107 NW 7 Ave · Oelwein, IA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $902 – $1,676
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$41,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
3 bedroom 1 bath, needs some tlc but a great starter home or investment property. Selling AS IS. Square footages approximate. Call your favorite local agent for your personal showing today.
Key facts
- 0.32 acre lot
- Built 1920
- Listed 45 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: No parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence (Residential); Zoned R-1
- Construction: Aluminum siding
- Exterior features: Metal roof; Road surface: Other
Interior
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No cooling
- Interior features: Unfinished basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $42k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $277 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($766 rent vs $42k).
- Recommended offer: $41k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 14.2% vs local median 4.5% in Oelwein — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#186 in IA, #3,329 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
- Oelwein Community School District (town): math 47% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #281 of 289 in IA (top 97%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Wings Park Elementary School (math 52% / reading 47%, grade D, #514 of 616 statewide, top 85%, 345 students, 64% FRL); Oelwein Middle School (math 44% / reading 54%, grade C-, #219 of 246 statewide, top 90%, 359 students, 60% FRL); Oelwein High School (math 46% / reading 62%, grade C-, #293 of 336 statewide, top 87%, 314 students, 46% FRL).
- Market conditions: 60 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 8 units permitted in Fayette County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $290 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Fayette County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $12k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 45 days — a 3% lower offer ($41k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price; built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 45 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.83% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.24%
- Cash-on-cash
- 28.38%
- DSCR
- 2.26
- GRM
- 4.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $79,079
- List price
- $41,900
- Delta
- -47.01%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 127 7th Ave | 0.05mi | 3/2.0 | 1,638 (+10%) | 1mo | $135,000 | $82 | 76 |
| 510 1st St S.w. St | 0.21mi | 3/1.0 | 1,404 (-5%) | 15mo | $108,000 | $77 | 69 |
| 205 6th Ave Ave SW | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 | 1,472 (-1%) | 18mo | $110,000 | $75 | 66 |
| 410 1st Ave Ave NW | 0.53mi | 3/1.5 | 1,509 (+2%) | 6mo | $70,150 | $46 | 65 |
| 12 5th Ave Ave NW | 0.16mi | 3/1.0 | 1,697 (+14%) | 5mo | $50,000 | $29 | 64 |
| 210 9th Ave Ave SW | 0.30mi | 3/1.5 | 1,393 (-6%) | 14mo | $92,000 | $66 | 62 |
| 116 5th St St NW | 0.52mi | 3/1.0 | 1,548 (+4%) | 19mo | $108,500 | $70 | 52 |
| 919 SW 1st St | 0.25mi | 3/2.5 | 1,276 (-14%) | 12mo | $68,000 | $53 | 49 |
| 111 3rd Ave Ave NW | 0.33mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,298 (-12%) | 13mo | $53,500 | $41 | 47 |
| 21 7th St. St NW | 0.72mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,592 (+7%) | 19mo | $70,000 | $44 | 29 |
| 219 1st Ave Ave NE | 0.67mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,678 (+13%) | 10mo | $85,000 | $51 | 29 |
| 407 1st Ave NE | 0.71mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,265 (-15%) | 20mo | $105,000 | $83 | 21 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 22.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.93×
- Total profit
- $10,914
- Equity at exit
- $6,247
- IRR
- 30.7%
- Equity multiple
- 3.76×
- Total profit
- $32,396
- Equity at exit
- $3,623
Cash invested: $11,732 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Iowa
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 50662
- Home prices YoY
- -21.7%
- Active inventory
- 60
- Price-to-rent
- 4.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $766 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$220
- Tax from tax record
- −$90 /mo · $1,082/yr
- Insurance
- −$17
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$161
- Net cashflow
- $277
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $301 | -5% $289 | +0% $277 | +5% $266 | +10% $254 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $217 | -5% $247 | +0% $277 | +5% $308 | +10% $338 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $299 | -0.5pp $288 | base $277 | +0.5pp $267 | +1.0pp $256 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $10,475
- Closing costs
- $1,257
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 N Frederick Ave Apt 1 Oelwein, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1125 | $650 | $0.58 | 45d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 1297 S Frederick Ave Unit 3 Oelwein, IA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,000 | $0.67 | 23d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $41,900 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $41,900 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $41,900 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $41,900 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $41,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $41,900 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $41,900 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $41,900 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $41,900 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $41,900 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $41,900 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $41,900 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $41,900 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $41,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $41,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $41,900 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $41,900 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $41,900 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-05-08$41,900 Active 189-char remark
-
2026-01-31price $41,900
-
2025-12-25price $45,900
-
2024-03-15price $53,000
-
2023-04-17soldstatus $200,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,082 · $90/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,082 · $90/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $9,186
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,347
- − Property taxes
- −$1,082
- − Insurance
- −$210
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$735
- − Management
- −$735
- − Depreciation
- −$1,219
- Taxable income
- $2,859
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$686
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,643/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Oelwein Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 1921630
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 55% ▲ 5.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,812
- Composite
- 42.61/100
- National rank
- #3189
- State rank
- #281 of 289 in IA
Livability — Oelwein
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #186
- US rank
- #3329
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Oelwein, IA
- Population (ZIP)
- 6,497
Population outlook (Fayette County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 19,299 people
- By 2030
- 18,701 · -3.1%
- By 2040
- 17,469 · -9.5%
- By 2050
- 16,389 · -15.1%
- By 2075
- 15,156 · -21.5%
- By 2100
- 14,214 · -26.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3% Native American 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Portuguese 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Fayette
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+30.5) · D 34.0% · R 64.4% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -47.1pp toward R · 2008: 16.6pp · 2024: -30.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+30.5 2020: R+22.7 2016: R+19.6 2012: D+11.9 2008: D+16.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -49.26%
- Current HPI
- 177.9399
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Retail / Convenience | 1 | $15B |
|
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Price history
-79.0% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-08 Listed $41,900 NEIRBR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2026-01-31 Price Changed $41,900 NEIRBR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2025-12-25 Price Changed $45,900 NEIRBR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2024-03-15 Price Changed $53,000 NEIRBR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2023-04-17 Sold (Public Records) $200,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+11.4%/yrLatest (2025): $1,082 · +18.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…