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515 Howland Ave
B Composite 74.31
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +13.1/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.6/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$80,000

515 Howland Ave · Toledo, OH 43605
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,115 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 6 Days on market
Built 1917 3,600 sqft lot Est $91k · 13% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Home Sweet Home! Nicely renovated! You'll love the curb appeal w/the freshly painted exterior & brand new metal roof. The newly remodeled front porch has wood pillars that match the 2nd story cedar shake! Nice open floor plan between the living rm & dining rm. Brand new vinyl flooring in almost every room! Fresh paint throughout, including the kitchen cupboards. Both upstairs bdrms have ceiling fans & walk-in closets. The master bedroom is HUGE & the 2nd bedroom has a window seat. Vinyl replacement windows throughout. Off-street parking accessed from the alley is a plus! Totally move-in ready!

Key facts

  • 3,600 sq ft lot
  • Built 1917
  • Listed 6 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Alley access; Accessible parking
  • Security: Carbon monoxide detector(s); Smoke detector(s)
  • Utilities: Cable connected; Electricity connected (100 Amp service); Natural gas connected; Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family house; Two levels (2 stories); No attached units or common walls; Residential property
  • Construction: Shingle siding; Block foundation; Block basement
  • Exterior features: Metal roof; Level lot; Asphalt road frontage with alley and city street access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas range connection
  • Bedrooms: Bedroom 2 on Upper level; Bedroom 3 on Main level; Additional upstairs room (17 x 9) — level listed as Upper
  • Flooring: Laminate; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: One half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Window cooling unit(s)
  • Interior features: Ceiling fan(s); Bay window(s); Door screen(s); Total of 6 rooms; Has basement (unfinished, block)
  • Laundry & utility: Washer included; Laundry located in basement; Water heater included

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $368 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
  • Cap rate 11.8% vs local median 7.6% in Toledo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#645 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, crime F, commute F.
  • Toledo City (urban): math 15% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #634 of 656 in OH (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Raymer Elementary School (math 14% / reading 16%, grade F, #1,377 of 1,584 statewide, top 87%, 424 students, 0% FRL); Waite High School (math 12% / reading 24%, grade F, #687 of 781 statewide, top 88%, 997 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 72% district-wide (72 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.4%/yr); 117 active listings in the ZIP; 22 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 45% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 415 units permitted in Lucas County in 2024 (122 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($39k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $553 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lucas County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.4% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 5 sale attempts since 24y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1917 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $80,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1917 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.50%
Cap rate
11.81%
Cash-on-cash
19.69%
DSCR
1.88
GRM
5.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$91,430
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
463 Howland Ave 0.07mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,027 (-8%) 4mo $65,000 $63 75
2003 Idaho St 0.23mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,172 (+5%) 5mo $120,000 $102 72
2017 Kelsey Ave 0.36mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,152 (+3%) 1mo $119,900 $104 71
1940 Hurd St 0.18mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,200 (+8%) 4mo $99,900 $83 71
429 Dover Pl 0.31mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,155 (+4%) 6mo $66,000 $57 70
256 Midvale Ave 0.34mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,180 (+6%) 4mo $137,300 $116 66
1204 Navarre Ave 0.56mi 4/1.0 1,171 (+5%) 7mo $95,000 $81 59
1012 Idaho St 0.59mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,041 (-7%) 0mo $84,900 $82 56
590 Sylvandale Ave 0.71mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,193 (+7%) 4mo $180,000 $151 46
1129 Camden St 0.60mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,260 (+13%) 4mo $55,000 $44 42
1110 Camden St 0.64mi 3/1.0 (-1) 982 (-12%) 6mo $67,000 $68 41
1308 Halstead St 0.66mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,246 (+12%) 6mo $40,050 $32 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.37% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
14.5%
Equity multiple
1.60×
Total profit
$13,403
Equity at exit
$11,928
10-year hold
IRR
25.0%
Equity multiple
3.43×
Total profit
$54,542
Equity at exit
$6,917

Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 43605

Home prices YoY
-25.6%
Rents YoY
5.4%
Active inventory
117
Price-to-rent
5.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,197 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$420
Tax from tax record
$125 /mo · $1,504/yr
Insurance
$33
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$251
Net cashflow
$368

Break-even live

Break-even rent $732
Max offer price $80,000
Occupancy floor 64%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$20,000
Closing costs
$2,400
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 22 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
508 Howland Ave Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 840 $1,000 $1.19 44d 1 0.03mi
557 Valleywood Dr Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 848 $1,100 $1.30 44d 1 0.18mi
2074 Starr Ave Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1115 $1,025 $0.92 23d 1 0.31mi
2129 Nevada St Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1352 $1,200 $0.89 14d 1 0.36mi
1505 Navarre Ave Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1331 $1,145 $0.86 44d 1 0.38mi
732 Coyne Ave Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 968 $1,145 $1.18 14d 1 0.45mi
948 White St Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1024 $1,135 $1.11 14d 1 0.52mi
1106 White St Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,015 $0.85 14d 1 0.60mi
29 Garfield Pl Toledo, OH 4.0 2.0 1300 $1,250 $0.96 14d 1 0.78mi
908 Forsythe St Unit Downstairs Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1164 $950 $0.82 44d 1 0.79mi
221 Licking St Unit 2 Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1048 $1,099 $1.05 23d 1 0.84mi
414 Platt St Unit ST-3 Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1500 $1,150 $0.77 23d 1 0.84mi
921 Berry St Toledo, OH 4.0 1.0 1204 $1,350 $1.12 14d 1 0.84mi
1306 Mott Ave Toledo, OH 3.0 1.5 1282 $1,149 $0.90 44d 1 0.86mi
1305 Mott Ave Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1080 $1,000 $0.93 44d 1 0.88mi
1205 Liberty St Unit NA Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 864 $1,195 $1.38 44d 1 0.95mi
128 Carbon St Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1113 $1,200 $1.08 23d 1 0.98mi
834 Oak St Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1064 $900 $0.85 44d 1 1.14mi
1848 Genesee St Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1069 $1,200 $1.12 44d 1 1.19mi
1848 Genesee St Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1069 $1,300 $1.22 23d 1 1.19mi
1964 Burr St Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1159 $1,250 $1.08 44d 1 1.24mi
20 Greenwood Ave Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1496 $1,150 $0.77 14d 1 1.32mi

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $80,000 Active 6 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $80,000 Active 5 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $80,000 Active 4 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $80,000 Active 3 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    remarks 268-char remark
  6. 2026-06-14
    listed $80,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,504 · $125/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,504 · $125/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,367
− Mortgage interest
−$4,481
− Property taxes
−$1,504
− Insurance
−$400
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,149
− Management
−$1,149
− Depreciation
−$2,327
Taxable income
$3,355
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$805
After-tax cash flow
$3,606/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Toledo City
NCES district ID
3904490
Math proficiency
15% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▼ -13.00%
Median HH income
$32,137
Composite
15.76/100
National rank
#9276
State rank
#634 of 656 in OH

Livability — Toledo

Score
66/100
State rank
#645
US rank
#11442

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Toledo, OH
County
Lucas County · 380,724 people
City population
280,811
Metro
Toledo, OH
Population (ZIP)
24,441
Household income
$39,118
Rent vs Own
51.9% rent · 48.1% own
Severe rent burden
1257.0

Population outlook (Lucas County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
420,751 people
By 2030
410,187 · -2.5%
By 2040
384,019 · -8.7%
By 2050
355,125 · -15.6%
By 2075
291,683 · -30.7%
By 2100
233,670 · -44.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
Race & ethnicity
White 57% Hispanic / Latino 21% Black 14% Two or more races 14%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 17% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2% Portuguese 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 7% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lucas

2024 margin
D (+12.6) · D 55.8% · R 43.2%
2008→2024 swing
-18.9pp toward R · 2008: 31.4pp · 2024: 12.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+12.6 2020: D+16.8 2016: D+17.4 2012: D+30.4 2008: D+31.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -47.85%
Current HPI
138.6894
Rent YoY
▲ 5.37%
Metro
Toledo, OH
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+100.5% since first listed
16 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-12 Listed $80,000 NORIS
  • 2026-05-06 Price Changed $67,000 NORIS
  • 2025-10-09 Price Changed $34,000 NORIS
  • 2025-07-03 Rental Removed $1,075 APPFOLIO
  • 2025-06-24 Listed for Rent $1,075 APPFOLIO
  • 2024-01-12 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records
  • 2024-01-09 Pending NORIS
  • 2024-01-09 Sold (MLS) $75,000 NORIS
  • 2024-01-05 Price Changed $75,000 NORIS
  • 2023-12-04 Contingent NORIS
  • 2023-12-01 Listed $67,000 NORIS
  • 2023-11-17 Coming Soon $67,000 NORIS
  • 2004-03-18 Listing Removed NORIS
  • 2003-10-18 Listed $57,777 NORIS
  • 2002-05-07 Sold (MLS) $34,000 NORIS
  • 2002-03-13 Listed $39,900 NORIS

Property tax history

+4.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,504 · +0.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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