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44 Madison Dr
D+ Composite 45.1
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.0/30.0
  • DSCR +6.0/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • 1% rule +4.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.9/5.0
  • ARV discount +3.0/15.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$275,000

44 Madison Dr · Newark, DE 19711
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,125 sqft · Townhouse public records · 5 Days on market
Built 1962 3,049 sqft lot Est $250k · 10% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Received multiple offers. Offer deadline is 6/1/2022 by 5pm. Welcome to this charming townhouse within walking/biking distance of the UD campus, Main Street stores and restaurants. A large living room space connecting the kitchen, hard wood floor and fresh paint throughout gives this home a neat and inviting touch. It has 3 bedrooms and 1 updated full bathroom upstairs. The 4th bedroom is on the lower level. From the 4th bedroom you can walk out directly to the parking space behind the building. There is another full bathroom and laundry on the lower level. All brick construction with parks and playgrounds nearby. The concrete steps at the front door are being replaced before it's active. This home is ready for a new owner or an investor as it has 4 rental permits. Mark the date on your calendar to check it out!

Key facts

  • 2 parking spots
  • Built 1962
  • Listed 4 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Off-street parking (asphalt driveway) for 2 vehicles; Total of 2 garage/parking spaces
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service for cooling and hot water
  • Home design: Interior townhouse/rowhouse; Fee simple ownership
  • Construction: Brick construction; Block foundation
  • Exterior features: Not in a federal flood zone; Above-grade and below-grade finished areas; Full, fully finished basement

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Electric oven/range
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the upper level; One bedroom on the lower level
  • Flooring: Wood flooring
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (one on upper level, one on lower level)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced-air heating (oil); Central air conditioning (electric); Electric hot water
  • Interior features: Open floor plan; Dining area; Eat-in kitchen; Soaking tub; Walk-in closet(s); Wood floors
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Laundry in basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $275k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $287 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $249k (9.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $249k (9.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.5% vs local median 4.5% in Newark — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 85/100 on livability (#1 in DE, #569 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-.
  • Christina School District (suburban): math 22% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #18 of 26 in DE (top 69%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.5%/yr); 130 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,367 units permitted in New Castle County in 2024 (201 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($95k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • New Castle County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts since 34y ago; this cycle's ask is 57% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
  • Current owner paid $185k; 49% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $248,594 (9.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.90%
Cap rate
7.55%
Cash-on-cash
4.48%
DSCR
1.20
GRM
9.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$249,750
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
180 Madison Dr 0.14mi 3/1.0 1,125 (0%) 4mo $268,000 $238 90
181 Madison Dr 0.16mi 3/1.0 1,125 (0%) 6mo $250,000 $222 88
146 Madison Dr 0.11mi 3/1.0 1,125 (0%) 20mo $255,000 $227 79
81 Madison Dr 0.09mi 3/1.0 1,125 (0%) 21mo $201,000 $179 78
130 Madison Dr 0.10mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,120 (-0%) 19mo $247,000 $221 72
85 Madison Dr 0.09mi 3/1.0 1,275 (+13%) 7mo $260,000 $204 68
109 Gateway Dr 0.38mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,125 (0%) 10mo $260,000 $231 67
34 Ethan Allen Ct 0.27mi 3/1.5 1,225 (+9%) 6mo $265,000 $216 65
115 Gateway Dr #8 0.40mi 2/2.5 (-1) 1,125 (0%) 14mo $241,000 $214 58
179 Madison Dr 0.16mi 3/2.5 1,265 (+12%) 12mo $300,000 $237 56
9 Patrick Henry Ct 0.34mi 3/1.5 1,275 (+13%) 11mo $262,000 $205 51
1118 Blair Ct 0.39mi 3/1.5 1,250 (+11%) 17mo $285,500 $228 47

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.45% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-6.9%
Equity multiple
0.74×
Total profit
$-20,080
Equity at exit
$41,003
10-year hold
IRR
5.2%
Equity multiple
1.43×
Total profit
$32,765
Equity at exit
$23,777

Cash invested: $77,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
70 Landlord-Friendly
State Delaware
70 Landlord-Friendly · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Court of Common Pleas hears L&T; moderate-paced. No state rent control.

ZIP-level market 19711

Rents YoY
5.5%
Active inventory
130
Price-to-rent
9.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,486 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,442
Tax from tax record
$120 /mo · $1,438/yr
Insurance
$115
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$522
Net cashflow
$287

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,122
Max offer price $275,000
Occupancy floor 83%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $443 -5% $365 +0% $287 +5% $210 +10% $132
Rent -10% $91 -5% $189 +0% $287 +5% $386 +10% $484
Rate -1.0pp $426 -0.5pp $357 base $287 +0.5pp $216 +1.0pp $144

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$68,750
Closing costs
$8,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 14 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
54 Madison Dr Newark, DE 3.0 1.0 1400 $1,849 $1.32 20d 1 0.02mi
53 Madison Dr Newark, DE 3.0 1.0 1125 $2,200 $1.96 3d 1 0.04mi
19 Lincoln Dr Newark, DE 4.0 1.0 1400 $3,150 $2.25 45d 1 0.10mi
192 Madison Dr Newark, DE 4.0 2.0 1125 $1,850 $1.64 18d 1 0.12mi
250 S Main St Ste 107 Newark, DE 2.0–4.0 1.0–3.0 1567 $3,430 $2.19 0d 1 0.18mi
215 Murray Rd Newark, DE 4.0 1.5 1300 $2,600 $2.00 4d 1 0.19mi
650 Lehigh Rd Newark, DE 1.0–2.0 1.0 871 $1,799 $2.07 0d 24 0.21mi
1 Nathan Hale Ct Newark, DE 3.0 2.0 1350 $2,300 $1.70 20d 1 0.26mi
112 W Park Pl Newark, DE 3.0 2.0 1315 $3,000 $2.28 45d 1 0.45mi
112 W Park Pl Newark, DE 3.0 2.0 1475 $3,250 $2.20 14d 1 0.45mi
100 Christina Mill Dr Newark, DE 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 827 $2,269 $2.74 0d 9 0.60mi
366 Manuel St Newark, DE 4.0 2.0 1362 $2,300 $1.69 5d 1 1.04mi
30 Prospect Ave Newark, DE 4.0 1.0 950 $2,800 $2.95 45d 1 1.05mi
24 Fremont Rd Newark, DE 4.0 2.0 1475 $2,550 $1.73 0d 1 1.41mi

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $275,000 Active 5 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $275,000 Active 2 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    statusdays on market $275,000 Active 1 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    remarks 699-char remark
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $275,000 Coming Soon 3 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $275,000 Coming Soon 2 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    remarks 47-char remark
  8. 2026-06-13
    listed $275,000 Coming Soon 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast DE · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,438 · $120/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,516 · $126/mo
Expected delta
+$79/yr (+$7/mo · 5.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$29,831
− Mortgage interest
−$15,404
− Property taxes
−$1,438
− Insurance
−$1,375
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,387
− Management
−$2,387
− Depreciation
−$8,000
Taxable loss
−$1,158
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$278
After-tax cash flow
$3,727/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Christina School District
NCES district ID
1000200
Math proficiency
22% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
33% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$58,838
Composite
24.93/100
National rank
#7567
State rank
#18 of 26 in DE

Livability — Newark

Score
85/100
State rank
#1
US rank
#569

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living B Crime C- Employment B- Housing B+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Newark, DE
County
New Castle County · 483,412 people
City population
135,862
Metro
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
Population (ZIP)
49,432
Household income
$95,403
Rent vs Own
35.5% rent · 64.5% own
Severe rent burden
2167.0

Population outlook (New Castle County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
594,686 people
By 2030
609,164 · +2.4%
By 2040
632,154 · +6.3%
By 2050
649,068 · +9.1%
By 2075
687,771 · +15.7%
By 2100
694,961 · +16.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (69%)
Race & ethnicity
White 69% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 9% Black 9% Asian 8%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Slovak 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
12% · China, Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
84% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 3% Chinese 3%

Political lean MEDSL · New Castle

2024 margin
Solid D (+32.6) · D 65.5% · R 32.9% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-8.1pp toward R · 2008: 40.6pp · 2024: 32.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+32.6 2020: D+37.1 2016: D+29.6 2012: D+34.1 2008: D+40.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -214.42%
Current HPI
225.6592
Rent YoY
▲ 5.45%
Metro
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+428.8% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-13 Coming Soon $275,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2022-07-06 Sold (Public Records) $185,000 Public Records
  • 2022-06-20 Sold (MLS) $185,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2022-06-02 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2022-06-02 Contingent BRIGHT MLS
  • 2022-05-27 Listed $175,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2002-03-27 Sold (Public Records) $83,000 Public Records
  • 2002-03-27 Sold (MLS) $83,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2002-02-19 Listed $83,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 1992-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $84,900 Public Records
  • 1992-01-25 Sold (MLS) $84,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 1992-01-16 Listed $84,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 1986-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $52,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.9%/yr

Latest (2024): $1,438 · +2.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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