121 Bengies Rd · Middle River, MD
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +6.2/15.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$55,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Charming and well-updated 2-bedroom, 1-bathroom mobile home conveniently located on a main road with easy access to nearby amenities. Recent updates include newly installed recessed lighting, fresh interior paint, and updated siding, giving the home a bright and refreshed feel. The property features a wheelchair-accessible ramp, making it more accessible and convenient for a variety of needs. Enjoy outdoor living with a deck perfect for relaxing or entertaining. The home also offers a driveway with space for two vehicles, along with additional street parking available. A great opportunity for comfortable and convenient living—schedule your showing today!
Key facts
- Updated siding
- Outdoor living deck
- Built 1981
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $55k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $55k).
- Recommended offer: $50k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 31.1% vs local median 4.2% in Middle River — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#76 in MD, #2,777 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, crime F.
- Baltimore County Public Schools (suburban): math 15% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #11 of 24 in MD (top 46%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 251 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 0d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,511 units permitted in Baltimore County in 2024 (643 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $380 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Baltimore County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.8% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 104 days — a 9% lower offer ($50k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 104 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.49% ✓
- Cap rate
- 31.06%
- Cash-on-cash
- 88.44%
- DSCR
- 4.94
- GRM
- 2.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $53,440
- List price
- $55,000
- Delta
- 2.92%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 7 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.83% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 86.6%
- Equity multiple
- 4.85×
- Total profit
- $59,309
- Equity at exit
- $8,201
- IRR
- 89.2%
- Equity multiple
- 9.36×
- Total profit
- $128,746
- Equity at exit
- $4,755
Cash invested: $15,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Maryland
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 21220
- Rents YoY
- 0.8%
- Active inventory
- 251
- Price-to-rent
- 2.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,918 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$288
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$69 /mo · $825/yr
- Insurance
- −$23
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$403
- Net cashflow
- $1,135
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,173 | -5% $1,154 | +0% $1,135 | +5% $1,116 | +10% $1,097 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $984 | -5% $1,059 | +0% $1,135 | +5% $1,211 | +10% $1,287 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,163 | -0.5pp $1,149 | base $1,135 | +0.5pp $1,121 | +1.0pp $1,106 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $13,750
- Closing costs
- $1,650
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3736 White Pine Rd Middle River, MD | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 741 | $1,335 | $1.80 | 0d | 17 | 0.97mi |
| 11550 Crossroads Cir Middle River, MD | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 864 | $2,824 | $3.27 | 0d | 11 | 1.07mi |
| 37 Alberge Ln Middle River, MD | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 928 | $1,215 | $1.31 | 0d | 8 | 1.34mi |
| 6221 Greenleigh Ave Middle River, MD | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1059 | $2,957 | $2.79 | 3d | 16 | 1.36mi |
| 1 Alder Dr Middle River, MD | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,834 | $1.83 | 0d | 9 | 1.37mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $55,000 Active 104 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $55,000 Active 101 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $55,000 Active 100 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $55,000 Active 99 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $55,000 Active 98 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $55,000 Active 96 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $55,000 Active 92 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $55,000 Active 91 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $55,000 Active 90 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $55,000 Active 87 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $55,000 Active 86 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $55,000 Active 85 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $55,000 Active 84 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $55,000 Active 83 DOM
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2026-05-05price $55,000 668-char remark
Show marketing remark (668 chars)
Charming and well-updated 2-bedroom, 1-bathroom mobile home conveniently located on a main road with easy access to nearby amenities. Recent updates include newly installed recessed lighting, fresh interior paint, and updated siding, giving the home a bright and refreshed feel. The property features a wheelchair-accessible ramp, making it more accessible and convenient for a variety of needs. Enjoy outdoor living with a deck perfect for relaxing or entertaining. The home also offers a driveway with space for two vehicles, along with additional street parking available. A great opportunity for comfortable and convenient living—schedule your showing today!
-
2026-03-09$60,000 Active 668-char remark
Show marketing remark (668 chars)
Charming and well-updated 2-bedroom, 1-bathroom mobile home conveniently located on a main road with easy access to nearby amenities. Recent updates include newly installed recessed lighting, fresh interior paint, and updated siding, giving the home a bright and refreshed feel. The property features a wheelchair-accessible ramp, making it more accessible and convenient for a variety of needs. Enjoy outdoor living with a deck perfect for relaxing or entertaining. The home also offers a driveway with space for two vehicles, along with additional street parking available. A great opportunity for comfortable and convenient living—schedule your showing today!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,015
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,081
- − Property taxes
- −$825
- − Insurance
- −$275
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,841
- − Management
- −$1,841
- − Depreciation
- −$1,600
- Taxable income
- $13,551
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,252
- After-tax cash flow
- $10,368/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 6 photos
This well-maintained mobile home features updated exterior and interior finishes, making it move-in ready with a good condition score.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting exterior and interior — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
- Both Replace deck boards — Improves safety and appearance
- Both Install new lighting fixtures — Enhances safety and aesthetics
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting exterior and interior — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both Replace deck boards — Improves safety and appearance ↑
- Both Install new lighting fixtures — Enhances safety and aesthetics ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Baltimore County Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2400120
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $66,746
- Composite
- 23.17/100
- National rank
- #7948
- State rank
- #11 of 24 in MD
Livability — Middle River
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #76
- US rank
- #2777
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Middle River, MD
- County
- Baltimore County · 769,527 people
- City population
- 42,824
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 42,824
- Household income
- $81,817
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1921.0
Population outlook (Baltimore County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 885,518 people
- By 2030
- 909,272 · +2.7%
- By 2040
- 951,547 · +7.5%
- By 2050
- 990,955 · +11.9%
- By 2075
- 1,086,411 · +22.7%
- By 2100
- 1,135,078 · +28.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 57% Black 27% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Ukrainian 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 3% Arabic 3% Tagalog/Filipino 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Baltimore
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+24.5) · D 61.0% · R 36.5% · Other 2.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.9pp toward D · 2008: 14.6pp · 2024: 24.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+24.5 2020: D+27.0 2016: D+17.4 2012: D+16.4 2008: D+14.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -199.31%
- Current HPI
- 254.5597
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.83%
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.97%
- F500 in state
- 12
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $71B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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| Hotels | 1 | $24B |
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $7B |
|
||
| Real Estate | 1 | $6B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
-8.3% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-05 Price Changed $55,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-03-09 Listed $60,000 BRIGHT MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…