  2. 2026-04-29
    status Active 1396-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1396 chars)

    Welcome to 182 Main Road in Herkimer, a classic home filled with character, natural light, and timeless details. Offering 3 bedrooms, 1 bathroom, and 1,188 square feet, this property blends historic charm with everyday functionality. Step inside and you’re immediately greeted by beautiful hardwood floors, rich natural wood trim, and original architectural details that give the home warmth and personality you simply don’t find in newer builds. The spacious living and dining areas are flooded with sunlight thanks to large windows and charming bay-style features, creating inviting spaces for relaxing or entertaining. The kitchen offers ample cabinetry and workspace with a practical layout, while the enclosed front porch provides a cozy bonus area—perfect for morning coffee, a reading nook, or seasonal use. Upstairs, the bedrooms are generously sized with great natural light, and the walk-up attic presents excellent potential for storage or future finishing. Outside, enjoy a rear deck overlooking the backyard, ideal for summer grilling or quiet evenings outdoors. The full basement offers plenty of storage and utility space, rounding out a home that offers both charm and opportunity. Conveniently located close to village amenities, schools, and shopping, 182 Main Road is a great option for buyers looking for character, space, and value in the heart of Herkimer.

  3. 2026-03-26
    status Pending 1396-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1396 chars)

    Welcome to 182 Main Road in Herkimer, a classic home filled with character, natural light, and timeless details. Offering 3 bedrooms, 1 bathroom, and 1,188 square feet, this property blends historic charm with everyday functionality. Step inside and you’re immediately greeted by beautiful hardwood floors, rich natural wood trim, and original architectural details that give the home warmth and personality you simply don’t find in newer builds. The spacious living and dining areas are flooded with sunlight thanks to large windows and charming bay-style features, creating inviting spaces for relaxing or entertaining. The kitchen offers ample cabinetry and workspace with a practical layout, while the enclosed front porch provides a cozy bonus area—perfect for morning coffee, a reading nook, or seasonal use. Upstairs, the bedrooms are generously sized with great natural light, and the walk-up attic presents excellent potential for storage or future finishing. Outside, enjoy a rear deck overlooking the backyard, ideal for summer grilling or quiet evenings outdoors. The full basement offers plenty of storage and utility space, rounding out a home that offers both charm and opportunity. Conveniently located close to village amenities, schools, and shopping, 182 Main Road is a great option for buyers looking for character, space, and value in the heart of Herkimer.

  4. 2026-01-22
    listed $132,000 Active 1396-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1396 chars)

    Welcome to 182 Main Road in Herkimer, a classic home filled with character, natural light, and timeless details. Offering 3 bedrooms, 1 bathroom, and 1,188 square feet, this property blends historic charm with everyday functionality. Step inside and you’re immediately greeted by beautiful hardwood floors, rich natural wood trim, and original architectural details that give the home warmth and personality you simply don’t find in newer builds. The spacious living and dining areas are flooded with sunlight thanks to large windows and charming bay-style features, creating inviting spaces for relaxing or entertaining. The kitchen offers ample cabinetry and workspace with a practical layout, while the enclosed front porch provides a cozy bonus area—perfect for morning coffee, a reading nook, or seasonal use. Upstairs, the bedrooms are generously sized with great natural light, and the walk-up attic presents excellent potential for storage or future finishing. Outside, enjoy a rear deck overlooking the backyard, ideal for summer grilling or quiet evenings outdoors. The full basement offers plenty of storage and utility space, rounding out a home that offers both charm and opportunity. Conveniently located close to village amenities, schools, and shopping, 182 Main Road is a great option for buyers looking for character, space, and value in the heart of Herkimer.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,852 · $238/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,852 · $238/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,476
− Mortgage interest
−$7,394
− Property taxes
−$2,852
− Insurance
−$660
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,318
− Management
−$1,318
− Depreciation
−$3,840
Taxable loss
−$907
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$218
After-tax cash flow
$1,414/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Herkimer Central School District
NCES district ID
3614220
Math proficiency
46% ▲ 6.00%
Reading proficiency
47% ▲ 9.00%
Median HH income
$39,447
Composite
38.87/100
National rank
#4100
State rank
#455 of 590 in NY

Livability — East Herkimer

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
East Herkimer, NY
Population (ZIP)
9,641

Population outlook (Herkimer County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
59,340 people
By 2030
56,838 · -4.2%
By 2040
51,098 · -13.9%
By 2050
45,080 · -24.0%
By 2075
32,648 · -45.0%
By 2100
22,266 · -62.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (90%)
Race & ethnicity
White 90% Two or more races 5% Black 2% Asian 2% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 9% Lithuanian 4% Italian 3%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, China
Languages at home
92% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Herkimer

2024 margin
Solid R (+36.4) · D 31.8% · R 68.2%
2008→2024 swing
-27.1pp toward R · 2008: -9.3pp · 2024: -36.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+36.4 2020: R+30.5 2016: R+34.5 2012: R+8.4 2008: R+9.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 26.43%
Current HPI
324.4601
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-05 Pending CNYIS
  • 2026-04-29 Relisted CNYIS
  • 2026-03-26 Pending CNYIS
  • 2026-01-22 Listed $132,000 CNYIS

Property tax history

+9.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,852 · +2.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…