Duplex
462 Dayton St · Cincinnati, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.2/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.9/15.0
- DSCR +5.4/10.0
- 1% rule +4.7/10.0
- Rent growth +4.5/5.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$374,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
Recently renovated duplex in a rapidly developing area, ideally located just half a mile from FC Cincinnati Stadium and Findlay Market, and just over a mile from the University of Cincinnati. Positioned in the path of continued growth, this property offers both strong in-place cash flow and long-term upside. The property was renovated in 2023 and is fully stabilized with separate utilities, keeping owner expenses low. Both units feature in-unit laundry. Unit 1 offers 3 bedrooms and 1 bathroom and is currently leased at $1,625/month through June 8, 2026. Unit 2 features 2 bedrooms and 1 bathroom and is leased at $1,249/month through April 26, 2027. Tenants pay all utilities except water. Thi
Key facts
- Separate utilities
- In unit laundry
- Prime location
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: One building total; Semi-annual taxes reported
- Financial info: Two-unit investment property with rents of approximately $1,625 for the 3-bedroom unit and $1,249 for the 2-bedroom unit
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas
- Home design: Duplex; Three or more levels
- Construction: Brick construction; Stone foundation; Shingle roof
- Exterior features: Vinyl windows; Small city lot (approx. 1,424 sq ft / 0.0327 acres)
Interior
- Bedrooms: One unit with 3 bedrooms; One unit with 2 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: Each unit has 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Heat pump; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Full basement (approx. 750 sq ft); No fireplace
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $375k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $268 ($3k/yr) — positive. Per door: $134/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $363k (3.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $352k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.2% vs local median 3.9% in Cincinnati — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#130 in OH, #1,856 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D, crime F.
- Cincinnati Public Schools (urban): math 25% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #581 of 656 in OH (top 89%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.1%/yr); 67 active listings in the ZIP; 36 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 801 units permitted in Hamilton County in 2024 (190 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,626/mo this rent would consume 156% of the median local household income ($28k/yr) (locally 857% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $40k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $37k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $105k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$64k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 61 days — a 6% lower offer ($352k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1876 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 61 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1876 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.97% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.15%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.07%
- DSCR
- 1.14
- GRM
- 8.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $378,480
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 924 Findlay St | 0.27mi | 4/— (+1) | 2,429 (-2%) | 2mo | $235,000 | $97 | 77 |
| 535 Klotter Ave | 0.36mi | 3/3.0 | 2,410 (-3%) | 2mo | $430,000 | $178 | 76 |
| 1606 Elm St | 0.50mi | 3/3.0 | 2,592 (+4%) | 1mo | $135,000 | $52 | 69 |
| 318 Mohawk St | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 | 2,226 (-11%) | 2mo | $380,000 | $171 | 67 |
| 813 Livingston St | 0.24mi | 2/— (-1) | 2,386 (-4%) | 20mo | $38,000 | $16 | 60 |
| 2226 Ravine St | 0.39mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,270 (-9%) | 0mo | $297,500 | $131 | 58 |
| 133 Parker St | 0.51mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,433 (-2%) | 10mo | $370,000 | $152 | 57 |
| 458 W Mcmicken Ave | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 | 2,832 (+14%) | 11mo | $215,000 | $76 | 52 |
| 258 Warner St | 0.49mi | 3/3.0 | 2,626 (+6%) | 20mo | $289,500 | $110 | 52 |
| 458 Lloyd Pl | 0.46mi | 3/3.5 | 2,217 (-11%) | 9mo | $344,900 | $156 | 51 |
| 618 Klotter Ave | 0.45mi | 3/3.0 | 2,750 (+10%) | 15mo | $531,000 | $193 | 49 |
| 2334 W Clifton Ave | 0.57mi | 3/— | 2,680 (+8%) | 20mo | $450,000 | $168 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 28.4%
- Equity multiple
- 3.29×
- Total profit
- $240,483
- Equity at exit
- $337,740
- IRR
- 26.2%
- Equity multiple
- 8.07×
- Total profit
- $742,338
- Equity at exit
- $728,348
Cash invested: $104,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 45214
- Home prices YoY
- 3.6%
- Rents YoY
- 8.1%
- Active inventory
- 67
- Price-to-rent
- 17.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,626 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,966
- Tax from tax record
- −$474 /mo · $5,689/yr
- Insurance
- −$156
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$761
- Net cashflow
- $268
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $480 | -5% $374 | +0% $268 | +5% $162 | +10% $56 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-18 | -5% $125 | +0% $268 | +5% $411 | +10% $555 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $457 | -0.5pp $364 | base $268 | +0.5pp $171 | +1.0pp $72 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 1 | $3,626 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $1,813 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $1,813 |
| Total (2 units) | $3,626 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $93,725
- Closing costs
- $11,247
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 36 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 472 Dayton St Cincinnati, OH | 2.0 | 1.5 | 2519 | $1,500 | $0.60 | 5d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 107 E Clifton Ave Unit 1234537P Cincinnati, OH | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 2260 | $6,619 | $2.93 | 15d | 2 | 0.41mi |
| 2231 Flora St Cincinnati, OH | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1728 | $1,500 | $0.87 | 24d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 111 W Elder St Unit 1056044P Cincinnati, OH | 1.0–4.0 | 1.0–4.0 | 1835 | $5,561 | $3.03 | 11d | 2 | 0.44mi |
| 2235 Victor St Cincinnati, OH | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2043 | $2,250 | $1.10 | 24d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 1826 Republic St Unit 1056093P Cincinnati, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1614 | $2,812 | $1.74 | 15d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 1610 Pleasant St Unit 1056041P Cincinnati, OH | 3.0–4.0 | 2.0–3.0 | 2960 | $4,370 | $1.48 | 11d | 2 | 0.51mi |
| 55 Mulberry St Cincinnati, OH | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2500 | $3,500 | $1.40 | 24d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 2332 Chickasaw St Unit 1 Cincinnati, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2000 | $1,800 | $0.90 | 24d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 1537 Republic St Unit 1058850P Cincinnati, OH | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2421 | $10,677 | $4.41 | 22d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 1424 Pleasant St Unit 1056038P Cincinnati, OH | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2960 | $7,167 | $2.42 | 15d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 2271 Vine St Cincinnati, OH | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2268 | $1,525 | $0.67 | 5d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 2386 Wheeler St Cincinnati, OH | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1740 | $2,700 | $1.55 | 24d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 21 E 15th St Unit 1512946P Cincinnati, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2852 | $12,830 | $4.50 | 24d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 2388 Wheeler St Cincinnati, OH | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1740 | $2,700 | $1.55 | 24d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 328 Mulberry St Cincinnati, OH | 3.0 | 3.5 | 2640 | $5,500 | $2.08 | 24d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 328 Mulberry St Cincinnati, OH | 3.0 | 3.5 | 2640 | $5,500 | $2.08 | 15d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 1610 Sycamore St Cincinnati, OH | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $1,900 | $1.19 | 11d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 2704 W McMicken Ave Unit 2 Cincinnati, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1760 | $1,500 | $0.85 | 24d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 120 E 13th St Unit 1056091P Cincinnati, OH | 4.0 | 2.0 | 3229 | $10,667 | $3.30 | 22d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 1354 Broadway Unit 1056136P Cincinnati, OH | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2529 | $7,307 | $2.89 | 4d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 216 Gilman Ave Unit 1363975P Cincinnati, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1776 | $3,474 | $1.96 | 4d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 236 Gilman Ave Cincinnati, OH | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1699 | $2,200 | $1.29 | 13d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 1304 Broadway Unit 1056130P Cincinnati, OH | 1.0–5.0 | 1.0–4.0 | 2072 | $5,808 | $2.80 | 11d | 2 | 1.08mi |
| 19 Garfield Pl Cincinnati, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1680 | $2,260 | $1.34 | 2d | 11 | 1.14mi |
| 516 E 12th St Unit 1314562P Cincinnati, OH | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2023 | $10,170 | $5.03 | 24d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 623 Riddle Rd Cincinnati, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2028 | $1,800 | $0.89 | 24d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 2105 Burnet Ave Unit 1056017P Cincinnati, OH | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2960 | $7,384 | $2.49 | 2d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 2800 Jefferson Ave Cincinnati, OH | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2500 | $625 | $0.25 | 21d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 634 Sycamore St Cincinnati, OH | 2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 1261 | $2,615 | $2.07 | 5d | 9 | 1.34mi |
| 580 Walnut St Cincinnati, OH | 2.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1101 | $4,822 | $4.38 | 2d | 19 | 1.34mi |
| 345 E 7th St Cincinnati, OH | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1184 | $4,300 | $3.63 | 4d | 18 | 1.38mi |
| 417 Vine St Cincinnati, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1602 | $2,950 | $1.84 | 15d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 1 W 4th St Cincinnati, OH | 3.0 | 1.0–3.5 | 1675 | $9,200 | $5.49 | 4d | 96 | 1.44mi |
| 2813 Gerard St Unit 1540075P Cincinnati, OH | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2152 | $6,281 | $2.92 | 21d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 595 Martin Luther King Dr W Cincinnati, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2048 | $1,650 | $0.81 | 11d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-06-09days on market $374,900 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $374,900 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $374,900 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $374,900 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $374,900 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $374,900 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $374,900 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-05-04price $374,900
-
2026-04-08$389,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $5,689 · $474/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,769 · $481/mo
- Expected delta
- +$80/yr (+$7/mo · 1.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $43,512
- − Mortgage interest
- −$21,000
- − Property taxes
- −$5,689
- − Insurance
- −$1,874
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,481
- − Management
- −$3,481
- − Depreciation
- −$10,906
- Taxable loss
- −$2,920
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$701
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,919/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Cincinnati Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3904375
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▼ -19.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 36% ▼ -14.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,743
- Composite
- 25.21/100
- National rank
- #7508
- State rank
- #581 of 656 in OH
Livability — Cincinnati
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #130
- US rank
- #1856
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Cincinnati, OH
- County
- Hamilton County · 701,295 people
- City population
- 505,555
- Metro
- Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,630
- Household income
- $27,852
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 857.0
Population outlook (Hamilton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 826,054 people
- By 2030
- 830,947 · +0.6%
- By 2040
- 832,319 · +0.8%
- By 2050
- 822,428 · -0.4%
- By 2075
- 788,688 · -4.5%
- By 2100
- 710,674 · -14.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (63%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 63% White 27% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Hamilton
- 2024 margin
- D (+14.9) · D 57.0% · R 42.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.9pp toward D · 2008: 7.0pp · 2024: 14.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+14.9 2020: D+15.9 2016: D+9.5 2012: D+4.9 2008: D+7.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 15.01%
- Current HPI
- 433.2346
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 8.09%
- Metro
- Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
-3.6% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-04 Price Changed $374,900 Cincy MLS
- 2026-04-08 Listed $389,000 Cincy MLS
Property tax history
+10.4%/yrLatest (2025): $5,689 · +0.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…