361 Independence Blvd · Lawnside, NJ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $526 – $976
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 56.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.3/30.0
- ARV discount +11.9/15.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +8.3/10.0
- 1% rule +7.3/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$349,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
ESTATE SALE. .. .being sold AS IS. Foyer entry leading to the formal Living Room and Formal Dining Room. Eat-in kitchen and family room with fireplace. 3 bedroom, 2.5 bathrooms with laundry room on the main level. Garage was converted to office/storage space. Primary bathroom was in the process of being refurbished. .will be sold in current condition. The buyer is responiblie for CO and Fire Certifications.
Key facts
- Formal dining room
- Family room
- Formal living room
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway
- Utilities: Public water; No septic; connected to sewer; Electric cooling; Natural gas for heating and hot water
- Home design: Detached property; Fee simple ownership
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Crawl space foundation; Above-grade and below-grade structures
- Exterior features: Lot dimensions approximately 82 x 100
Interior
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the first upper level
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (all upper levels); One half bathroom on the main level
- Heating & cooling: 90% forced air heating; Natural gas heating and hot water; Central air conditioning (electric)
- Interior features: No basement; Living area per assessor
- Laundry & utility: Main floor laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $350k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $796 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $350k).
- Recommended offer: $339k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#152 in NJ, #3,974 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, employment A-; Watch: schools D-, crime F, amenities F.
- Lawnside School Distric (suburban): math 20% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #566 of 612 in NJ (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 22 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 13d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,018 units permitted in Camden County in 2024 (509 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $37k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $35k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Camden County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $98k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$60k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 50 days — a 3% lower offer ($339k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 26y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $118k; list at $350k implies a 198% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 56% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 50 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.23% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.02%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.75%
- DSCR
- 1.43
- GRM
- 6.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $387,517
- Comps found
- 11
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 366 Independence Blvd | 0.03mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,247 (-2%) | 2mo | $465,000 | $207 | 89 |
| 373 John F Kennedy Blvd | 0.06mi | 3/2.5 | 2,094 (-9%) | 18mo | $340,000 | $162 | 68 |
| 358 Quaker Rd | 0.05mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,620 (+14%) | 5mo | $380,000 | $145 | 64 |
| 313 John F Kennedy Blvd | 0.11mi | 3/2.5 | 2,041 (-11%) | 24mo | $361,000 | $177 | 57 |
| 1233 Oakwood Rd | 0.42mi | 3/1.5 | 2,105 (-8%) | 12mo | $420,000 | $200 | 53 |
| 523 Carver Ct | 0.32mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 2,025 (-12%) | 5mo | $350,000 | $173 | 52 |
| 504 Hemmings Way | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 | 2,068 (-10%) | 20mo | $300,000 | $145 | 52 |
| 1236 Wayne Rd | 0.40mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 2,331 (+2%) | 23mo | $395,000 | $169 | 49 |
| 21 Hemmings Way | 0.38mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,989 (-13%) | 11mo | $322,500 | $162 | 42 |
| 1228 Chesterfield Rd | 0.48mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,625 (+14%) | 14mo | $463,000 | $176 | 37 |
| 213 Fairview Ave | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 | 2,032 (-11%) | 13mo | $205,000 | $101 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 31.4%
- Equity multiple
- 3.46×
- Total profit
- $241,435
- Equity at exit
- $315,218
- IRR
- 27.2%
- Equity multiple
- 7.85×
- Total profit
- $671,500
- Equity at exit
- $679,779
Cash invested: $97,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 21 Tenant-Leaning
- State New Jersey
- 21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 08045
- Home prices YoY
- 13.5%
- Active inventory
- 22
- Price-to-rent
- 6.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,318 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,835
- Tax from tax record
- −$635 /mo · $7,621/yr
- Insurance
- −$146
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$907
- Net cashflow
- $796
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $994 | -5% $895 | +0% $796 | +5% $697 | +10% $598 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $455 | -5% $625 | +0% $796 | +5% $966 | +10% $1,137 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $972 | -0.5pp $885 | base $796 | +0.5pp $705 | +1.0pp $613 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $87,475
- Closing costs
- $10,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 148 Heritage Rd Haddonfield, NJ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2452 | $7,500 | $3.06 | 0d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 37 E Gloucester Pike Unit 1 Barrington, NJ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1683 | $2,000 | $1.19 | 12d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 302 NW Atlantic Ave Magnolia, NJ | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2461 | $1,950 | $0.79 | 18d | 1 | 1.23mi |
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-06-02statusdays on market $349,900 Pending 50 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $349,900 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $349,900 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-04-13$349,900 Active
-
2016-04-24historical
-
2015-04-24$141,500
-
2001-09-25soldstatus $117,500
-
2001-08-31soldstatus $117,500
-
2001-05-30historical
-
2000-11-13$117,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NJ · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $7,621 · $635/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $8,167 · $681/mo
- Expected delta
- +$546/yr (+$45/mo · 7.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 56% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $51,822
- − Mortgage interest
- −$19,600
- − Property taxes
- −$7,621
- − Insurance
- −$1,750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$4,146
- − Management
- −$4,146
- − Depreciation
- −$10,179
- Taxable income
- $4,381
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,051
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,498/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lawnside School Distric
- NCES district ID
- 3408340
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $57,050
- Composite
- 27.71/100
- National rank
- #12312
- State rank
- #566 of 612 in NJ
Livability — Lawnside
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #152
- US rank
- #3974
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lawnside, NJ
- City population
- 3,124
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,124
Population outlook (Camden County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 507,964 people
- By 2030
- 502,182 · -1.1%
- By 2040
- 485,602 · -4.4%
- By 2050
- 465,630 · -8.3%
- By 2075
- 419,986 · -17.3%
- By 2100
- 369,492 · -27.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 72% Hispanic / Latino 20% Two or more races 5% White 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8% Puerto Rican 4% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 83% English-only · Spanish 16% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Camden
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+27.4) · D 63.0% · R 35.5% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.8pp toward R · 2008: 36.2pp · 2024: 27.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+27.4 2020: D+33.5 2016: D+32.4 2012: D+36.6 2008: D+36.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 40.66%
- Current HPI
- 341.1483
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 3 | $31B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $153B |
|
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| Technology | 2 | $21B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $20B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $19B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $70B |
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Price history
+197.8% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-13 Listed $349,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2016-04-24 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2015-04-24 Listed $141,500 BRIGHT MLS
- 2001-09-25 Sold (Public Records) $117,500 Public Records
- 2001-08-31 Sold (MLS) $117,500 BRIGHT MLS
- 2001-05-30 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2000-11-13 Listed $117,500 BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
+1.8%/yrLatest (2025): $7,621 · +3.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…