Duplex
8 Mechanic St · Hudson Falls, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 3.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.6/10.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$190,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
Investors, or Owner occupy, Excellent 2 Family rental property in Hudson Falls. Only 20 minutes to Lake George. Great rental history and tenants. Large 2 story detached garage, quiet back yard, porch, large units, easy rental area. Owner is a licensed Realtor.
Key facts
- Porch
- Easy rental area
- Quiet back yard
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $190k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $835 ($10k/yr) — positive. Per door: $418/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $190k).
- Recommended offer: $167k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.6% vs local median 4.3% in Hudson Falls — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#481 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A-; Watch: schools C-, crime D, employment D.
- Hudson Falls Central School District (suburban): math 39% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #486 of 590 in NY (top 82%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 55 active listings in the ZIP; 106 units permitted in Washington County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $20k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $19k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Washington County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $53k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 181 days — a 12% lower offer ($167k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 18y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $120k; list at $190k implies a 58% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1905 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 181 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1905 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.46% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.57%
- Cash-on-cash
- 18.84%
- DSCR
- 1.84
- GRM
- 5.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $343,696
- List price
- $190,000
- Delta
- -44.72%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Cherry St | 0.05mi | 5/2.5 (+1) | 2,520 (-4%) | 3mo | $222,600 | $88 | 82 |
| 114 Oak St | 0.21mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 2,510 (-4%) | 2mo | $250,000 | $100 | 76 |
| 14 Maple St | 0.18mi | 4/3.0 | 3,000 (+14%) | 16mo | $324,900 | $108 | 55 |
| 13-17 Court St | 0.23mi | 4/2.0 | 2,987 (+14%) | 12mo | $145,000 | $49 | 53 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 38.3%
- Equity multiple
- 3.95×
- Total profit
- $156,758
- Equity at exit
- $171,167
- IRR
- 33.0%
- Equity multiple
- 8.89×
- Total profit
- $419,923
- Equity at exit
- $369,128
Cash invested: $53,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 12839
- Home prices YoY
- 8.5%
- Active inventory
- 55
- Price-to-rent
- 11.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,778 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$996
- Tax from tax record
- −$284 /mo · $3,404/yr
- Insurance
- −$79
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$583
- Net cashflow
- $835
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 1 | $2,778 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $1,389 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $1,389 |
| Total (2 units) | $2,778 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $47,500
- Closing costs
- $5,700
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 27 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $190,000 Active 181 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $190,000 Active 180 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $190,000 Active 179 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $190,000 Active 178 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $190,000 Active 176 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $190,000 Active 175 DOM
-
2026-06-10remarks 380-char remark
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2026-06-10pricedays on market $190,000 Active 173 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $200,000 Active 172 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $200,000 Active 171 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $200,000 Active 170 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $200,000 Active 166 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $200,000 Active 165 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $200,000 Active 164 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $200,000 Active 163 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $200,000 Active 162 DOM
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2025-12-17$200,000 Active 260-char remark
Show marketing remark (260 chars)
Investors, or Owner occupy, Excellent 2 Family rental property in Hudson Falls. Only 20 minutes to Lake George. Great rental history and tenants. Large 2 story detached garage, quiet back yard, porch, large units, easy rental area. Owner is a licensed Realtor.
-
2023-10-24soldstatus $120,000
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2023-07-20price $129,900
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2023-06-29$134,900 Active
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2017-08-28soldstatus $122,500
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2017-05-15soldstatus $122,500
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2017-05-15soldstatus $122,500
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2016-07-07$135,000
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2016-07-07$135,000
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2008-05-07soldstatus $113,600
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2008-03-04$129,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,404 · $284/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,404 · $284/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $33,336
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,643
- − Property taxes
- −$3,404
- − Insurance
- −$950
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,667
- − Management
- −$2,667
- − Depreciation
- −$5,527
- Taxable income
- $7,478
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,795
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,230/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hudson Falls Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3614970
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 47% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,019
- Composite
- 36.57/100
- National rank
- #4635
- State rank
- #486 of 590 in NY
Livability — Hudson Falls
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #481
- US rank
- #8482
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Hudson Falls, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,618
Population outlook (Washington County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 59,576 people
- By 2030
- 57,618 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 52,751 · -11.5%
- By 2050
- 47,514 · -20.2%
- By 2075
- 35,690 · -40.1%
- By 2100
- 24,807 · -58.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (89%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 89% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 4%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 8% Slovak 5% Estonian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, Guatemala
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 2% German/W. Germanic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Washington
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+21.2) · D 39.4% · R 60.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.0pp toward R · 2008: 0.8pp · 2024: -21.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+21.2 2020: R+15.6 2016: R+20.2 2012: D+1.6 2008: D+0.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 25.92%
- Current HPI
- 331.6315
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+55.0% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2025-12-17 Listed $200,000 Global MLS
- 2023-10-24 Sold (Public Records) $120,000 Public Records
- 2023-07-20 Price Changed $129,900 Global MLS
- 2023-06-29 Listed $134,900 Global MLS
- 2017-08-28 Sold (Public Records) $122,500 Public Records
- 2017-05-15 Sold (MLS) $122,500 Global MLS
- 2017-05-15 Sold (MLS) $122,500 Global MLS
- 2016-07-07 Listed $135,000 Global MLS
- 2016-07-07 Listed $135,000 Global MLS
- 2008-05-07 Sold (MLS) $113,600 Global MLS
- 2008-03-04 Listed $129,000 Global MLS
Property tax history
-0.7%/yrLatest (2025): $3,404 · -20.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…