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833 Fillmore St
B- Composite 68.04
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +1.4/10.0
  • Schools +0.5/10.0

$69,999

833 Fillmore St · Gary, IN 46402
2 bd · 1.5 ba · 976 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 83 Days on market
Built 1920 3,746 sqft lot $72/sqft · 11% above area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Discover the potential in this 4-bedroom, 1-bath home nestled on a quiet block in Gary. Featuring high ceilings and real hardwood floors throughout most of the main level, this property offers a solid foundation for your vision. Two bedrooms are conveniently located on the main floor, with additional space in the partially finished basement, which also includes laundry hookups and plumbing in place for a potential half bath. The home is equipped with a furnace that's just one year old, providing peace of mind on a major mechanical. With good bones and a functional layout, this property is ideal for investors or buyers looking to renovate and build equity. Being sold as-is, it presents a great opportunity to customize and add value. Dont miss your chance to transform this property into something special!

Key facts

  • 3,746 sq ft lot
  • Built 1920
  • Listed 83 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $70k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $349 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
  • Recommended offer: $66k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.3% vs local median 9.1% in Gary — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#105 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Gary Community School Corporation (urban): math 3% / reading 11% proficiency, ranked #299 of 301 in IN (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 46 active listings in the ZIP; 24 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,642 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (14 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($34k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $484 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lake County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 83 days — a 6% lower offer ($66k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 10y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (22%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $6k; list at $70k implies a 1029% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $65,799 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 83 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.57%
Cap rate
12.28%
Cash-on-cash
21.37%
DSCR
1.95
GRM
5.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$188,606
List price
$69,999
Delta
-62.89%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1177 Harrison St 0.44mi 2/1.0 946 (-3%) 2mo $8,500 $9 71
434 Pierce St 0.51mi 2/1.5 945 (-3%) 0mo $34,000 $36 70
668 Harrison St 0.26mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,008 (+3%) 10mo $40,000 $40 70
1067 Polk St 0.22mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,088 (+12%) 7mo $116,000 $107 60
1161 Fillmore St 0.35mi 2/1.0 905 (-7%) 14mo $42,000 $46 58
1561 Tyler St 0.65mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,008 (+3%) 0mo $12,000 $12 57
1567 Hayes St 0.73mi 2/1.0 934 (-4%) 4mo $29,000 $31 54
452 Pierce St 0.49mi 2/1.0 867 (-11%) 6mo $45,000 $52 51
1965 W 10th Pl 0.61mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,028 (+5%) 10mo $25,000 $24 48
1665 W 12th Ave 0.54mi 2/1.0 842 (-14%) 3mo $13,000 $15 47
302 Lincoln St 0.71mi 3/1.0 (+1) 889 (-9%) 2mo $33,900 $38 43
1349 Harrison St 0.52mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,068 (+9%) 14mo $22,900 $21 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
13.9%
Equity multiple
1.56×
Total profit
$10,925
Equity at exit
$10,437
10-year hold
IRR
22.8%
Equity multiple
2.95×
Total profit
$38,298
Equity at exit
$6,052

Cash invested: $19,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Indiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day pay-or-quit; landlord-favorable; preempted.

ZIP-level market 46402

Home prices YoY
-2.8%
Active inventory
46
Price-to-rent
5.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,102 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$367
Tax from tax record
$125 /mo · $1,502/yr
Insurance
$29
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$231
Net cashflow
$349

Break-even live

Break-even rent $660
Max offer price $69,999
Occupancy floor 63%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $389 -5% $369 +0% $349 +5% $329 +10% $309
Rent -10% $262 -5% $305 +0% $349 +5% $393 +10% $436
Rate -1.0pp $384 -0.5pp $367 base $349 +0.5pp $331 +1.0pp $312

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,500
Closing costs
$2,100
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 24 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
762 Harrison St Unit SRO Gary, IN 1.0 1.0 1075 $700 $0.65 2d 1 0.19mi
411 Pierce St Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 874 $1,395 $1.60 22d 1 0.52mi
1521 Pierce St Unit 1 Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 800 $850 $1.06 2d 1 0.60mi
501 Madison St Gary, IN 1.0–4.0 1.0 883 $1,144 $1.29 2d 11 0.62mi
317 Garfield St Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 936 $1,495 $1.60 44d 1 0.75mi
358 Arthur St Unit 2 Gary, IN 1.0 1.0 800 $1,080 $1.35 44d 1 0.76mi
358 Arthur St Unit 2 Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 800 $1,250 $1.56 2d 1 0.76mi
840 W 19th Ave Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 1035 $1,150 $1.11 20d 1 0.82mi
2306 W 5th Ave Gary, IN 2.0–3.0 1.0 937 $1,199 $1.28 2d 2 0.88mi
2306 W 5th Ave Apt 3 Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 1025 $1,299 $1.27 2d 1 0.88mi
1316 Delaware St Unit 2 Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 700 $950 $1.36 21d 1 1.06mi
1329 Delaware St Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,100 $1.00 44d 1 1.09mi
1595 Ellsworth St Unit 1 Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 868 $1,100 $1.27 2d 1 1.12mi
1595 Ellsworth St Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 868 $1,100 $1.27 3d 1 1.12mi
329 Marshall St Unit 1 Gary, IN 1.0 1.0 997 $900 $0.90 2d 1 1.17mi
2939 W 10th Ave Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 744 $1,190 $1.60 2d 1 1.22mi
2022 Massachusetts St Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 965 $1,000 $1.04 2d 1 1.26mi
1531 Taney Pl Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 900 $1,045 $1.16 2d 1 1.34mi
2361 Pierce St Unit 2 Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 860 $900 $1.05 2d 1 1.40mi
2378 Jackson St Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 672 $1,050 $1.56 2d 1 1.48mi
2280 Roosevelt Pl Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 864 $1,560 $1.81 2d 1 1.48mi
844 Tennessee St Gary, IN 3.0 1.5 1000 $1,500 $1.50 44d 1 1.48mi
2061 Maryland St Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 975 $950 $0.97 44d 1 1.48mi
2264 Taft St Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 800 $1,275 $1.59 2d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $69,999 Active 83 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    statusdays on market $69,999 Active 82 DOM
  3. 2026-06-13
    statusdays on market $69,999 Pending 81 DOM
  4. 2026-06-09
    days on market $69,999 Active 78 DOM
  5. 2026-06-08
    days on market $69,999 Active 77 DOM
  6. 2026-06-07
    days on market $69,999 Active 76 DOM
  7. 2026-06-04
    days on market $69,999 Active 73 DOM
  8. 2026-06-03
    days on market $69,999 Active 72 DOM
  9. 2026-06-02
    days on market $69,999 Active 71 DOM
  10. 2026-06-01
    days on market $69,999 Active 70 DOM
  11. 2026-05-31
    days on market $69,999 Active 69 DOM
  12. 2026-05-13
    price $78,000 814-char remark
    Show marketing remark (814 chars)

    Discover the potential in this 4-bedroom, 1-bath home nestled on a quiet block in Gary. Featuring high ceilings and real hardwood floors throughout most of the main level, this property offers a solid foundation for your vision. Two bedrooms are conveniently located on the main floor, with additional space in the partially finished basement, which also includes laundry hookups and plumbing in place for a potential half bath. The home is equipped with a furnace that's just one year old, providing peace of mind on a major mechanical. With good bones and a functional layout, this property is ideal for investors or buyers looking to renovate and build equity. Being sold as-is, it presents a great opportunity to customize and add value. Dont miss your chance to transform this property into something special!

  13. 2026-04-13
    price $84,999 814-char remark
    Show marketing remark (814 chars)

    Discover the potential in this 4-bedroom, 1-bath home nestled on a quiet block in Gary. Featuring high ceilings and real hardwood floors throughout most of the main level, this property offers a solid foundation for your vision. Two bedrooms are conveniently located on the main floor, with additional space in the partially finished basement, which also includes laundry hookups and plumbing in place for a potential half bath. The home is equipped with a furnace that's just one year old, providing peace of mind on a major mechanical. With good bones and a functional layout, this property is ideal for investors or buyers looking to renovate and build equity. Being sold as-is, it presents a great opportunity to customize and add value. Dont miss your chance to transform this property into something special!

  14. 2026-03-23
    listed $89,999 Active 814-char remark
    Show marketing remark (814 chars)

    Discover the potential in this 4-bedroom, 1-bath home nestled on a quiet block in Gary. Featuring high ceilings and real hardwood floors throughout most of the main level, this property offers a solid foundation for your vision. Two bedrooms are conveniently located on the main floor, with additional space in the partially finished basement, which also includes laundry hookups and plumbing in place for a potential half bath. The home is equipped with a furnace that's just one year old, providing peace of mind on a major mechanical. With good bones and a functional layout, this property is ideal for investors or buyers looking to renovate and build equity. Being sold as-is, it presents a great opportunity to customize and add value. Dont miss your chance to transform this property into something special!

  15. 2016-05-13
    soldstatus $6,200 112-char remark
    Show marketing remark (112 chars)

    Brick ranch style home with a full sized basement with a fenced yard and enclosed porch. Basement is unfinished.

  16. 2016-03-14
    listed $6,200 112-char remark
    Show marketing remark (112 chars)

    Brick ranch style home with a full sized basement with a fenced yard and enclosed porch. Basement is unfinished.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,502 · $125/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,502 · $125/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,222
− Mortgage interest
−$3,921
− Property taxes
−$1,502
− Insurance
−$350
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,058
− Management
−$1,058
− Depreciation
−$2,036
Taxable income
$3,297
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$791
After-tax cash flow
$3,397/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Gary Community School Corporation
NCES district ID
1803870
Math proficiency
3% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
11% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$27,739
Composite
4.98/100
National rank
#10039
State rank
#299 of 301 in IN

Livability — Gary

Score
73/100
State rank
#105
US rank
#5592

Category grades

Amenities C+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Gary, IN
County
Lake County · 422,878 people
City population
63,701
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
Population (ZIP)
5,836
Household income
$33,529
Rent vs Own
56.6% rent · 43.4% own
Severe rent burden
336.0

Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
484,026 people
By 2030
478,091 · -1.2%
By 2040
462,974 · -4.3%
By 2050
449,894 · -7.1%
By 2075
436,169 · -9.9%
By 2100
426,607 · -11.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (87%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 87% Two or more races 5% White 5% Hispanic / Latino 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Ukrainian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lake

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.6) · D 52.1% · R 46.5% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-28.6pp toward R · 2008: 34.3pp · 2024: 5.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.6 2020: D+15.1 2016: D+20.6 2012: D+31.0 2008: D+34.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -7.21%
Current HPI
250.2464
Rent YoY
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.90%
F500 in state
18

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1158.1% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-13 Price Changed $78,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-13 Price Changed $84,999 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-23 Listed $89,999 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-05-13 Sold (MLS) $6,200 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-03-14 Listed $6,200 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+2.8%/yr

Latest (2024): $1,502 · +1.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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