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2377 Breckinridge Rd
B Composite 73.97
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +2.0/15.0
  • Schools +1.1/10.0

$79,900

2377 Breckinridge Rd · Jackson, MS 39204
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,736 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 6 Days on market
Built 1969 0.25 ac lot Est $71k · 12% over ↓ 9% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

BIG BEDROOMS WITH NEW CARPET. BEAUTIFUL YARD.. DEN, LIVING AND DINING ROOM. WHAT A FIND. THIS HOUSE WANT LAST LONG. CALL YOUR REALTOR FOR YOUR PRIVATE SHOWING.

Key facts

  • Hardwood flooring
  • 0.25-acre lot
  • Community amenities

Tags

HARDWOOD FLOORINGSPACIOUS LIVING ROOMSEPARATE DENATTACHED TWO-CAR GARAGE0.25-ACRE LOTCOMMUNITY AMENITIES

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 2-car garage; 2 total parking spaces
  • Security: Security system; Smoke detector(s)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available; Sewer available; Cat-5 prewired
  • Home design: Single family residence; House; One level
  • Construction: Brick and siding exterior; Asphalt shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built (year per public records)
  • Exterior features: Chain link fencing; Lot approximately 0.25 acre

Interior

  • Kitchen: Built-in refrigerator; Dishwasher; Disposal; Electric range; Microwave; Oven
  • Flooring: Carpet; Ceramic tile; Linoleum; Tile
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Hot water heating; Natural gas heating; Central air; Ceiling fan(s)
  • Interior features: Entrance foyer; Walk-in closet(s); Insulated windows; Window treatments; Wood-burning fireplace; Built-in refrigerator; Dishwasher; Disposal; Electric range; Microwave; Oven; Gas water heater; Water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $424 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
  • Cap rate 12.7% vs local median 9.9% in Jackson — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#66 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, employment F, health & safety F.
  • Jackson Public School District (urban): math 9% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #112 of 130 in MS (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 88% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Wilkins Elementary School (math 2% / reading 12%, grade F, #337 of 375 statewide, top 94%, 316 students, 100% FRL); Peeples Middle School (math 11% / reading 15%, grade F, #141 of 179 statewide, top 79%, 298 students, 100% FRL); Wingfield High School (math 7% / reading 12%, grade F, #179 of 197 statewide, top 92%, 608 students, 100% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+13.6%/yr); 121 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 167 units permitted in Hinds County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,327/mo this rent would consume 53% of the median local household income ($30k/yr) (locally 1099% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $9k of equity ($552 loan paydown + $8k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Hinds County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts since 23y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $79,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1969 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.66%
Cap rate
12.67%
Cash-on-cash
22.76%
DSCR
2.01
GRM
5.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$71,176
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1136 Killarney St 0.27mi 4/2.0 1,608 (-7%) 2mo $45,500 $28 74
2232 Breckinridge Rd 0.27mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,794 (+3%) 10mo $85,000 $47 69
2229 Scanlon Dr 0.49mi 4/2.0 1,651 (-5%) 8mo $94,900 $57 62
941 Dorgan St 0.39mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,644 (-5%) 11mo $35,000 $21 59
2318 Breckinridge Rd 0.15mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,518 (-13%) 11mo $27,500 $18 58
1405 Dianne Dr 0.28mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,537 (-12%) 11mo $75,000 $49 53
2938 Oak Forest Dr 0.68mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,726 (-1%) 9mo $93,500 $54 53
1732 Southhaven Cir 0.73mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,675 (-4%) 8mo $62,500 $37 48
2804 Revere St 0.44mi 4/2.0 1,484 (-14%) 10mo $99,000 $67 46
2813 Marydale Dr 0.54mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,500 (-14%) 2mo $34,999 $23 43
2555 Belvedere Dr 0.69mi 4/1.5 1,523 (-12%) 3mo $19,000 $12 43
1945 Camellia Ln 0.63mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,525 (-12%) 5mo $62,900 $41 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
44.4%
Equity multiple
4.47×
Total profit
$77,614
Equity at exit
$71,980
10-year hold
IRR
40.6%
Equity multiple
11.05×
Total profit
$224,807
Equity at exit
$155,228

Cash invested: $22,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Mississippi
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

ZIP-level market 39204

Home prices YoY
8.0%
Rents YoY
13.6%
Active inventory
121
Price-to-rent
5.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,327 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$419
Tax from tax record
$172 /mo · $2,059/yr
Insurance
$33
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$279
Net cashflow
$424

Break-even live

Break-even rent $790
Max offer price $79,900
Occupancy floor 63%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $470 -5% $447 +0% $424 +5% $402 +10% $379
Rent -10% $319 -5% $372 +0% $424 +5% $477 +10% $529
Rate -1.0pp $465 -0.5pp $445 base $424 +0.5pp $404 +1.0pp $383

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$19,975
Closing costs
$2,397
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2242 Castle Hill Dr Jackson, MS 4.0 2.0 1500 $1,475 $0.98 15d 1 0.22mi
2242 Castle Hill Dr Jackson, MS 4.0 2.0 1500 $1,475 $0.98 24d 1 0.22mi
1126 Barbara Ann Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 1.0 1343 $1,000 $0.74 45d 1 0.24mi
1126 Barbara Ann Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 1.0 1343 $1,000 $0.74 15d 1 0.24mi
2694 Woodside Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 1.0 1509 $1,075 $0.71 24d 1 0.35mi
2694 Woodside Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 1.0 1509 $1,075 $0.71 15d 1 0.35mi
2732 Woodside Dr Jackson, MS 4.0 2.0 1566 $1,050 $0.67 24d 1 0.37mi
2729 Carleton St Jackson, MS 4.0 2.0 1666 $1,575 $0.95 15d 1 0.39mi
1513 Maria Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1120 $1,200 $1.07 15d 1 0.43mi
1513 Maria Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1120 $1,200 $1.07 24d 1 0.43mi
843 Reaves St Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1408 $1,084 $0.77 45d 1 0.48mi
2873 Teresa Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,100 $1.00 45d 1 0.62mi
427 McDowell Park Cir Jackson, MS 3.0 1.5 1308 $1,200 $0.92 15d 1 0.72mi
1223 Marydale Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 1.0 1300 $950 $0.73 45d 1 0.75mi
3030 Oak Forest Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 1.5 1200 $1,100 $0.92 45d 1 0.81mi
3030 Oak Forest Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,100 $0.92 15d 1 0.81mi
2401 Coronet Pl Jackson, MS 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,400 $1.17 24d 1 0.84mi
125 Wingfield Ct Unit NA Jackson, MS 4.0 2.0 1797 $1,650 $0.92 24d 1 0.84mi
1641 Woodburn St Jackson, MS 5.0 2.0 1300 $1,812 $1.39 15d 1 0.84mi
2904 Marwood Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1554 $1,250 $0.80 24d 1 0.88mi
3147 Bilgray Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1850 $1,306 $0.71 45d 1 0.89mi
1848 Willaneel Dr Jackson, MS 4.0 2.0 1623 $1,100 $0.68 15d 1 0.91mi
3020 Lakewood Dr Jackson, MS 4.0 2.0 1600 $1,150 $0.72 24d 1 0.91mi
3152 Bilgray Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 1.5 1200 $1,100 $0.92 15d 1 0.91mi
3122 Oak Forest Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1421 $1,100 $0.77 45d 1 0.95mi
3147 Shirley Dr Jackson, MS 4.0 2.0 2137 $1,425 $0.67 45d 1 0.98mi
3147 Shirley Dr Jackson, MS 4.0 2.0 2137 $1,425 $0.67 15d 1 0.98mi
3049 Lakewood Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 1.0 1200 $975 $0.81 45d 1 0.98mi
3151 Shirley Dr Jackson, MS 4.0 2.0 1474 $1,306 $0.89 15d 1 1.00mi
3162 Oak Forest Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 1.5 1280 $1,236 $0.97 45d 1 1.02mi
1219 Woody Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 1.0 1058 $1,150 $1.09 24d 1 1.11mi
316 Woody Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 1.0 1185 $1,250 $1.05 15d 1 1.12mi
316 Woody Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 1.0 1185 $1,250 $1.05 45d 1 1.12mi
1645 Camellia Ln Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1268 $1,200 $0.95 15d 1 1.13mi
2915 Longwood Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1800 $1,400 $0.78 24d 1 1.15mi
1805 Hospital Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1335 $1,050 $0.79 15d 1 1.18mi
267 Woody Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 1.5 1165 $1,100 $0.94 45d 1 1.19mi
2808 Ridgeland Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1606 $1,600 $1.00 45d 1 1.27mi
360 Cooper Rd Jackson, MS 4.0 2.0 1624 $1,575 $0.97 15d 1 1.29mi
245 Shady Cir Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1510 $1,100 $0.73 24d 1 1.35mi

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $79,900 Active 6 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $79,900 Active 5 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $79,900 Active 4 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $79,900 Active 3 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    remarks 510-char remark
  6. 2026-06-13
    listed $79,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,059 · $172/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,059 · $172/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,921
− Mortgage interest
−$4,476
− Property taxes
−$2,059
− Insurance
−$400
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,274
− Management
−$1,274
− Depreciation
−$2,324
Taxable income
$4,115
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$988
After-tax cash flow
$4,104/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Jackson Public School District
NCES district ID
2802190
Math proficiency
9% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
18% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$33,234
Composite
10.89/100
National rank
#9755
State rank
#112 of 130 in MS

Livability — Jackson

Score
68/100
State rank
#66
US rank
#9695

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Jackson, MS
County
Hinds County · 167,040 people
City population
140,204
Metro
Jackson, MS
Population (ZIP)
13,249
Household income
$30,237
Rent vs Own
66.3% rent · 33.7% own
Severe rent burden
1099.0

Population outlook (Hinds County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
242,528 people
By 2030
241,113 · -0.6%
By 2040
235,557 · -2.9%
By 2050
226,946 · -6.4%
By 2075
199,995 · -17.5%
By 2100
164,165 · -32.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (90%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 90% White 5% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Hinds

2024 margin
Solid D (+46.1) · D 72.4% · R 26.3% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
+7.1pp toward D · 2008: 39.0pp · 2024: 46.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+46.1 2020: D+48.3 2016: D+43.7 2012: D+45.1 2008: D+39.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 17.25%
Current HPI
233.9061
Rent YoY
▲ 13.56%
Metro
Jackson, MS
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

-8.7% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-12 Listed $79,900 MLSU
  • 2017-05-11 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2006-05-01 Sold (MLS) MLSU
  • 2006-04-24 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2006-04-02 Listed $118,000 MLSU
  • 2003-11-14 Sold (MLS) MLSU
  • 2003-09-11 Listed $87,500 MLSU
  • 1991-10-01 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1988-09-16 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+6.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,059 · +2.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…