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3137 Dean Rd
C- Composite 51.24
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +20.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +8.8/15.0
  • DSCR +6.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.2/10.0
  • Schools +3.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$279,000

3137 Dean Rd · Bedford, MI 48144
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,764 sqft · SingleFamily · 14 Days on market
Built 1959 0.37 ac lot Est $288k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome home to this beautifully maintained 1,800 sq. ft. ranch nestled on nearly half an acre in desirable Bedford Township. Offering 3 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms, this home combines comfortable living with thoughtful updates throughout. Step inside to find hardwood floors, a large open-concept kitchen, and a spacious living room featuring a cozy gas fireplace, perfect for relaxing or entertaining. The primary suite serves as a private retreat with a walk-in closet and a luxurious jetted Jacuzzi tub. Additional highlights include an attached 2-car garage, updated bathroom, generous room sizes, and plenty of natural light. Outside, enjoy the expansive backyard with room to play, garden, or entertain, along with a convenient storage shed for all your outdoor equipment. Whether you're hosting gatherings on the spacious lot or enjoying a quiet evening by the fire, this move-in-ready ranch offers the perfect blend of comfort, space, and functionality.

Key facts

  • Open-concept kitchen
  • Walk-in closet
  • Jetted jacuzzi tub

Tags

HARDWOOD FLOORSOPEN-CONCEPT KITCHENGAS FIREPLACEWALK-IN CLOSETJETTED JACUZZI TUBEXPANSIVE BACKYARD

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot dimensions roughly 63 x 279 (about 0.37 acres)
  • Financial info: Annual property tax listed (details available): $2,079

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage with direct access (approximately 2.5 car capacity)
  • Utilities: Private well water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Ground-level entry; Aluminum siding
  • Construction: Aluminum siding construction
  • Exterior features: Deck; Shed(s); Paved road access

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Total of 6 rooms (bedroom count not specified separately)
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans
  • Interior features: Gas fireplace in the living room; Crawl space basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $279k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $365 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $255k (8.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $255k (8.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Bedford Public Schools (suburban): math 33% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #150 of 540 in MI (top 28%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 18% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: 29 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 264 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (40 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Monroe County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 5 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $155k; list at $279k implies a 80% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1959 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $255,294 (8.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1959 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.92%
Cap rate
7.86%
Cash-on-cash
5.60%
DSCR
1.25
GRM
9.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$287,532
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3347 Shadywood Dr 0.42mi 3/2.0 1,788 (+1%) 9mo $329,000 $184 70
3447 Woodmont Dr 0.72mi 3/2.0 1,748 (-1%) 4mo $297,500 $170 62
3468 Fairwood Dr 0.58mi 3/2.0 1,680 (-5%) 14mo $325,000 $193 53
3415 Woodmont Dr 0.70mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,848 (+5%) 2mo $289,900 $157 53
8303 Summerfield Rd 0.60mi 3/1.5 1,840 (+4%) 13mo $225,000 $122 52
2933 W Dean Rd 0.35mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,504 (-15%) 3mo $295,000 $196 52
8464 Keitha Dr 0.41mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,560 (-12%) 4mo $268,000 $172 51
2825 Consear Rd 0.67mi 3/1.5 1,708 (-3%) 14mo $250,000 $146 50
3343 Consear Rd 0.55mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,600 (-9%) 9mo $210,000 $131 46
3335 Woodmont Dr 0.66mi 3/2.0 1,671 (-5%) 19mo $272,500 $163 44
3336 Springdale St 0.44mi 3/1.5 1,508 (-14%) 12mo $165,000 $109 43
7712 Secor Rd 0.60mi 3/2.0 1,916 (+9%) 19mo $286,000 $149 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-7.7%
Equity multiple
0.72×
Total profit
$-22,107
Equity at exit
$41,600
10-year hold
IRR
1.8%
Equity multiple
1.13×
Total profit
$10,135
Equity at exit
$24,123

Cash invested: $78,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48144

Active inventory
29
Price-to-rent
9.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,553 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,463
Tax from tax record
$73 /mo · $872/yr
Insurance
$116
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$536
Net cashflow
$365

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,091
Max offer price $279,000
Occupancy floor 81%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $523 -5% $444 +0% $365 +5% $286 +10% $207
Rent -10% $163 -5% $264 +0% $365 +5% $466 +10% $566
Rate -1.0pp $505 -0.5pp $436 base $365 +0.5pp $293 +1.0pp $219

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$69,750
Closing costs
$8,370
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3055 W Sterns Rd Lambertville, MI 3.0 2.0 2470 $2,595 $1.05 22d 1 1.02mi
7076 Middlebury Dr Lambertville, MI 3.0 2.0 1248 $2,495 $2.00 14d 1 1.40mi

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $279,000 Active 14 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $279,000 Active 13 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $279,000 Active 12 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $279,000 Active 11 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $279,000 Active 9 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $279,000 Active 6 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $279,000 Active 5 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $279,000 Active 4 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    remarks 699-char remark
  10. 2026-06-07
    listed $279,000 Active 3 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$872 · $73/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,584 · $215/mo
Expected delta
+$1,712/yr (+$143/mo · 196.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$30,635
− Mortgage interest
−$15,628
− Property taxes
−$872
− Insurance
−$1,395
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,451
− Management
−$2,451
− Depreciation
−$8,116
Taxable loss
−$278
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$67
After-tax cash flow
$4,444/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bedford Public Schools
NCES district ID
2604470
Math proficiency
33% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
53% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$63,784
Composite
38.22/100
National rank
#4252
State rank
#150 of 540 in MI

Livability — Bedford

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Lambertville, MI
Population (ZIP)
10,275

Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
144,439 people
By 2030
140,033 · -3.1%
By 2040
128,408 · -11.1%
By 2050
115,024 · -20.4%
By 2075
87,273 · -39.6%
By 2100
63,110 · -56.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (87%)
Race & ethnicity
White 87% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 4% Black 2% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 13% Lithuanian 5% Scotch-Irish 2%
Foreign-born
4% · China, South Korea
Languages at home
95% English-only · Tagalog/Filipino 2% Spanish 1% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Monroe

2024 margin
Strong R (+27.1) · D 35.7% · R 62.9% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-31.5pp toward R · 2008: 4.3pp · 2024: -27.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+27.1 2020: R+22.6 2016: R+22.1 2012: D+1.0 2008: D+4.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -116.72%
Current HPI
163.3496
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+329.2% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-04 Listed $279,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-06-04 Listed $279,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2017-11-17 Sold (Public Records) $155,000 Public Records
  • 2017-11-13 Sold (MLS) $155,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2017-11-13 Sold (MLS) $155,000 REALCOMP
  • 2017-09-24 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2017-09-21 Listed $154,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2017-09-21 Listed $154,900 REALCOMP
  • 2013-02-05 Sold (Public Records) $125,900 Public Records
  • 2013-01-15 Sold (MLS) $125,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2013-01-05 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2012-10-14 Listed $129,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 1996-01-05 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-2.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $872 · -57.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…