76 Main St · Newington, CT
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $829 – $1,539
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$149,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Opportunity awaits at 76 Main St in Newington-this property is a full gut renovation project ideal for investors, contractors, or ambitious owner-occupants looking to build equity. The home requires a complete top-to-bottom remodel, offering a blank canvas to reimagine the layout, finishes, and overall design. Situated in a convenient location with strong resale and rental potential, this is a perfect value-add opportunity for a flip, BRRRR, or long-term hold. With the right vision and execution, this property has the potential to be transformed into a highly desirable asset. Being sold as-is. Multiple offers in - Highest and best by Friday 04/03 at 8pm
Key facts
- 0.24 acre lot
- Garage
- Built 1941
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $779 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $150k).
- Cap rate 12.5% vs local median 4.3% in Newington — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#30 in CT, #2,143 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Newington School District (suburban): math 38% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #87 of 153 in CT (top 57%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 15% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Elizabeth Green School (math 42% / reading 47%, grade F, #272 of 553 statewide, top 50%, 286 students, 37% FRL); Martin Kellogg Middle School (math 29% / reading 46%, grade F, #112 of 175 statewide, top 66%, 555 students, 38% FRL); Newington High School (math 52% / reading 70%, grade C+, #43 of 194 statewide, top 22%, 1,327 students, 32% FRL) — zoned schools average 36% FRL vs 15% district-wide (20 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 95 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 13d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,867 units permitted in Capitol Planning Region in 2024 (1,399 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.1% of price; built in 1941 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1941 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.70% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.53%
- Cash-on-cash
- 22.27%
- DSCR
- 1.99
- GRM
- 4.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $310,464
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 76 Main St | 0.00mi | 3/1.0 | 1,008 (0%) | 1mo | $201,500 | $200 | 99 |
| 11 Day St | 0.08mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 896 (-11%) | 17mo | $324,900 | $363 | 59 |
| 10 Harding Ave | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 | 1,050 (+4%) | 10mo | $330,000 | $314 | 55 |
| 14 Coolidge Ave | 0.71mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 972 (-4%) | 1mo | $352,500 | $363 | 53 |
| 46 Piper Brook Ave | 0.50mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,120 (+11%) | 2mo | $310,000 | $277 | 51 |
| 103 Hillcrest Ave #103 | 0.66mi | 3/1.5 | 1,071 (+6%) | 8mo | $198,000 | $185 | 50 |
| 125 Starr Ave | 0.52mi | 3/1.5 | 1,056 (+5%) | 21mo | $325,000 | $308 | 48 |
| 27 Harding Ave | 0.67mi | 3/1.0 | 1,115 (+11%) | 4mo | $313,000 | $281 | 48 |
| 405 Connecticut Ave | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 | 1,111 (+10%) | 8mo | $345,000 | $311 | 44 |
| 35 Harding Ave | 0.67mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,109 (+10%) | 6mo | $292,000 | $263 | 40 |
| 84 Coolidge Ave | 0.74mi | 3/1.5 | 1,128 (+12%) | 11mo | $325,000 | $288 | 34 |
| 166 Westgate St | 0.75mi | 3/1.0 | 864 (-14%) | 19mo | $299,900 | $347 | 25 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.98% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 12.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.49×
- Total profit
- $20,387
- Equity at exit
- $22,351
- IRR
- 19.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.48×
- Total profit
- $62,232
- Equity at exit
- $12,961
Cash invested: $41,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Connecticut
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 06111
- Rents YoY
- 1.0%
- Active inventory
- 95
- Price-to-rent
- 4.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,555 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$786
- Tax from tax record
- −$391 /mo · $4,695/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$537
- Net cashflow
- $779
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $864 | -5% $821 | +0% $779 | +5% $736 | +10% $694 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $577 | -5% $678 | +0% $779 | +5% $880 | +10% $981 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $854 | -0.5pp $817 | base $779 | +0.5pp $740 | +1.0pp $700 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,475
- Closing costs
- $4,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 14 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 83 Main St Newington, CT | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 825 | $2,195 | $2.66 | 3d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 25 Madsen Rd West Hartford, CT | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1488 | $3,500 | $2.35 | 3d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 114 Hillcrest Ave Unit 138C West Hartford, CT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 838 | $1,800 | $2.15 | 4d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 132 Federal St West Hartford, CT | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1296 | $3,000 | $2.31 | 25d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 310 Connecticut Ave Newington, CT | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1144 | $2,400 | $2.10 | 4d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 14 Hillcrest Ave Unit 14 B West Hartford, CT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 838 | $1,800 | $2.15 | 45d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 30 Schoolhouse Dr #105 West Hartford, CT | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1404 | $2,950 | $2.10 | 13d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 26 Schoolhouse Dr #204 West Hartford, CT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 865 | $2,800 | $3.24 | 46d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 3 Goshen St Hartford, CT | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1168 | $2,100 | $1.80 | 3d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 124 Mayflower St West Hartford, CT | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1025 | $2,650 | $2.59 | 25d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 124 Mayflower St West Hartford, CT | 3.0 | 1.0 | 843 | $2,650 | $3.14 | 45d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 10 Berkshire Rd West Hartford, CT | 1.0–2.0 | 1.5–2.0 | 963 | $2,850 | $2.96 | 3d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 11 King Arthur Way Apt 12 Newington, CT | 2.0 | 1.5 | 950 | $2,200 | $2.32 | 45d | 1 | 1.49mi |
| 11 King Arthur Way Unit 9-5 Newington, CT | 2.0 | 1.5 | 950 | $2,150 | $2.26 | 4d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-04-05status Under Contract
-
2026-04-01$149,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CT · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,695 · $391/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,695 · $391/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $30,663
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,397
- − Property taxes
- −$4,695
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,453
- − Management
- −$2,453
- − Depreciation
- −$4,361
- Taxable income
- $7,555
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,813
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,533/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Newington School District
- NCES district ID
- 0902880
- Math proficiency
- 38% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $74,751
- Composite
- 41.37/100
- National rank
- #3489
- State rank
- #87 of 153 in CT
Livability — Newington
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #30
- US rank
- #2143
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Newington, CT
- County
- Hartford County · 754,208 people
- City population
- 30,896
- Metro
- Hartford-East Hartford-Middletown, CT
- Population (ZIP)
- 30,896
- Household income
- $102,884
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 553.0
Population outlook (Capitol County) Hauer SSP2
- By 2040
- 1,063,519
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 72% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 8% Asian 7% Black 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 12% Lithuanian 7% Russian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 20% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 72% English-only · Spanish 8% Other Indo-European 8% Russian/Polish/Slavic 7%
Political lean MEDSL · Capitol
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+21.9) · D 60.1% · R 38.2% · Other 1.7%
- All cycles
- 2024: D+21.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -194.94%
- Current HPI
- 185.3332
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.98%
- Metro
- Hartford-East Hartford-Middletown, CT
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.06%
- F500 in state
- 38
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 4 | $38B |
|
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| Insurance | 3 | $71B |
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| Financial Services | 2 | $25B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 2 | $18B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $247B |
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $55B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-05 Pending — Smart MLS
- 2026-04-01 Listed $149,900 Smart MLS
Property tax history
+2.0%/yrLatest (2025): $4,695 · +2.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…