219 Strayer St · Johnstown, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Appreciation +3.4/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
$34,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Ad# 3557.. .. Room to roam in this 2 story home. Spacious rooms, plaster walls and a lovely lawn is what you will find here. The first floor offers a living room with plenty of windows, eat in kitchen and separate dining room. There is a great enclosed back porch which would be perfect for entertaining. The second floor features 3 bedrooms and a full bath. Some new thermopane windows, new concrete driveway and walk ways are a few of the improvements. CALL TODAY! A VISUAL TOUR OF THIS HOME AVAILABLE BY EMAIL!
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- Enclosed back porch
- Huge walkup attic
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage with garage door opener (1-car); Additional gravel parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available
- Home design: Single family residence; Two levels
- Construction: Wood siding; Shingle roof; Full unfinished basement
- Exterior features: Covered porch; Corner lot; Public maintained road frontage on a city street
Interior
- Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen
- Flooring: Carpet; Linoleum
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Hot water heating; Natural gas heating; Ceiling fan(s)
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; High speed internet; Double-pane windows
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer; Laundry in basement with sink
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $34k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $463 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($900 rent vs $34k).
- Cap rate 22.6% vs local median 15.0% in Johnstown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#363 in PA, #3,168 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, employment F.
- Greater Johnstown SD (urban): math 9% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #509 of 539 in PA (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 47 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 64 units permitted in Cambria County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $235 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Cambria County population projected at -28% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.65% ✓
- Cap rate
- 22.62%
- Cash-on-cash
- 58.33%
- DSCR
- 3.60
- GRM
- 3.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $58,207
- List price
- $34,000
- Delta
- -41.59%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 219 Strayer St | 0.00mi | 3/1.5 | 1,580 (0%) | 0mo | $34,000 | $22 | 100 |
| 204 Strayer St | 0.04mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,536 (-3%) | 1mo | $60,000 | $39 | 85 |
| 419 Chandler Ave | 0.15mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,519 (-4%) | 0mo | $50,000 | $33 | 81 |
| 148 Glenn St | 0.17mi | 3/1.5 | 1,658 (+5%) | 7mo | $96,000 | $58 | 78 |
| 130 Marbury Ave | 0.28mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,622 (+3%) | 7mo | $83,000 | $51 | 72 |
| 201 Blaine St | 0.17mi | 3/1.0 | 1,434 (-9%) | 4mo | $52,000 | $36 | 72 |
| 287 Glenn St | 0.17mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,410 (-11%) | 1mo | $36,000 | $26 | 67 |
| 218 Wilson St | 0.15mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,736 (+10%) | 3mo | $79,900 | $46 | 65 |
| 225 Barron Ave | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 | 1,680 (+6%) | 7mo | $89,900 | $54 | 64 |
| 560 Dorothy Ave | 0.65mi | 3/1.5 | 1,596 (+1%) | 7mo | $74,900 | $47 | 62 |
| 314 Cord St | 0.49mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,352 (-14%) | 2mo | $25,000 | $18 | 47 |
| 419 Beatrice Ave | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 | 1,392 (-12%) | 4mo | $65,900 | $47 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 56.9%
- Equity multiple
- 3.52×
- Total profit
- $23,983
- Equity at exit
- $5,070
- IRR
- 61.8%
- Equity multiple
- 7.19×
- Total profit
- $58,920
- Equity at exit
- $2,940
Cash invested: $9,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 15906
- Home prices YoY
- -4.0%
- Active inventory
- 47
- Price-to-rent
- 3.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $900 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$178
- Tax from tax record
- −$56 /mo · $670/yr
- Insurance
- −$14
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$189
- Net cashflow
- $463
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $8,500
- Closing costs
- $1,020
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 459 Stone St Johnstown, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1120 | $900 | $0.80 | 23d | 1 | 0.44mi |
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-05-18status Pending 873-char remark
-
2026-05-12$34,000 Active 873-char remark
-
2006-06-08soldstatus $42,446 515-char remark
Show marketing remark (515 chars)
Ad# 3557.. .. Room to roam in this 2 story home. Spacious rooms, plaster walls and a lovely lawn is what you will find here. The first floor offers a living room with plenty of windows, eat in kitchen and separate dining room. There is a great enclosed back porch which would be perfect for entertaining. The second floor features 3 bedrooms and a full bath. Some new thermopane windows, new concrete driveway and walk ways are a few of the improvements. CALL TODAY! A VISUAL TOUR OF THIS HOME AVAILABLE BY EMAIL!
-
2006-04-27$39,900 515-char remark
Show marketing remark (515 chars)
Ad# 3557.. .. Room to roam in this 2 story home. Spacious rooms, plaster walls and a lovely lawn is what you will find here. The first floor offers a living room with plenty of windows, eat in kitchen and separate dining room. There is a great enclosed back porch which would be perfect for entertaining. The second floor features 3 bedrooms and a full bath. Some new thermopane windows, new concrete driveway and walk ways are a few of the improvements. CALL TODAY! A VISUAL TOUR OF THIS HOME AVAILABLE BY EMAIL!
-
2002-06-08soldstatus $42,446
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $670 · $56/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $670 · $56/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥96°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,800
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,905
- − Property taxes
- −$670
- − Insurance
- −$170
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$864
- − Management
- −$864
- − Depreciation
- −$989
- Taxable income
- $5,339
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,281
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,271/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Greater Johnstown SD
- NCES district ID
- 4210950
- Math proficiency
- 9% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 25% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $27,890
- Composite
- 13.25/100
- National rank
- #9550
- State rank
- #509 of 539 in PA
Livability — Johnstown
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #363
- US rank
- #3168
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Johnstown, PA
- City population
- 30,791
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,654
Population outlook (Cambria County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 122,754 people
- By 2030
- 115,827 · -5.6%
- By 2040
- 101,309 · -17.5%
- By 2050
- 88,379 · -28.0%
- By 2075
- 65,237 · -46.9%
- By 2100
- 46,909 · -61.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 79% Black 11% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 8% Polish 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cambria
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+39.7) · D 29.8% · R 69.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -40.4pp toward R · 2008: 0.7pp · 2024: -39.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+39.7 2020: R+37.3 2016: R+37.8 2012: R+17.8 2008: D+0.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -3.26%
- Current HPI
- 77.6797
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
-19.9% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-12 Sold (MLS) $34,000 CSMLS
- 2026-05-18 Pending — CSMLS
- 2026-05-12 Listed $34,000 CSMLS
- 2006-06-08 Sold (MLS) $42,446 CSMLS
- 2006-04-27 Listed $39,900 CSMLS
- 2002-06-08 Sold (Public Records) $42,446 Public Records
Property tax history
-3.8%/yrLatest (2026): $670 · -36.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…