253 Concord Rd · Schwenksville, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 24.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.9/30.0
- ARV discount +10.2/15.0
- Schools +5.6/10.0
- 1% rule +4.7/10.0
- DSCR +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$235,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
End Unit townhouse in Maple Hill Development. 3 bedroom 1.5 bath home needs some updating. Spacious Living Rm and Dining Area. Slider to Rear Patio that can be fenced in. Upstairs Features 3 Bedrooms and Full Bath. House is being sold as is and Buyer is responsible for the Use and Occupancy with the township.
Key facts
- Spacious living rm
- Dining area
- Rear patio
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Above-grade finished area listed as 1,360 (source: assessor)
- HOA & community: Monthly HOA fee of $180; HOA covers common area maintenance, lawn maintenance, snow removal and trash; HOA amenities include an outdoor pool
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service for heating, cooling, and hot water
- Home design: End-of-row townhouse; Fee simple ownership; Finished above-grade living space reported by assessor
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Community outdoor pool; Lot dimensions approximately 20.00 x 0.00
Interior
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric); Electric hot water
- Interior features: No basement; Living area reported by assessor
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath townhouse listed at $235k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $27 ($326/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $229k (2.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $229k (2.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 2.8% in Schwenksville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#1,046 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Perkiomen Valley SD (suburban): math 53% / reading 70% proficiency, ranked #46 of 539 in PA (top 8%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 10% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Schwenksville El Sch (math 57% / reading 72%, grade B, #249 of 1,518 statewide, top 19%, 485 students, 27% FRL); Perkiomen Valley Ms-West (math 32% / reading 66%, grade C-, #140 of 512 statewide, top 28%, 557 students, 24% FRL); Perkiomen Valley Hs (math 80% / reading 75%, grade A-, #21 of 437 statewide, top 5%, 1,736 students, 16% FRL).
- Market conditions: 55 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 7d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,936 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (530 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Montgomery County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 4 sale attempts since 31y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $82k; list at $235k implies a 187% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.97% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.43%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.49%
- DSCR
- 1.02
- GRM
- 8.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $250,240
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 236 Lexington Rd | 0.12mi | 3/1.5 | 1,360 (0%) | 3mo | $250,000 | $184 | 92 |
| 57 Salem Rd | 0.05mi | 3/1.5 | 1,360 (0%) | 10mo | $278,200 | $205 | 89 |
| 197 Lexington Rd | 0.07mi | 3/1.5 | 1,395 (+3%) | 5mo | $257,000 | $184 | 88 |
| 64 Salem Rd | 0.18mi | 3/1.5 | 1,416 (+4%) | 4mo | $280,000 | $198 | 81 |
| 43 Salem Rd | 0.02mi | 3/1.5 | 1,464 (+8%) | 8mo | $245,000 | $167 | 80 |
| 76 Salem Rd | 0.21mi | 3/1.5 | 1,456 (+7%) | 0mo | $299,000 | $205 | 78 |
| 170 Salem Rd | 0.19mi | 3/1.5 | 1,416 (+4%) | 8mo | $310,000 | $219 | 78 |
| 72 Salem Rd | 0.20mi | 3/1.5 | 1,451 (+7%) | 2mo | $210,000 | $145 | 78 |
| 163 Salem Rd | 0.16mi | 3/1.5 | 1,451 (+7%) | 7mo | $190,000 | $131 | 76 |
| 2311 Forest Ln Unit C-5 | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 | 1,350 (-1%) | 8mo | $137,000 | $101 | 62 |
| 4421 Forest Ln | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 | 1,500 (+10%) | 3mo | $130,000 | $87 | 46 |
| 37 Pennypacker Dr | 0.71mi | 3/1.5 | 1,200 (-12%) | 4mo | $259,900 | $217 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -15.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.45×
- Total profit
- $-36,222
- Equity at exit
- $35,039
- IRR
- -6.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.56×
- Total profit
- $-28,790
- Equity at exit
- $20,319
Cash invested: $65,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 19473
- Home prices YoY
- -25.2%
- Active inventory
- 55
- Price-to-rent
- 8.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,286 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,232
- Tax from tax record
- −$269 /mo · $3,225/yr
- Insurance
- −$98
- HOA
- −$180
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$480
- Net cashflow
- $27
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $160 | -5% $94 | +0% $27 | +5% $-39 | +10% $-106 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-153 | -5% $-63 | +0% $27 | +5% $117 | +10% $208 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $145 | -0.5pp $87 | base $27 | +0.5pp $-34 | +1.0pp $-96 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $58,750
- Closing costs
- $7,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 939 Gravel Pike Schwenksville, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1298 | $2,750 | $2.12 | 0d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 1312 Forest Ln Unit A6 Schwenksville, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 902 | $1,650 | $1.83 | 45d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 65 Pennypacker Dr Schwenksville, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $2,100 | $1.75 | 7d | 1 | 0.66mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $180 · $2,160/yr
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $235,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-17remarks 310-char remark
-
2026-06-17$235,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,225 · $269/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,469 · $289/mo
- Expected delta
- +$244/yr (+$20/mo · 7.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 24% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,435
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,164
- − Property taxes
- −$3,225
- − Insurance
- −$1,175
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,195
- − Management
- −$2,195
- − HOA
- −$2,160
- − Depreciation
- −$6,836
- Taxable loss
- −$3,514
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$843
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,169/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Perkiomen Valley SD
- NCES district ID
- 4218930
- Math proficiency
- 53% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 70% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $92,706
- Composite
- 56.33/100
- National rank
- #1167
- State rank
- #46 of 539 in PA
Livability — Schwenksville
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #1046
- US rank
- #11722
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,731
Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 856,074 people
- By 2030
- 870,887 · +1.7%
- By 2040
- 891,195 · +4.1%
- By 2050
- 896,417 · +4.7%
- By 2075
- 903,212 · +5.5%
- By 2100
- 843,240 · -1.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 87% Asian 5% Two or more races 4% Black 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Scotch-Irish 2% Subsaharan African 2%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, South Korea, China
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Other Indo-European 3% Spanish 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+22.8) · D 60.9% · R 38.1% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +2.0pp toward D · 2008: 20.8pp · 2024: 22.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+22.8 2020: D+26.3 2016: D+21.1 2012: D+14.3 2008: D+20.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -101.04%
- Current HPI
- 299.9427
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
||
| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
||
Price history
+173.6% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-17 Listed $235,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2002-05-06 Sold (Public Records) $82,000 Public Records
- 1999-09-08 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 1999-09-08 Listed $79,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 1997-02-26 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 1997-02-26 Listed $77,500 BRIGHT MLS
- 1995-12-12 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 1995-06-12 Listed $79,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 1989-04-21 Sold (Public Records) $85,900 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.4%/yrLatest (2026): $3,225 · +3.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…