2810 W Mulberry St W · Baltimore, MD
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $755 – $1,403
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.8/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +7.3/10.0
- 1% rule +5.1/10.0
- Rent growth +4.4/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$159,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Large 3 bedroom row home close to Downtown Baltimore; I-295; and University of Md. Close to shops & public transportation. Property priced to move - so bring your Offer and contractor. Being sold in "As Is" condition.
Key facts
- Second-floor laundry
- Ample storage
- Built 1925
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Above-grade finished area per assessor; 559 sq ft below-grade unfinished area
- Financial info: Ground rent $42 paid semi-annually; Ownership interest: Ground Rent
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric cooling
- Home design: Interior townhouse/rowhouse; Brick construction
- Construction: Stone foundation
- Exterior features: Sidewalks; Rear wood fencing; Other exterior features
Interior
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the first upper level
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning; Natural gas heating and hot water
- Interior features: Unfinished basement; Living area per assessor
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $160k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $277 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $160k).
- Cap rate 8.4% vs local median 6.0% in Baltimore — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#90 in MD, #3,396 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
- Baltimore City Public Schools (urban): math 7% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #24 of 24 in MD (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.5%/yr); 422 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,273 units permitted in Baltimore city in 2024 (1,104 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($46k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Baltimore County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.5% rent growth), your $45k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 4 sale attempts since 27y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $81k; list at $160k implies a 99% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.01% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.37%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.43%
- DSCR
- 1.33
- GRM
- 8.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $100,620
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2544 W Fairmount Ave | 0.41mi | 2/1.5 | 1,204 (+3%) | 2mo | $55,000 | $46 | 72 |
| 2576 W Baltimore St W | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,200 (+3%) | 2mo | $152,000 | $127 | 65 |
| 3039 Harlem Ave | 0.33mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,070 (-8%) | 1mo | $27,500 | $26 | 64 |
| 2435 Lauretta Ave | 0.39mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,260 (+8%) | 1mo | $45,000 | $36 | 63 |
| 222 N Hilton St | 0.58mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,120 (-4%) | 1mo | $89,775 | $80 | 60 |
| 2516 W Fairmount Ave | 0.44mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,304 (+12%) | 2mo | $30,000 | $23 | 54 |
| 2711 Riggs Ave | 0.51mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,288 (+10%) | 2mo | $134,000 | $104 | 53 |
| 119 Hilton St | 0.63mi | 2/2.0 | 1,040 (-11%) | 0mo | $211,000 | $203 | 48 |
| 28 S Bernice Ave | 0.65mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,280 (+9%) | 1mo | $147,000 | $115 | 48 |
| 5 Rosedale St S | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,280 (+9%) | 1mo | $110,000 | $86 | 48 |
| 300 Denison St | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,260 (+8%) | 2mo | $205,000 | $163 | 47 |
| 2216 W Fayette St | 0.63mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,326 (+13%) | 1mo | $77,000 | $58 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 7.51% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -0.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.99×
- Total profit
- $-625
- Equity at exit
- $23,842
- IRR
- 13.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.26×
- Total profit
- $56,589
- Equity at exit
- $13,825
Cash invested: $44,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State Maryland
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City Baltimore
- 12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+58
ZIP-level market 21223
- Rents YoY
- 7.5%
- Active inventory
- 422
- Price-to-rent
- 8.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,618 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$839
- Tax from tax record
- −$96 /mo · $1,146/yr
- Insurance
- −$67
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$340
- Net cashflow
- $277
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $39,975
- Closing costs
- $4,797
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2636 Lauretta Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1232 | $1,900 | $1.54 | 44d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 2609 Lauretta Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1286 | $1,675 | $1.30 | 24d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 3015 Rayner Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1152 | $1,350 | $1.17 | 44d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 2806 Riggs Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1412 | $1,900 | $1.35 | 3d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 2516 Hollins St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,700 | $1.55 | 44d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 2537 Hollins St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,450 | $1.21 | 24d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 62 N Gorman Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $2,500 | $2.27 | 18d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 2728 Winchester St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1260 | $1,800 | $1.43 | 3d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 709 Denison St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 2.0 | 840 | $1,630 | $1.94 | 24d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 1042 Ellicott Dr Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,450 | $1.61 | 44d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 3423 Edmondson Ave Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1400 | $1,710 | $1.22 | 44d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 110 S Catherine St Unit 1 Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1330 | $1,500 | $1.13 | 44d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 918 N Bentalou St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1485 | $1,750 | $1.18 | 44d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 41 N Kossuth St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1216 | $1,800 | $1.48 | 24d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 2232 W Baltimore St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1250 | $1,875 | $1.50 | 24d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 3310 Elbert St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 920 | $1,550 | $1.68 | 24d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 2225 W Baltimore St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1200 | $1,600 | $1.33 | 24d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 780 Linnard St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1224 | $1,590 | $1.30 | 44d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 2301 Riggs Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1072 | $1,600 | $1.49 | 24d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 3238 Westmont Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1280 | $1,600 | $1.25 | 44d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 147 Denison St Baltimore, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1370 | $1,100 | $0.80 | 24d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 787 N Grantley St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1116 | $1,575 | $1.41 | 24d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 3336 W Caton Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1236 | $1,625 | $1.31 | 24d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 798 N Grantley St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1360 | $2,295 | $1.69 | 24d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 2012 W Saratoga St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,700 | $1.31 | 24d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 332 S Franklintown Rd Unit 2 Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 776 | $795 | $1.02 | 24d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 2540 Frederick Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1075 | $1,400 | $1.30 | 24d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 3607 W Lexington St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $1,895 | $1.80 | 4d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 3003 Presstman St Unit 1 Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1450 | $1,400 | $0.97 | 44d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 3003 Presstman St Unit 2 Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1450 | $1,300 | $0.90 | 24d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 2800 Presstman St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1460 | $1,799 | $1.23 | 24d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 3706 W Franklin St Unit 1 Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 735 | $1,100 | $1.50 | 4d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 1846 W Saratoga St Unit 1 Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1250 | $1,300 | $1.04 | 44d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 1918 W Baltimore St Baltimore, MD | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 857 | $1,375 | $1.60 | 44d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 3712 Gelston Dr Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $2,500 | $2.00 | 24d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 1912 W Baltimore St Unit 2 Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $2,100 | $1.75 | 24d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 307 S Smallwood St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1400 | $1,350 | $0.96 | 44d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 1839 W Fayette St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1426 | $1,675 | $1.17 | 24d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 2657 Lehman St Unit 1 Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1056 | $1,000 | $0.95 | 44d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 3127 Baker St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,300 | $1.30 | 44d | 1 | 0.95mi |
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $159,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $159,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $159,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $159,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $159,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $159,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $159,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-07$159,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,146 · $96/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,445 · $120/mo
- Expected delta
- +$298/yr (+$25/mo · 26.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,410
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,957
- − Property taxes
- −$1,146
- − Insurance
- −$800
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,553
- − Management
- −$1,553
- − Depreciation
- −$4,652
- Taxable income
- $750
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$180
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,146/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Baltimore City Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2400090
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 16% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,108
- Composite
- 10.08/100
- National rank
- #9805
- State rank
- #24 of 24 in MD
Livability — Baltimore
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #90
- US rank
- #3396
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Baltimore, MD
- County
- Baltimore City · 558,601 people
- City population
- 588,727
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,572
- Household income
- $45,840
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1755.0
Population outlook (Baltimore County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 624,249 people
- By 2030
- 621,541 · -0.4%
- By 2040
- 609,756 · -2.3%
- By 2050
- 597,249 · -4.3%
- By 2075
- 552,236 · -11.5%
- By 2100
- 513,934 · -17.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 72% White 16% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 6% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Baltimore
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+73.0) · D 85.2% · R 12.2% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.5pp toward R · 2008: 75.5pp · 2024: 73.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+73.0 2020: D+76.6 2016: D+74.6 2012: D+76.4 2008: D+75.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -97.99%
- Current HPI
- 140.5836
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.51%
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.97%
- F500 in state
- 12
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $71B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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| Hotels | 1 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $7B |
|
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| Real Estate | 1 | $6B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
+392.0% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-06 Listed $159,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-12-10 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-10-01 Price Changed $149,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-09-05 Listed $159,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2023-01-20 Sold (Public Records) $80,520 Public Records
- 2006-09-15 Sold (MLS) $6,800 MRIS
- 2006-08-16 Delisted — MRIS
- 2006-08-09 Listed $20,000 MRIS
- 2004-06-08 Sold (Public Records) $63,000 Public Records
- 2003-04-28 Sold (Public Records) $15,000 Public Records
- 1999-11-22 Sold (MLS) $6,000 MRIS
- 1999-10-21 Delisted — MRIS
- 1999-02-18 Listed $9,900 MRIS
- 1997-03-17 Sold (Public Records) $32,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.8%/yrLatest (2025): $1,146 · +15.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…