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208 Whittier #169
D+ Composite 46.34
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.7/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$16,400

208 Whittier #169 · South Lyon, MI 48178
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 924 sqft · Manufactured · 34 Days on market
Built 2026

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

* THIS IS A RESALE LISTING * This welcoming, well-maintained 3 bedroom, 1.5 bathroom home is a perfect place to raise your family. For your convenience, we have onsite community management to assist you when you need it. With our family-friendly community amenities such as a basketball court, a picnic area / pavilion / grill, and scenic views, your family will be excited to live here. This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.

Key facts

  • Picnic area
  • Basketball court
  • Scenic views

Tags

BASKETBALL COURTPICNIC AREASCENIC VIEWS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Listing status: Active
  • Financial info: List price $16,300

Exterior

  • Utilities: Natural gas available
  • Home design: Spec new construction, Plan 92967; Single-level unit
  • Construction: Built as part of 2026 inventory
  • Exterior features: Address: 208 Whittier #169, South Lyon, MI 48178

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating
  • Interior features: Living area approximately 980

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $16k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $16k).
  • Recommended offer: $16k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 88.9% vs local median 2.6% in South Lyon — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 83/100 on livability (#46 in MI, #953 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, commute F.
  • South Lyon Community Schools (suburban): math 46% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #74 of 540 in MI (top 14%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 16% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: 350 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 5d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 2,614 units permitted in Oakland County in 2024 (721 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent is only 14% of the median local income ($132k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $113 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $492 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Oakland County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $5k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($16k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $15,908 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
9.59%
Cap rate
88.92%
Cash-on-cash
295.10%
DSCR
14.13
GRM
0.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
16.09×
Total profit
$69,289
Equity at exit
$2,445
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
34.33×
Total profit
$153,043
Equity at exit
$1,418

Cash invested: $4,592 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48178

Active inventory
350
Price-to-rent
0.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,573 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$86
Tax est. 1.5%
$20 /mo · $246/yr
Insurance
$7
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$330
Net cashflow
$1,129

Break-even live

Break-even rent $143
Max offer price $16,400
Occupancy floor 23%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,141 -5% $1,135 +0% $1,129 +5% $1,124 +10% $1,118
Rent -10% $1,005 -5% $1,067 +0% $1,129 +5% $1,191 +10% $1,254
Rate -1.0pp $1,138 -0.5pp $1,133 base $1,129 +0.5pp $1,125 +1.0pp $1,121

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$4,100
Closing costs
$492
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 8 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
102 Princeton Dr South Lyon, MI 2.0 1.0 698 $1,200 $1.72 45d 1 0.40mi
249 Brookwood Dr #2 South Lyon, MI 2.0 1.0 1079 $1,475 $1.37 45d 1 0.45mi
113 W Liberty St Unit 1 South Lyon, MI 3.0 1.0 1050 $1,700 $1.62 19d 1 0.46mi
200 Brookwood Dr South Lyon, MI 2.0 2.0 1193 $1,672 $1.40 4d 3 0.52mi
425 Donovan St South Lyon, MI 2.0–3.0 1.0 1027 $1,700 $1.66 0d 1 0.72mi
549 Lakewood Dr South Lyon, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0 850 $1,379 $1.62 0d 1 0.97mi
825 W Lake St South Lyon, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0 738 $1,746 $2.36 0d 7 1.06mi
20905 Pontiac Trl South Lyon, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 846 $3,075 $3.63 0d 1 1.40mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $16,400 Active 34 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $16,400 Active 31 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $16,400 Active 30 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $16,400 Active 29 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    price $16,400 Active 28 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $16,800 Active 28 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $16,800 Active 26 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $16,800 Active 25 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $16,800 Active 22 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $16,800 Active 21 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $16,800 Active 20 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $16,800 Active 17 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $16,800 Active 16 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $16,800 Active 15 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    pricedays on market $16,800 Active 14 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $16,300 Active 13 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,875
− Mortgage interest
−$919
− Property taxes
−$246
− Insurance
−$82
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,510
− Management
−$1,510
− Depreciation
−$477
Taxable income
$14,131
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,391
After-tax cash flow
$10,160/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
South Lyon Community Schools
NCES district ID
2632250
Math proficiency
46% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
59% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$71,419
Composite
46.86/100
National rank
#2372
State rank
#74 of 540 in MI

Livability — South Lyon

Score
83/100
State rank
#46
US rank
#953

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment A Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
South Lyon, MI
County
Oakland County · 1,009,092 people
City population
37,789
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
37,789
Household income
$131,558
Rent vs Own
8.8% rent · 91.2% own
Severe rent burden
141.0

Population outlook (Oakland County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,335,747 people
By 2030
1,375,100 · +2.9%
By 2040
1,435,385 · +7.5%
By 2050
1,469,250 · +10.0%
By 2075
1,531,946 · +14.7%
By 2100
1,450,485 · +8.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (88%)
Race & ethnicity
White 88% Two or more races 4% Asian 4% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 14% Lithuanian 4% Slovak 4%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, South Korea, China
Languages at home
93% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Oakland

2024 margin
D (+10.6) · D 54.4% · R 43.8% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
-3.9pp toward R · 2008: 14.5pp · 2024: 10.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+10.6 2020: D+14.1 2016: D+8.1 2012: D+8.1 2008: D+14.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -251.96%
Current HPI
197.5122
Rent YoY
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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