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5293 Rose St
B- Composite 67.91
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$119,900

5293 Rose St · Gladwin, MI 48624
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 950 sqft · SingleFamily · 89 Days on market
Built 1950 0.41 ac lot $126/sqft · 76% above area ↓ 8% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Cozy and completely updated cabin full of charm and character! This inviting 2-bedroom, 1-bath home offers comfortable living with modern updates while maintaining its rustic appeal. Situated on a spacious double lot, the property features a garage, shed, and additional storage room—perfect for hobbies, outdoor gear, or extra space. A great opportunity for a year-round home, weekend getaway, or investment property in Gladwin! Seller has also listed the cabin next door 5289 Rose St.

Key facts

  • Updated cabin
  • Garage
  • Shed

Tags

UPDATED CABINSPACIOUS DOUBLE LOTGARAGESHEDADDITIONAL STORAGE ROOM

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $694 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $120k).
  • Recommended offer: $113k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 13.2% vs local median 7.7% in Gladwin — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#253 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Harrison Community Schools (town): math 17% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #457 of 540 in MI (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 65% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Robert M Larson Elementary School (606 students, 85% FRL); Harrison Middle School (math 21% / reading 34%, grade F, #363 of 493 statewide, top 75%, 282 students, 81% FRL); Harrison Community High School (math 12% / reading 37%, grade F, #481 of 713 statewide, top 81%, 341 students, 73% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 289 active listings in the ZIP; 90 units permitted in Gladwin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $829 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Gladwin County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 89 days — a 6% lower offer ($113k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $112,706 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 89 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.61%
Cap rate
13.24%
Cash-on-cash
24.82%
DSCR
2.10
GRM
5.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$68,111
List price
$119,900
Delta
76.04%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
5293 Rose St 0.00mi 2/1.0 950 (0%) 1mo $119,900 $126 99
5419 Pine St 0.46mi 2/1.0 935 (-2%) 0mo $121,750 $130 76
5451 Morrow Ln 0.49mi 3/1.0 (+1) 965 (+2%) 14mo $130,000 $135 58
5380 Pine St 0.34mi 2/1.0 858 (-10%) 12mo $79,900 $93 58

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
18.2%
Equity multiple
1.74×
Total profit
$24,818
Equity at exit
$17,877
10-year hold
IRR
26.7%
Equity multiple
3.34×
Total profit
$78,667
Equity at exit
$10,367

Cash invested: $33,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48624

Home prices YoY
-23.4%
Active inventory
289
Price-to-rent
5.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,928 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$629
Tax est. 1.5%
$150 /mo · $1,798/yr
Insurance
$50
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$405
Net cashflow
$694

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,049
Max offer price $119,900
Occupancy floor 59%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $777 -5% $736 +0% $694 +5% $653 +10% $611
Rent -10% $542 -5% $618 +0% $694 +5% $770 +10% $847
Rate -1.0pp $755 -0.5pp $725 base $694 +0.5pp $663 +1.0pp $632

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$29,975
Closing costs
$3,597
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-04-29
    price $119,900 492-char remark
    Show marketing remark (492 chars)

    Cozy and completely updated cabin full of charm and character! This inviting 2-bedroom, 1-bath home offers comfortable living with modern updates while maintaining its rustic appeal. Situated on a spacious double lot, the property features a garage, shed, and additional storage room—perfect for hobbies, outdoor gear, or extra space. A great opportunity for a year-round home, weekend getaway, or investment property in Gladwin! Seller has also listed the cabin next door 5289 Rose St.

  2. 2026-04-28
    price $119,900 486-char remark
    Show marketing remark (486 chars)

    Cozy and completely updated cabin full of charm and character! This inviting 2-bedroom, 1-bath home offers comfortable living with modern updates while maintaining its rustic appeal. Situated on a spacious double lot, the property features a garage, shed, and additional storage room-perfect for hobbies, outdoor gear, or extra space. A great opportunity for a year-round home, weekend getaway, or investment property in Gladwin! Seller has also listed the cabin next door 5289 Rose St.

  3. 2026-02-26
    listed $129,900 Active 492-char remark
    Show marketing remark (486 chars)

    Cozy and completely updated cabin full of charm and character! This inviting 2-bedroom, 1-bath home offers comfortable living with modern updates while maintaining its rustic appeal. Situated on a spacious double lot, the property features a garage, shed, and additional storage room-perfect for hobbies, outdoor gear, or extra space. A great opportunity for a year-round home, weekend getaway, or investment property in Gladwin! Seller has also listed the cabin next door 5289 Rose St.

  4. 2026-02-26
    listed $129,900 Active 486-char remark
    Show marketing remark (486 chars)

    Cozy and completely updated cabin full of charm and character! This inviting 2-bedroom, 1-bath home offers comfortable living with modern updates while maintaining its rustic appeal. Situated on a spacious double lot, the property features a garage, shed, and additional storage room-perfect for hobbies, outdoor gear, or extra space. A great opportunity for a year-round home, weekend getaway, or investment property in Gladwin! Seller has also listed the cabin next door 5289 Rose St.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,132
− Mortgage interest
−$6,716
− Property taxes
−$1,798
− Insurance
−$600
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,851
− Management
−$1,851
− Depreciation
−$3,488
Taxable income
$6,829
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,639
After-tax cash flow
$6,692/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Harrison Community Schools
NCES district ID
2617820
Math proficiency
17% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
28% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$30,377
Composite
18.07/100
National rank
#8977
State rank
#457 of 540 in MI

Livability — Gladwin

Score
72/100
State rank
#253
US rank
#6296

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
16,269

Population outlook (Gladwin County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
23,440 people
By 2030
22,281 · -4.9%
By 2040
19,867 · -15.2%
By 2050
17,667 · -24.6%
By 2075
12,909 · -44.9%
By 2100
8,629 · -63.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (94%)
Race & ethnicity
White 94% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 8% Lithuanian 3% Iranian 3%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
95% English-only · German/W. Germanic 4% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Gladwin

2024 margin
Solid R (+40.7) · D 29.1% · R 69.8% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-42.2pp toward R · 2008: 1.5pp · 2024: -40.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+40.7 2020: R+36.8 2016: R+34.7 2012: R+7.2 2008: D+1.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -72.67%
Current HPI
238.0744
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-7.7% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-29 Price Changed $119,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-28 Price Changed $119,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-02-26 Listed $129,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-02-26 Listed $129,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Property tax history

-7.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $133 · -79.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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