730 Rockard Dr · Horizon City, TX 79928

$210,000

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,594 sqft · SingleFamily · 155 Days on market

Built 2022 Good condition 0.42 ac lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +14.1/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• DSCR +4.3/10.0
• 1% rule +3.9/10.0
• Condition / age +3.8/5.0
• Livability +3.3/5.0
• Rent growth +3.2/5.0
• Schools +1.5/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to this spacious 3 bedroom, 2 bath, double wide home. A refined and inviting residence, gracefully nestled within an expansive, verdant grounds—where warmth, and comfort harmonize to create a truly idyllic retreat. Lot and home sold together.

Key facts

• 0.42 acre lot
• Built 2022
• Listed 154 days

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $210k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $29 ($350/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $187k (10.8% below list).
• Recommended offer: $185k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 66/100 on livability (#619 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
• Clint ISD (suburban): math 14% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #792 of 826 in TX (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
• Zoned schools: Desert Hills El (math 23% / reading 24%, grade F, #3,247 of 4,322 statewide, top 76%, 907 students, 78% FRL); Horizon Middle (math 16% / reading 20%, grade F, #1,491 of 1,662 statewide, top 91%, 670 students, 84% FRL); Horizon H S (math 14% / reading 26%, grade F, #1,397 of 1,632 statewide, top 87%, 1,677 students, 85% FRL) — zoned schools average 82% FRL vs 59% district-wide (23 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
• Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.9%/yr); 2098 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,196 units permitted in El Paso County in 2024 (143 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• El Paso County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 155 days — a 12% lower offer ($185k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Recommended offer $184,800 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 155 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.89% ✗
• Cap rate: 6.46%
• Cash-on-cash: 0.60%
• DSCR: 1.03
• GRM: 9.3

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.93% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -15.4%
• Equity multiple: 0.45×
• Total profit: $-32,273
• Equity at exit: $31,312

10-year hold

• IRR: -7.0%
• Equity multiple: 0.56×
• Total profit: $-26,133
• Equity at exit: $18,157

Cash invested: $58,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Texas: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 79928

• Home prices YoY: -16.9%
• Rents YoY: 2.9%
• Active inventory: 2098
• Price-to-rent: 9.3×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,874 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,101
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$262 /mo · $3,150/yr
• Insurance: −$88
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$394
• Net cashflow: $29

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,837

Max offer price $210,000

Occupancy floor 93%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $174	-5% $102	+0% $29	+5% $-43	+10% $-116
Rent	-10% $-119	-5% $-45	+0% $29	+5% $103	+10% $177
Rate	-1.0pp $135	-0.5pp $83	base $29	+0.5pp $-25	+1.0pp $-81

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $52,500
• Closing costs: $6,300
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 6 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
14724 Mountain Breeze Ave El Paso, TX	4.0	2.0	1635	$1,800	$1.10	4d	1	0.90mi
14749 Sand Gate Dr El Paso, TX	4.0	2.0	1600	$1,700	$1.06	4d	1	1.03mi
14324 Desert Shadow Dr Horizon City, TX	3.0	2.0	1250	$1,600	$1.28	16d	1	1.17mi
14741 Calhoun Dr El Paso, TX	3.0	2.0	1114	$1,400	$1.26	45d	1	1.18mi
14321 Bill Lazor Pkwy El Paso, TX	3.0	2.0	1164	$1,925	$1.65	45d	1	1.19mi
14364 Nick Drahos Ln El Paso, TX	3.0	2.0	1066	$1,700	$1.59	13d	1	1.29mi

Listing history 9 events

1. 2026-06-10
   days on market $210,000 Active 155 DOM
2. 2026-06-09
   days on market $210,000 Active 154 DOM
3. 2026-06-08
   days on market $210,000 Active 153 DOM
4. 2026-06-07
   days on market $210,000 Active 152 DOM
5. 2026-06-03
   days on market $210,000 Active 148 DOM
6. 2026-06-03
   days on market $210,000 Active 147 DOM
7. 2026-06-01
   days on market $210,000 Active 146 DOM
8. 2026-05-31
   days on market $210,000 Active 145 DOM
9. 2026-01-06
   listed $210,000 Active 256-char remark

   Show marketing remark (256 chars)

   Welcome to this spacious 3 bedroom, 2 bath, double wide home. A refined and inviting residence, gracefully nestled within an expansive, verdant grounds—where warmth, and comfort harmonize to create a truly idyllic retreat. Lot and home sold together.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $22,488
• − Mortgage interest: −$11,763
• − Property taxes: −$3,150
• − Insurance: −$1,050
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,799
• − Management: −$1,799
• − Depreciation: −$6,109
• Taxable loss: −$3,182
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$764
• After-tax cash flow: $1,114/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This spacious 3-bedroom, 2-bath home is in good condition with minimal repairs needed. It has a good foundation and structure, and the interior is well-maintained. The home has good curb appeal and is ready for a fresh paint job and some minor updates to the kitchen and bathrooms to increase its value.

Value-add opportunities

• Both Painting and updating the interior walls and ceiling — Fresh paint can make the home more appealing and increase its value
• Both Updating the flooring in the bathrooms — New flooring can improve the look and feel of the bathrooms
• Both Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can make the kitchen more functional and attractive
• Both Landscaping the front yard — A well-maintained front yard can improve curb appeal and increase the home's value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

• Both Painting and updating the interior walls and ceiling — Fresh paint can make the home more appealing and increase its value ↑
• Both Updating the flooring in the bathrooms — New flooring can improve the look and feel of the bathrooms ↑
• Both Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can make the kitchen more functional and attractive ↑
• Both Landscaping the front yard — A well-maintained front yard can improve curb appeal and increase the home's value ↑

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Clint ISD
• NCES district ID: 4814430
• Math proficiency: 14% ▼ -32.00%
• Reading proficiency: 22% ▼ -15.00%
• Median HH income: $37,490
• Composite: 15.03/100
• National rank: #9356
• State rank: #792 of 826 in TX

Livability — Horizon City

• Score: 66/100
• State rank: #619
• US rank: #11815

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• County: El Paso County · 761,266 people
• City population: 86,599
• Metro: El Paso, TX
• Population (ZIP): 86,599
• Household income: $76,643
• Rent vs Own: 13.4% rent · 86.6% own
• Severe rent burden: 838.0

Population outlook (El Paso County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 897,899 people
• By 2030: 922,694 · +2.8%
• By 2040: 960,492 · +7.0%
• By 2050: 982,919 · +9.5%
• By 2075: 997,266 · +11.1%
• By 2100: 900,630 · +0.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly Hispanic (89%)
• Race & ethnicity: Hispanic / Latino 89% Two or more races 39% White 7% Black 2% Native American 2%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 84%
• Foreign-born: 23% · Canada
• Languages at home: 25% English-only · Spanish 74% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · El Paso

• 2024 margin: D (+15.1) · D 57.0% · R 41.8% · Other 1.2%
• 2008→2024 swing: -17.4pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 15.1pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+15.1 2020: D+35.1 2016: D+43.2 2012: D+32.6 2008: D+32.5

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -40.72%
• Current HPI: 200.6454
• Rent YoY: ▲ 2.93%
• Metro: El Paso, TX
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.95%
• F500 in state: 110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Energy	16	$1,198B
▸Technology	5	$198B
▸Engineering / Construction	4	$72B
▸Energy Services	3	$60B
▸Utilities	3	$41B
▸Healthcare	2	$330B

Price history

1 event — show timeline

• 2026-01-06 Listed $210,000 GEPARMLS