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1015 Varland Ave
C+ Composite 63.58
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.8/30.0
  • DSCR +9.8/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +7.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.6/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$89,900

1015 Varland Ave · Toledo, OH 43605
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,341 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 50 Days on market
Built 1897 3,400 sqft lot $67/sqft · 70% above area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Don't miss your chance. Nice 3 bedroom home for the money cheaper then renting. This home is rented now mo to mo for $650.mo tenant pays all utilities and would like to stay. Privacy fenced in back yard. Across from the park, close to bus line , & community center. Please give good notice for showings. Furnace & HWT about 10yrs Roof and windows 12 yrs No showings after 5:00pm

Key facts

  • Immediate cash flow
  • Currently leased
  • 3,400 sq ft lot

Tags

IMMEDIATE CASH FLOWCURRENTLY LEASEDTURNKEY INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: On-street parking (1 total)
  • Utilities: Electricity connected; Natural gas connected; Public water; Sanitary sewer connected
  • Home design: Single-family house; One and one-half levels; No shared/common walls
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Block foundation; Shingle roof; Built year from public records
  • Exterior features: Front porch; Partial wood fencing; Corner lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on the upper level; Two additional bedrooms on the upper level
  • Flooring: Carpet; Luxury vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas heating
  • Interior features: 6 total rooms; Other interior features; Partial, unfinished basement
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup on main level

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $274 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
  • Recommended offer: $87k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.0% vs local median 7.6% in Toledo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#645 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, crime F, commute F.
  • Toledo City (urban): math 15% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #634 of 656 in OH (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: East Broadway Elementary School (math 4% / reading 11%, grade F, #1,518 of 1,584 statewide, top 96%, 411 students, 0% FRL); Waite High School (math 12% / reading 24%, grade F, #687 of 781 statewide, top 88%, 997 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 72% district-wide (72 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.4%/yr); 117 active listings in the ZIP; 30 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 415 units permitted in Lucas County in 2024 (122 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($39k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lucas County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.4% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 50 days — a 3% lower offer ($87k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $28k; list at $90k implies a 221% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1897 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $87,203 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 50 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1897 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.22%
Cap rate
9.96%
Cash-on-cash
13.08%
DSCR
1.58
GRM
6.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$52,906
List price
$89,900
Delta
69.92%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
937 Berry St 0.18mi 3/1.0 1,282 (-4%) 3mo $63,000 $49 82
1207 E Broadway St 0.18mi 3/1.0 1,400 (+4%) 7mo $102,000 $73 79
1308 Halstead St 0.21mi 3/1.0 1,246 (-7%) 6mo $40,050 $32 74
1129 Camden St 0.30mi 3/1.0 1,260 (-6%) 4mo $55,000 $44 73
1127 Varland Ave 0.08mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,227 (-8%) 5mo $28,050 $23 73
847 Mckinley Ave 0.46mi 3/1.0 1,412 (+5%) 7mo $110,000 $78 64
1230 Hirzel St 0.23mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,496 (+12%) 3mo $140,000 $94 58
1122 Vinal St 0.39mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,180 (-12%) 1mo $123,400 $105 56
833 Kingston Ave 0.53mi 3/1.0 1,202 (-10%) 3mo $140,000 $116 56
715 Raymer Blvd 0.52mi 3/2.0 1,481 (+10%) 3mo $71,500 $48 52
1537 Akron St 0.74mi 3/2.0 1,188 (-11%) 3mo $131,500 $111 40
1439 Holmes St 0.66mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,506 (+12%) 7mo $152,000 $101 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.37% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
5.6%
Equity multiple
1.22×
Total profit
$5,594
Equity at exit
$13,404
10-year hold
IRR
17.0%
Equity multiple
2.55×
Total profit
$38,936
Equity at exit
$7,773

Cash invested: $25,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 43605

Home prices YoY
-25.6%
Rents YoY
5.4%
Active inventory
117
Price-to-rent
6.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,099 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$471
Tax from tax record
$85 /mo · $1,022/yr
Insurance
$37
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$231
Net cashflow
$274

Break-even live

Break-even rent $752
Max offer price $89,900
Occupancy floor 70%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,475
Closing costs
$2,697
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 30 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
921 Berry St Toledo, OH 4.0 1.0 1204 $1,350 $1.12 14d 1 0.22mi
908 Forsythe St Unit Downstairs Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1164 $950 $0.82 43d 1 0.22mi
908 Forsythe St Unit Upstairs Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 1164 $900 $0.77 14d 1 0.22mi
606 Earl St Toledo, OH 3.0 1.5 1700 $1,150 $0.68 21d 1 0.27mi
1106 White St Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,015 $0.85 14d 1 0.27mi
948 White St Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1024 $1,135 $1.11 14d 1 0.34mi
946 Butler St Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 944 $650 $0.69 43d 1 0.38mi
1505 Navarre Ave Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1331 $1,145 $0.86 43d 1 0.48mi
834 Oak St Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1064 $900 $0.85 43d 1 0.61mi
1537 Remington St Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1064 $1,095 $1.03 43d 1 0.68mi
1614 Nevada St Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 1172 $1,000 $0.85 21d 1 0.71mi
537 Potter St Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 1200 $625 $0.52 23d 1 0.81mi
29 Garfield Pl Toledo, OH 4.0 2.0 1300 $1,250 $0.96 14d 1 0.84mi
653 Oswald St Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 920 $800 $0.87 43d 1 0.95mi
732 Coyne Ave Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 968 $1,145 $1.18 14d 1 1.01mi
722 Coyne Ave Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 900 $1,000 $1.11 14d 1 1.02mi
420 Platt St Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 1499 $685 $0.46 21d 1 1.06mi
2129 Nevada St Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1352 $1,200 $0.89 14d 1 1.07mi
20 Greenwood Ave Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1496 $1,150 $0.77 14d 1 1.07mi
414 Platt St Unit ST-3 Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1500 $1,150 $0.77 23d 1 1.07mi
245 Plymouth St Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1600 $1,125 $0.70 14d 1 1.10mi
470 2nd St Unit 1 Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 950 $799 $0.84 43d 1 1.15mi
2074 Starr Ave Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1115 $1,025 $0.92 23d 1 1.16mi
223 Valleywood Dr Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 1098 $1,099 $1.00 23d 1 1.18mi
2337 Burnside Ave Oregon, OH 2.0 1.0 1025 $1,150 $1.12 14d 1 1.39mi
1306 Mott Ave Toledo, OH 3.0 1.5 1282 $1,149 $0.90 43d 1 1.40mi
1305 Mott Ave Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1080 $1,000 $0.93 43d 1 1.41mi
2401 Burnside Ave Oregon, OH 2.0 1.0 1025 $1,150 $1.12 14d 1 1.43mi
221 Licking St Unit 2 Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1048 $1,099 $1.05 23d 1 1.44mi
625 Riverside Dr Toledo, OH 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 860 $1,767 $2.05 14d 37 1.50mi

Listing history 27 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $89,900 Active 50 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $89,900 Active 49 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $89,900 Active 48 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $89,900 Active 47 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $89,900 Active 45 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $89,900 Active 42 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $89,900 Active 41 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $89,900 Active 40 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $89,900 Active 39 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $89,900 Active 36 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $89,900 Active 35 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $89,900 Active 34 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $89,900 Active 33 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $89,900 Active 32 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $89,900 Active 31 DOM
  16. 2026-04-01
    listed $89,900 Active 283-char remark
  17. 2025-10-14
    price $28,000 386-char remark
    Show marketing remark (386 chars)

    Don't miss your chance. Nice 3 bedroom home for the money cheaper then renting. This home is rented now mo to mo for $650.mo tenant pays all utilities and would like to stay. Privacy fenced in back yard. Across from the park, close to bus line , & community center. Please give good notice for showings. Furnace & HWT about 10yrs Roof and windows 12 yrs No showings after 5:00pm

  18. 2024-02-05
    historical $995
  19. 2024-01-31
    price $995
  20. 2024-01-21
    listed $1,095
  21. 2021-07-29
    status Pending 386-char remark
    Show marketing remark (386 chars)

    Don't miss your chance. Nice 3 bedroom home for the money cheaper then renting. This home is rented now mo to mo for $650.mo tenant pays all utilities and would like to stay. Privacy fenced in back yard. Across from the park, close to bus line , & community center. Please give good notice for showings. Furnace & HWT about 10yrs Roof and windows 12 yrs No showings after 5:00pm

  22. 2021-07-29
    soldstatus $28,000 Closed 386-char remark
    Show marketing remark (386 chars)

    Don't miss your chance. Nice 3 bedroom home for the money cheaper then renting. This home is rented now mo to mo for $650.mo tenant pays all utilities and would like to stay. Privacy fenced in back yard. Across from the park, close to bus line , & community center. Please give good notice for showings. Furnace & HWT about 10yrs Roof and windows 12 yrs No showings after 5:00pm

  23. 2021-07-20
    listed Contingent 386-char remark
    Show marketing remark (386 chars)

    Don't miss your chance. Nice 3 bedroom home for the money cheaper then renting. This home is rented now mo to mo for $650.mo tenant pays all utilities and would like to stay. Privacy fenced in back yard. Across from the park, close to bus line , & community center. Please give good notice for showings. Furnace & HWT about 10yrs Roof and windows 12 yrs No showings after 5:00pm

  24. 2021-06-19
    listed $32,500 386-char remark
    Show marketing remark (386 chars)

    Don't miss your chance. Nice 3 bedroom home for the money cheaper then renting. This home is rented now mo to mo for $650.mo tenant pays all utilities and would like to stay. Privacy fenced in back yard. Across from the park, close to bus line , & community center. Please give good notice for showings. Furnace & HWT about 10yrs Roof and windows 12 yrs No showings after 5:00pm

  25. 1993-12-09
    soldstatus $11,280
  26. 1989-06-23
    soldstatus $18,737
  27. 1975-10-07
    soldstatus $17,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,022 · $85/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,212 · $101/mo
Expected delta
+$190/yr (+$16/mo · 18.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,193
− Mortgage interest
−$5,036
− Property taxes
−$1,022
− Insurance
−$450
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,055
− Management
−$1,055
− Depreciation
−$2,615
Taxable income
$1,959
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$470
After-tax cash flow
$2,823/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Toledo City
NCES district ID
3904490
Math proficiency
15% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▼ -13.00%
Median HH income
$32,137
Composite
15.76/100
National rank
#9276
State rank
#634 of 656 in OH

Livability — Toledo

Score
66/100
State rank
#645
US rank
#11442

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Toledo, OH
County
Lucas County · 380,724 people
City population
280,811
Metro
Toledo, OH
Population (ZIP)
24,441
Household income
$39,118
Rent vs Own
51.9% rent · 48.1% own
Severe rent burden
1257.0

Population outlook (Lucas County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
420,751 people
By 2030
410,187 · -2.5%
By 2040
384,019 · -8.7%
By 2050
355,125 · -15.6%
By 2075
291,683 · -30.7%
By 2100
233,670 · -44.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
Race & ethnicity
White 57% Hispanic / Latino 21% Black 14% Two or more races 14%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 17% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2% Portuguese 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 7% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lucas

2024 margin
D (+12.6) · D 55.8% · R 43.2%
2008→2024 swing
-18.9pp toward R · 2008: 31.4pp · 2024: 12.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+12.6 2020: D+16.8 2016: D+17.4 2012: D+30.4 2008: D+31.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -47.85%
Current HPI
138.6894
Rent YoY
▲ 5.37%
Metro
Toledo, OH
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+428.8% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-01 Listed $89,900 NORIS
  • 2025-10-14 Price Changed $28,000 NORIS
  • 2024-02-05 Rental Removed $995 APPFOLIO
  • 2024-01-31 Price Changed $995 APPFOLIO
  • 2024-01-21 Listed for Rent $1,095 APPFOLIO
  • 2021-07-29 Pending NORIS
  • 2021-07-29 Sold (MLS) $28,000 NORIS
  • 2021-07-20 Listed NORIS
  • 2021-06-19 Listed $32,500 NORIS
  • 1993-12-09 Sold (Public Records) $11,280 Public Records
  • 1989-06-23 Sold (Public Records) $18,737 Public Records
  • 1975-10-07 Sold (Public Records) $17,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,022 · +1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…