224 N Elm St · Greenville, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.9/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.7/10.0
- 1% rule +6.6/10.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$110,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Step back in time with this rare early-1900s Sears Kit Home full of history, charm, and opportunity. Known as the “Fool the Expert” model, this classic Gambrel-roof home sits on a spacious corner lot next to the University and includes an additional lot for extra space or future possibilities. Featuring 4 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms, this home offers incredible character throughout, including original woodwork, transom windows, and a beautiful fireplace. With a little vision and creativity, the timeless charm of this historic property can truly shine again. Whether you're looking for a unique restoration project, investment opportunity, or distinctive family home, this property is
Key facts
- Gambrel-roof home
- Transom windows
- Beautiful fireplace
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service by Ameren; Electricity connected; Natural gas connected; Sewer connected; Water connected
- Home design: Single family residence; Two levels; Residential property
- Construction: Vinyl siding and wood siding; Asbestos shingle roof; Estimated year built
- Exterior features: Covered patio/porch; Corner lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Built-in electric oven; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms total; 1 bedroom on the main level; 3 bedrooms on the upper level
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms total; 1 full bathroom on the main level; 1 full bathroom on the upper level
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Built-in electric oven; Refrigerator; Unfinished basement; Living room fireplace
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $154 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
- Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 3.9% in Greenville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#881 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: employment D+, schools F, amenities F.
- Bond County CUSD 2 (town): math 35% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #345 of 919 in IL (top 38%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 61 active listings in the ZIP; 35 units permitted in Bond County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $761 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Bond County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.5% of price; built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.16% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.97%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.99%
- DSCR
- 1.27
- GRM
- 7.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $143,104
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 502 Stephen Ave | 0.34mi | 4/1.0 | 1,375 (-0%) | 9mo | $110,000 | $80 | 77 |
| 222 S Prairie St | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,334 (-3%) | 9mo | $175,000 | $131 | 68 |
| 420 S Spruce St | 0.30mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,440 (+5%) | 2mo | $165,000 | $115 | 67 |
| 421 N Locust St | 0.11mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,533 (+11%) | 1mo | $159,900 | $104 | 66 |
| 924 Durley St | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,412 (+3%) | 1mo | $125,000 | $89 | 65 |
| 705 E College Ave | 0.19mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,200 (-13%) | 2mo | $98,500 | $82 | 62 |
| 505 E Oak | 0.07mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 1,579 (+15%) | 3mo | $65,000 | $41 | 60 |
| 520 S Fifth St | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,424 (+4%) | 0mo | $179,000 | $126 | 58 |
| 712 La Due Pl | 0.31mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,214 (-12%) | 7mo | $162,500 | $134 | 55 |
| 405 W Spring St | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,532 (+11%) | 1mo | $209,000 | $136 | 48 |
| 506 Maple St | 0.71mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,250 (-9%) | 9mo | $104,000 | $83 | 39 |
| 815 S 4th St | 0.70mi | 4/2.0 | 1,571 (+14%) | 2mo | $150,000 | $95 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -7.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.74×
- Total profit
- $-7,953
- Equity at exit
- $16,401
- IRR
- 2.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.19×
- Total profit
- $5,999
- Equity at exit
- $9,511
Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 62246
- Home prices YoY
- -21.6%
- Active inventory
- 61
- Price-to-rent
- 7.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,276 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$577
- Tax from tax record
- −$231 /mo · $2,775/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$268
- Net cashflow
- $154
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $216 | -5% $185 | +0% $154 | +5% $123 | +10% $92 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $53 | -5% $103 | +0% $154 | +5% $204 | +10% $255 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $209 | -0.5pp $182 | base $154 | +0.5pp $125 | +1.0pp $96 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,500
- Closing costs
- $3,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $110,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $110,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $110,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $110,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $110,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 687-char remark
-
2026-06-13$110,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,775 · $231/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,775 · $231/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,307
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,162
- − Property taxes
- −$2,775
- − Insurance
- −$550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,225
- − Management
- −$1,225
- − Depreciation
- −$3,200
- Taxable income
- $171
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$41
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,804/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bond County CUSD 2
- NCES district ID
- 1717730
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,996
- Composite
- 35.52/100
- National rank
- #9740
- State rank
- #345 of 919 in IL
Livability — Greenville
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #881
- US rank
- #17140
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Greenville, IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,946
Population outlook (Bond County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 15,651 people
- By 2030
- 15,008 · -4.1%
- By 2040
- 13,490 · -13.8%
- By 2050
- 12,002 · -23.3%
- By 2075
- 9,019 · -42.4%
- By 2100
- 6,539 · -58.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (81%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 81% Black 11% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Serbian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Bond
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+44.8) · D 26.5% · R 71.3% · Other 2.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -43.5pp toward R · 2008: -1.3pp · 2024: -44.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+44.8 2020: R+41.0 2016: R+37.8 2012: R+14.7 2008: R+1.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -46.39%
- Current HPI
- 168.0802
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-12 Listed $110,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+8.9%/yrLatest (2021): $2,775 · +1.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…