208 Manors Mill Rd · Dallas, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 25.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.4/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +6.8/10.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +1.8/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$175,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
HERE'S A RARE AND UNIQUE OPPORTUNITY to purchase 2 homes on a total of 4.1 acres in the country just a short drive from historic Dallas, GA! NOTE: THIS PROPERTY MUST BE SOLD WITH 244 MANORS MILL ROAD - GAMLS# 10674747 This home is NOT on a permanent block foundation. This property SHARES a well with 244 Manors Mill Road. 3 bedroom, 2 bath home with a large level yard perfect for your kids or animals! This home has been vacant for a long time and needs some work to bring it back up to par. There is a detached metal carport canopy in the side yard. Do you need room to park your RV? There's plenty of room here to bring your RV, boats, trailers, toys, etc.! Come on out and experience some peace and quiet away from the hustle and bustle of town. If you have been looking for a property that offers 2 homes located close (but not too close!) to each other on some land - maybe so your parents or your children can live close by - you need to check this one out! You could have your own small family compound in a quiet, private setting. It is my understanding that this property would have to be purchased with cash. The asking price of both properties sold together is $385,000. Accuracy of all information deemed reliable but not guaranteed and should be verified by interested parties.
Key facts
- Large level yard
- Shares a well
- 4.1 acres
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath manufactured listed at $175k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $568 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $175k).
- Recommended offer: $154k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.2% vs local median 4.2% in Dallas — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#192 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, schools D, amenities F.
- Paulding County (suburban): math 39% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #33 of 174 in GA (top 19%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.8%/yr); 598 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 1,458 units permitted in Paulding County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Paulding County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 151 days — a 12% lower offer ($154k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $18k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 25% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 151 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.18% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.19%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.92%
- DSCR
- 1.62
- GRM
- 7.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $281,881
- List price
- $175,000
- Delta
- -37.92%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 6 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 1.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.04×
- Total profit
- $1,742
- Equity at exit
- $26,093
- IRR
- 7.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.50×
- Total profit
- $24,563
- Equity at exit
- $15,131
Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30157
- Home prices YoY
- -9.4%
- Rents YoY
- -2.8%
- Active inventory
- 598
- Price-to-rent
- 7.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,057 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$918
- Tax from tax record
- −$66 /mo · $797/yr
- Insurance
- −$73
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$432
- Net cashflow
- $568
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $43,750
- Closing costs
- $5,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $175,000 Active 151 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $175,000 Active 150 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $175,000 Active 149 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $175,000 Active 148 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $175,000 Active 146 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $175,000 Active 145 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $175,000 Active 142 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $175,000 Active 141 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $175,000 Active 140 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $175,000 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $175,000 Active 136 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $175,000 Active 135 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $175,000 Active 134 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $175,000 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-01-12$192,500 New 1292-char remark
Show marketing remark (1291 chars)
HERE'S A RARE AND UNIQUE OPPORTUNITY to purchase 2 homes on a total of 4.1 acres in the country just a short drive from historic Dallas, GA! NOTE: THIS PROPERTY MUST BE SOLD WITH 244 MANORS MILL ROAD - FMLS# 7704343. This home is NOT on a permanent block foundation. This property SHARES a well with 244 Manors Mill Road. 3 bedroom, 2 bath home with a large level yard perfect for your kids or animals! This home has been vacant for a long time and needs some work to bring it back up to par. There is a detached metal carport canopy in the side yard. Do you need room to park your RV? There's plenty of room here to bring your RV, boats, trailers, toys, etc.! Come on out and experience some peace and quiet away from the hustle and bustle of town. If you have been looking for a property that offers 2 homes located close (but not too close!) to each other on some land - maybe so your parents or your children can live close by - you need to check this one out! You could have your own small family compound in a quiet, private setting. It is my understanding that this property would have to be purchased with cash. The asking price of both properties sold together is $385,000. Accuracy of all information deemed reliable but not guaranteed and should be verified by interested parties.
-
2026-01-12$192,500 Active 1291-char remark
Show marketing remark (1291 chars)
HERE'S A RARE AND UNIQUE OPPORTUNITY to purchase 2 homes on a total of 4.1 acres in the country just a short drive from historic Dallas, GA! NOTE: THIS PROPERTY MUST BE SOLD WITH 244 MANORS MILL ROAD - FMLS# 7704343. This home is NOT on a permanent block foundation. This property SHARES a well with 244 Manors Mill Road. 3 bedroom, 2 bath home with a large level yard perfect for your kids or animals! This home has been vacant for a long time and needs some work to bring it back up to par. There is a detached metal carport canopy in the side yard. Do you need room to park your RV? There's plenty of room here to bring your RV, boats, trailers, toys, etc.! Come on out and experience some peace and quiet away from the hustle and bustle of town. If you have been looking for a property that offers 2 homes located close (but not too close!) to each other on some land - maybe so your parents or your children can live close by - you need to check this one out! You could have your own small family compound in a quiet, private setting. It is my understanding that this property would have to be purchased with cash. The asking price of both properties sold together is $385,000. Accuracy of all information deemed reliable but not guaranteed and should be verified by interested parties.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $797 · $66/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,610 · $134/mo
- Expected delta
- +$813/yr (+$68/mo · 102.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 5/10 Major 25% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,688
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,803
- − Property taxes
- −$797
- − Insurance
- −$875
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,975
- − Management
- −$1,975
- − Depreciation
- −$5,091
- Taxable income
- $4,172
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,001
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,817/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Paulding County
- NCES district ID
- 1304020
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $61,447
- Composite
- 36.0/100
- National rank
- #4784
- State rank
- #33 of 174 in GA
Livability — Dallas
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #192
- US rank
- #11802
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Paulding County · 134,013 people
- City population
- 106,793
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 53,445
- Household income
- $93,625
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 375.0
Population outlook (Paulding County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 175,714 people
- By 2030
- 186,082 · +5.9%
- By 2040
- 204,414 · +16.3%
- By 2050
- 217,040 · +23.5%
- By 2075
- 236,980 · +34.9%
- By 2100
- 238,314 · +35.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 72% Black 13% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 8% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Italian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 5% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Paulding
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+24.1) · D 37.6% · R 61.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +14.4pp toward D · 2008: -38.5pp · 2024: -24.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+24.1 2020: R+29.1 2016: R+41.2 2012: R+43.6 2008: R+38.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -34.28%
- Current HPI
- 330.3487
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -2.83%
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
||
| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-12 Listed $192,500 FMLS
- 2026-01-12 Listed $192,500 GAMLS
Property tax history
+9.3%/yrLatest (2025): $797 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…