1910 64th St · Lubbock, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.1/30.0
- ARV discount +7.3/15.0
- DSCR +6.0/10.0
- 1% rule +5.1/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$134,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Beautiful Vandelia Village home that offers peace of mind with major updates already completed. The home features a fully remodeled bathroom and kitchen with new flooring and paint throughout, creating a fresh, modern feel throughout the home. A metal roof will give you peace of mind during those stormier nights. Large back yard will allow for fun in the sun but with the security of a new fence. So don't miss this great opportunity for home ownership.
Key facts
- Metal roof
- Remodeled bathroom
- Remodeled kitchen
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $134k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $143 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $134k).
- Recommended offer: $126k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#37 in TX, #1,749 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, schools D+, crime F.
- Lubbock ISD (urban): math 36% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #481 of 826 in TX (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.9%/yr); 110 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 48% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,219 units permitted in Lubbock County in 2024 (252 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($49k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $930 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lubbock County population projected at +39% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 90 days — a 6% lower offer ($126k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1953 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 90 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1953 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.01% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.57%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.57%
- DSCR
- 1.20
- GRM
- 8.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $133,894
- List price
- $134,500
- Delta
- 0.45%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 8 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.87% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -8.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.70×
- Total profit
- $-11,453
- Equity at exit
- $20,054
- IRR
- 2.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.18×
- Total profit
- $6,843
- Equity at exit
- $11,629
Cash invested: $37,660 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 79412
- Home prices YoY
- -15.3%
- Rents YoY
- 3.9%
- Active inventory
- 110
- Price-to-rent
- 8.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,353 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$705
- Tax from tax record
- −$164 /mo · $1,967/yr
- Insurance
- −$56
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$284
- Net cashflow
- $143
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,625
- Closing costs
- $4,035
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6130 Avenue P Lubbock, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1387 | $1,100 | $0.79 | 43d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 1923 67th St Lubbock, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1467 | $1,525 | $1.04 | 43d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 2115 66th St Lubbock, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2160 | $1,795 | $0.83 | 21d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 7006 Avenue S Lubbock, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1498 | $1,800 | $1.20 | 43d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 1307 61st St Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1073 | $1,150 | $1.07 | 13d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 1927 71st St Lubbock, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1807 | $1,600 | $0.89 | 21d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 1921 S Loop 289 Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1121 | $1,100 | $0.98 | 43d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 2121 56th St Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2047 | $1,999 | $0.98 | 21d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 1816 75th St Lubbock, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1516 | $2,000 | $1.32 | 21d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 2128 74th St Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1132 | $1,350 | $1.19 | 21d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 7304 Avenue W Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $999 | $0.67 | 13d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 2101 51st St Lubbock, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $900 | $0.82 | 21d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 1915 76th St Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1911 | $1,550 | $0.81 | 13d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 1923 76th St Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1622 | $1,699 | $1.05 | 43d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 1940 77th St Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1700 | $1,500 | $0.88 | 43d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 7406 Waco Ave Unit C Lubbock, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1831 | $750 | $0.41 | 43d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 2726 68th St Lubbock, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1524 | $1,800 | $1.18 | 43d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 2707 63rd St Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $1,050 | $0.97 | 13d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 2730 68th St Lubbock, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2050 | $1,999 | $0.98 | 21d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 5512 Avenue G Unit G Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1117 | $1,000 | $0.90 | 43d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 2107 48th St Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1956 | $1,200 | $0.61 | 43d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 1805 79th Pl Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1284 | $1,375 | $1.07 | 43d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 5614 Avenue A Unit A Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1129 | $695 | $0.62 | 21d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 1625 79th Pl Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1541 | $1,650 | $1.07 | 44d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 2725 63rd St Unit FS Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1624 | $1,599 | $0.98 | 43d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 1606 82nd St Lubbock, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 843 | $1,580 | $1.87 | 13d | 16 | 1.12mi |
| 8108 Sherman Ave Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1306 | $1,400 | $1.07 | 44d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 1920 45th St Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,200 | $1.00 | 21d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 2817 63rd St Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1125 | $1,250 | $1.11 | 21d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 2316 47th St Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1285 | $1,400 | $1.09 | 21d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 2827 66th St Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1190 | $1,200 | $1.01 | 21d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 2821 61st St Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1230 | $1,100 | $0.89 | 43d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 1115 80th St Unit A Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1443 | $1,250 | $0.87 | 43d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 1113 80th St Unit A Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1443 | $1,250 | $0.87 | 43d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 1920 44th St Lubbock, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1391 | $795 | $0.57 | 21d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 1718 43rd St Lubbock, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1870 | $1,075 | $0.57 | 21d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 812 48th St Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1282 | $1,250 | $0.98 | 21d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 8217 Avenue U Lubbock, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 873 | $1,570 | $1.80 | 13d | 28 | 1.29mi |
| 1118 82nd St Unit A Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1243 | $950 | $0.76 | 43d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 1116 82nd St Unit B Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1243 | $950 | $0.76 | 43d | 1 | 1.29mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $134,500 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $134,500 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $134,500 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $134,500 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $134,500 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $134,500 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $134,500 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $134,500 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $134,500 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $134,500 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $134,500 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $134,500 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $134,500 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $134,500 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $134,500 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $134,500 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-05-12price $134,500 455-char remark
Show marketing remark (455 chars)
Beautiful Vandelia Village home that offers peace of mind with major updates already completed. The home features a fully remodeled bathroom and kitchen with new flooring and paint throughout, creating a fresh, modern feel throughout the home. A metal roof will give you peace of mind during those stormier nights. Large back yard will allow for fun in the sun but with the security of a new fence. So don't miss this great opportunity for home ownership.
-
2026-03-19$141,500 Active 455-char remark
Show marketing remark (455 chars)
Beautiful Vandelia Village home that offers peace of mind with major updates already completed. The home features a fully remodeled bathroom and kitchen with new flooring and paint throughout, creating a fresh, modern feel throughout the home. A metal roof will give you peace of mind during those stormier nights. Large back yard will allow for fun in the sun but with the security of a new fence. So don't miss this great opportunity for home ownership.
-
2012-04-12soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,967 · $164/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,461 · $205/mo
- Expected delta
- +$495/yr (+$41/mo · 25.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,232
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,534
- − Property taxes
- −$1,967
- − Insurance
- −$672
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,299
- − Management
- −$1,299
- − Depreciation
- −$3,913
- Taxable loss
- −$451
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$108
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,828/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lubbock ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4828500
- Math proficiency
- 36% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,820
- Composite
- 31.44/100
- National rank
- #5984
- State rank
- #481 of 826 in TX
Livability — Lubbock
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #37
- US rank
- #1749
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lubbock, TX
- County
- Lubbock County · 293,542 people
- City population
- 283,030
- Metro
- Lubbock, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,018
- Household income
- $48,878
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 676.0
Population outlook (Lubbock County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 345,960 people
- By 2030
- 371,449 · +7.4%
- By 2040
- 424,539 · +22.7%
- By 2050
- 481,150 · +39.1%
- By 2075
- 633,467 · +83.1%
- By 2100
- 746,853 · +115.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 61% Two or more races 25% White 25% Black 10%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 51% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Serbian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 67% English-only · Spanish 32% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lubbock
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+39.5) · D 29.7% · R 69.2% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.8pp toward R · 2008: -36.7pp · 2024: -39.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+39.5 2020: R+32.2 2016: R+38.4 2012: R+40.9 2008: R+36.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -33.95%
- Current HPI
- 188.4033
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.87%
- Metro
- Lubbock, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-4.9% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Price Changed $134,500 LARMLS
- 2026-03-19 Listed $141,500 LARMLS
- 2012-04-12 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+4.3%/yrLatest (2025): $1,967 · -4.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…