6520 Skyline Dr · Milton, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.3/30.0
- ARV discount +10.4/15.0
- DSCR +8.3/10.0
- Schools +5.3/10.0
- 1% rule +5.2/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$185,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Coming soon. Welcome to 6520 Skyline Drive in Milton—a charming 3-bedroom, 1-bath home nestled on a quarter-acre lot. Boasting 1,080 heated square feet, this 1958 gem has been lovingly maintained over the years. Inside, you'll find a cozy layout with a converted garage that now serves as a versatile bonus room. The home is conveniently located near grocery stores and restaurants, offering both comfort and convenience. Don’t miss your chance to call this well-kept classic yours!
Key facts
- 0.25 acre lot
- 2 parking spots
- Built 1958
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $185k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $419 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $185k).
- Cap rate 9.0% vs local median 4.6% in Milton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#166 in FL, #2,480 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D-, commute F.
- Santa Rosa (suburban): math 63% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #8 of 73 in FL (top 11%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.7%/yr); 360 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 1,983 units permitted in Santa Rosa County in 2024 (128 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Santa Rosa County population projected at +31% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $36k; list at $185k implies a 407% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.02% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.01%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.70%
- DSCR
- 1.43
- GRM
- 8.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $197,640
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6456 Gaynell Ave | 0.16mi | 3/1.0 | 1,152 (+7%) | 5mo | $178,000 | $155 | 77 |
| 6094 Syrcle Ave | 0.10mi | 3/2.0 | 1,120 (+4%) | 10mo | $233,000 | $208 | 77 |
| 6098 Syrcle Ave | 0.09mi | 3/2.0 | 1,152 (+7%) | 15mo | $185,000 | $161 | 68 |
| 6017 Syrcle Ave | 0.30mi | 3/1.5 | 1,050 (-3%) | 15mo | $170,000 | $162 | 67 |
| 6635 Wesdon Ct | 0.52mi | 3/1.5 | 1,008 (-7%) | 1mo | $185,000 | $184 | 62 |
| 6409 Julia Dr | 0.38mi | 3/1.0 | 1,000 (-7%) | 12mo | $191,000 | $191 | 60 |
| 6400 Gaynell Ave | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 | 1,167 (+8%) | 12mo | $229,000 | $196 | 59 |
| 6439 Kennington Cir | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 | 1,215 (+12%) | 4mo | $219,000 | $180 | 52 |
| 5996 Savannah Dr | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 | 1,144 (+6%) | 7mo | $199,900 | $175 | 51 |
| 6003 Savannah Dr | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 | 1,153 (+7%) | 11mo | $249,000 | $216 | 48 |
| 5869 Byrom St | 0.73mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,000 (-7%) | 3mo | $183,000 | $183 | 46 |
| 5910 Independence Dr | 0.59mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 995 (-8%) | 14mo | $167,000 | $168 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.7% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -2.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.92×
- Total profit
- $-3,980
- Equity at exit
- $27,584
- IRR
- 7.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.54×
- Total profit
- $28,157
- Equity at exit
- $15,995
Cash invested: $51,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32570
- Home prices YoY
- -15.1%
- Rents YoY
- 2.7%
- Active inventory
- 360
- Price-to-rent
- 8.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,895 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$970
- Tax from tax record
- −$31 /mo · $375/yr
- Insurance
- −$77
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$398
- Net cashflow
- $419
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $46,250
- Closing costs
- $5,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6460 Stewart St Milton, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 872 | $1,500 | $1.72 | 23d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 6593 Lee St Unit B Milton, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,300 | $1.73 | 21d | 1 | 0.95mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-06-17remarks 482-char remark
-
2026-06-17$185,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $375 · $31/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,536 · $128/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,160/yr (+$97/mo · 309.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,741
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,363
- − Property taxes
- −$375
- − Insurance
- −$925
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,819
- − Management
- −$1,819
- − Depreciation
- −$5,382
- Taxable income
- $2,058
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$494
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,530/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Santa Rosa
- NCES district ID
- 1201650
- Math proficiency
- 63% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 60% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $58,161
- Composite
- 53.12/100
- National rank
- #1511
- State rank
- #8 of 73 in FL
Livability — Milton
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #166
- US rank
- #2480
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Santa Rosa County · 194,764 people
- City population
- 69,025
- Metro
- Pensacola-Ferry Pass-Brent, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 37,197
- Household income
- $77,222
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 590.0
Population outlook (Santa Rosa County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 195,978 people
- By 2030
- 209,782 · +7.0%
- By 2040
- 235,293 · +20.1%
- By 2050
- 256,408 · +30.8%
- By 2075
- 298,074 · +52.1%
- By 2100
- 303,216 · +54.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (80%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 80% Two or more races 7% Black 6% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 4% Lithuanian 3% Portuguese 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Santa Rosa
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+51.0) · D 24.1% · R 75.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.0pp toward R · 2008: -47.9pp · 2024: -51.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+51.0 2020: R+46.5 2016: R+53.5 2012: R+52.6 2008: R+47.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -51.06%
- Current HPI
- 287.7469
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.70%
- Metro
- Pensacola-Ferry Pass-Brent, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+462.3% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-17 Listed $185,000 PARMLS
- 2000-03-16 Sold (Public Records) $36,500 Public Records
- 1998-08-18 Sold (Public Records) $32,900 Public Records
- 1998-08-18 Sold (Public Records) $32,900 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.8%/yrLatest (2025): $375 · +13.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…