5293 Rose St · Gladwin, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 94°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.8/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$119,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Cozy and completely updated cabin full of charm and character! This inviting 2-bedroom, 1-bath home offers comfortable living with modern updates while maintaining its rustic appeal. Situated on a spacious double lot, the property features a garage, shed, and additional storage room—perfect for hobbies, outdoor gear, or extra space. A great opportunity for a year-round home, weekend getaway, or investment property in Gladwin! Seller has also listed the cabin next door 5289 Rose St.
Key facts
- Updated cabin
- Garage
- Shed
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $694 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $120k).
- Recommended offer: $113k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.2% vs local median 7.7% in Gladwin — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#253 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Harrison Community Schools (town): math 17% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #457 of 540 in MI (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 65% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Robert M Larson Elementary School (606 students, 85% FRL); Harrison Middle School (math 21% / reading 34%, grade F, #363 of 493 statewide, top 75%, 282 students, 81% FRL); Harrison Community High School (math 12% / reading 37%, grade F, #481 of 713 statewide, top 81%, 341 students, 73% FRL).
- Market conditions: 289 active listings in the ZIP; 90 units permitted in Gladwin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $829 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Gladwin County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 89 days — a 6% lower offer ($113k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 89 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.61% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.24%
- Cash-on-cash
- 24.82%
- DSCR
- 2.10
- GRM
- 5.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $68,111
- List price
- $119,900
- Delta
- 76.04%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5293 Rose St | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 950 (0%) | 1mo | $119,900 | $126 | 99 |
| 5419 Pine St | 0.46mi | 2/1.0 | 935 (-2%) | 0mo | $121,750 | $130 | 76 |
| 5451 Morrow Ln | 0.49mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 965 (+2%) | 14mo | $130,000 | $135 | 58 |
| 5380 Pine St | 0.34mi | 2/1.0 | 858 (-10%) | 12mo | $79,900 | $93 | 58 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 18.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.74×
- Total profit
- $24,818
- Equity at exit
- $17,877
- IRR
- 26.7%
- Equity multiple
- 3.34×
- Total profit
- $78,667
- Equity at exit
- $10,367
Cash invested: $33,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48624
- Home prices YoY
- -23.4%
- Active inventory
- 289
- Price-to-rent
- 5.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,928 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$150 /mo · $1,798/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$405
- Net cashflow
- $694
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $777 | -5% $736 | +0% $694 | +5% $653 | +10% $611 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $542 | -5% $618 | +0% $694 | +5% $770 | +10% $847 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $755 | -0.5pp $725 | base $694 | +0.5pp $663 | +1.0pp $632 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $29,975
- Closing costs
- $3,597
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-04-29price $119,900 492-char remark
Show marketing remark (492 chars)
Cozy and completely updated cabin full of charm and character! This inviting 2-bedroom, 1-bath home offers comfortable living with modern updates while maintaining its rustic appeal. Situated on a spacious double lot, the property features a garage, shed, and additional storage room—perfect for hobbies, outdoor gear, or extra space. A great opportunity for a year-round home, weekend getaway, or investment property in Gladwin! Seller has also listed the cabin next door 5289 Rose St.
-
2026-04-28price $119,900 486-char remark
Show marketing remark (486 chars)
Cozy and completely updated cabin full of charm and character! This inviting 2-bedroom, 1-bath home offers comfortable living with modern updates while maintaining its rustic appeal. Situated on a spacious double lot, the property features a garage, shed, and additional storage room-perfect for hobbies, outdoor gear, or extra space. A great opportunity for a year-round home, weekend getaway, or investment property in Gladwin! Seller has also listed the cabin next door 5289 Rose St.
-
2026-02-26$129,900 Active 492-char remark
Show marketing remark (486 chars)
Cozy and completely updated cabin full of charm and character! This inviting 2-bedroom, 1-bath home offers comfortable living with modern updates while maintaining its rustic appeal. Situated on a spacious double lot, the property features a garage, shed, and additional storage room-perfect for hobbies, outdoor gear, or extra space. A great opportunity for a year-round home, weekend getaway, or investment property in Gladwin! Seller has also listed the cabin next door 5289 Rose St.
-
2026-02-26$129,900 Active 486-char remark
Show marketing remark (486 chars)
Cozy and completely updated cabin full of charm and character! This inviting 2-bedroom, 1-bath home offers comfortable living with modern updates while maintaining its rustic appeal. Situated on a spacious double lot, the property features a garage, shed, and additional storage room-perfect for hobbies, outdoor gear, or extra space. A great opportunity for a year-round home, weekend getaway, or investment property in Gladwin! Seller has also listed the cabin next door 5289 Rose St.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,132
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,716
- − Property taxes
- −$1,798
- − Insurance
- −$600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,851
- − Management
- −$1,851
- − Depreciation
- −$3,488
- Taxable income
- $6,829
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,639
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,692/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Harrison Community Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2617820
- Math proficiency
- 17% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 28% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $30,377
- Composite
- 18.07/100
- National rank
- #8977
- State rank
- #457 of 540 in MI
Livability — Gladwin
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #253
- US rank
- #6296
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,269
Population outlook (Gladwin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 23,440 people
- By 2030
- 22,281 · -4.9%
- By 2040
- 19,867 · -15.2%
- By 2050
- 17,667 · -24.6%
- By 2075
- 12,909 · -44.9%
- By 2100
- 8,629 · -63.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 94% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 8% Lithuanian 3% Iranian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · German/W. Germanic 4% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Gladwin
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+40.7) · D 29.1% · R 69.8% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -42.2pp toward R · 2008: 1.5pp · 2024: -40.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+40.7 2020: R+36.8 2016: R+34.7 2012: R+7.2 2008: D+1.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -72.67%
- Current HPI
- 238.0744
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
-7.7% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-29 Price Changed $119,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-28 Price Changed $119,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-02-26 Listed $129,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-02-26 Listed $129,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
Property tax history
-7.9%/yrLatest (2025): $133 · -79.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…