205 Graham Ave · Bonham, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 24.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +8.7/10.0
- 1% rule +6.6/10.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$117,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Investor special in Bonham! Great fix-and-flip or rental opportunity. This 3-bedroom home sits on a spacious lot in an established neighborhood with strong rental demand and plenty of potential for renovation. Sold as-is—bring your vision and make it your next investment project. Public Driving Directions: North Center St. go to Graham Ave., Turn Easton Graham, House will be the second house with the red roof205 Graham Avenue, Bonham, Texas 75418
Key facts
- Strong potential
- Spacious lot
- 7,492 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $118k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $291 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $118k).
- Recommended offer: $110k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.3% vs local median 3.5% in Bonham — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#785 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, schools D-, amenities F.
- Bonham ISD (town): math 37% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #477 of 826 in TX (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 277 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 87% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 82 units permitted in Fannin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $812 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Fannin County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 77 days — a 6% lower offer ($110k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 23y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1944 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 77 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1944 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.16% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.26%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.61%
- DSCR
- 1.47
- GRM
- 7.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $164,017
- List price
- $117,500
- Delta
- -28.36%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 217 E Boyd Ave | 0.06mi | 3/1.0 | 1,096 (-8%) | 9mo | $139,000 | $127 | 76 |
| 220 E Evans Ave | 0.09mi | 3/1.0 | 1,079 (-10%) | 5mo | $150,000 | $139 | 76 |
| 304 E Russell Ave | 0.29mi | 3/1.0 | 1,218 (+2%) | 11mo | $179,000 | $147 | 74 |
| 317 Boyd Loop | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 | 1,280 (+7%) | 1mo | $205,000 | $160 | 72 |
| 509 Allen Ave | 0.45mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,176 (-1%) | 1mo | $60,000 | $51 | 71 |
| 1309 Pine St | 0.47mi | 3/1.0 | 1,150 (-4%) | 2mo | $167,900 | $146 | 70 |
| 513 Allen Ave | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 | 1,218 (+2%) | 1mo | $154,900 | $127 | 70 |
| 1601 Franklin Ave | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 | 1,242 (+4%) | 10mo | $199,900 | $161 | 67 |
| 1711 Oriental St | 0.17mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,032 (-13%) | 2mo | $118,000 | $114 | 63 |
| 1406 Pecan | 0.60mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,134 (-5%) | 7mo | $88,500 | $78 | 53 |
| 302 E 10th St | 0.70mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,263 (+6%) | 2mo | $139,900 | $111 | 51 |
| 1316 Elm St | 0.46mi | 3/1.5 | 1,320 (+11%) | 10mo | $165,000 | $125 | 50 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -0.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.98×
- Total profit
- $-501
- Equity at exit
- $17,520
- IRR
- 9.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.71×
- Total profit
- $23,455
- Equity at exit
- $10,159
Cash invested: $32,900 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 75418
- Home prices YoY
- -8.9%
- Active inventory
- 277
- Price-to-rent
- 7.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,368 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$616
- Tax from tax record
- −$125 /mo · $1,497/yr
- Insurance
- −$49
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$287
- Net cashflow
- $291
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $29,375
- Closing costs
- $3,525
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 15 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 224 E Boyd St Bonham, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1196 | $1,245 | $1.04 | 44d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 229 E Evans Ave Bonham, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1090 | $1,264 | $1.16 | 44d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 1803 Franklin St Unit 1 Bonham, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1006 | $1,100 | $1.09 | 44d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 1624 Cedar St Bonham, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1004 | $1,275 | $1.27 | 44d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 317 Jones St Bonham, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1067 | $1,500 | $1.41 | 44d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 708 Union Ave Bonham, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 828 | $1,100 | $1.33 | 44d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 1014 Pine St Bonham, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,475 | $1.23 | 44d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 808 E 12th St Bonham, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1234 | $1,595 | $1.29 | 19d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 913 W 12th St Bonham, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1355 | $1,700 | $1.25 | 44d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 412 E 7th St Unit 2 Bonham, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1366 | $1,500 | $1.10 | 44d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 406 W 6th St Bonham, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1198 | $1,350 | $1.13 | 44d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 613 E 3rd St Bonham, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1197 | $1,299 | $1.09 | 22d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 608 E 3rd St Unit 2 Bonham, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1197 | $1,295 | $1.08 | 44d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 406 S 6th St Unit 1 Bonham, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1198 | $1,300 | $1.09 | 44d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 805 S 6th St Unit 1 Bonham, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1229 | $1,450 | $1.18 | 44d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $117,500 Active 77 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $117,500 Active 76 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $117,500 Active 75 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $117,500 Active 74 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $117,500 Active 73 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $117,500 Active 71 DOM
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2026-06-12days on market $117,500 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $117,500 Active 67 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $117,500 Active 66 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $117,500 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $117,500 Active 63 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $117,500 Active 61 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $117,500 Active 60 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $117,500 Active 59 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $117,500 Active 58 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $117,500 Active 57 DOM
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2026-05-14price $117,500 459-char remark
Show marketing remark (459 chars)
Investor special in Bonham! Great fix-and-flip or rental opportunity. This 3-bedroom home sits on a spacious lot in an established neighborhood with strong rental demand and plenty of potential for renovation. Sold as-is—bring your vision and make it your next investment project. Public Driving Directions: North Center St. go to Graham Ave., Turn Easton Graham, House will be the second house with the red roof205 Graham Avenue, Bonham, Texas 75418
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2026-04-21price $118,999 459-char remark
Show marketing remark (459 chars)
Investor special in Bonham! Great fix-and-flip or rental opportunity. This 3-bedroom home sits on a spacious lot in an established neighborhood with strong rental demand and plenty of potential for renovation. Sold as-is—bring your vision and make it your next investment project. Public Driving Directions: North Center St. go to Graham Ave., Turn Easton Graham, House will be the second house with the red roof205 Graham Avenue, Bonham, Texas 75418
-
2026-04-03$119,000 Active 459-char remark
Show marketing remark (459 chars)
Investor special in Bonham! Great fix-and-flip or rental opportunity. This 3-bedroom home sits on a spacious lot in an established neighborhood with strong rental demand and plenty of potential for renovation. Sold as-is—bring your vision and make it your next investment project. Public Driving Directions: North Center St. go to Graham Ave., Turn Easton Graham, House will be the second house with the red roof205 Graham Avenue, Bonham, Texas 75418
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2017-11-09soldstatus
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2003-10-31soldstatus
-
2003-10-28historical
-
2003-08-18$29,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,497 · $125/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,150 · $179/mo
- Expected delta
- +$653/yr (+$54/mo · 43.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 24% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,419
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,582
- − Property taxes
- −$1,497
- − Insurance
- −$588
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,313
- − Management
- −$1,313
- − Depreciation
- −$3,418
- Taxable income
- $1,707
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$410
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,082/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bonham ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4810800
- Math proficiency
- 37% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 38% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,740
- Composite
- 31.63/100
- National rank
- #5937
- State rank
- #477 of 826 in TX
Livability — Bonham
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #785
- US rank
- #14360
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Bonham, TX
- County
- Fannin County · 15,155 people
- City population
- 15,155
- Metro
- Bonham, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,155
- Household income
- $68,918
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 281.0
Population outlook (Fannin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 33,423 people
- By 2030
- 33,035 · -1.2%
- By 2040
- 32,250 · -3.5%
- By 2050
- 31,462 · -5.9%
- By 2075
- 29,447 · -11.9%
- By 2100
- 25,459 · -23.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (68%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 68% Hispanic / Latino 17% Black 10% Two or more races 8%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 16%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, Philippines
- Languages at home
- 85% English-only · Spanish 14%
Political lean MEDSL · Fannin
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+67.4) · D 15.9% · R 83.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.8pp toward R · 2008: -39.6pp · 2024: -67.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+67.4 2020: R+63.4 2016: R+61.9 2012: R+52.5 2008: R+39.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -25.59%
- Current HPI
- 262.7177
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Bonham, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+298.3% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Price Changed $117,500 NTREIS
- 2026-04-21 Price Changed $118,999 NTREIS
- 2026-04-03 Listed $119,000 NTREIS
- 2017-11-09 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2003-10-31 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2003-10-28 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2003-08-18 Listed $29,500 NTREIS
Property tax history
+7.4%/yrLatest (2025): $1,497 · -4.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…