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219 Strayer St
B+ Composite 78.54
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Appreciation +3.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0

$34,000

219 Strayer St · Johnstown, PA 15906
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,580 sqft · SingleFamily · 6 Days on market
Built 1930 7,405 sqft lot $22/sqft · 42% below area Est $58k · 42% under ↓ 20% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Ad# 3557.. .. Room to roam in this 2 story home. Spacious rooms, plaster walls and a lovely lawn is what you will find here. The first floor offers a living room with plenty of windows, eat in kitchen and separate dining room. There is a great enclosed back porch which would be perfect for entertaining. The second floor features 3 bedrooms and a full bath. Some new thermopane windows, new concrete driveway and walk ways are a few of the improvements. CALL TODAY! A VISUAL TOUR OF THIS HOME AVAILABLE BY EMAIL!

Key facts

  • Covered front porch
  • Enclosed back porch
  • Huge walkup attic

Tags

FENCED-IN DOUBLE LOTHUGE WALKUP ATTICCOVERED FRONT PORCHENCLOSED BACK PORCHOFF-STREET PARKINGDETACHED GARAGE

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage with garage door opener (1-car); Additional gravel parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available
  • Home design: Single family residence; Two levels
  • Construction: Wood siding; Shingle roof; Full unfinished basement
  • Exterior features: Covered porch; Corner lot; Public maintained road frontage on a city street

Interior

  • Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen
  • Flooring: Carpet; Linoleum
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Hot water heating; Natural gas heating; Ceiling fan(s)
  • Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; High speed internet; Double-pane windows
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer; Laundry in basement with sink

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $34k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $463 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($900 rent vs $34k).
  • Cap rate 22.6% vs local median 15.0% in Johnstown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#363 in PA, #3,168 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, employment F.
  • Greater Johnstown SD (urban): math 9% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #509 of 539 in PA (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 47 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 64 units permitted in Cambria County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $235 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Cambria County population projected at -28% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $34,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.65%
Cap rate
22.62%
Cash-on-cash
58.33%
DSCR
3.60
GRM
3.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$58,207
List price
$34,000
Delta
-41.59%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
219 Strayer St 0.00mi 3/1.5 1,580 (0%) 0mo $34,000 $22 100
204 Strayer St 0.04mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,536 (-3%) 1mo $60,000 $39 85
419 Chandler Ave 0.15mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,519 (-4%) 0mo $50,000 $33 81
148 Glenn St 0.17mi 3/1.5 1,658 (+5%) 7mo $96,000 $58 78
130 Marbury Ave 0.28mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,622 (+3%) 7mo $83,000 $51 72
201 Blaine St 0.17mi 3/1.0 1,434 (-9%) 4mo $52,000 $36 72
287 Glenn St 0.17mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,410 (-11%) 1mo $36,000 $26 67
218 Wilson St 0.15mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,736 (+10%) 3mo $79,900 $46 65
225 Barron Ave 0.37mi 3/2.0 1,680 (+6%) 7mo $89,900 $54 64
560 Dorothy Ave 0.65mi 3/1.5 1,596 (+1%) 7mo $74,900 $47 62
314 Cord St 0.49mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,352 (-14%) 2mo $25,000 $18 47
419 Beatrice Ave 0.62mi 3/2.0 1,392 (-12%) 4mo $65,900 $47 46

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
56.9%
Equity multiple
3.52×
Total profit
$23,983
Equity at exit
$5,070
10-year hold
IRR
61.8%
Equity multiple
7.19×
Total profit
$58,920
Equity at exit
$2,940

Cash invested: $9,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 15906

Home prices YoY
-4.0%
Active inventory
47
Price-to-rent
3.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$900 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$178
Tax from tax record
$56 /mo · $670/yr
Insurance
$14
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$189
Net cashflow
$463

Break-even live

Break-even rent $314
Max offer price $34,000
Occupancy floor 44%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$8,500
Closing costs
$1,020
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
459 Stone St Johnstown, PA 3.0 1.0 1120 $900 $0.80 23d 1 0.44mi

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-05-18
    status Pending 873-char remark
  2. 2026-05-12
    listed $34,000 Active 873-char remark
  3. 2006-06-08
    soldstatus $42,446 515-char remark
    Show marketing remark (515 chars)

    Ad# 3557.. .. Room to roam in this 2 story home. Spacious rooms, plaster walls and a lovely lawn is what you will find here. The first floor offers a living room with plenty of windows, eat in kitchen and separate dining room. There is a great enclosed back porch which would be perfect for entertaining. The second floor features 3 bedrooms and a full bath. Some new thermopane windows, new concrete driveway and walk ways are a few of the improvements. CALL TODAY! A VISUAL TOUR OF THIS HOME AVAILABLE BY EMAIL!

  4. 2006-04-27
    listed $39,900 515-char remark
    Show marketing remark (515 chars)

    Ad# 3557.. .. Room to roam in this 2 story home. Spacious rooms, plaster walls and a lovely lawn is what you will find here. The first floor offers a living room with plenty of windows, eat in kitchen and separate dining room. There is a great enclosed back porch which would be perfect for entertaining. The second floor features 3 bedrooms and a full bath. Some new thermopane windows, new concrete driveway and walk ways are a few of the improvements. CALL TODAY! A VISUAL TOUR OF THIS HOME AVAILABLE BY EMAIL!

  5. 2002-06-08
    soldstatus $42,446

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$670 · $56/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$670 · $56/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥96°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,800
− Mortgage interest
−$1,905
− Property taxes
−$670
− Insurance
−$170
− Repairs & maintenance
−$864
− Management
−$864
− Depreciation
−$989
Taxable income
$5,339
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,281
After-tax cash flow
$4,271/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Greater Johnstown SD
NCES district ID
4210950
Math proficiency
9% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
25% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$27,890
Composite
13.25/100
National rank
#9550
State rank
#509 of 539 in PA

Livability — Johnstown

Score
77/100
State rank
#363
US rank
#3168

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing B Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Johnstown, PA
City population
30,791
Population (ZIP)
9,654

Population outlook (Cambria County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
122,754 people
By 2030
115,827 · -5.6%
By 2040
101,309 · -17.5%
By 2050
88,379 · -28.0%
By 2075
65,237 · -46.9%
By 2100
46,909 · -61.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (79%)
Race & ethnicity
White 79% Black 11% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 8% Polish 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cambria

2024 margin
Solid R (+39.7) · D 29.8% · R 69.5%
2008→2024 swing
-40.4pp toward R · 2008: 0.7pp · 2024: -39.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+39.7 2020: R+37.3 2016: R+37.8 2012: R+17.8 2008: D+0.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -3.26%
Current HPI
77.6797
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-19.9% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-12 Sold (MLS) $34,000 CSMLS
  • 2026-05-18 Pending CSMLS
  • 2026-05-12 Listed $34,000 CSMLS
  • 2006-06-08 Sold (MLS) $42,446 CSMLS
  • 2006-04-27 Listed $39,900 CSMLS
  • 2002-06-08 Sold (Public Records) $42,446 Public Records

Property tax history

-3.8%/yr

Latest (2026): $670 · -36.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…