4400 W Florida Ave #271 · Hemet, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 9 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 11 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +13.2/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Livability +2.6/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$52,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome! to this great 55+ community of Royal Holiday! This charming home offers comfortable senior living in a well-maintained community conveniently located near shopping, dining, and everyday conveniences. Enjoy an inviting floorplan with abundant natural light, spacious living areas, and a functional layout designed for easy living. The kitchen offers ample cabinet and counter space with an adjacent dining area perfect for everyday meals or entertaining guests. The primary bedroom provides a relaxing retreat with generous closet space and an a bathroom, while the secondary bedroom offers flexibility for guests, or office use. Additional highlights may include inside laundry space , cov
Key facts
- Adjacent dining area
- Inviting floorplan
- Functional layout
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Park name: ROYAL HOLIDAY
- Financial info: Land lease of $800 per month (park-managed); buyer to verify assessments
- HOA & community: Senior community; Manager approval may be required
Exterior
- Parking: Located in the ROYAL HOLIDAY park
- Utilities: Public sewer; District/Public water
- Home design: Single-story property; Entry on street level; Mobile home remains on site
- Construction: Year built: source listed as Other; Living area source listed as Other; Double-body type (multi-unit/mobile home)
- Exterior features: Covered patio; Community pool; Lot is level/flat; Paved road access; Street lighting in the community
Interior
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Interior features: Street-level entry
- Laundry & utility: Inside laundry with washer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $52k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $52k).
- Cap rate 32.3% vs local median 4.8% in Hemet — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 51/100 on livability (#1,056 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A+; Watch: crime D+, schools F, amenities F.
- Hemet Unified (suburban): math 19% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #360 of 517 in CA (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.7%/yr); 291 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 9,195 units permitted in Riverside County in 2024 (1,512 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($64k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $360 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Riverside County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.7% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1964 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.61% ✓
- Cap rate
- 32.26%
- Cash-on-cash
- 92.75%
- DSCR
- 5.13
- GRM
- 2.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $59,591
- List price
- $52,000
- Delta
- -12.74%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4400 W Florida #215 | 0.03mi | 2/2.0 | 1,076 (-2%) | 2mo | $70,000 | $65 | 93 |
| 4400 W FLORIDA Ave #254 | 0.03mi | 2/2.0 | 1,152 (+5%) | 9mo | $88,000 | $76 | 83 |
| 5001 W Florida #476 | 0.57mi | 2/2.0 | 1,120 (+2%) | 2mo | $45,000 | $40 | 68 |
| 5001 W Florida Ave #230 | 0.57mi | 2/2.0 | 1,152 (+5%) | 6mo | $45,000 | $39 | 60 |
| 5001 W Florida #695 | 0.51mi | 2/2.0 | 1,248 (+14%) | 5mo | $45,000 | $36 | 50 |
| 5001 W Florida Ave #665 | 0.57mi | 2/2.0 | 1,248 (+14%) | 7mo | $40,000 | $32 | 45 |
| 5001 Florida Ave #663 | 0.57mi | 2/2.0 | 1,243 (+13%) | 10mo | $74,900 | $60 | 44 |
| 5001 W Florida Ave #545 | 0.57mi | 2/2.0 | 1,248 (+14%) | 9mo | $45,000 | $36 | 43 |
| 5001 W Florida Ave #723 | 0.57mi | 2/2.0 | 1,248 (+14%) | 10mo | $42,000 | $34 | 43 |
| 5001 W Florida Ave #211 | 0.51mi | 2/2.0 | 947 (-14%) | 13mo | $90,000 | $95 | 42 |
| 5001 W Florida Ave #175 | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,248 (+14%) | 6mo | $90,000 | $72 | 41 |
| 5001 W Florida Ave #22 | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,248 (+14%) | 13mo | $95,000 | $76 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.74% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 94.4%
- Equity multiple
- 5.44×
- Total profit
- $64,684
- Equity at exit
- $7,753
- IRR
- 97.3%
- Equity multiple
- 11.62×
- Total profit
- $154,603
- Equity at exit
- $4,496
Cash invested: $14,560 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 92545
- Home prices YoY
- -24.6%
- Rents YoY
- 3.7%
- Active inventory
- 291
- Price-to-rent
- 2.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,879 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$273
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$65 /mo · $780/yr
- Insurance
- −$22
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$395
- Net cashflow
- $1,125
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,161 | -5% $1,143 | +0% $1,125 | +5% $1,107 | +10% $1,089 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $977 | -5% $1,051 | +0% $1,125 | +5% $1,200 | +10% $1,274 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,152 | -0.5pp $1,139 | base $1,125 | +0.5pp $1,112 | +1.0pp $1,098 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $13,000
- Closing costs
- $1,560
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 19 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4400 W Florida Ave Unit 86 Hemet, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1310 | $1,800 | $1.37 | 45d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 4400 W Florida Ave Spc 26 Hemet, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1193 | $1,699 | $1.42 | 16d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 3800 W Devonshire Ave Hemet, CA | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 816 | $2,172 | $2.66 | 0d | 7 | 0.53mi |
| 3471 Dublin Ct Hemet, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1276 | $2,895 | $2.27 | 5d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 3030 W Acacia Ave Hemet, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 807 | $1,780 | $2.20 | 0d | 8 | 0.87mi |
| 2770 W Devonshire Ave Hemet, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 707 | $1,945 | $2.75 | 0d | 10 | 1.11mi |
| 2469 W Acacia Ave Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 910 | $1,750 | $1.92 | 25d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 743 Via Linda Dr Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1206 | $1,995 | $1.65 | 6d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 2403 W Acacia Ave Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 910 | $1,995 | $2.19 | 9d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 683 Jonquil St Hemet, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1150 | $2,448 | $2.13 | 25d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 811 Alondra Dr Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1166 | $1,875 | $1.61 | 6d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 2269 San Bernardo Ave Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 827 | $1,650 | $2.00 | 45d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 2098 W Acacia Ave Hemet, CA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 895 | $2,035 | $2.27 | 0d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 853 Ensenada Dr Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1350 | $1,875 | $1.39 | 25d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 853 Ensenada Dr Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1350 | $1,875 | $1.39 | 13d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 2422 San Padre Ct Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 827 | $1,800 | $2.18 | 25d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 2488 San Padre Ct Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 827 | $1,599 | $1.93 | 0d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 2488 San Padre Ct Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 827 | $1,599 | $1.93 | 15d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 341 Calle Nogales Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 827 | $1,395 | $1.69 | 45d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $52,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $52,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $52,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $52,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $52,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $52,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-10remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-10days on market $52,000 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $52,000 Active 145 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $52,000 Active 144 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $52,000 Active 141 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $52,000 Active 140 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $52,000 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $52,000 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $52,000 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-03-18price $52,000 860-char remark
-
2026-01-14$55,000 Active 860-char remark
-
2026-01-12historical $55,000 860-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 6/10 Major 9 unhealthy d/yr today · 11 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,552
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,913
- − Property taxes
- −$780
- − Insurance
- −$260
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,804
- − Management
- −$1,804
- − Depreciation
- −$1,513
- Taxable income
- $13,478
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,235
- After-tax cash flow
- $10,269/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This home is in good condition with a fresh coat of paint and a new roof, but could benefit from updating the kitchen and bathroom to increase its resale value.
Repairs flagged
- Minor kitchen cabinets — dated design
- Minor bathroom fixtures — dated design
- Minor kitchen flooring — dated tile
Value-add opportunities
- Resale update kitchen cabinets and flooring — modernizing the kitchen
- Resale update bathroom fixtures — modernizing the bathroom
- Both paint exterior — enhances curb appeal and resale value
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| kitchen cabinets · dated design | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| bathroom fixtures · dated design | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| kitchen flooring · dated tile | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 3 items | $1,500–9,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale update kitchen cabinets and flooring — modernizing the kitchen ↑
- Resale update bathroom fixtures — modernizing the bathroom ↑
- Both paint exterior — enhances curb appeal and resale value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hemet Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0616920
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▲ 4.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,962
- Composite
- 25.16/100
- National rank
- #7517
- State rank
- #360 of 517 in CA
Livability — Hemet
- Score
- 51/100
- State rank
- #1056
- US rank
- #25208
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Hemet, CA
- County
- Riverside County · 2,287,001 people
- City population
- 137,670
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 45,982
- Household income
- $63,770
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1813.0
Population outlook (Riverside County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,664,475 people
- By 2030
- 2,802,692 · +5.2%
- By 2040
- 3,050,904 · +14.5%
- By 2050
- 3,256,783 · +22.2%
- By 2075
- 3,655,058 · +37.2%
- By 2100
- 3,766,594 · +41.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 46% White 35% Two or more races 17% Black 8% Asian 5% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 40%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 19% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 69% English-only · Spanish 27% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Riverside
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 49.3% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.6pp toward R · 2008: 2.3pp · 2024: -1.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.3 2020: D+8.0 2016: D+4.3 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+2.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -116.25%
- Current HPI
- 356.9414
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.74%
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
-5.5% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-09 Listed $52,000 CRMLS
- 2026-06-08 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2026-03-18 Price Changed $52,000 CRMLS
- 2026-01-14 Listed $55,000 CRMLS
- 2026-01-12 Coming Soon — CRMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…