3137 Dean Rd · Bedford, MI
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.4/30.0
- ARV discount +8.8/15.0
- DSCR +6.5/10.0
- 1% rule +4.2/10.0
- Schools +3.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$279,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome home to this beautifully maintained 1,800 sq. ft. ranch nestled on nearly half an acre in desirable Bedford Township. Offering 3 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms, this home combines comfortable living with thoughtful updates throughout. Step inside to find hardwood floors, a large open-concept kitchen, and a spacious living room featuring a cozy gas fireplace, perfect for relaxing or entertaining. The primary suite serves as a private retreat with a walk-in closet and a luxurious jetted Jacuzzi tub. Additional highlights include an attached 2-car garage, updated bathroom, generous room sizes, and plenty of natural light. Outside, enjoy the expansive backyard with room to play, garden, or entertain, along with a convenient storage shed for all your outdoor equipment. Whether you're hosting gatherings on the spacious lot or enjoying a quiet evening by the fire, this move-in-ready ranch offers the perfect blend of comfort, space, and functionality.
Key facts
- Open-concept kitchen
- Walk-in closet
- Jetted jacuzzi tub
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot dimensions roughly 63 x 279 (about 0.37 acres)
- Financial info: Annual property tax listed (details available): $2,079
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with direct access (approximately 2.5 car capacity)
- Utilities: Private well water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Ground-level entry; Aluminum siding
- Construction: Aluminum siding construction
- Exterior features: Deck; Shed(s); Paved road access
Interior
- Bedrooms: Total of 6 rooms (bedroom count not specified separately)
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Gas fireplace in the living room; Crawl space basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $279k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $365 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $255k (8.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $255k (8.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Bedford Public Schools (suburban): math 33% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #150 of 540 in MI (top 28%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 18% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: 29 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 264 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (40 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Monroe County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 5 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $155k; list at $279k implies a 80% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1959 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1959 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.92% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.86%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.60%
- DSCR
- 1.25
- GRM
- 9.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $287,532
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3347 Shadywood Dr | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 | 1,788 (+1%) | 9mo | $329,000 | $184 | 70 |
| 3447 Woodmont Dr | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 | 1,748 (-1%) | 4mo | $297,500 | $170 | 62 |
| 3468 Fairwood Dr | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 | 1,680 (-5%) | 14mo | $325,000 | $193 | 53 |
| 3415 Woodmont Dr | 0.70mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,848 (+5%) | 2mo | $289,900 | $157 | 53 |
| 8303 Summerfield Rd | 0.60mi | 3/1.5 | 1,840 (+4%) | 13mo | $225,000 | $122 | 52 |
| 2933 W Dean Rd | 0.35mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,504 (-15%) | 3mo | $295,000 | $196 | 52 |
| 8464 Keitha Dr | 0.41mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,560 (-12%) | 4mo | $268,000 | $172 | 51 |
| 2825 Consear Rd | 0.67mi | 3/1.5 | 1,708 (-3%) | 14mo | $250,000 | $146 | 50 |
| 3343 Consear Rd | 0.55mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,600 (-9%) | 9mo | $210,000 | $131 | 46 |
| 3335 Woodmont Dr | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 | 1,671 (-5%) | 19mo | $272,500 | $163 | 44 |
| 3336 Springdale St | 0.44mi | 3/1.5 | 1,508 (-14%) | 12mo | $165,000 | $109 | 43 |
| 7712 Secor Rd | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 | 1,916 (+9%) | 19mo | $286,000 | $149 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -7.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.72×
- Total profit
- $-22,107
- Equity at exit
- $41,600
- IRR
- 1.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.13×
- Total profit
- $10,135
- Equity at exit
- $24,123
Cash invested: $78,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48144
- Active inventory
- 29
- Price-to-rent
- 9.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,553 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,463
- Tax from tax record
- −$73 /mo · $872/yr
- Insurance
- −$116
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$536
- Net cashflow
- $365
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $523 | -5% $444 | +0% $365 | +5% $286 | +10% $207 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $163 | -5% $264 | +0% $365 | +5% $466 | +10% $566 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $505 | -0.5pp $436 | base $365 | +0.5pp $293 | +1.0pp $219 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $69,750
- Closing costs
- $8,370
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3055 W Sterns Rd Lambertville, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2470 | $2,595 | $1.05 | 22d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 7076 Middlebury Dr Lambertville, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1248 | $2,495 | $2.00 | 14d | 1 | 1.40mi |
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $279,000 Active 14 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $279,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $279,000 Active 12 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $279,000 Active 11 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $279,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $279,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $279,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $279,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 699-char remark
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2026-06-07$279,000 Active 3 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $872 · $73/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,584 · $215/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,712/yr (+$143/mo · 196.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $30,635
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,628
- − Property taxes
- −$872
- − Insurance
- −$1,395
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,451
- − Management
- −$2,451
- − Depreciation
- −$8,116
- Taxable loss
- −$278
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$67
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,444/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bedford Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2604470
- Math proficiency
- 33% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $63,784
- Composite
- 38.22/100
- National rank
- #4252
- State rank
- #150 of 540 in MI
Livability — Bedford
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lambertville, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,275
Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 144,439 people
- By 2030
- 140,033 · -3.1%
- By 2040
- 128,408 · -11.1%
- By 2050
- 115,024 · -20.4%
- By 2075
- 87,273 · -39.6%
- By 2100
- 63,110 · -56.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 87% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 4% Black 2% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 13% Lithuanian 5% Scotch-Irish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Tagalog/Filipino 2% Spanish 1% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Monroe
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+27.1) · D 35.7% · R 62.9% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -31.5pp toward R · 2008: 4.3pp · 2024: -27.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+27.1 2020: R+22.6 2016: R+22.1 2012: D+1.0 2008: D+4.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -116.72%
- Current HPI
- 163.3496
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+329.2% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-04 Listed $279,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-06-04 Listed $279,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2017-11-17 Sold (Public Records) $155,000 Public Records
- 2017-11-13 Sold (MLS) $155,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2017-11-13 Sold (MLS) $155,000 REALCOMP
- 2017-09-24 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2017-09-21 Listed $154,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2017-09-21 Listed $154,900 REALCOMP
- 2013-02-05 Sold (Public Records) $125,900 Public Records
- 2013-01-15 Sold (MLS) $125,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2013-01-05 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2012-10-14 Listed $129,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 1996-01-05 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-2.0%/yrLatest (2025): $872 · -57.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…