1908 Range Rd · Marysville, MI
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.7%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.3/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.5/10.0
- 1% rule +6.6/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$125,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Small ranch home in the Township on 1.35 acres on Paved Road , city water and sewer. Just minutes from I-94, and just a short ride to Marysville or Port Huron. 3 bedrooms, 1 full bath. New drain lines installed. Outside is vinyl siding, older outbuilding for storage or workshop. Lots of room out back plenty of space to expand. Zoned B-3 so this offers a lot of possibilities. Use as an investment property or a stater home. Listing agents related to seller
Key facts
- New drain lines
- Paved road
- Sewer
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 3-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One level; Ground-level entry with steps; Vinyl siding
- Construction: Vinyl siding construction
- Exterior features: Paved road access; Lot approximately 1.38 acres (130 x 462)
Interior
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No central cooling
- Interior features: Crawl space basement; Total of 4 rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $228 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $125k).
- Recommended offer: $121k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.5% vs local median 4.6% in Marysville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#114 in MI, #2,700 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, employment D+, health & safety D.
- Port Huron Area School District (suburban): math 23% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #368 of 540 in MI (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Central Middle School (math 14% / reading 30%, grade F, #408 of 493 statewide, top 84%, 629 students, 72% FRL); Port Huron High School (math 27% / reading 57%, grade F, #264 of 713 statewide, top 41%, 1,100 students, 69% FRL) — zoned schools average 70% FRL vs 47% district-wide (23 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.6%/yr); 224 active listings in the ZIP; 232 units permitted in St. Clair County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($53k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- St. Clair County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 43 days — a 3% lower offer ($121k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 23y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $35k (22%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $71k; list at $125k implies a 76% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 43 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.16% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.48%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.82%
- DSCR
- 1.35
- GRM
- 7.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $163,334
- List price
- $125,000
- Delta
- -23.47%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1895 Range Rd | 0.05mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 959 (+6%) | 7mo | $117,500 | $123 | 76 |
| 4654 Davidson Rd | 0.35mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 866 (-4%) | 0mo | $200,000 | $231 | 71 |
| 4637 Griswold Rd | 0.38mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 850 (-6%) | 13mo | $180,000 | $212 | 57 |
| 4687 Griswold Rd | 0.46mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,028 (+14%) | 24mo | $115,000 | $112 | 31 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.61% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -3.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.86×
- Total profit
- $-4,772
- Equity at exit
- $18,638
- IRR
- 6.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.53×
- Total profit
- $18,511
- Equity at exit
- $10,808
Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48060
- Rents YoY
- 3.6%
- Active inventory
- 224
- Price-to-rent
- 7.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,453 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$656
- Tax from tax record
- −$212 /mo · $2,548/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$305
- Net cashflow
- $228
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $299 | -5% $264 | +0% $228 | +5% $193 | +10% $157 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $113 | -5% $171 | +0% $228 | +5% $286 | +10% $343 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $291 | -0.5pp $260 | base $228 | +0.5pp $196 | +1.0pp $163 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,250
- Closing costs
- $3,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $125,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-18price $125,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $129,999 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $129,999 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $129,999 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $129,999 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $129,999 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $129,999 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $129,999 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $129,999 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-08price $129,999 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $139,900 Active 29 DOM
Show marketing remark (458 chars)
Small ranch home in the Township on 1.35 acres on Paved Road , city water and sewer. Just minutes from I-94, and just a short ride to Marysville or Port Huron. 3 bedrooms, 1 full bath. New drain lines installed. Outside is vinyl siding, older outbuilding for storage or workshop. Lots of room out back plenty of space to expand. Zoned B-3 so this offers a lot of possibilities. Use as an investment property or a stater home. Listing agents related to seller
-
2026-06-04days on market $139,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $139,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $139,900 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $139,900 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $139,900 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-05-09$160,000 Active 458-char remark
Show marketing remark (458 chars)
Small ranch home in the Township on 1.35 acres on Paved Road , city water and sewer. Just minutes from I-94, and just a short ride to Marysville or Port Huron. 3 bedrooms, 1 full bath. New drain lines installed. Outside is vinyl siding, older outbuilding for storage or workshop. Lots of room out back plenty of space to expand. Zoned B-3 so this offers a lot of possibilities. Use as an investment property or a stater home. Listing agents related to seller
-
2026-05-09$160,000 Active 459-char remark
Show marketing remark (458 chars)
Small ranch home in the Township on 1.35 acres on Paved Road , city water and sewer. Just minutes from I-94, and just a short ride to Marysville or Port Huron. 3 bedrooms, 1 full bath. New drain lines installed. Outside is vinyl siding, older outbuilding for storage or workshop. Lots of room out back plenty of space to expand. Zoned B-3 so this offers a lot of possibilities. Use as an investment property or a stater home. Listing agents related to seller
-
2003-09-25soldstatus $71,000
-
2003-08-23$74,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,548 · $212/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,548 · $212/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 70% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,439
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,002
- − Property taxes
- −$2,548
- − Insurance
- −$625
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,395
- − Management
- −$1,395
- − Depreciation
- −$3,636
- Taxable income
- $837
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$201
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,537/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Port Huron Area School District
- NCES district ID
- 2628830
- Math proficiency
- 23% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 37% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,093
- Composite
- 25.4/100
- National rank
- #7462
- State rank
- #368 of 540 in MI
Livability — Marysville
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #114
- US rank
- #2700
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Saint Clair County · 44,760 people
- City population
- 9,942
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 39,342
- Household income
- $53,018
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1808.0
Population outlook (St. Clair County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 154,587 people
- By 2030
- 150,031 · -2.9%
- By 2040
- 138,177 · -10.6%
- By 2050
- 124,390 · -19.5%
- By 2075
- 95,825 · -38.0%
- By 2100
- 68,672 · -55.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (80%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 80% Black 7% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Lithuanian 4% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Clair
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+34.6) · D 32.0% · R 66.6% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -37.3pp toward R · 2008: 2.6pp · 2024: -34.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+34.6 2020: R+30.2 2016: R+31.4 2012: R+7.1 2008: D+2.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -134.75%
- Current HPI
- 177.2401
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.61%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+73.6% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-07 Price Changed $129,999 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-06-07 Price Changed $129,999 REALCOMP
- 2026-05-26 Price Changed $139,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-26 Price Changed $139,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-05-20 Price Changed $148,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-19 Price Changed $148,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-05-09 Listed $160,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-05-09 Listed $160,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2003-09-25 Sold (MLS) $71,000 REALCOMP
- 2003-08-23 Listed $74,900 REALCOMP
Property tax history
+2.4%/yrLatest (2025): $2,548 · +2.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…