208 Whittier #169 · South Lyon, MI
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Schools +4.7/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$16,400
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
* THIS IS A RESALE LISTING * This welcoming, well-maintained 3 bedroom, 1.5 bathroom home is a perfect place to raise your family. For your convenience, we have onsite community management to assist you when you need it. With our family-friendly community amenities such as a basketball court, a picnic area / pavilion / grill, and scenic views, your family will be excited to live here. This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.
Key facts
- Picnic area
- Basketball court
- Scenic views
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Listing status: Active
- Financial info: List price $16,300
Exterior
- Utilities: Natural gas available
- Home design: Spec new construction, Plan 92967; Single-level unit
- Construction: Built as part of 2026 inventory
- Exterior features: Address: 208 Whittier #169, South Lyon, MI 48178
Interior
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating
- Interior features: Living area approximately 980
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $16k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $16k).
- Recommended offer: $16k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 88.9% vs local median 2.6% in South Lyon — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#46 in MI, #953 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, commute F.
- South Lyon Community Schools (suburban): math 46% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #74 of 540 in MI (top 14%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 16% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: 350 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 5d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 2,614 units permitted in Oakland County in 2024 (721 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent is only 14% of the median local income ($132k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $113 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $492 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Oakland County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $5k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($16k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 9.59% ✓
- Cap rate
- 88.92%
- Cash-on-cash
- 295.10%
- DSCR
- 14.13
- GRM
- 0.9
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 16.09×
- Total profit
- $69,289
- Equity at exit
- $2,445
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 34.33×
- Total profit
- $153,043
- Equity at exit
- $1,418
Cash invested: $4,592 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48178
- Active inventory
- 350
- Price-to-rent
- 0.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,573 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$86
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$20 /mo · $246/yr
- Insurance
- −$7
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$330
- Net cashflow
- $1,129
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,141 | -5% $1,135 | +0% $1,129 | +5% $1,124 | +10% $1,118 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,005 | -5% $1,067 | +0% $1,129 | +5% $1,191 | +10% $1,254 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,138 | -0.5pp $1,133 | base $1,129 | +0.5pp $1,125 | +1.0pp $1,121 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $4,100
- Closing costs
- $492
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 102 Princeton Dr South Lyon, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 698 | $1,200 | $1.72 | 45d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 249 Brookwood Dr #2 South Lyon, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1079 | $1,475 | $1.37 | 45d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 113 W Liberty St Unit 1 South Lyon, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,700 | $1.62 | 19d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 200 Brookwood Dr South Lyon, MI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1193 | $1,672 | $1.40 | 4d | 3 | 0.52mi |
| 425 Donovan St South Lyon, MI | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 1027 | $1,700 | $1.66 | 0d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 549 Lakewood Dr South Lyon, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,379 | $1.62 | 0d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 825 W Lake St South Lyon, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 738 | $1,746 | $2.36 | 0d | 7 | 1.06mi |
| 20905 Pontiac Trl South Lyon, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 846 | $3,075 | $3.63 | 0d | 1 | 1.40mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $16,400 Active 34 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $16,400 Active 31 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $16,400 Active 30 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $16,400 Active 29 DOM
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2026-06-16price $16,400 Active 28 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $16,800 Active 28 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $16,800 Active 26 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $16,800 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $16,800 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $16,800 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $16,800 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $16,800 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $16,800 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $16,800 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-01pricedays on market $16,800 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $16,300 Active 13 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,875
- − Mortgage interest
- −$919
- − Property taxes
- −$246
- − Insurance
- −$82
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,510
- − Management
- −$1,510
- − Depreciation
- −$477
- Taxable income
- $14,131
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,391
- After-tax cash flow
- $10,160/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- South Lyon Community Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2632250
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 59% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $71,419
- Composite
- 46.86/100
- National rank
- #2372
- State rank
- #74 of 540 in MI
Livability — South Lyon
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #46
- US rank
- #953
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- South Lyon, MI
- County
- Oakland County · 1,009,092 people
- City population
- 37,789
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 37,789
- Household income
- $131,558
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 141.0
Population outlook (Oakland County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,335,747 people
- By 2030
- 1,375,100 · +2.9%
- By 2040
- 1,435,385 · +7.5%
- By 2050
- 1,469,250 · +10.0%
- By 2075
- 1,531,946 · +14.7%
- By 2100
- 1,450,485 · +8.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 88% Two or more races 4% Asian 4% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 14% Lithuanian 4% Slovak 4%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, South Korea, China
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Oakland
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.6) · D 54.4% · R 43.8% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.9pp toward R · 2008: 14.5pp · 2024: 10.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.6 2020: D+14.1 2016: D+8.1 2012: D+8.1 2008: D+14.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -251.96%
- Current HPI
- 197.5122
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…