1038 Market St · Ashland, PA 17921

$189,900

3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,984 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 32 Days on market

Built 1922

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Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +29.3/30.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• Appreciation +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• 1% rule +7.3/10.0
• Livability +3.2/5.0
• Schools +2.8/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records

Key facts

• Listed 31 days

Property features AI

Exterior

• Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
• Home design: Residential single-family home; Three or more levels
• Construction: Vinyl siding
• Exterior features: Asbestos shingle roof

Interior

• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
• Heating & cooling: Electric baseboard heating
• Interior features: Electric water heater; 10 total rooms

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath multifamily listed at $190k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $667 ($8k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $190k).
• Recommended offer: $184k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 64/100 on livability (#1,179 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D-, amenities F, commute F.
• North Schuylkill SD (rural): math 19% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #429 of 539 in PA (top 80%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: 48 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 169 units permitted in Schuylkill County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $20k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $19k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
• Schuylkill County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $53k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 32 days — a 3% lower offer ($184k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1922 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.

Recommended offer $184,203 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 32 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1922 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.23% ✓
• Cap rate: 10.51%
• Cash-on-cash: 15.06%
• DSCR: 1.67
• GRM: 6.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 35.4%
• Equity multiple: 3.74×
• Total profit: $145,864
• Equity at exit: $171,077

10-year hold

• IRR: 30.5%
• Equity multiple: 8.45×
• Total profit: $396,037
• Equity at exit: $368,934

Cash invested: $53,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 62 Landlord-Friendly
• State Pennsylvania: 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 17921

• Home prices YoY: 21.7%
• Active inventory: 48
• Price-to-rent: 13.6×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,333 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$996
• Tax from tax record: −$101 /mo · $1,212/yr
• Insurance: −$79
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$490
• Net cashflow: $667

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,489

Max offer price $189,900

Occupancy floor 66%

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

Units	Beds	Baths	Est. rent
▸ 2× units	2	1	$2,332
Total (2 units)			$2,333

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $47,475
• Closing costs: $5,697
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 1 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
1313 Spruce St Ashland, PA	2.0	1.0	1350	$1,075	$0.80	43d	1	0.21mi

Listing history 17 events

1. 2026-06-19
   days on market $189,900 Active 32 DOM
2. 2026-06-18
   days on market $189,900 Active 31 DOM
3. 2026-06-17
   days on market $189,900 Active 30 DOM
4. 2026-06-16
   days on market $189,900 Active 29 DOM
5. 2026-06-15
   days on market $189,900 Active 28 DOM
6. 2026-06-14
   days on market $189,900 Active 26 DOM
7. 2026-06-12
   days on market $189,900 Active 25 DOM
8. 2026-06-09
   days on market $189,900 Active 22 DOM
9. 2026-06-08
   days on market $189,900 Active 21 DOM
10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $189,900 Active 20 DOM
11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $189,900 Active 19 DOM
12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $189,900 Active 16 DOM
13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $189,900 Active 15 DOM
14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $189,900 Active 14 DOM
15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $189,900 Active 13 DOM
16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $189,900 Active 12 DOM
17. 2026-05-18
    listed $189,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

• Current annual tax: $1,212 · $101/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $2,106 · $176/mo
• Expected delta: +$894/yr (+$75/mo · 73.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥95°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 6% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $27,996
• − Mortgage interest: −$10,637
• − Property taxes: −$1,212
• − Insurance: −$950
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,240
• − Management: −$2,240
• − Depreciation: −$5,524
• Taxable income: $5,194
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,246
• After-tax cash flow: $6,759/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: North Schuylkill SD
• NCES district ID: 4210110
• Math proficiency: 19% ▼ -14.00%
• Reading proficiency: 48% ▼ -8.00%
• Median HH income: $43,529
• Composite: 28.37/100
• National rank: #6770
• State rank: #429 of 539 in PA

Livability — Ashland

• Score: 64/100
• State rank: #1179
• US rank: #13787

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Ashland, PA
• Population (ZIP): 7,029

Population outlook (Schuylkill County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 137,447 people
• By 2030: 133,121 · -3.1%
• By 2040: 124,172 · -9.7%
• By 2050: 115,611 · -15.9%
• By 2075: 100,796 · -26.7%
• By 2100: 86,667 · -36.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (83%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 83% Black 10% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 10% Iranian 4% Polish 3%
• Foreign-born: 1% · Canada
• Languages at home: 95% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Schuylkill

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+42.1) · D 28.5% · R 70.6%
• 2008→2024 swing: -33.4pp toward R · 2008: -8.7pp · 2024: -42.1pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+42.1 2020: R+39.9 2016: R+43.4 2012: R+13.4 2008: R+8.7

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 62.11%
• Current HPI: 347.8425
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 1.68%
• F500 in state: 34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Healthcare	2	$309B
▸Insurance	2	$27B
▸Telecommunications / Media	1	$124B
▸Industrial Distribution	1	$22B
▸Financial Services	1	$20B
▸Chemicals / Materials	1	$18B

Price history

1 event — show timeline

• 2026-05-18 Listed $189,900 LCAR

Property tax history

+2.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,212 · +5.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.