1256 Lavender Dr · Richburg, SC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $783 – $1,453
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +8.3/30.0
- ARV discount +7.1/15.0
- Appreciation +6.5/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- 1% rule +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- DSCR +2.2/10.0
$340,290
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Stanton is an exciting NEW community in Richburg, SC offering a blend of county living and urban convenience. With Luxury amenities, residents can enjoy a high standard of living while having a variety of floor plans to choose from, including single story options. Stanton’s proximity to 1-77 makes commuting to Rock Hill and Charlotte a breeze, allowing for easy access to city excitement while still enjoying the tranquility of suburban lifestyle. The Manning is a thoughtfully designed two-story home that combines everyday comfort with flexible living space, offering a layout ideal for modern households. Located in Stanton in Richburg, South Carolina, this inviting home features 4 bedro
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- Central island
- Spacious living room
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Zoning: R4; Road directions: From Rock Hill, take I-77 to exit 63. Turn left onto Highway 9; community is on the left.; Restrictions: Architectural review
- HOA & community: Mandatory HOA; $300 quarterly (approximately $1,200 annually); HOA contact available via [email protected]; Community amenities include cabana, outdoor pool, playground, pond, sidewalks, and street lights; Pets allowed
Exterior
- Parking: Attached front-facing 2-car garage with garage door opener; Driveway
- Security: Smoke detector(s); Carbon monoxide detector(s)
- Utilities: City water; Public sewer; Cable available; Wired internet available; Underground power lines and utilities
- Home design: Single family residence; New construction (proposed completion Sep 15, 2026); Two levels; Site built
- Construction: Partial brick and fiber cement exterior; Fiberglass roof; Slab foundation; Built by D.R. Horton (Manning E2 model)
- Exterior features: Concrete/paved driveway; Private maintained road; Community pond; Sidewalks; Street lights
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Electric oven; Microwave; Plumbed for ice maker; Electric water heater
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms total (3 upper, 1 main)
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating (zoned); Central air with dual and zoned cooling
- Interior features: Open floorplan; Kitchen island; Pantry; Walk-in closet(s); 8 total rooms; Electric fireplace in family room; Carbon monoxide and smoke detectors
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room on upper level; Electric dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $340k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-313 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $295k (13.3% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $271k (20.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $271k (20.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#182 in SC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, health & safety D+, amenities F.
- Chester 01 (rural): math 23% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #59 of 80 in SC (top 74%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Lewisville Elementary (math 47% / reading 42%, grade F, #226 of 597 statewide, top 40%, 510 students, 100% FRL); Lewisville High (math 44% / reading 87%, grade B, #83 of 196 statewide, top 43%, 416 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 64% district-wide (36 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 55% at this address vs 28% district-wide (+27 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Chester 01 average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: 81 active listings in the ZIP; 269 units permitted in Chester County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $13k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $10k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Chester County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 80 days — a 6% lower offer ($320k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 80 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 20% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.80% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.19%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.95%
- DSCR
- 0.82
- GRM
- 10.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $337,059
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1316 Lily Dr | 0.11mi | 4/2.5 | 2,174 (-1%) | 1mo | $317,000 | $146 | 92 |
| 1240 Lavender Dr | 0.07mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,175 (-1%) | 0mo | $325,850 | $150 | 90 |
| 1235 Lavender Dr | 0.09mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,175 (-1%) | 1mo | $315,054 | $145 | 88 |
| 1319 Lily Dr | 0.09mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,175 (-1%) | 2mo | $321,000 | $148 | 87 |
| 1234 Lavender Dr | 0.09mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 2,368 (+8%) | 2mo | $329,000 | $139 | 75 |
| 1513 Doran Ter | 0.62mi | 4/2.5 | 2,218 (+1%) | 2mo | $355,900 | $160 | 69 |
| 699 Lamorak Pl | 0.61mi | 4/2.5 | 2,218 (+1%) | 3mo | $355,900 | $160 | 68 |
| 1110 Elyan St | 0.63mi | 4/2.5 | 2,218 (+1%) | 6mo | $349,900 | $158 | 65 |
| 642 Lamorak Pl | 0.58mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,025 (-8%) | 10mo | $327,900 | $162 | 46 |
| 1520 Doran Ter | 0.62mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,025 (-8%) | 8mo | $304,900 | $151 | 46 |
| 1544 Doran Ter | 0.72mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,025 (-8%) | 4mo | $310,900 | $154 | 44 |
| 1534 Doran Ter | 0.68mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,025 (-8%) | 7mo | $308,900 | $153 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
2.99% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 3.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.22×
- Total profit
- $21,025
- Equity at exit
- $152,883
- IRR
- 7.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.08×
- Total profit
- $103,149
- Equity at exit
- $235,512
Cash invested: $95,281 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State South Carolina
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 29729
- Home prices YoY
- 1.4%
- Active inventory
- 81
- Price-to-rent
- 10.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,707 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,785
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$425 /mo · $5,104/yr
- Insurance
- −$142
- HOA
- −$100
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$568
- Net cashflow
- $-313
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-78 | -5% $-196 | +0% $-313 | +5% $-431 | +10% $-548 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-527 | -5% $-420 | +0% $-313 | +5% $-206 | +10% $-99 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-142 | -0.5pp $-227 | base $-313 | +0.5pp $-401 | +1.0pp $-491 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $85,072
- Closing costs
- $10,209
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $100 · $1,200/yr
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $340,290 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $340,290 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $340,290 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $340,290 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $340,290 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $340,290 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $340,290 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $340,290 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $340,290 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $340,290 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $340,290 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $340,290 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $340,290 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-03-30$340,290 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $32,482
- − Mortgage interest
- −$19,062
- − Property taxes
- −$5,104
- − Insurance
- −$1,701
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,599
- − Management
- −$2,599
- − HOA
- −$1,200
- − Depreciation
- −$9,899
- Taxable loss
- −$9,682
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,324
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,435/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Chester 01
- NCES district ID
- 4501530
- Math proficiency
- 23% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $34,041
- Composite
- 23.39/100
- National rank
- #7902
- State rank
- #59 of 80 in SC
Livability — Richburg
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #182
- US rank
- #15927
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,313
Population outlook (Chester County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 30,121 people
- By 2030
- 28,700 · -4.7%
- By 2040
- 25,784 · -14.4%
- By 2050
- 23,001 · -23.6%
- By 2075
- 17,770 · -41.0%
- By 2100
- 13,584 · -54.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 60% Black 26% Two or more races 12% Hispanic / Latino 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Danish 2% Serbian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada, Guatemala
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Chester
- 2024 margin
- R (+17.2) · D 40.8% · R 58.0% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -25.5pp toward R · 2008: 8.3pp · 2024: -17.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+17.2 2020: R+10.9 2016: R+4.8 2012: D+10.5 2008: D+8.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 2.99%
- Current HPI
- 210.6518
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.51%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Packaging | 1 | $7B |
|
||
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-03-30 Listed $340,290 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…