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8 Mechanic St Duplex
A Composite 86.73
Why this score? — see what drove the A grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.6/10.0
  • Schools +3.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$190,000

8 Mechanic St · Hudson Falls, NY 12839
4 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,627 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 181 Days on market
Built 1905 0.25 ac lot $72/sqft · 45% below area Est $344k · 45% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

Investors, or Owner occupy, Excellent 2 Family rental property in Hudson Falls. Only 20 minutes to Lake George. Great rental history and tenants. Large 2 story detached garage, quiet back yard, porch, large units, easy rental area. Owner is a licensed Realtor.

Key facts

  • Porch
  • Easy rental area
  • Quiet back yard

Tags

LARGE 2 STORY DETACHED GARAGEQUIET BACK YARDPORCHEASY RENTAL AREA

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $190k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $835 ($10k/yr) — positive. Per door: $418/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $190k).
  • Recommended offer: $167k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.6% vs local median 4.3% in Hudson Falls — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#481 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A-; Watch: schools C-, crime D, employment D.
  • Hudson Falls Central School District (suburban): math 39% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #486 of 590 in NY (top 82%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 55 active listings in the ZIP; 106 units permitted in Washington County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $20k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $19k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Washington County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $53k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 181 days — a 12% lower offer ($167k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 18y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $120k; list at $190k implies a 58% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1905 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $167,200 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 181 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1905 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.46%
Cap rate
11.57%
Cash-on-cash
18.84%
DSCR
1.84
GRM
5.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$343,696
List price
$190,000
Delta
-44.72%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2 Cherry St 0.05mi 5/2.5 (+1) 2,520 (-4%) 3mo $222,600 $88 82
114 Oak St 0.21mi 3/3.0 (-1) 2,510 (-4%) 2mo $250,000 $100 76
14 Maple St 0.18mi 4/3.0 3,000 (+14%) 16mo $324,900 $108 55
13-17 Court St 0.23mi 4/2.0 2,987 (+14%) 12mo $145,000 $49 53

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
38.3%
Equity multiple
3.95×
Total profit
$156,758
Equity at exit
$171,167
10-year hold
IRR
33.0%
Equity multiple
8.89×
Total profit
$419,923
Equity at exit
$369,128

Cash invested: $53,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 12839

Home prices YoY
8.5%
Active inventory
55
Price-to-rent
11.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,778 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$996
Tax from tax record
$284 /mo · $3,404/yr
Insurance
$79
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$583
Net cashflow
$835

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,720
Max offer price $190,000
Occupancy floor 65%

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $2,778

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$47,500
Closing costs
$5,700
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 27 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $190,000 Active 181 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $190,000 Active 180 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $190,000 Active 179 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $190,000 Active 178 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $190,000 Active 176 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $190,000 Active 175 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    remarks 380-char remark
  8. 2026-06-10
    pricedays on market $190,000 Active 173 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $200,000 Active 172 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $200,000 Active 171 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $200,000 Active 170 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $200,000 Active 166 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $200,000 Active 165 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $200,000 Active 164 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $200,000 Active 163 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $200,000 Active 162 DOM
  17. 2025-12-17
    listed $200,000 Active 260-char remark
    Show marketing remark (260 chars)

    Investors, or Owner occupy, Excellent 2 Family rental property in Hudson Falls. Only 20 minutes to Lake George. Great rental history and tenants. Large 2 story detached garage, quiet back yard, porch, large units, easy rental area. Owner is a licensed Realtor.

  18. 2023-10-24
    soldstatus $120,000
  19. 2023-07-20
    price $129,900
  20. 2023-06-29
    listed $134,900 Active
  21. 2017-08-28
    soldstatus $122,500
  22. 2017-05-15
    soldstatus $122,500
  23. 2017-05-15
    soldstatus $122,500
  24. 2016-07-07
    listed $135,000
  25. 2016-07-07
    listed $135,000
  26. 2008-05-07
    soldstatus $113,600
  27. 2008-03-04
    listed $129,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,404 · $284/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,404 · $284/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$33,336
− Mortgage interest
−$10,643
− Property taxes
−$3,404
− Insurance
−$950
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,667
− Management
−$2,667
− Depreciation
−$5,527
Taxable income
$7,478
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,795
After-tax cash flow
$8,230/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hudson Falls Central School District
NCES district ID
3614970
Math proficiency
39% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
47% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$46,019
Composite
36.57/100
National rank
#4635
State rank
#486 of 590 in NY

Livability — Hudson Falls

Score
69/100
State rank
#481
US rank
#8482

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A- Crime D Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Hudson Falls, NY
Population (ZIP)
13,618

Population outlook (Washington County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
59,576 people
By 2030
57,618 · -3.3%
By 2040
52,751 · -11.5%
By 2050
47,514 · -20.2%
By 2075
35,690 · -40.1%
By 2100
24,807 · -58.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (89%)
Race & ethnicity
White 89% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 4%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 8% Slovak 5% Estonian 3%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, Guatemala
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 2% German/W. Germanic 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Washington

2024 margin
Strong R (+21.2) · D 39.4% · R 60.6%
2008→2024 swing
-22.0pp toward R · 2008: 0.8pp · 2024: -21.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+21.2 2020: R+15.6 2016: R+20.2 2012: D+1.6 2008: D+0.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 25.92%
Current HPI
331.6315
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+55.0% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2025-12-17 Listed $200,000 Global MLS
  • 2023-10-24 Sold (Public Records) $120,000 Public Records
  • 2023-07-20 Price Changed $129,900 Global MLS
  • 2023-06-29 Listed $134,900 Global MLS
  • 2017-08-28 Sold (Public Records) $122,500 Public Records
  • 2017-05-15 Sold (MLS) $122,500 Global MLS
  • 2017-05-15 Sold (MLS) $122,500 Global MLS
  • 2016-07-07 Listed $135,000 Global MLS
  • 2016-07-07 Listed $135,000 Global MLS
  • 2008-05-07 Sold (MLS) $113,600 Global MLS
  • 2008-03-04 Listed $129,000 Global MLS

Property tax history

-0.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,404 · -20.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…