940 Central Ave Unit 05 · Wright, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.8/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +8.0/10.0
- 1% rule +6.0/10.0
- Schools +5.2/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$169,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Conveniently located to Eglin AFB, Hurlburt Field and shopping this townhome is a great buy! Step into the open floor plan with laminate flooring in the great room anchored by a brick fireplace. This 3/2 unit features warm wood cabinets, stainless appliances and tile flooring in the kitchen. The primary bedroom with adjoining bath and laundry room are also on the main level. Upstairs are two additional bedrooms as well as a second full bath. A fully fenced backyard offers privacy. The HVAC and hot water heater are 2021 and roof is 2015. Don't miss this opportunity! Call to schedule your showing today.
Key facts
- Open floor plan
- Laminate flooring
- Brick fireplace
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Subdivision: BELL-BROOK ESTATES
Exterior
- Parking: 2 driveway parking spaces
- Utilities: Electric service; Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Townhome; 2 stories; Entry level rooms on the first floor
- Construction: Built in 1983; Vinyl siding; Shingle roof; Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Interior, level lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on the first floor; Dishwasher; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms; Primary bedroom on the first floor; Additional bedrooms located on the second floor
- Flooring: Laminate flooring; Carpet
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Fireplace; Window treatments
- Laundry & utility: Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $169k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $357 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $169k).
- Cap rate 8.8% vs local median 4.2% in Wright — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#117 in FL, #1,790 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F.
- Okaloosa (other): math 60% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #12 of 73 in FL (top 16%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Kenwood Elementary School (math 68% / reading 64%, grade B+, #492 of 2,144 statewide, top 23%, 545 students, 58% FRL); Choctawhatchee Senior High School (math 42% / reading 50%, grade D-, #220 of 667 statewide, top 33%, 1,677 students, 52% FRL) — zoned schools average 55% FRL vs 36% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.1%/yr); 224 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,268 units permitted in Okaloosa County in 2024 (175 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($71k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Okaloosa County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.10% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.83%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.05%
- DSCR
- 1.40
- GRM
- 7.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $255,392
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 518 NW Parkview Rd Unit A | 0.33mi | 3/2.0 | 1,450 (+4%) | 6mo | $260,000 | $179 | 72 |
| 947 Ashley Ln Unit D | 0.11mi | 2/2.5 (-1) | 1,483 (+7%) | 10mo | $140,000 | $94 | 68 |
| 940 Central Ave #18 | 0.00mi | 2/2.5 (-1) | 1,592 (+15%) | 2mo | $245,000 | $154 | 67 |
| 518 NW Parkview Rd Unit B | 0.33mi | 3/2.0 | 1,450 (+4%) | 15mo | $295,000 | $203 | 65 |
| 1100 Crosswinds Lndg Unit 19 | 0.51mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,330 (-4%) | 4mo | $290,000 | $218 | 61 |
| 400 Rhonda Kay Court St #4 | 0.35mi | 3/1.5 | 1,256 (-10%) | 8mo | $236,900 | $189 | 59 |
| 901 Tokalon Ct #3 | 0.41mi | 2/2.5 (-1) | 1,344 (-3%) | 13mo | $228,000 | $170 | 58 |
| 2112 Pomegranate Ct | 0.64mi | 3/2.5 | 1,449 (+4%) | 5mo | $285,000 | $197 | 56 |
| 1942 Woodcrest Rdg #2 | 0.48mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,516 (+9%) | 2mo | $330,000 | $218 | 55 |
| 208 Cloverdale Blvd Unit 8 | 0.61mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,280 (-8%) | 1mo | $230,000 | $180 | 51 |
| 214 Cloverdale Blvd Unit A | 0.68mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,330 (-4%) | 7mo | $235,000 | $177 | 48 |
| 309 Olympia Ct | 0.37mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,197 (-14%) | 12mo | $220,000 | $184 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.79×
- Total profit
- $-10,115
- Equity at exit
- $25,198
- IRR
- -0.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.99×
- Total profit
- $-623
- Equity at exit
- $14,612
Cash invested: $47,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32547
- Home prices YoY
- -29.3%
- Rents YoY
- -0.1%
- Active inventory
- 224
- Price-to-rent
- 7.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,858 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$886
- Tax from tax record
- −$155 /mo · $1,857/yr
- Insurance
- −$70
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$390
- Net cashflow
- $357
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $42,250
- Closing costs
- $5,070
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 940 Central Ave #16 Fort Walton Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1320 | $1,800 | $1.36 | 14d | 1 | 0.02mi |
| 508 Parkview Rd NW Fort Walton Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $1,575 | $1.26 | 44d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 422 Bear Rd Unit A Fort Walton Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1175 | $1,600 | $1.36 | 14d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 400 Rhonda Kay Ct #66 Fort Walton Beach, FL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1256 | $1,650 | $1.31 | 44d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 104 Hydac Rd Unit B Fort Walton Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1144 | $1,650 | $1.44 | 21d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 2100 Pomegranate Ct Fort Walton Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1743 | $2,025 | $1.16 | 21d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 833 Jonleen Dr Fort Walton Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1500 | $1,895 | $1.26 | 44d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 831 Jonleen Dr Fort Walton Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1500 | $1,895 | $1.26 | 44d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 829 Jonleen Dr Fort Walton Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1500 | $1,995 | $1.33 | 44d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 800 Denton Blvd NW Fort Walton Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,600 | $1.60 | 14d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 790 Navy St Fort Walton Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,300 | $1.44 | 14d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 216 Cloverdale Blvd Unit C Fort Walton Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1224 | $1,700 | $1.39 | 44d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 309 Union St Fort Walton Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1602 | $2,100 | $1.31 | 14d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 517 Scott Ln Fort Walton Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 980 | $1,595 | $1.63 | 44d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 1504 E Ponderosa Rd Fort Walton Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,650 | $1.65 | 21d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 585 Bob Sikes Blvd Fort Walton Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1190 | $1,550 | $1.30 | 44d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 589 Bob Sikes Blvd Fort Walton Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1190 | $1,500 | $1.26 | 44d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 2415 Suwanee Ln Fort Walton Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1250 | $1,700 | $1.36 | 44d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 1329 White Blossom Ln Fort Walton Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1735 | $1,900 | $1.10 | 14d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 1839 Sod Dr Fort Walton Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1425 | $1,925 | $1.35 | 21d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 2400 Suwanee Ln Fort Walton Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1242 | $1,700 | $1.37 | 21d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 2404 Suwanee Ln Fort Walton Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1242 | $1,700 | $1.37 | 21d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 713 Trowbridge Ave Fort Walton Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1550 | $2,350 | $1.52 | 14d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 696 Tyner St #41 Fort Walton Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 960 | $1,550 | $1.61 | 14d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 615 Bob Sikes Blvd #5 Fort Walton Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1190 | $1,450 | $1.22 | 44d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 615 Bob Sikes Blvd #7 Fort Walton Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1190 | $1,500 | $1.26 | 14d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 2800 Bradford Pl NW Fort Walton Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 850 | $1,395 | $1.64 | 14d | 5 | 0.90mi |
| 2809 Bradford Pl NW Unit 4 Fort Walton Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 928 | $1,250 | $1.35 | 44d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 1128 Sweetbriar Station Fort Walton Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1150 | $1,850 | $1.61 | 21d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 2809 Bradford Pl NW Unit 3 Fort Walton Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 928 | $1,300 | $1.40 | 14d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 1004 McLaren Cir Fort Walton Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1537 | $2,500 | $1.63 | 44d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 2813 Bradford Pl NW Unit 2 Fort Walton Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 928 | $1,300 | $1.40 | 14d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 2812 Bradford Pl NW Unit 4 Fort Walton Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 928 | $1,250 | $1.35 | 21d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 2814 Bradford Pl NW Unit 3 Fort Walton Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 928 | $1,250 | $1.35 | 21d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 905 Piedmont Pl Fort Walton Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1303 | $1,695 | $1.30 | 44d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 964 Southern Oaks Ct Fort Walton Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1315 | $2,000 | $1.52 | 44d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 1008 Pineview Blvd Unit D Fort Walton Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,650 | $1.38 | 21d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 500 Liberty Ln NW Fort Walton Beach, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 967 | $2,883 | $2.98 | 14d | 14 | 1.01mi |
| 913 Landry St #5 Fort Walton Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 884 | $1,200 | $1.36 | 21d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 977 Scenic Oak Ln Fort Walton Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1248 | $1,650 | $1.32 | 44d | 1 | 1.04mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-06-07days on market $169,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-05remarks 608-char remark
-
2026-06-05$169,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,857 · $155/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,857 · $155/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,302
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,467
- − Property taxes
- −$1,857
- − Insurance
- −$845
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,784
- − Management
- −$1,784
- − Depreciation
- −$4,916
- Taxable income
- $1,649
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$396
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,886/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Okaloosa
- NCES district ID
- 1201380
- Math proficiency
- 60% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 60% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $55,601
- Composite
- 51.62/100
- National rank
- #1705
- State rank
- #12 of 73 in FL
Livability — Wright
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #117
- US rank
- #1790
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Wright, FL
- County
- Okaloosa County · 194,352 people
- City population
- 35,522
- Metro
- Crestview-Fort Walton Beach-Destin, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 35,527
- Household income
- $70,711
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1203.0
Population outlook (Okaloosa County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 235,133 people
- By 2030
- 253,483 · +7.8%
- By 2040
- 289,537 · +23.1%
- By 2050
- 322,954 · +37.3%
- By 2075
- 399,624 · +70.0%
- By 2100
- 425,311 · +80.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 59% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 14% Black 11% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 3% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Scotch-Irish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 15% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · Spanish 14% Other Indo-European 1% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Okaloosa
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+42.4) · D 28.2% · R 70.7% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +2.5pp toward D · 2008: -44.9pp · 2024: -42.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+42.4 2020: R+39.1 2016: R+47.8 2012: R+49.4 2008: R+44.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -111.28%
- Current HPI
- 268.6497
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.13%
- Metro
- Crestview-Fort Walton Beach-Destin, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+11357.6% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-04 Listed $169,000 ECAR
- 2025-05-24 Rental Removed $1,475 APPFOLIO
- 2025-04-16 Listed for Rent $1,475 APPFOLIO
- 2022-12-15 Rental Removed — RENT.
Property tax history
+8.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,857 · +3.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…