2377 Breckinridge Rd · Jackson, MS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +2.0/15.0
- Schools +1.1/10.0
$79,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
BIG BEDROOMS WITH NEW CARPET. BEAUTIFUL YARD.. DEN, LIVING AND DINING ROOM. WHAT A FIND. THIS HOUSE WANT LAST LONG. CALL YOUR REALTOR FOR YOUR PRIVATE SHOWING.
Key facts
- Hardwood flooring
- 0.25-acre lot
- Community amenities
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 2-car garage; 2 total parking spaces
- Security: Security system; Smoke detector(s)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available; Sewer available; Cat-5 prewired
- Home design: Single family residence; House; One level
- Construction: Brick and siding exterior; Asphalt shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built (year per public records)
- Exterior features: Chain link fencing; Lot approximately 0.25 acre
Interior
- Kitchen: Built-in refrigerator; Dishwasher; Disposal; Electric range; Microwave; Oven
- Flooring: Carpet; Ceramic tile; Linoleum; Tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Hot water heating; Natural gas heating; Central air; Ceiling fan(s)
- Interior features: Entrance foyer; Walk-in closet(s); Insulated windows; Window treatments; Wood-burning fireplace; Built-in refrigerator; Dishwasher; Disposal; Electric range; Microwave; Oven; Gas water heater; Water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $424 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
- Cap rate 12.7% vs local median 9.9% in Jackson — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#66 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, employment F, health & safety F.
- Jackson Public School District (urban): math 9% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #112 of 130 in MS (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 88% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Wilkins Elementary School (math 2% / reading 12%, grade F, #337 of 375 statewide, top 94%, 316 students, 100% FRL); Peeples Middle School (math 11% / reading 15%, grade F, #141 of 179 statewide, top 79%, 298 students, 100% FRL); Wingfield High School (math 7% / reading 12%, grade F, #179 of 197 statewide, top 92%, 608 students, 100% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+13.6%/yr); 121 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 167 units permitted in Hinds County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,327/mo this rent would consume 53% of the median local household income ($30k/yr) (locally 1099% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $9k of equity ($552 loan paydown + $8k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Hinds County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 23y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1969 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.66% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.67%
- Cash-on-cash
- 22.76%
- DSCR
- 2.01
- GRM
- 5.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $71,176
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1136 Killarney St | 0.27mi | 4/2.0 | 1,608 (-7%) | 2mo | $45,500 | $28 | 74 |
| 2232 Breckinridge Rd | 0.27mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,794 (+3%) | 10mo | $85,000 | $47 | 69 |
| 2229 Scanlon Dr | 0.49mi | 4/2.0 | 1,651 (-5%) | 8mo | $94,900 | $57 | 62 |
| 941 Dorgan St | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,644 (-5%) | 11mo | $35,000 | $21 | 59 |
| 2318 Breckinridge Rd | 0.15mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,518 (-13%) | 11mo | $27,500 | $18 | 58 |
| 1405 Dianne Dr | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,537 (-12%) | 11mo | $75,000 | $49 | 53 |
| 2938 Oak Forest Dr | 0.68mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,726 (-1%) | 9mo | $93,500 | $54 | 53 |
| 1732 Southhaven Cir | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,675 (-4%) | 8mo | $62,500 | $37 | 48 |
| 2804 Revere St | 0.44mi | 4/2.0 | 1,484 (-14%) | 10mo | $99,000 | $67 | 46 |
| 2813 Marydale Dr | 0.54mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,500 (-14%) | 2mo | $34,999 | $23 | 43 |
| 2555 Belvedere Dr | 0.69mi | 4/1.5 | 1,523 (-12%) | 3mo | $19,000 | $12 | 43 |
| 1945 Camellia Ln | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,525 (-12%) | 5mo | $62,900 | $41 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 44.4%
- Equity multiple
- 4.47×
- Total profit
- $77,614
- Equity at exit
- $71,980
- IRR
- 40.6%
- Equity multiple
- 11.05×
- Total profit
- $224,807
- Equity at exit
- $155,228
Cash invested: $22,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 39204
- Home prices YoY
- 8.0%
- Rents YoY
- 13.6%
- Active inventory
- 121
- Price-to-rent
- 5.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,327 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$419
- Tax from tax record
- −$172 /mo · $2,059/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$279
- Net cashflow
- $424
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $470 | -5% $447 | +0% $424 | +5% $402 | +10% $379 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $319 | -5% $372 | +0% $424 | +5% $477 | +10% $529 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $465 | -0.5pp $445 | base $424 | +0.5pp $404 | +1.0pp $383 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,975
- Closing costs
- $2,397
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2242 Castle Hill Dr Jackson, MS | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,475 | $0.98 | 15d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 2242 Castle Hill Dr Jackson, MS | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,475 | $0.98 | 24d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 1126 Barbara Ann Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1343 | $1,000 | $0.74 | 45d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 1126 Barbara Ann Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1343 | $1,000 | $0.74 | 15d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 2694 Woodside Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1509 | $1,075 | $0.71 | 24d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 2694 Woodside Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1509 | $1,075 | $0.71 | 15d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 2732 Woodside Dr Jackson, MS | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1566 | $1,050 | $0.67 | 24d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 2729 Carleton St Jackson, MS | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1666 | $1,575 | $0.95 | 15d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 1513 Maria Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1120 | $1,200 | $1.07 | 15d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 1513 Maria Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1120 | $1,200 | $1.07 | 24d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 843 Reaves St Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1408 | $1,084 | $0.77 | 45d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 2873 Teresa Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,100 | $1.00 | 45d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 427 McDowell Park Cir Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1308 | $1,200 | $0.92 | 15d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 1223 Marydale Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $950 | $0.73 | 45d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 3030 Oak Forest Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,100 | $0.92 | 45d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 3030 Oak Forest Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,100 | $0.92 | 15d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 2401 Coronet Pl Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,400 | $1.17 | 24d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 125 Wingfield Ct Unit NA Jackson, MS | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1797 | $1,650 | $0.92 | 24d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 1641 Woodburn St Jackson, MS | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,812 | $1.39 | 15d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 2904 Marwood Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1554 | $1,250 | $0.80 | 24d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 3147 Bilgray Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1850 | $1,306 | $0.71 | 45d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 1848 Willaneel Dr Jackson, MS | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1623 | $1,100 | $0.68 | 15d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 3020 Lakewood Dr Jackson, MS | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $1,150 | $0.72 | 24d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 3152 Bilgray Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,100 | $0.92 | 15d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 3122 Oak Forest Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1421 | $1,100 | $0.77 | 45d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 3147 Shirley Dr Jackson, MS | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2137 | $1,425 | $0.67 | 45d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 3147 Shirley Dr Jackson, MS | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2137 | $1,425 | $0.67 | 15d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 3049 Lakewood Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $975 | $0.81 | 45d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 3151 Shirley Dr Jackson, MS | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1474 | $1,306 | $0.89 | 15d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 3162 Oak Forest Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1280 | $1,236 | $0.97 | 45d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 1219 Woody Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1058 | $1,150 | $1.09 | 24d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 316 Woody Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1185 | $1,250 | $1.05 | 15d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 316 Woody Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1185 | $1,250 | $1.05 | 45d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 1645 Camellia Ln Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1268 | $1,200 | $0.95 | 15d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 2915 Longwood Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $1,400 | $0.78 | 24d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 1805 Hospital Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1335 | $1,050 | $0.79 | 15d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 267 Woody Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1165 | $1,100 | $0.94 | 45d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 2808 Ridgeland Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1606 | $1,600 | $1.00 | 45d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 360 Cooper Rd Jackson, MS | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1624 | $1,575 | $0.97 | 15d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 245 Shady Cir Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1510 | $1,100 | $0.73 | 24d | 1 | 1.35mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $79,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $79,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $79,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $79,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 510-char remark
-
2026-06-13$79,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,059 · $172/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,059 · $172/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,921
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,476
- − Property taxes
- −$2,059
- − Insurance
- −$400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,274
- − Management
- −$1,274
- − Depreciation
- −$2,324
- Taxable income
- $4,115
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$988
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,104/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jackson Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 2802190
- Math proficiency
- 9% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 18% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,234
- Composite
- 10.89/100
- National rank
- #9755
- State rank
- #112 of 130 in MS
Livability — Jackson
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #66
- US rank
- #9695
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Jackson, MS
- County
- Hinds County · 167,040 people
- City population
- 140,204
- Metro
- Jackson, MS
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,249
- Household income
- $30,237
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1099.0
Population outlook (Hinds County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 242,528 people
- By 2030
- 241,113 · -0.6%
- By 2040
- 235,557 · -2.9%
- By 2050
- 226,946 · -6.4%
- By 2075
- 199,995 · -17.5%
- By 2100
- 164,165 · -32.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 90% White 5% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Hinds
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+46.1) · D 72.4% · R 26.3% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.1pp toward D · 2008: 39.0pp · 2024: 46.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+46.1 2020: D+48.3 2016: D+43.7 2012: D+45.1 2008: D+39.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 17.25%
- Current HPI
- 233.9061
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 13.56%
- Metro
- Jackson, MS
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
-8.7% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-12 Listed $79,900 MLSU
- 2017-05-11 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2006-05-01 Sold (MLS) — MLSU
- 2006-04-24 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2006-04-02 Listed $118,000 MLSU
- 2003-11-14 Sold (MLS) — MLSU
- 2003-09-11 Listed $87,500 MLSU
- 1991-10-01 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1988-09-16 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+6.9%/yrLatest (2025): $2,059 · +2.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…