CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
725 Luray Ter
D Composite 44.12
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +11.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +11.0/15.0
  • Schools +5.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.6/5.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • DSCR +3.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +2.7/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$450,000

725 Luray Ter · Chesapeake, VA 23322
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,912 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 5 Days on market
Built 1987 Est $488k · 8% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

IMMACULATE 4 BEDROOM RANCH IN DESIRABLE GREAT BRIDGE, CHEAPEAKE. THIS HOME PROVIDES A MODERN, OPEN FLOOR PLAN CONCEPT WITH VAULTED CEILINGS AND A MASSIVE EAT-IN KITCHEN WITH NEW STAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCES. REPLACEMENT VINYL, CLOSE TO SHOPPING, RESTAURANTS, ANIMAL CARE, HOSPITALS, AND HIGHWAY ACCESS IN ONE OF THE BEST SCHOOL DISTRICTS IN HAMPTON ROADS. CENTRAL TO ALL OF THE 757. THIS ALL BRICK HOME IS WELL BUILT, METICULOUSLY MAINTAINED, AND ABSOLUTELY MOVE-IN READY. A GREAT NEIGHBORHOOD FOR A GROWING FAMILY!

Key facts

  • Garage
  • Built 1987
  • Listed 5 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Home design: Built in 1987
  • Construction: Living area approximately 1,912
  • Exterior features: Located in the Great Bridge East subdivision

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $450k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-139 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $425k (5.5% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $348k (22.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $348k (22.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 3.7% in Chesapeake — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#236 in VA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, cost of living C-, amenities F.
  • Chesapeake City Public School District (suburban): math 58% / reading 74% proficiency, ranked #31 of 131 in VA (top 24%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Great Bridge Primary (701 students, 18% FRL); Great Bridge Middle (math 54% / reading 83%, grade A, #92 of 342 statewide, top 27%, 1,223 students, 16% FRL); Great Bridge High (math 60% / reading 87%, grade B+, #124 of 319 statewide, top 40%, 1,624 students, 25% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.5%/yr); 599 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 597 units permitted in Chesapeake city in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($135k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $14k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Chesapeake County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $93k; list at $450k implies a 384% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $348,119 (22.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.77%
Cap rate
5.92%
Cash-on-cash
-1.33%
DSCR
0.94
GRM
10.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$487,560
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
605 Resh Ct 0.09mi 4/2.0 1,904 (-0%) 2mo $485,000 $255 93
533 Scarborough Dr 0.36mi 4/2.0 1,900 (-1%) 4mo $500,000 $263 79
627 Luray Ter 0.21mi 4/3.5 1,973 (+3%) 0mo $490,000 $248 79
624 Luray Ter 0.21mi 4/2.0 1,793 (-6%) 4mo $485,000 $270 76
316 Melonie Ct 0.07mi 4/2.0 1,716 (-10%) 5mo $385,000 $224 76
125 Millwood Ave 0.33mi 4/2.0 1,742 (-9%) 1mo $452,555 $260 70
601 Warren Ave 0.49mi 4/3.0 2,000 (+5%) 0mo $535,000 $268 65
505 Scarborough Dr 0.47mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,713 (-10%) 1mo $410,000 $239 55
412 Warhawks Rd 0.62mi 4/2.0 1,750 (-8%) 3mo $480,000 $274 55
304 Spurlane Cir 0.54mi 4/2.5 2,125 (+11%) 2mo $495,000 $233 53
318 Gallenway Ter 0.72mi 4/2.0 1,780 (-7%) 6mo $450,000 $253 50
400 Beauregard Dr 0.69mi 5/3.5 (+1) 2,169 (+13%) 1mo $540,000 $249 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.46% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-17.0%
Equity multiple
0.39×
Total profit
$-76,679
Equity at exit
$67,096
10-year hold
IRR
-6.6%
Equity multiple
0.55×
Total profit
$-56,589
Equity at exit
$38,908

Cash invested: $126,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State Virginia
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
VRLTA gives some tenant protections; Northern Virginia courts slower; rural VA landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 23322

Rents YoY
4.5%
Active inventory
599
Price-to-rent
10.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,481 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,360
Tax from tax record
$342 /mo · $4,104/yr
Insurance
$188
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$731
Net cashflow
$-139

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,657
Max offer price $425,413
Occupancy floor 99%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $116 -5% $-12 +0% $-139 +5% $-267 +10% $-394
Rent -10% $-414 -5% $-277 +0% $-139 +5% $-2 +10% $136
Rate -1.0pp $87 -0.5pp $-25 base $-139 +0.5pp $-256 +1.0pp $-374

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$112,500
Closing costs
$13,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
201 Frank Dr Chesapeake, VA 3.0 2.0 1933 $3,250 $1.68 23d 1 0.46mi
917 Calhoun Way Chesapeake, VA 3.0 3.5 2500 $4,000 $1.60 18d 1 0.54mi
340 Briarfield Dr Chesapeake, VA 4.0 3.5 1924 $2,995 $1.56 25d 1 1.28mi

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $450,000 Active 5 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $450,000 Active 2 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    remarks 513-char remark
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on marketlisting id $450,000 Active 1 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $450,000 Active 17 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $450,000 Active 15 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $450,000 Active 11 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $450,000 Active 10 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $450,000 Active 9 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $450,000 Active 5 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $450,000 Active 4 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $450,000 Active 3 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $450,000 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$4,104 · $342/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,104 · $342/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$41,774
− Mortgage interest
−$25,207
− Property taxes
−$4,104
− Insurance
−$2,250
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,342
− Management
−$3,342
− Depreciation
−$13,091
Taxable loss
−$9,561
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,295
After-tax cash flow
$625/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Chesapeake City Public School District
NCES district ID
5100810
Math proficiency
58% ▼ -29.00%
Reading proficiency
74% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$69,356
Composite
57.84/100
National rank
#1047
State rank
#31 of 131 in VA

Livability — Chesapeake

Score
70/100
State rank
#236
US rank
#7942

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living C- Crime C- Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Chesapeake, VA
County
Chesapeake City · 253,091 people
City population
253,091
Metro
Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC
Population (ZIP)
66,956
Household income
$134,880
Rent vs Own
9.9% rent · 90.1% own
Severe rent burden
507.0

Population outlook (Chesapeake County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
263,804 people
By 2030
276,798 · +4.9%
By 2040
299,906 · +13.7%
By 2050
318,284 · +20.7%
By 2075
362,137 · +37.3%
By 2100
372,225 · +41.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (77%)
Race & ethnicity
White 77% Black 9% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Italian 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 2% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Chesapeake

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 51.3% · R 47.5% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
+2.5pp toward D · 2008: 1.3pp · 2024: 3.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+3.8 2020: D+6.5 2016: R+1.3 2012: D+1.1 2008: D+1.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -357.58%
Current HPI
312.495
Rent YoY
▲ 4.46%
Metro
Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.40%
F500 in state
50

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+383.9% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-30 Listed $450,000 FSBO.com
  • 1988-07-21 Sold (Public Records) $93,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,104 · +4.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…