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2413 Tempest Dr SW
B Composite 72.33
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +13.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$79,900

2413 Tempest Dr SW · Birmingham, AL 35211
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,446 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 13 Days on market
Built 1961 8,276 sqft lot Est $91k · 12% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Calling all investors! This 3-bedroom, 1-bath home is a fantastic opportunity for those looking to expand their rental portfolio. The property is being sold "As Is" and is currently tenant-occupied, ensuring instant rental revenue. Opportunity to increase property value through strategic renovations and rent adjustments after lease expiration or 30-day notice is given. This one won't last long.

Key facts

  • Good-sized lot
  • Basement den
  • Existing structure

Tags

BASEMENT DENGOOD-SIZED LOTSTRAIGHTFORWARD RANCH DESIGNEXISTING STRUCTURECENTRAL AREAS

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached parking; Driveway parking; One carport space
  • Utilities: Public water; Connected sewer; Internet service available
  • Home design: Single-family existing home; Basement entry (daylight basement)
  • Construction: Wood siding construction; Basement foundation
  • Exterior features: Fenced yard

Interior

  • Kitchen: Laminate countertops; Built-in dishwasher; Electric stove
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level; Additional den/family room in the basement
  • Flooring: Hardwood-look laminate; Tile floors
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom with tub/shower combo (main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central electric cooling
  • Interior features: Ceilings: Other (see remarks); Finished daylight concrete block basement; Basement is finished; Has attic
  • Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry room; Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $406 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
  • Cap rate 12.4% vs local median 6.2% in Birmingham — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#78 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, crime F, employment F.
  • Birmingham City (urban): math 4% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #116 of 129 in AL (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Wenonah High School (math 2% / reading 2%, grade F, #291 of 305 statewide, top 100%, 656 students, 85% FRL) — zoned schools at 85% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.0%/yr); 154 active listings in the ZIP; 37 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 41% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($35k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $552 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $79,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1961 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.57%
Cap rate
12.39%
Cash-on-cash
21.76%
DSCR
1.97
GRM
5.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$91,098
Comps found
11
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2404 Ishkooda Rd SW 0.03mi 3/1.0 1,275 (-12%) 6mo $80,000 $63 74
2005 Dawson Ave SW 0.50mi 3/1.0 1,508 (+4%) 3mo $95,000 $63 67
2424 Ishkooda Rd SW 0.06mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,650 (+14%) 2mo $100,000 $61 65
2005 Henry Crumpton Dr SW 0.34mi 3/2.0 1,377 (-5%) 9mo $95,900 $70 64
2413 Tempest Dr SW 0.00mi 3/1.0 1,619 (+12%) 22mo $115,000 $71 62
2436 College Ave SW 0.62mi 3/1.0 1,386 (-4%) 8mo $54,000 $39 58
2005 SW Snavely Ave 0.55mi 3/1.0 1,380 (-5%) 12mo $52,000 $38 57
2108 Francis Ave SW 0.66mi 3/1.0 1,520 (+5%) 10mo $97,000 $64 52
2721 23rd St 0.48mi 3/2.0 1,596 (+10%) 20mo $120,000 $75 40
1808 Henry Crumpton Dr 0.44mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,280 (-12%) 21mo $50,000 $39 38
1620 Pine Ave SW 0.67mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,528 (+6%) 23mo $38,000 $25 29

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
10.8%
Equity multiple
1.41×
Total profit
$9,242
Equity at exit
$11,913
10-year hold
IRR
17.2%
Equity multiple
2.22×
Total profit
$27,233
Equity at exit
$6,908

Cash invested: $22,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35211

Rents YoY
-0.0%
Active inventory
154
Price-to-rent
5.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,258 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$419
Tax from tax record
$136 /mo · $1,631/yr
Insurance
$33
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$264
Net cashflow
$406

Break-even live

Break-even rent $745
Max offer price $79,900
Occupancy floor 63%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $451 -5% $428 +0% $406 +5% $383 +10% $360
Rent -10% $306 -5% $356 +0% $406 +5% $455 +10% $505
Rate -1.0pp $446 -0.5pp $426 base $406 +0.5pp $385 +1.0pp $364

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$19,975
Closing costs
$2,397
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 37 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2432 Ishkooda Rd SW Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1075 $1,150 $1.07 45d 1 0.09mi
2005 Henry Crumpton Dr Birmingham, AL 4.0 2.0 1377 $1,300 $0.94 45d 1 0.34mi
1845 Henry Crumpton Dr Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1000 $895 $0.90 4d 1 0.41mi
2005 Dawson Ave SW Birmingham, AL 4.0 1.0 1508 $1,250 $0.83 20d 1 0.49mi
224 E Ann Dr SW Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1026 $1,050 $1.02 24d 1 0.49mi
108 E Ann Dr SW Birmingham, AL 4.0 2.0 1628 $1,495 $0.92 24d 1 0.52mi
2005 Snavely Ave SW Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1380 $1,150 $0.83 45d 1 0.54mi
2548 28th St SW Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1762 $1,000 $0.57 3d 1 0.68mi
1669 19th Pl SW Birmingham, AL 4.0 2.0 1373 $1,325 $0.97 24d 1 0.69mi
1501 21st St SW Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1758 $1,250 $0.71 45d 1 0.76mi
2128 Mayfield Ave SW Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1196 $1,200 $1.00 24d 1 0.80mi
1544 18th St SW Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 950 $1,130 $1.19 45d 1 0.85mi
1537 18th St SW Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1049 $1,130 $1.08 45d 1 0.87mi
2516 Powderly Ave SW Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1236 $1,050 $0.85 45d 1 0.89mi
2709 Powderly Ave SW Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1056 $950 $0.90 24d 1 0.92mi
1520 17th Way SW Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 900 $900 $1.00 13d 1 0.95mi
1520 17th Way SW Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 900 $900 $1.00 22d 1 0.95mi
3000 Dawson Ave SW Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1092 $925 $0.85 45d 1 1.01mi
1633 29th St SW Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1658 $1,200 $0.72 45d 1 1.01mi
1838 31st St SW Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1400 $1,223 $0.87 17d 1 1.05mi
1319 18th Way SW Birmingham, AL 4.0 2.0 1337 $1,345 $1.01 24d 1 1.15mi
1228 19th Pl SW Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 978 $1,195 $1.22 4d 1 1.15mi
1209 19th Pl SW Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1050 $1,275 $1.21 45d 1 1.20mi
1252 18th Pl SW Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 950 $1,000 $1.05 17d 1 1.20mi
3417 Park Ave SW Birmingham, AL 4.0 1.0 1402 $900 $0.64 45d 1 1.23mi
3332 Walnut Ave SW Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1339 $750 $0.56 20d 1 1.24mi
3400 Walnut Ave SW Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1133 $1,200 $1.06 45d 1 1.29mi
2304 Beulah Ave SW Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1283 $1,025 $0.80 3d 1 1.29mi
805 29th St SW Birmingham, AL 4.0 2.0 1510 $1,300 $0.86 11d 1 1.32mi
805 29th St SW Birmingham, AL 4.0 2.0 1510 $1,300 $0.86 4d 1 1.32mi
2320 Wesley Ave SW Birmingham, AL 4.0 1.0 1865 $1,200 $0.64 11d 1 1.36mi
251 London Pkwy Birmingham, AL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1192 $1,850 $1.55 2d 27 1.36mi
3116 Steiner Ave SW Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1362 $1,200 $0.88 45d 1 1.36mi
80 W Oxmoor Rd Birmingham, AL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1074 $2,839 $2.64 2d 19 1.40mi
251 London Pkwy Unit 414 Birmingham, AL 2.0 2.0 1202 $3,395 $2.82 45d 1 1.43mi
2409 Garrison Ave SW Birmingham, AL 4.0 2.0 1000 $1,295 $1.29 45d 1 1.44mi
1012 33rd St SW Birmingham, AL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 800 $750 $0.94 4d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $79,900 Active 13 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $79,900 Active 10 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $79,900 Active 9 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $79,900 Active 8 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $79,900 Active 7 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $79,900 Active 5 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $79,900 Active 2 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    remarks 699-char remark
  9. 2026-06-08
    listed $79,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,631 · $136/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,631 · $136/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,097
− Mortgage interest
−$4,476
− Property taxes
−$1,631
− Insurance
−$400
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,208
− Management
−$1,208
− Depreciation
−$2,324
Taxable income
$3,850
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$924
After-tax cash flow
$3,943/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Birmingham City
NCES district ID
0100390
Math proficiency
4% ▼ -17.00%
Reading proficiency
20% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$31,988
Composite
9.49/100
National rank
#9850
State rank
#116 of 129 in AL

Livability — Birmingham

Score
67/100
State rank
#78
US rank
#10412

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Birmingham, AL
County
Jefferson County · 527,445 people
City population
210,422
Metro
Birmingham-Hoover, AL
Population (ZIP)
24,924
Household income
$34,884
Rent vs Own
59.7% rent · 40.3% own
Severe rent burden
2161.0

Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
669,185 people
By 2030
669,694 · +0.1%
By 2040
661,388 · -1.2%
By 2050
643,086 · -3.9%
By 2075
577,267 · -13.7%
By 2100
474,758 · -29.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (77%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 77% White 10% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 8% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson

2024 margin
D (+10.4) · D 54.6% · R 44.2% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
+5.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: 10.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+10.4 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+5.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -49.29%
Current HPI
91.2903
Rent YoY
▬ -0.01%
Metro
Birmingham-Hoover, AL
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+135.0% since first listed
15 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-08 Listed $79,900 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2024-08-23 Sold (Public Records) $115,000 Public Records
  • 2024-08-22 Sold (MLS) $115,000 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2024-07-10 Contingent Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2024-06-29 Price Changed $119,000 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2024-06-14 Price Changed $125,000 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2024-05-29 Listed $130,000 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2020-11-23 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
  • 2020-11-18 Sold (MLS) $50,000 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2020-10-26 Pending Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2020-10-03 Contingent Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2020-10-03 Pending Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2020-09-01 Price Changed $59,900 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2020-07-30 Listed $62,500 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 1985-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $34,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+12.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,631 · +136.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…